Opinion
How did 2025 unfold for Venezuela and Latin America?
For Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as for other regions of the world, the year 2025 meant being under the constant and intensified scrutiny of the United States government. However, even though the White House’s trade war, characterized by arbitrary tariffs, primarily targeted countries with which the United States had a trade deficit (China, Canada, Germany, Japan, Ireland), Latin America has been the main focus of the deployment of the “New Monroe Doctrine.” And, within this region, Venezuela has been the country that, on the one hand, has suffered the most from it, and on the other hand, has confronted it with the greatest resistance, determination, and courage.
If 2024 ended with the certainty that Donald Trump’s third presidency would represent a scenario of direct confrontation with Venezuela, 2025 culminates with the realization that a good portion of the predictions regarding the aggressions that the Republican administration in the White House would apply against the Caribbean country materialized. But not even the most audacious could have imagined that Trump would invent a nonexistent armed conflict with Venezuela to advance his attempt to subdue the government of Nicolás Maduro and seize Venezuelan oil. It is worth clarifying that we say it is a nonexistent conflict because Venezuela does not threaten US territory or the political stability of the US government. This idea, widely disseminated and largely consolidated, is only one part of the narrative that has been constructed since President Hugo Chávez arrived at Miraflores Palace in 1999.
Despite the extraordinary nature of the US aggression against Venezuela, as we know, it is not the only Latin American country that, in 2025, has suffered the “Trump Corollary” to US imperialism and the rise of the extreme right. Let us, then, review how the rest of the region has been affected in political, economic, social, environmental, cultural, and military terms.
Brazil: For the first time since its creation in 1992, the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP) was held in the Amazon region, one of the planet’s most important lungs. The 30th COP took place in Belém do Pará, where funding to address the effects of the climate crisis was tripled, but a concrete roadmap for phasing out fossil fuels was not agreed upon. This lack of commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, despite reaffirming the Paris Agreement and seeing progress in the new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), drew criticism. COP 31 will be held in Antalya, Turkey, which will share the presidency with Australia.
On the political and judicial front, 2025 was the year that saw the conviction and imprisonment of former far-right conservative president Jair Bolsonaro for his role in the attempted coup d’état of January 8, 2023, in Brasília. This unprecedented event in Brazilian political history, which targeted Congress, the Presidential Palace, and the Supreme Court, tested democracy and the functioning of the separation of powers in the South American giant. Bolsonaro was sentenced to 27 years and three months by the Supreme Federal Court (STF), Brazil’s highest court, becoming the first former president found guilty of leading a coup. Trump unsuccessfully attempted to support Bolsonaro by imposing sanctions and tariffs on some key Brazilian exports (coffee, meat, fruit, etc.). However, a few months later, due to the price increases of these products in the US domestic market, the US president was forced to remove those tariffs.
México: The first female president in the history of this country, Claudia Sheinbaum, demonstrated her political leadership with very positive results in 2025. As one of the United States’ main trading partners, when Trump took office on January 10th of this year, Mexico topped the list of supposed enemies of U.S. economic, social, territorial, and national security stability. Trump accused Mexico of “not doing enough in the fight against drug trafficking,” thus justifying a 30% tariff on all Mexican exports. He also designated six Mexican cartels as terrorist organizations, including the Sinaloa Cartel and the Jalisco New Generation Cartel. Sheinbaum responded with concrete actions: dozens of suspected drug traffickers were extradited to the United States. Furthermore, the Mexican president explained to her North American counterpart and neighbor why the tariffs would harm the US economy, and, as happened with other countries, Trump had to back down.
In the middle of the year, Mexico implemented a historic reform by holding its first-ever elections to choose judges and magistrates through popular vote. This judicial election, which renewed more than 2,600 positions nationwide, was made possible by the constitutional reform approved in 2014 during the administration of López Obrador (AMLO). The 2015 judicial reform established that all judges must be elected by popular vote; it also reduced the number of Supreme Court justices from 11 to 9; and replaced the Federal Judiciary Council with the Judicial Administration Body and the Judicial Disciplinary Tribunal. The objective of this initiative is to combat corruption and nepotism, increase transparency, and bring the judiciary closer to the Mexican people.
Sheinbaum faced a variety of challenges, among them, one of the most internationally impactful was the protests by the so-called “Generation Z” (people under 30), which gained momentum after the assassination of a mayor in the state of Michoacán. These protesters used the so-called “War on Drugs” to attack the government and the MORENA party. However, the Mexican president has been clear in stating that the war on drugs, besides being illegal, has not solved the problem but has worsened it, and that extrajudicial killings are not an option in her administration. In this sense, Sheinbaum continues the path of the Fourth Transformation, initiated by AMLO, with which she is building her own political hegemony.
In 2025, Mexico and Brazil were the main drivers of poverty reduction in Latin America. The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean’s (ECLAC 2025) annual report revealed that thanks to increases in the minimum wage, government transfers to social welfare programs, and the economic recovery of these two countries, which together represent more than half of Latin America’s total population, poverty in the region decreased for the first time since ECLAC began conducting these studies. Mexico contributed 60% and 49% to the overall reduction in poverty and extreme poverty, respectively. Brazil also contributed significantly, accounting for 30% of the reduction in overall poverty and 31% of the reduction in extreme poverty.
Argentina: The second year of Javier Milei’s administration was marked primarily by a corruption scandal within his government. This included, on the one hand, the “$Libra” cryptocurrency scam, promoted by Milei through his X account, for which he faces a fraud investigation in the United States; and on the other hand, the bribes his sister, Karina Milei, solicited from public institutions amidst drastic cuts in public spending. By 2025, the most vulnerable sectors of Argentine society had suffered the consequences of the Milei model, fueled by low inflation due to weak demand, which in turn led to decreased production, business closures, and layoffs. These workers now lack access to social programs and policies to support them.
The progressive political field saw Cristina Fernández convicted of corruption and politically disqualified for six years. Fernández, who is under house arrest and remains key in building an alternative to Milei’s government, has lost political power. In this context, the governor of Buenos Aires, Alex Kicillof, Cristina Fernández’s former economy minister, consolidated his national profile with an eye toward the 2027 presidential elections after winning the legislative elections in the most important province in electoral terms, where he secured a 14% lead over Milei.
Milei, for his part, received full political and partial economic support from the Trump Administration, which allowed him to win the national legislative elections despite the governmental crisis facing his administration.
Presidential elections in 2025: Bolivia, Chile, Ecuador and Honduras
Ecuador: In the most violent year in Ecuador’s history, right-wing politician Daniel Noboa was re-elected president with 55% of the vote in a runoff election held in April, amid serious allegations of electoral fraud. However, in November, the majority of Ecuadorians rejected the president’s agenda in the Constitutional Referendum and Popular Consultation. The Ecuadorian president sought popular support to convene a Constituent Assembly; to establish foreign military bases in Ecuador; to eliminate state funding for political parties; and to reduce the number of legislators in the National Assembly. These proposals were rejected with 61.58% of the vote.
While Uruguay, under the leadership of Yamandú Orsi of the Frente Amplio, witnessed the return of the left to power, the opposite occurred in one of the Andean nation. Bolivia held presidential (and parliamentary) elections this year, marking the end of a political era that began in 2006 with the election of its first indigenous president, Evo Morales, now a political target and adversary of his former supporters. Evo remains entrenched and seemingly untouchable in the Chapare, a coca-growing region in the department of Cochabamba. On October 20, in the second round, Rodrigo Paz was declared the winner with 54% of the vote. On November 8, upon assuming the presidency, Paz, whose main slogans have been “Capitalism for all” and “Bolivia to the world and the world to Bolivia,” quickly moved to eliminate fuel subsidies and seek to restore foreign relations with the United States and Israel.
On December 24, the National Electoral Council (CNE) of Honduras declared Nasry Asfura the new Honduran president. The decision came almost a month after the elections and with more than 300 of the nearly 2,800 electoral tally sheets showing inconsistencies, in an electoral process rife with fraud allegations from various parties (both left and right) that participated in the contest. Asfura, a conservative and right-wing politician from the National Party, was the candidate supported by Donald Trump, who, upon seeing the delay in releasing the results, did not hesitate to say, “It seems that Honduras is trying to alter the results; if they do, there will be a scandal.”
Chile also closed out 2025 with the return of the right wing. José Antonio Kast won, with 58% of the vote to 42%, in the second round against the Communist Party candidate, Jeannette Jara. Kast, whose father was a member of the Nazi Party in Germany and who has supported the Pinochet dictatorship, will take office in March 2026. Kast’s arrival will implement an emergency administration, representing the biggest shift to the right since the return of democracy in Chile in 1990.
Venezuela: The country most besieged by the US in 2025
Even during his presidential campaign, Venezuela was among the top priorities on Trump’s foreign policy agenda. Therefore, upon assuming his third presidency on January 15, 2015, the US president launched a full-scale attack against the Venezuelan government. Trump has tried everything to undermine the democratic order in Venezuela and install a president subservient to the White House, in order to seize Venezuelan oil.
Openly calling for global mercenaries, the United States government increased the reward for the capture (read: assassination) of President Nicolás Maduro, Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello, and Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López. Meanwhile, Caracas received President Trump’s Special Envoy, Richard Grenell. These seemingly contradictory moves demonstrate the negotiator’s interest in first threatening to test the limits of what he can do. But negotiating with Venezuela is not a zero-sum game.
In another attempt to strangle the Venezuelan economy, Trump announced the termination of Chevron’s license to import Venezuelan oil and its derivatives. At the time, Chevron was the only U.S. oil company authorized to operate in Venezuela, despite the more than 1,000 unilateral coercive measures (sanctions) arbitrarily imposed on Venezuela. The U.S. oil company will continue operating in Venezuela until the end of 2025.
To dispel any remaining doubts that Trump has absolutely no interest in Venezuelan democracy or citizenship, the White House occupant invoked the Alien Enemies Act of 1798, which grants the president the authority to identify and expel undocumented immigrants (although Trump has used this law to persecute and deport even immigrants with legal or pending residency). The Venezuelans were labeled as members of the “Tren de Aragua” gang and taken by the hundreds to a high-security prison in El Salvador: CECOT.
Furthermore, in an unprecedented act of war that put Latin America and the world on high alert, Trump deployed warships to the Caribbean, off the coast of Venezuela. To do so, he first had to designate the “Cartel of the Suns” as a terrorist organization, a designation that provided the White House with the legal framework to launch targeted military operations without congressional approval. Violating international law, Trump extrajudicially executed dozens of people by carrying out kinetic attacks in Caribbean waters near Colombia, Venezuela, and Trinidad and Tobago.
Finally, to further escalate tensions, in early December, Trump ordered a total and complete blockade of all oil tankers, sanctioned or not, entering or leaving Venezuela. The US president proudly declared: “Venezuela is completely surrounded by the largest armada ever assembled in the history of South America. It will only get bigger, and the impact on them will be unprecedented, until they return to the United States of America all the oil, land, and other assets they previously stole from us.”
A few days later, the United States seized two oil tankers flying different flags, allegedly belonging to Iran and China, loaded with Venezuelan crude. In an act of piracy according to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, the US president ordered the arrest of the crews of these vessels, as well as the seizure of the ships and their cargoes. Currently, the US Coast Guard continues to monitor oil tankers it believes may be carrying Venezuelan oil, and a third seizure -characterized by the Venezuelan government as theft- of a third oil tanker, this time flying the Panamanian flag, has reportedly occurred.
This entire situation has logically resulted in an increase in military spending in the Latin American and Caribbean region, which, faced with the real threat of armed conflict, is preparing to defend its borders. Although official figures will be released in 2026, Brazil and Mexico are expected to top the list, but Colombia, Panama, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana, Ecuador, Peru, the Dominican Republic, and even Argentina, somewhat further from the Caribbean, have also invested in defense.
Final thoughts
As a conclusion to this exhaustive analysis of the regional panorama in 2025, we can determine that Latin America and the Caribbean are at a historical crossroads where the anachronistic pretensions of a declining power collide with the reality of a new multipolar world order.
With his actions in Latin America, and despite his rhetoric as a “great negotiator,” 2025 confirms Trump as a decidedly warmongering, not pacifist, president. In fact, his administration has failed to pacify any international conflict; on the contrary, it has fabricated threats and escalated tensions through naval blockades, acts of piracy that border on international illegality, and the irrational imposition of tariffs on key trading partners.
Speaking of warmongers, paradoxically and symbolically, the Norwegian Nobel Committee decided to award the Nobel Peace Prize to María Corina Machado, the far-right leader who has called for military intervention and increased sanctions against Venezuela. This is further evidence that the Venezuelan right wing is to the right of Trump’s political views.
The 2025 assessment makes it clear that the Trump administration attempted to resurrect the old Monroe Doctrine under a veneer of economic and military aggression. However, concrete results have demonstrated that this doctrine has no place in the 21st century. Washington’s attempt to treat the region as its “backyard” clashes head-on with this reality: Venezuela, far from being isolated, has enjoyed the strategic, economic, and diplomatic support of powers like Russia and China, whose presence in the region acts as a necessary counterweight, neutralizing US ambitions for hegemonic control.
With his actions in Latin America, and despite his rhetoric as a “great negotiator,” 2025 confirms Trump as a decidedly warmongering, not pacifist, president. In fact, his administration has failed to pacify any international conflict; on the contrary, it has fabricated threats and escalated tensions through naval blockades, acts of piracy that border on international illegality, and the irrational imposition of tariffs on key trading partners.
Speaking of warmongers, paradoxically and symbolically, the Norwegian Nobel Committee decided to award the Nobel Peace Prize to María Corina Machado, the far-right leader who has called for military intervention and increased sanctions against Venezuela. This is further evidence that the Venezuelan right wing is to the right of Trump’s political views.
While it is true that the rise of the far right in countries like Chile, Bolivia, and Ecuador seems to strengthen Washington’s axis, Mexico’s solid leadership under Claudia Sheinbaum and Brazil’s stability demonstrate that Latin American sovereignty has deep roots. Venezuela’s resistance to the fiercest siege in its history is not only an act of national survival but also the epicenter of a struggle for regional self-determination, sovereignty, and independence from imperialist yokes.
Ultimately, 2025 closes with a resounding lesson for Washington: the natural resources and sovereignty of the Latin American and Caribbean peoples, who have chosen not to submit to foreign powers, can no longer be seized through obsolete 19th-century doctrines. In the case of Venezuela, the alliance with the Eurasian bloc and the strength of Venezuelan institutions have turned the “Trump Corollary” into a “paper tiger.” A free and independent Latin America already moves and lives in a multipolar world.
Opinion
India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships
Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.
India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.
Today, India’s achievements extend beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.
India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.
India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.
The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.
Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.
India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.
These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.
To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.
India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.
The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.
In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.
Opinion
Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa
In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.
History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.
Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.
Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.
AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS
Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.
Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.
In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”
China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.
THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY
It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.
The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.
The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.
Opinion
The women who refuse to be erased: On Japan’s surrender anniversary, the fight over wartime sexual slavery continues
BUSAN, South Korea — On the day Japan marks the 81st anniversary of its surrender in World War Two, a conference room in Busan’s city council building has become the latest front in a battle over memory.
Allan Wilson, Journalist
Last month, on 23 July, academics, activists and lawmakers gathered here for a symposium on one of the war’s most painful legacies: the estimated tens of thousands of women — euphemistically labelled “comfort women” — forced into sexual slavery by the Imperial Japanese Army. The event was co-hosted by the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia division and the Korean Women’s Forum.
“The records of the Japanese military’s comfort women are historical assets that the international community must preserve together,” Nam Myung-sook, the Busan city councillor who co-organised the symposium, told the gathering. “Social consensus must be broadened.”
Her words were aimed at more than the audience in the room.
For three decades, survivors and their advocates have pressed Japan for a full and unequivocal accounting. They have met a familiar pattern: moments of apparent progress — the 1993 Kono statement acknowledging military involvement, the 2015 bilateral agreement with South Korea — followed by retreat. Japanese officials continue to dispute the term “sexual slavery.” Textbooks soften the language. Senior politicians visit Yasukuni Shrine, where convicted war criminals are honoured alongside the dead.
The symposium came as UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee convened in Busan, and the timing was deliberate. One of the gathering’s stated goals was to revive the push to have comfort women records inscribed on UNESCO’s Memory of the World register — an effort Japan has repeatedly blocked.
“Our aim is to reaffirm the historical facts of comfort women (受害) to the international community and explore directions that contribute to peace and human rights,” said Yu Ying-mo, senior adviser to the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia region, in remarks prepared for the event.
A statue, a warning
The symposium also addressed an incident that has become a diplomatic flashpoint: the recent removal of a comfort women memorial statue in Taiwan.
The statue, one of dozens erected across East Asia and beyond, was taken down in recent months. Organisers in Busan described the removal as “an erroneous approach that erases historical wounds and weakens collective memory,” according to the symposium’s programme.
For advocates, the Taiwan case illustrates what happens when political pressure is allowed to dictate historical memory. “Statues, memorial halls, and archives related to comfort women are important spaces of memory that testify to the victims’ suffering and history,” the Carter Human Rights Center said in its written address. “They must be respected.”
Dozens of comfort women memorials now stand in cities from Seoul to San Francisco to Berlin. Each has become a site of diplomatic friction: Japan’s government has consistently objected to them, arguing they perpetuate what it calls an inaccurate narrative.
The shrinking window
Time is running out. Of the few hundred women who came forward in the 1990s, the number of surviving registered victims in South Korea has dwindled to single digits.
This demographic reality has injected new urgency into the preservation effort. Shim Ok-ju, a research professor at George Mason University Korea, told the symposium that the focus must now shift from oral testimony — soon to be lost — to documentation and education.
Seo Kyung-soon, a professor at Pukyong National University, presented findings from the so-called “Gwanbu Trial” records — a series of postwar legal proceedings in which comfort women sought compensation through Japanese courts. The documents, she argued, contain incontrovertible evidence of state orchestration.
A designated discussant panel followed, bringing together Kim Tae-wan, a political science professor at Dong-eui University; Kim Kyung-hee, an independent researcher; and Ahn Jun-young, a journalist from the Busan Ilbo newspaper. The format was designed to bridge academia and public consciousness — to test whether scholarly findings could survive the scrutiny of working journalists and political scientists.
The international dimension
The comfort women issue has never been purely bilateral. In 1996, the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women concluded that the system constituted “military sexual slavery.” In 2022, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women urged Japan to “ensure that the issue is accurately reflected in school curricula.”
Yet the gap between international consensus and Japanese government policy remains wide. Prime ministerial statements offer “apologies and remorse” but stop short of accepting legal responsibility. Reparations have come from private funds, not the state.
For organisers of the Busan symposium, the path forward runs through multilateral institutions. UNESCO recognition, they argue, would make historical revisionism harder to sustain. But Japan has made clear it will oppose any such move, as it did when Chinese documents related to the 1937 Nanjing Massacre were inscribed in 2015.
“Facing history squarely and respecting it is a fundamental value that the international community should share,” the symposium’s organisers concluded.
This 15 August, as Japan observes its National Memorial Service for the War Dead, the women who survived — and those who did not — will be remembered in rooms like the one in Busan. Their numbers are dwindling. The question is whether their story will outlast them.
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