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How China Views the Crisis with Japan  

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Guard Against the Resurgence of Japan Militarism and Uphold the Post-WWII International Order

On October 21, 2025, Takaichi Sanae was elected the 104th Prime Minister of Japan, becoming the country’s first female prime minister. From October 27 to 29, Donald Trump visited Japan in the name of fostering the “long-term friendly relations” between the United States and Japan. On October 31, President Xi Jinping met with Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae while attending the 32nd APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting in the Republic of Korea.

On November 1, Takaichi Sanae posted messages on her social media accounts about her meeting with personnel from the Taiwan authorities of China during the APEC meeting, along with relevant photos, and referred to the individual as a so-called “Presidential Office Advisor” of Taiwan. On November 7, when talking about the Taiwan question, Takaichi Sanae even claimed that if an armed conflict broke out in the Taiwan Strait, it might be regarded as a “national survival crisis situation” for Japan, implying the possibility of military intervention of Japan in the Taiwan Strait.

Such blatant provocation fully exposes the essence that the remaining poison of Japanese militarism has not been eradicated. This constitutes a gross act of interfering in China’s internal affairs. Japan has no qualification, let alone the right, to meddle in the Taiwan question. Takaichi Sanae’s reckless remarks on the Taiwan question, which concerns China’s core interests, have aroused strong indignation among the Chinese government and people, leading to a sharp deterioration in China-Japan relations.

Why Did Takaichi Sanae Make Such Remarks?

First, the most significant implication of Takaichi Sanae’s election lies in the full-scale rise of Japan’s far-right forces. Known as Japan’s “Queen of the Hawks”, Takaichi Sanae is characterized by two traits: extreme right-wing ideology and extreme anti-China stance. To put it bluntly, Japan’s right-wing forces are essentially Japanese militarism, which has always denied the heinous crimes of Japan’s aggressive history, sought to rearm Japan, and pursue external expansion once again. Regarding historical issues, she has visited the Yasukuni Shrine for many consecutive years and openly reveres Japanese war criminals. Militarily, her propositions are almost a return to the era of militarism—she advocates increasing defense spending and restoring Japan’s status as a military power. In terms of foreign policy, she insists on strengthening the Japan-US Alliance and adopting a tough stance against China. Takaichi Sanae’s ascent to power reflects Japan’s collective ambition and serves as a symbol of the overall right-wing shift in Japanese society.

Second, this is a necessity to consolidate her governing position. Although Takaichi Sanae was successfully elected President of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Prime Minister of Japan, she is confronted with an unprecedented political predicament. The LDP does not hold a majority of seats in either the House of Representatives or the House of Councillors of the National Diet, which means that even after assuming the premiership, Takaichi Sanae will be confronted with the predicament of “minority governance”, and she may encounter considerable difficulties in advancing her policies. Given her temperament, she is highly likely to take an extreme approach to rally public support to the greatest extent. Furthermore, Takaichi Sanae is also grappling with domestic livelihood challenges such as high inflation and the aging population coupled with a declining birth rate. Precisely because of the political instability within Japan, she has resorted to a tough foreign policy to garner more support; otherwise, her position as prime minister will be precarious.

Third, the United States is pleased with Takaichi Sanae’s remarks to some extent, as this enables it to transform Japan into a militarized forward position that serves as an American proxy to contain China. The United States has not favored Ishiba Shigeru, for it does not want the Japanese government to develop independent policy. What it desires is an extreme Japanese prime minister—one who will charge ahead at America’s slightest provocation. Beyond the United States, pro-American far-right forces in Japan are also eager to see their mouthpiece elected, making Takaichi Sanae the ideal candidate. Through the long-term propaganda of right-wing groups, many Western countries—Japan included—have been led to believe that China is to blame for all the problems they currently face. Hence, Japan’s fanciful agenda is to help American defeat China, revitalize the old globalization system, and reclaim its prominent position within that framework.

Fourth, Takaichi Sanae has made such remarks deliberately, willing to sacrifice China-Japan relations for her own political gains. She seeks to hype up the China threat theory by escalating Sino-Japanese frictions, using this as a pretext to push for constitutional revision and military expansion. This move is bound to set back China-Japan relations; furthermore, it can only further embolden Japan’s far-right forces through this deterioration of bilateral ties, thereby advancing constitutional revision and military buildup while exploiting the Taiwan question for political self-interest.

Fifth, Japan is always trying to exploit the loopholes in China’s commitment to win-win cooperation. China has always advocated mutually beneficial cooperation and win-win outcomes, and has consistently stressed resolving disputes through engagement and dialogue. Especially amid the complex and volatile state of global relations, China will avoid conflicts whenever possible and opt for cooperation where feasible. She is precisely seeking to capitalize on this mindset of China’s, under the assumption that China will not take any drastic measures against Japan.

Why Must China Demand Takaichi Sanae to Retract Her Wrong Remarks?

First, China will never allow the Japanese aggressors to have their way on the Taiwan question. Even if it comes to fierce confrontation, China must thoroughly dispel the reckless fantasies of Japan’s ultra-right wing elements, laying the groundwork for the ultimate reckoning with such ultra-right militarist forces in the future. When a country’s prime minister makes a consequential statement on a formal occasion, it becomes the political stance upheld by that nation. If the statement is not retracted, this stance can be perpetuated by subsequent governments of the country, or even wielded as a political tool by them. Takaichi Sanae made such remarks out of deliberate calculation. If China chooses not to respond, Japan will only push its luck further; if China takes a firm stance, Takaichi can then claim credit to the United States, secure American support, and even attempt to drag the U.S. into the fray. Takaichi Sanae clearly miscalculated in trying to achieve two objectives with one single move. China must resolutely prevent and oppose such acts.

Second, Japan is extremely anxious about China’s rise.Unlike Germany, Japan has committed unforgivable heinous crimes against China and it has yet never intended to offer a sincere apology. It is petrified that a rising China will hold it accountable for its historical atrocities—a guilty conscience is deeply ingrained in its national psyche. We have never forgotten the blood debt owed to 35 million compatriots, while Japan has been unable to face up to this history. So what is its recourse? Since Shinzo Abe’s tenure, Japan has been relentlessly seeking to provoke a showdown between China and the United States. Subsequent administrations have largely followed this trajectory, with occasional temporary detours—such as Ishiba Shigeru’s one-year term in office. As a devout follower of Shinzo Abe, Takaichi Sanae, upon taking office, has lost no time in doubling down on this course of action. In essence, Japan harbors malicious intentions: it seeks to rely on the United States to contain China, disregarding the interests of both the Japanese people and those of other Asian nations. Such provocative acts against China are nothing but a case of harming others without benefiting oneself.

Third, most importantly, Taiwan is an inalienable part of China’s core interests, and brooks no meddling by Japan whatsoever. As a defeated nation of World War II, Japan is not a fully sovereign normal country. Unlike Germany, Japan has never offered a sincere apology to the countries it victimized. It is imperative to recognize that the Cairo Declaration and the Potsdam Proclamation constitute the most important cornerstones of the post-WWII international order formulated under the auspices of the United States. Issued jointly by China, the United States, and the United Kingdom on December 1, 1943, the Cairo Declaration focused primarily on the Asia-Pacific region. Its core tenet was to strip Japan of all territories it had seized in the Pacific since 1914, and it explicitly stipulated that “all territories Japan has stolen from the Chinese, such as Manchuria[Northeast Provinces], Formosa [Taiwan] and the Pescadores [Penghu Islands], shall be restored to the Republic of China”. The Potsdam Proclamation, released by China, the United States, and the United Kingdom on July 26, 1945 (with the Soviet Union acceding to it in August of the same year), centered on demanding the unconditional surrender of Japan’s armed forces and stipulated that “the sovereignty of Japan shall be limited to the islands of Honshu, Hokkaido, Kyushu, Shikoku and such minor islands as we determine”. Japan has absolutely no justification to interfere in matters related to Taiwan, and what is more, even the Ryukyu Islands are not legitimately part of Japan’s territory.

Forth, in recent years, Japan has been gradually breaking through the constraints of its Exclusive Defense Principle, ramping up military expenditure, lifting restrictions on its military capabilities, and even seeking to acquire nuclear weapons—all of which lay bare its ambition to revert to the path of military expansion. This constitutes nothing less than a direct challenge to the post-WWII international order. Japan also attempts to actively cooperate with the United States in deploying intermediate-range missile systems in the Asia-Pacific, with these moves clearly targeted at China. Historically, Japan has invaded China time and again and has never abandoned its expansionist ambitions; the trigger for its aggression during WWII was precisely its domestic economic crisis. Today, Japan is edging perilously close to the same state it was in prior to WWII. Once Japan embarks on the road to militarism again, it will pose a grave challenge to the world order.

What Does the Future Hold for China-Japan Relations?

In any case, Takaichi’s blatant advocacy of her contacts with so-called “Taiwan authorities” personnel and her implication of military intervention on the Taiwan question constitute a gross provocation against China’s red lines. This is a clear indication of her entrenched anti-China stance. The resurgence of Japanese militarism has always been something that China vigilantly opposes, and the Taiwan question represents the very core of China’s core interests. Given Japan’s blatant affront on this front, China will certainly not show leniency and is bound to take countermeasures.

First, China must curb the resurgence of Japanese militarism. Diplomatically, China will certainly take political and diplomatic measures to counter Japan; at the very least, it will scale back diplomatic engagements with the country. In terms of economic and trade relations, adjustments to the cooperation framework are inevitable. In the East China Sea, particularly around the Diaoyu Islands, China will further intensify the regularized patrols for safeguarding maritime rights and interests, and also strengthen military deployments and operations in the direction of Japan. Japan’s economy is currently under considerable strain, and the deterioration of China-Japan relations will undoubtedly add insult to injury for Japan’s economic prospects. Besides, the United States will by no means loosen its control over Japan.

Second, China must take necessary measures to compel Takaichi Sanae to retract her erroneous remarks on Taiwan. If this round of China-Japan dispute over the Taiwan question ends up unresolved, future Japanese administrations will have a de facto theoretical basis to intervene in Taiwan affairs. This is because the remarks were a formal statement made by a Japanese prime minister. If the remarks was never withdrawn, this is something China will never tolerate. It is precisely the petty tactic that the Japanese side has long resorted to—and neither the Chinese government nor its people will acquiesce to it. To date, neither Takaichi Sanae nor the Japanese government has explicitly retracted those erroneous remarks, which means they have not acknowledged their mistakes. Therefore, we should not be overly optimistic about the future of China-Japan relations. Similar to the Diaoyu Islands crisis back in the day, if Japan persists in refusing to correct its erroneous stance, the friction will very likely escalate further.

Third, the countries victimized by Japan during World War II must unite more closely to thoroughly hold Japan accountable for its militarist past and jointly contain and counter the resurgence of Japanese militarism. Centered on Asian nations, the victim countries of Japan in WWII also include those in the Pacific region and some European and American states. Virtually all countries that had military conflicts with Japan or were invaded and occupied by it suffered varying degrees of casualties and property losses.

Among them, the major Asian victim countries—the core regions of Japan’s aggression—include China, the DPRK, the ROK, the Philippines, Indonesia, Myanmar, Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos. The victim countries in the Pacific region cover the United States, Australia and New Zealand. Other victim countries also include the United Kingdom (including its colonies of Singapore and Malaysia) and the Netherlands (including its colony of Indonesia).

It can be said that Japan’s pursuit of a policy of foreign aggression and expansion during WWII extended across Asia and the Pacific, victimizing dozens of countries and involving billions of people. The people of these countries were not only subjected to direct massacre, oppression and plunder, but also endured long-term economic decline, social division and psychological trauma brought about by the war. This history has become a shared painful memory of humanity and also an important backdrop for the construction of the post-war international order.

Fourth, the revenge sought by Japan’s right-wing forces is not measured in decades, but potentially in centuries. To the United States, a nuclear-armed Japan bent on revenge would pose a threat incomparable to the Pearl Harbor attack of the past. Needless to say, this process would also be one that leads Japan to its own destruction.

The Chrysanthemum and the Sword (written by Ruth Benedict)—the book by an American scholar that examines the Japanese nation—contains a classic summary of Japanese character traits: “The Japanese are, to the highest degree, both aggressive and unaggressive, both militaristic and aesthetic, both insolent and polite, rigid and adaptable, submissive and resentful of being pushed around, loyal and treacherous, brave and timid, conservative and hospitable to new ways.” These psychological and character traits of the Japanese can, in fact, be further condensed into a single sentence: extreme deference to strength and extreme contempt for weakness. When dealing with countries weaker than itself, Japan’s ultra-right militarist forces embrace extreme nationalism; yet in the face of the United States—a power far stronger—it instantly reverts to extreme colonial subservience.

Of course, Japan’s deference and obedience to the United States will not be permanent. If the decline of U.S. power crosses a critical threshold, the Japanese will come to believe that the United States no longer deserves their reverence. At that point, their sentiment toward the U.S. will turn to disdain and hatred. In other words, once Japanese militarism revives, the United States will likely be its first target.

Therefore, in a broader sense, Sanae Takaichi’s remarks not only challenge the one-China principle but also attempt to repudiate Japan’s commitment to its unconditional surrender in 1945—a red line that no country which suffered Japanese aggression, including the United States, can ever tolerate.

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A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order

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The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.

The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”

One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.

The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.

Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.

Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.

On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.

Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.

When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.

The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.

The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.

The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.

Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).

X: @umur_tugay

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NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism

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Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.

As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.

In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.

Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.

Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion

NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.

And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.

The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.

The collapse of the Atlantic system

Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.

In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.

Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.

For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.

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Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing

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Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.

For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.

Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.

It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.

The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.

Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.

This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.

For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.

China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.

All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.

The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.

Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.

Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.

Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).

X: @umur_tugay

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