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European defense overhaul: Billions sought for joint security fund

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Following US President Donald Trump’s call for peace negotiations in Ukraine, suspension of military aid to Ukraine, and increased defense spending by NATO countries, alarm bells have started ringing in Brussels and Berlin.

European Commission President von der Leyen aims to mobilize a Europe-wide defense budget to continue supporting Ukraine.

In this context, Leyen proposed a plan for the “rearmament of Europe.” EU member states need to invest in a joint defense budget to protect themselves independently of US aid. According to Leyen, an amount of up to 800 billion euros could be mobilized.

Leyen’s five-point plan, announced in Brussels on Tuesday, includes easing debt rules and providing incentives for increased defense spending.

Member states will be enabled to spend more on defense without falling into a debt trap. A new fund of 150 billion euros will be created to support the 27 member states investing in defense.

The Commission stated that the new 150 billion euro joint borrowing would be directed towards building Europe-wide capabilities such as air and missile defense, artillery systems, missiles and ammunition, drones, and anti-drone systems, or meeting other needs from cyber to military mobility.

Social spending to be redirected to arms procurement

“This will help Member States pool their demands and buy together, reducing costs, fragmentation, increasing interoperability, and strengthening our defense industrial base,” Leyen said.

Leyen argued that if member states increased their defense spending by an average of 1.5% of GDP, this could create a fiscal space of nearly 650 billion euros.

The Commission also proposed that EU countries could use the money they receive from the EU budget, intended to equalize living standards across Europe, for defense purposes.

Arguing that the real question is not “whether Europe is facing real threats or whether it needs to take more responsibility for its security,” Leyen said, “The real question is whether Europe is ready to respond decisively as the situation requires.”

Europe is ready to increase its spending to help Ukraine in the short term but also to protect itself in the long term. “Now is the time to take responsibility,” Leyen said.

Recommendations from Berlin: Implement social cuts, indoctrinate the public

Government advisors and foreign policy experts in Berlin are also calling on the next German government to significantly increase the military budget, make severe cuts in social spending, and strongly indoctrinate the public (“change of mindset”).

The demands are featured in the current issue of the journal Internationale Politik (IP), published by the influential German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP). The cover story of this issue is the question of “what the world expects from Germany after the election.”

For example, the articles state that the new government must prepare the German people “for Germany to become the leading power in Europe, diplomatically and militarily.” For this, it is necessary to “embed the turning point in people’s minds.”

Strategies to reverse the EU’s decline

According to the current issue of IP, as reported by German Foreign Policy, the EU has been characterized by “a growing decline” for some time.

According to DGAP expert Josef Janning, who has been analyzing the EU for decades, there are several reasons for this. One of these reasons is that the “consequences of supranational political interdependence” are beginning to be felt in daily life, especially in “distribution conflicts and crises.”

These are often negative, especially for weaker member states and population groups that do not belong to the national elites. Janning writes, “[This situation] contributes to the … gain in weight of right-wing national currents and parties.”

At the same time, “at the latest with the failure of the 2004 Constitutional Treaty,” the goal of “a closer union of the peoples of Europe” disappeared from real politics and is, at best, only mentioned in “ceremonial acts … and coalition agreements,” he believes.

In addition, there are no longer “strategically oriented coalitions among member states,” probably due to increasing differences in interests. Finally, it should be noted that the US, under the Trump administration, lost interest in a “stable” and “cooperative Europe.”

The dissolution of the EU as a realistic scenario

Janning notes that political entities like the EU can “continue to exist institutionally” but can also “lose their importance and integrity.”

Institutions like the EU are in danger of becoming “obsolete” if they lose their ability to “further develop” or even act actively. Therefore, “national solo efforts” should be increasingly expected.

“If these trends reach the first pillar of the EU, the internal market and the common currency,” Janning continues, “then the Union will self-destruct in an ‘abundance’ of internal conflicts.”

The author argues that in no period since the 1950s has the centrifugal dynamic been stronger and more visible than in the current situation. “While institutions and processes function as usual, the essence of integration is eroding beneath the surface,” he says, suggesting that for the first time, the failure and dissolution of the European Union “seems like a realistic scenario.”

Seeking “ways out of the erosion,” the DGAP expert argues that the EU needs “an orientation towards political unity, strategic thinking.”

A Bundeswehr capable of war: New taxes for the public for the army

According to the author, this includes the “common defense issue.” Janning believes this too, saying, “Most, if not all, depends on Germany, the economically strongest power in the center of Europe.”

While Janning insists on addressing the “common defense issue” to save the EU, Carlo Masala, Professor of International Politics at the Bundeswehr University in Munich, calls on the future German government to “realize that the foundations of Germany’s security and defense policy must be renewed,” which means a “Bundeswehr capable of war.”

According to the professor, what is needed is a significant increase in the military budget. Masala proposes, among other things, “a solidarity surcharge for defense,” amounting to “1 to 1.5%” of income tax, “to be paid by everyone working in Germany.”

Besides, Masala believes that a significant increase in the number of personnel in the Bundeswehr is necessary because there will be a “disproportionately large wave of retirements” in the next few years.

An internal memo from the German Ministry of Defense recently considered increasing the current number of 180,000 personnel to 440,000 soldiers. However, the Two Plus Four Agreement provides for an upper limit of 350,000.

The Two Plus Four Agreement is the name given to the documents signed by the Federal Republic of Germany with the German Democratic Republic and the US-United Kingdom-France-USSR, paving the way for “German reunification.”

Independently of this, not only a return to compulsory military service but also a change in the Constitution is required, for example, to extend compulsory military service to women.

Change of mindset: Be ready for German leadership

Jan Techau, Director of the Europe Program at the Eurasia Group in Berlin, also argues in favor of mass armament in IP.

According to Techau, the next German government must prepare “the Germans, the Berlin bubble, and itself … for Germany to become the leading power in Europe, diplomatically and militarily.”

The learning process towards accepting this role will be “much more difficult” because “everything is very, very expensive,” and the next Federal Chancellor will “have to make and justify dramatic budget decisions,” according to the author.

Techau states that this is “clear to everyone involved,” but before the election, no one wants to be “caught telling the truth” about it.

According to the author, what is important now is to prepare the conservatives for “new debts” and the left for “painful structural reforms”: “Otherwise, there is a risk of resistance and blockade.”

But Techau also sees it as “the real task of the next government” to prepare the public for the fact that Berlin will “have to make some unheard-of decisions in the near future.” The author does not explain what this means beyond the enormous costs of weapons and other war equipment. However, he believes that “a change in mindset, a turning point in people’s minds” is necessary.

Armament should cease to be a moral issue for Germans

Ulrike Esther Franke from the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) is also among those offering advice on this matter.

Franke criticizes the discussions on military issues in Germany as being “morally charged”; according to her, military experts are therefore faced with “considerable distrust,” and this situation “does not contribute to a better discussion environment.”

The author also suggests that war discussions in Germany are “driven by fear,” which she considers harmful for dealing with future “dangers.”

Franke believes that the war in Ukraine has created “a window of opportunity in the willingness to deal with defense issues”; therefore, the next government should use this to set a significant course before the “mood” changes.

Franke calls on the new German government, “Now is the time for political leadership.”


Europe

Mutual accusations of blackmail and assault overshadow AfD state election congress in Germany

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The Alternative for Germany (AfD) state congress in North Rhine-Westphalia ended in chaos on Sunday.

During the selection of the 22nd position on the candidate list for next year’s state elections, delegates aligned with the far-right Bundestag member Matthias Helferich proposed more than 100 candidates. This move was reportedly designed to block the vote in the town of Marl, halting progress on the list to force negotiations for subsequent positions.

Earlier in the candidate selection process, supporters of State Co-Chairman and lead candidate Martin Vincentz, who represents the moderate wing of the party, had prevailed. The defeat of Zacharias Schalley—a figure close to Helferich—by a candidate from the Vincentz camp triggered significant discontent within the radical wing of the party. Representing approximately 40% of the delegates, Helferich’s supporters reportedly demanded strong representation in the next state parliamentary group.

During the congress, Helferich claimed that Bundestag member Knuth Meyer-Soltau, a member of the Vincentz camp, physically assaulted him. Speaking to the newspaper WELT on Sunday, the 37-year-old Helferich described the incident:

“Meyer-Soltau was passing by the row where I was sitting. He was arguing with another member. When he turned back, while I was sitting in my chair, he shouldered me and shouted, ‘Shut up, you idiot!'”

Helferich added: “I do not know if he wanted to knock me out of my chair. However, because he insulted me in anger, I cannot rule out the possibility that this was a deliberate attack.”

An email exchange sent to the federal executive board and state management revealed that Helferich filed a criminal complaint on Monday.

“Meyer-Soltau hit my chair and my body, either intentionally or through negligence”

In the complaint filed by Helferich, he stated: “Meyer-Soltau hit my chair and my upper body hard, either intentionally or through negligence; I was only able to avoid falling by holding onto the edge of the table.” The complaint also named two witnesses.

In his letter to the party leadership, Helferich wrote: “Since numerous similar incidents of electoral law significance occurred at the state election congress, I believe the duty to maintain party order falls to the Federal Executive Board.”

Meyer-Soltau, a 61-year-old lawyer like Helferich, denied the allegations. Speaking to WELT on Sunday, the lawmaker said: “I reject the accusation being made.”

Meyer-Soltau suggested that Helferich viewed him as a powerful opponent because he had previously acted as the negotiator for the state executive board in the party’s expulsion proceedings against Helferich before the Federal Arbitration Court. The party court recently rejected the expulsion request.

“It is clear that this situation has not had a positive impact on our relationship,” Meyer-Soltau said. “Mr. Helferich, having suffered a heavy defeat at the nomination meeting, is clearly seeking satisfaction through other means. I will hand the matter over to my lawyer and take legal action.”

A letter sent to Helferich by Meyer-Soltau’s lawyer, which was leaked to the press, stated: “My client has never insulted you or physically assaulted you.” The letter demanded that Helferich cease repeating the claim and sign a cease-and-desist declaration carrying a contractual penalty.

Additionally, Meyer-Soltau’s lawyer filed a criminal complaint with the Dortmund Prosecutor’s Office for defamation. The petition submitted to the prosecutor’s office stated: “The accusation of physical assault is highly defamatory, calculated to permanently damage my client’s public reputation, and socially discredit him.”

Allegations of blackmail made against delegates at the congress

Allegations of threats against delegates also emerged at the state congress in Marl. Helferich ran against Klaus Esser, a close associate of Vincentz, for the 13th position on the candidate list. Esser, who needed just one vote to be elected in the first round, only secured a majority in the second round of voting.

Following the announcement of the results, a delegate took the stage to claim that before the second round, a state executive board member from the Vincentz camp went to the rows of the Wuppertal district association and threatened that a state lawmaker from Wuppertal would be expelled from the parliamentary group if the necessary votes for Esser were not delivered. The delegate announced that a complaint would be filed regarding the matter.

A spokesperson for AfD Co-Leader Alice Weidel told the media outlet “The Pioneer”: “Weidel does not approve of this situation. Such things must not happen.”

Other allegations of threats were voiced through the hall microphones during the congress. One delegate claimed that a candidate had been threatened by a district councilor and a district chairman.

“He was told that if he did not withdraw his candidacy, he would have no future in this party. There are numerous witnesses who can confirm this,” the delegate asserted.

Another delegate reported that a young woman was pressured by a district chairman who asked whether she would “lend herself to this game and submit to blackmail,” warning her that the situation would have “consequences for her in the district association.”

Marco Vogt, the Deputy Chairman of the Düsseldorf AfD and an ally of Helferich, said during his candidacy speech that young members who participated in the list disruptions had been threatened by their employers present in the hall.

Another candidate, a municipal councilor from Würselen, stated that a district administrator from the Aachen region had issued an implicit threat, telling him he would make many enemies in his own association if he did not withdraw his candidacy.

Candidate Leon Biallawons directly targeted lawmaker Knuth Meyer-Soltau, saying: “I tell you clearly, dear Knuth, I will not allow myself to be threatened by you. Because, dear Knuth, it is not you but the grassroots who will decide who succeeds in this party, and the grassroots will assert their will in the long term.”

Meyer-Soltau declined to comment on these allegations, stating: “I do not wish to comment on such baseless claims.”

Other tactics were used to slow down the proceedings at Sunday’s congress. One delegate requested a 30-minute recess because “there is an ice cream truck outside,” though this request was rejected. The convention manager, Julian Flak, was heard calling out to a delegate: “Take that garden furniture outside immediately!”

A message shared on Saturday in a chat group close to Vincentz stated that the “self-proclaimed patriotic group” had threatened to completely block the congress. It was alleged that the core group led by Helferich planned to deliberately disrupt the flow of the congress to force their opponents to the negotiating table.

Weidel accused of undermining efforts in chat group

On Sunday, in the same chat group, it was written that the sabotage action was being coordinated by Federal Deputy Chairman Sven Tritschler and Helferich. The message claimed that Tritschler had discussed the move with “his boss Alice Merkel”—a reference to AfD leader Alice Weidel. “This is a clear operation of attrition. We will not bow to an Alice Merkel,” the message read.

By Monday night, the ballot for the 22nd list position contained the names of 81 candidates. Some individuals who announced their candidacies withdrew before speaking. The results are expected to be announced next weekend.

The North Rhine-Westphalia AfD association has allocated a total of four weekends for candidate selection meetings. With the party projected by public opinion polls to win between 30 and 40 seats in the state parliament, competition for the top spots on the list remains intense.

An article titled “AfD-NRW Grassroots Resist Cartel Partyization,” published Monday on a Telegram channel close to Helferich, described the events as a “heroic act” and an “impressive reaction of an alert, idealistic grassroots.” The mass candidacy process was characterized as a “combination of Carl Schmitt’s partisan theory with a democratic liberation move unprecedented in AfD history.”

The article argued that if lead candidate Vincentz wants to translate polling success into a strong election result, he must unify the party by granting Helferich’s supporters viable, electable positions on the list.

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EIB to unveil 15 billion euro tech initiative to scale European startups

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The European Investment Bank (EIB) will announce a €15 billion initiative today, in collaboration with EU capitals and private investors, aimed at supporting the growth of European technology companies.

For decades, startups on the continent have struggled to raise the large-scale funding rounds necessary to scale on this side of the Atlantic, frequently turning to US investors or relocating abroad as they expand.

“We are catching up. Now we need to accelerate,” EIB President Nadia Calviño said.

Under the existing European Tech Champions Initiative, the EIB had already pooled resources with six EU governments to establish funds that invest in high-growth companies across the EU.

Calviño described the initiative as “very successful,” noting that it has supported 12 European “unicorn” companies valued at over $1 billion, including the German artificial intelligence translation firm DeepL.

The bank is now expanding the program with a new phase nearly four times the size of the original.

Twenty-five EU governments, alongside private investors such as Santander and Danske Bank, are expected to participate in the program.

This initial €15 billion aims to mobilize up to €80 billion in total investment. Calviño stated that this estimate is based on the multiplier effects achieved under previous programs.

As part of these efforts, the EIB also aims to attract European pension funds, which manage immense pools of capital but have historically allocated fewer resources to technology investments compared to their US counterparts.

In addition to the new funding, Calviño noted that the EIB will create a platform providing a single point of access for existing European scale-up initiatives, including the European Commission’s Scaleup Europe Fund, France’s Tibi initiative, and Germany’s Win initiative.

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Germany to purchase US Tomahawk missiles to build own long-range strike capability

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Germany will purchase Tomahawk cruise missiles from the United States and deploy them on German territory, Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced on Thursday.

The move marks a shift away from planned US deployments and toward Germany establishing its own long-range strike capability.

Merz told lawmakers that he finalized the agreement with the US government during the NATO summit in Ankara, adding that the talks held on Tuesday and Wednesday had exceeded his expectations.

“While we close a critical strategic gap in our defense, we are also working to develop our own European systems and deploy them in Europe,” the Chancellor said.

According to German government sources, Washington committed in a letter of intent signed on Tuesday to approve Germany’s acquisition of Tomahawk missiles and their land-based Typhon launchers in August.

The number of missiles and launchers Germany plans to purchase was not disclosed because the information is classified.

The planned acquisition appears aligned with US President Donald Trump’s pressure on European allies to cover their own security costs, such as by purchasing US weapons.

The fate of the Tomahawk procurement had become uncertain after Trump announced in May that he would reduce the US military presence in Germany.

That development was seen as a cancellation of a plan made under the previous administration to deploy a US battalion equipped with long-range Tomahawk missiles to Germany.

That original plan was designed as a temporary solution to serve as a strong deterrent against Russia while Europeans developed their own versions of such weapons.

Germany produces its own cruise missile, the Taurus, but its range of approximately 311 miles is three to five times shorter than that of the Tomahawk missiles.

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