Diplomacy
Germany nears controversial deportation deal with Taliban, prompting diplomatic resignations
Germany and the Taliban are on the verge of signing an agreement regarding the deportation of Afghan asylum seekers.
According to German media reports, the relevant arrangements were made over the weekend during a visit by a German ministerial delegation to Kabul.
As the first Taliban representatives were accredited as diplomats in Germany under the agreement, the entire staff of the Afghan Consulate General in Bonn resigned last week. According to the acting consul general, Berlin’s move poses a serious threat to the security of Afghans living in Germany.
The German government has already carried out the first deportations to Afghanistan in the past twelve months. It also aims to phase out the federal admission program for Afghans, launched in 2022 to regulate and control their acceptance, “as much as possible.”
The program has so far led to the admission of only a few Afghans due to both procedural complexities and a lack of political will. Meanwhile, tensions are rising between Pakistan and Germany over the program.
Afghan staff in Bonn resign
The entire staff of the Afghan Consulate General in Bonn resigned last week. They were protesting Germany’s decision to accredit two Taliban representatives.
The accreditation occurred as Berlin was attempting to secure a deal with Afghan authorities to deport “Afghan criminals” from Germany.
According to federal government spokesperson Stefan Kornelius, the two new representatives will help coordinate deportation flights. However, this step is criticized by Hamid Nangialay Kabiri, who has served as the consul until now, as a “serious threat” to the security of Afghan citizens living in Germany, as it gives the Taliban access to sensitive documents and information about them.
Approximately 442,000 Afghan citizens live in Germany; about 36,000 of them have immigrated to the Federal Republic of Germany since the Taliban seized power in August 2021.
Over the weekend, two officers from the Federal Police Department of the Federal Ministry of the Interior were reportedly in Kabul to advance practical arrangements for future deportations. Accordingly, the signing of the deportation agreement is imminent.
Deportation flights to be expanded
When the Taliban came to power, the Federal Government initially suspended the deportation of Afghans.
However, the coalition government has since resumed returns; at the end of last year, 28 Afghans convicted of crimes were deported.
The new federal government took such a measure for the second time in July of this year, deporting 81 Afghans. As agreed in the coalition agreement between the CDU/CSU and SPD, deportations will now be significantly expanded.
During the summer, the government also temporarily suspended the admission procedure for local Afghan staff. However, following an appeal by an Afghan family whose visa application was rejected by the Foreign Office, the Berlin-Brandenburg Higher Administrative Court declared the suspension to be legal.
The current federal government now wants to go a step further and terminate the federal admission program “as much as possible.”
History of the Federal Admission Program
Immediately following the chaotic withdrawal of NATO troops from Afghanistan in 2021, more than 30,000 Afghans, including former local employees of the German Armed Forces, immigrated to Germany.
To steer the initially spontaneous process in an orderly and therefore controllable direction, the traffic-light government launched the “Federal Admission Program for Afghanistan” in October 2022.
Under this program, asylum applications could be made online to German authorities from Afghanistan. If the application was approved, the applicant received entry documents from the German embassy in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, allowing them to enter Germany legally.
In this way, the federal government maintained control over who came to Germany. Berlin’s preferred target group was particularly women and individuals who stated their commitment to “Western values.”
The program’s ambitious goal was to accept one thousand Afghans each month and fly them to Germany. However, nearly three years after the program’s launch, only about 3,000 people have been accepted, and only half of them have reached Germany.
Public criticism further complicated the program. For instance, when the magazine Cicero claimed in March 2023 that a “Sharia judge” had entered Germany through a precursor to the federal admission program, the previous coalition government halted the entire process. The process was restarted only after even stricter restrictions were imposed.
AfD influence also restricted the program
At times, the federal government also cited domestic political events as a reason to block the entry of Afghans who had already been approved by the authorities.
For example, a planned flight from Afghanistan in September 2024 was canceled on short notice after the federal government argued that the timing was too sensitive due to state elections in three eastern German states and the foreseeable electoral success of the AfD.
Over time, voices calling for the complete abolition of the program grew louder. CDU General Secretary Carsten Linnemann even promised that with a Union-led federal government in power, “these planes from Afghanistan” would no longer come to Germany.
The coalition agreement now speaks of abolishing the program “as much as possible,” noting that existing commitments cannot be easily canceled from a legal standpoint.
However, the Head of the Chancellery, Thorsten Frei (CDU), announced that every commitment would be re-examined “very carefully” to determine if there was a possibility of rejection.
This stance is not entirely new: the traffic-light government had also blocked the entry of Afghans on several occasions and even carried out the first deportation after the Taliban’s rise to power.
Tensions with Pakistan are rising
Meanwhile, tensions between Germany and Pakistan are escalating. Afghans applying for visas must obtain a Pakistani visa to travel to Islamabad for their document review.
However, the German visa procedure there is indefinitely delayed, causing their Pakistani visas to expire, and they are rarely extended. Consequently, many Afghans are forced to hide in their homes to avoid being caught by Pakistani authorities, who conduct regular raids to apprehend those with expired visas.
Islamabad accuses Berlin of regularly ignoring its request to expedite the visa procedure for Afghans. The situation escalated in August when Pakistan detained approximately 435 Afghans and deported 210 of them to Afghanistan.
Pakistan agreed to take them back only after Germany pledged to finally grant them visas by the end of the year. But Islamabad’s patience is wearing thin. Currently, about 2,280 Afghans are in Pakistan under the German admission program. If the federal government delays the admission process long enough, they too will be sent back to Afghanistan.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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