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FBI raid to Trump’s house during the presidency elections

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There was an FBI raid directed by the agents to former USA President Trump’s mansion located in the Florida. It was claimed that Trump could take the secret records that he obtained during his duty in the White House to his residence in Florida. This raid was named as “historical” by the USA media.

According to the news by the US press, The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) issued a search warrant Monday at former President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago mansion as part of its investigation into alleged misuse of White House records, including potentially classified material.

The search resulted in the seizure of some paperwork, according to a person familiar with the incident Trump’s attorney, Christina Bobb, was present during the Florida raid, which was said to have lasted “hours”. During the investigation, it was recorded that Trump was at Trump Tower in New York.

The US press described it as a “historical step” when the Department of Justice and the FBI investigated the residence of a former president who was “struggling with increasingly complex legal threats”. It was noted that no former president had faced such public law enforcement action before, the incident reportedly caused calls among Republicans and Trump supporters to abolish federal law enforcement. House minority leader Kevin McCarthy said the crackdown was evidence of “armed politicization” in the justice department. During the investigation, Trump supporters gathered in front of his Florida home with flags and protested the incident.

Similarities to Watergate  

Condemning the FBI investigation, Donald Trump said in a written statement, “My beautiful home, Mar-A-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, is now under siege, raided and occupied by a large group of FBI agents, this is a dark time for our nation. Nothing like this happened to a president.” Trump emphasized the resemblance of the raid to his home to the ‘Watergate scandal’ that resulted in the end of Nixon’s presidency.

‘He flushed the documents down the toilet’

The US National Archives Office filed a criminal complaint with the Department of Justice in February. Normally, US Presidents are required to submit all kinds of documents, letters, records, etc., to the National Archives Office when their term of office is completed. It was alleged that Trump did not deliver some documents in the amount of 15 boxes and kept them for himself.

In the US press, it was claimed that during Donald Trump’s presidency, he tore up some documents related to state affairs, threw them into the toilets in the White House and during his overseas travels, and flushed the toilet. CNN television noted that the allegations were included in the forthcoming book of the US, Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Maggie Haberman.

Spokespersons for the FBI and the Justice Department in Washington declined to comment on the matter.

 2024 presidential election debate

On the other hand, as the country goes to the 2024 presidential elections, it is said that Donald Trump may be a candidate again. The political justifications of this investigation, whose timing is significant, are also discussed.

Trump, who has repeatedly struggled with impeachment inquiries during his term, has faced the threat of appearing in court for a congressional raid after his term expired. The fact that Donald Trump is now under the threat of a new investigation has been interpreted by both himself and the Republicans as a ‘cheat’ before the 2024 presidential election, and it has been commented that the elements trying to prevent Trump from running for president are operating.

As such, the penalty for breaking the aforementioned law includes being barred from any federal office. Considering that Trump is preparing to run for president again in 2024, it is stated that this unusual sentence raises the possibility that he may be legally banned from returning to the White House.

Political division will increase  

Presidential historian Michael Beschloss accused Trump, describing the allegations as “something that has never happened before in American history”. In the face of Trump’s allegations that he illegally obtained classified documents related to national security and stored them in his Florida mansion, Beschloss stated “If these allegations are true, they could endanger the lives of all of us and our families.”

While the Republicans drew attention to the intense support of Trump in the face of the investigation, comments were made that this event would further inflame the political division within the country. The investigation, described by Republicans as a “politically motivated witch hunt”, is said to lead to social unrest and even political violence if it turns into a trial of Trump.

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Fed cuts interest rates, dollar surges to two-year high

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The U.S. Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by a quarter percentage point but signaled a slower pace of easing next year. This move drove the U.S. dollar to its highest level in two years and triggered a sell-off in both domestic and international stock markets.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted on Wednesday to lower the benchmark interest rate to 4.25–4.5%, marking the third consecutive cut. The lone dissenting vote came from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, who favored maintaining the current rates.

Officials highlighted concerns about persistent inflation, projecting fewer rate cuts for 2025 than previously expected. Reflecting these worries, policymakers also raised their inflation forecasts for the coming year. Following the announcement, Fed Chair Jay Powell remarked that the current policy settings were “significantly less restrictive,” indicating the Fed’s inclination to adopt a more cautious approach to further easing.

“This decision was a ‘closer call’ than prior meetings,” Powell noted, emphasizing that inflation trends remain “sideways” while risks to the labor market are “diminishing.”

Aditya Bhave, senior U.S. economist at Bank of America, described the Fed’s message as “unabashedly hawkish.” He pointed to the shift in officials’ 2025 forecasts, which now anticipate just two quarter-point rate cuts instead of three, calling it a “wholesale shift.”

JPMorgan Chase, a key player in U.S. bond markets, noted that money markets are pricing in only a 0.31 percentage point rate cut in 2025. This outlook, significantly tighter than the bank’s earlier 0.75-point forecast, underscores the magnitude of the Fed’s policy shift.

The decision triggered a sharp sell-off on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 falling 3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropping 3.6%. High-profile winners of the 2024 rally were hit hard, including: Tesla, down 8.3%; Meta (Facebook’s parent company), down 3.6%; Amazon, down 4.6%.

Smaller companies, often seen as more sensitive to US economic fluctuations, also suffered. The Russell 2000 index declined 4.4%.

In Asia, stocks fell in early Thursday trading. Benchmarks in South Korea and Taiwan dropped 1.8% and 1.6%, respectively. Meanwhile, U.S. government bond prices fell, driving the yield on two-year Treasuries—sensitive to Fed policy—up by 0.11 percentage points to 4.35%.

The U.S. dollar surged 1.2% against a basket of six major currencies, reaching its strongest level since November 2022. According to Wells Fargo senior economist Mike Pugliese, the currency had already been rising on expectations of inflationary pressures following Donald Trump’s election victory last month. However, Wednesday’s Fed decision “poured more petrol on the fire.”

The South Korean won dropped to a 15-year low against the dollar, while the Japanese yen weakened 0.5%.

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Amazon pledges $1 billion to Trump inauguration fund

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Amazon confirmed on Thursday that it will contribute $1 million to Donald Trump’s inauguration fund, a move mirroring similar actions by other major tech companies, including Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram. Amazon also plans to broadcast Trump’s inauguration via its Prime Video service.

This announcement comes as major tech executives seek to establish ties with the incoming U.S. president, despite Trump’s longstanding criticisms of Big Tech. Trump has frequently accused technology companies of censorship and bias against conservative media.

Jeff Bezos, Amazon’s founder and CEO, is reportedly planning to meet Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort next week, according to The Wall Street Journal, which first reported Amazon’s donation. Similarly, Google CEO Sundar Pichai and Apple CEO Tim Cook have expressed their congratulations to Trump since his election victory in November.

Trump’s relationship with Amazon has been fraught with challenges. During his first term, he accused the company of undercutting competition and criticized its tax policies. In 2018, Trump ordered a review of U.S. Postal Service package pricing, claiming the agency acted as Amazon’s “courier.”

Apple, meanwhile, faces potential risks from Trump’s proposed tariff policies, which could disrupt critical supply chains in China. However, during Trump’s first term, Cook secured exemptions for certain Apple products.

Meta’s CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, and other tech leaders have also engaged with Trump. According to The Information, Zuckerberg dined with Trump after the election. Pichai is also expected to meet Trump this week.

While Trump scrutinized Big Tech during his presidency, Amazon now faces mounting regulatory pressure under President Joe Biden. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC), led by Lina Khan, has been investigating Amazon for alleged monopoly practices, with several states filing lawsuits last year. The FTC is also examining major cloud service providers, including Amazon, over partnerships in artificial intelligence.

Despite earlier conflicts, Bezos recently praised Trump for his “tremendous grace and courage under real fire” in a post on X (formerly Twitter) following an assassination attempt. Bezos, who also owns The Washington Post, reportedly prevented the newspaper from endorsing Trump’s Democratic opponent Kamala Harris in the 2024 election.

Speculation about a tacit agreement between Bezos and Trump has surfaced, allegedly tied to Blue Origin, Bezos’s rocket company competing with Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

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Investors poured $140 billion into U.S. equities following Trump’s victory

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Nearly $140 billion has flowed into U.S. equity funds since last month’s election, as investors anticipate Donald Trump’s administration will implement sweeping tax cuts and regulatory reforms.

According to the Financial Times (FT), which cites data from EPFR, U.S. equity funds have seen inflows totaling $139.5 billion since Trump’s victory on November 5. This surge in investment made November the busiest month for equity inflows since records began in 2000.

The massive influx of funds has driven major U.S. stock indexes to a series of record highs, as investors appeared to shrug off concerns about potential economic risks, including inflation and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.

“The growth agenda that Trump has put on the table is being fully embraced,” said Dec Mullarkey, Chief Executive of SLC Management. He added that Trump’s picks for top administration posts have been seen as “very market friendly.”

Trump has promised to fill his administration with financial experts, including Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and Paul Atkins, a cryptocurrency advocate, as Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The president-elect has outlined a pro-growth agenda, emphasizing reduced taxes, deregulation, and economic expansion. These proposals have spurred optimism among investors, fueling a rally in the market.

The S&P 500, Wall Street’s primary stock market indicator, has risen 5.3% since Election Day, bringing its total gains for the year to 28%. Smaller companies, which are often seen as more responsive to changes in the U.S. economy, have outperformed larger firms during this period. The Russell 2000 index recently hit a record high for the first time in three years.

While U.S. equity funds have enjoyed record inflows, other global markets have experienced outflows emerging market funds have seen net withdrawals of $8 billion, with China-focused funds accounting for $4 billion; funds investing in Western Europe have lost $14 billion; and Japan-focused funds have seen outflows of approximately $6 billion.

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