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Indian PM Modi meets Putin in Moscow for first time in five years

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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrived in Moscow on the afternoon of 8 July for a two-day official visit to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin.

This is Modi’s first visit to Russia since 2019 and his first meeting with Putin in two years, the last being at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in Samarkand in September 2022.

The main talks are scheduled to take place today in an expanded and narrow format. This is Modi’s second visit after attending the G7 summit in Italy, a week after his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won the elections.

The prime minister has also begun his third term in office since 2014. Putin’s meeting with Modi is also his first since the end of the election period in Russia.

Modi landed at the Vnukovo-1 government terminal at around 14:00 Moscow time yesterday, where he was greeted by First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov.

At 7.54pm Moscow time, the Kremlin said on its Telegram channel that an informal meeting between the two leaders had begun in Novo-Ogaryovo.

“You have your own ideas, you are an energetic person, you are able to achieve results in the interests of India,” Putin said at the start of the meeting, congratulating Modi on his re-election. Putin added that he intended to discuss the same issues with his guest in a “local atmosphere” as at the official meeting on 9 July.

The Indian prime minister’s account on social network X published a Russian-language post shortly after his arrival:

“We look forward to further deepening the special and privileged strategic partnership between our countries, especially in the areas of future cooperation.”

Bloomberg quoted sources as saying that the two sides could sign an agreement on the long-term supply of nuclear fuel from Russia.

The second phase of the Kudankulam nuclear power plant is being built with the help of Russia’s Federal Atomic Energy Corporation Rosatom and will be India’s largest, expanding from the current two units to six.

Rosatom director general Alexei Likhachev said in May that the plant would switch to ‘innovative’ fuel in the summer.

A year ago, India led the G20 and hosted the group’s summit in New Delhi, presenting itself as the leader of the global south.

At the time, Modi also pledged to make India the world’s third largest economy. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the country ranks fifth in nominal gross domestic product (GDP) and third in purchasing power parity behind China and the United States.

Vladimir Sotnikov, a leading researcher at the Institute of China and Modern Asia at the Russian Academy of Sciences, told Vedomosti that Indians believe Modi’s activities in the West will allow them to strengthen their role as a leader of the South and secure a permanent seat on the UN Security Council:

“Delhi’s ambitions coincide with Moscow’s interests; the two countries are not enemies and share an approach to building a new global order.”

Boris Volkhonsky, associate professor at the Lomonosov Institute of Asian and African Countries at Moscow State University, said Modi’s visit was a symbolic gesture that India would not join anti-Russian coalitions around the world.

Modi’s arrival comes at a time of heightened diplomatic activity over the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Unlike the G7, Modi did not attend the conference on Ukraine in Switzerland on 15-16 June.

India was represented there by former ambassador to Moscow and deputy foreign minister Pawan Kapoor. Kapoor did not sign the final communiqué; according to the deputy minister, a solution required contact between the two sides, and Russia was not invited to the summit.

Sotnikov suggested that Modi’s visit to Moscow could be linked to shuttle diplomacy on Ukraine, noting that New Delhi could potentially take over the role of mediator from China. “Delhi can present itself as a platform and a mediator, as it has good relations with Moscow, Kyiv, the US and the EU,” the expert added.

But Moscow and India are primarily interested in bilateral economic relations; trade turnover between them continues to grow: It reached $17.5 billion in the first quarter of 2024, which is a quarterly record.

While the volume of trade will reach $65 billion in 2023, 1.8 times higher than in 2022, there is a serious imbalance in bilateral trade to Russia’s detriment.

“So the focus will be on balancing the trade deficit and finding mechanisms to avoid secondary Western sanctions on business, which India will have to do, especially after the EU imposed restrictions on Russia’s financial communications system in June that could be adopted by other countries, including the US,” Volkhonsky said.

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Türkiye expects more investment from Chinese EV manufacturers

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Türkiye expects more Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers to invest in the country following BYD’s decision to invest $1 billion in an electric vehicle and plug-in hybrid factory, said Burak Daglioglu, head of the Presidential Investment Office, in an interview with Nikkei Asia.

Asked about investments by Chinese EV manufacturers, including Chery Automobile and SAIC Motor, Daglioglu said: “Negotiations with several Chinese EV companies are going positively. I would not be surprised to hear positive results in the coming quarters.”

Earlier, Chery’s local unit Chery Türkiye and a local MG distributor owned by SAIC announced investment talks with Turkish authorities.

The Turkish government announced part of a $30 billion stimulus package in July, including grants and tax breaks for sectors such as electric vehicles, batteries, chips and renewable energy equipment.

Daglioglu expects half of the investment in such high-tech sectors to come from foreign direct investors and their joint ventures with local partners.

Ankara is also in talks with other foreign companies to invest in sectors such as chemicals, machinery, energy equipment, food and beverages, he said. “BYD’s billion-dollar investment will reassure other investors that everything is back to normal in terms of macroeconomic indicators,” he said.

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World Anti-Doping Agency ‘disappointed’ at US investigation into Chinese doping case

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As geopolitical tensions between the United States and China spilled onto the Olympic stage, the World Anti-Doping Agency (Wada) said it had been “unfairly caught in the middle” of the conflict between the two countries.

China’s swimmers have been in the spotlight after a series of doping allegations, followed by controversial US claims that Wada covered them up.

Chinese swimmers travelling to Paris were subjected to twice as many doping tests as some other countries, fuelling accusations of a conspiracy to hinder their performance.

Wada said on Tuesday that it was “caught in the middle of geopolitical tensions between superpowers, but has no mandate to get involved”.

James Fitzgerald, Wada’s head of media relations, told the BBC: “Some people [in the US] are trying to score political points simply because the athletes in question are Chinese. As a result, it has created mistrust and division within the anti-doping system,” Fitzgerald told the BBC.

Last week, Wada said it was considering legal action against its US counterpart Usada over the “defamatory” allegations.

Usada had accused Wada and China’s anti-doping agency Chinada of being among the “dirty hands that covered up positive tests and silenced the voices of brave whistleblowers”.

Members of the US Congress have also accused Wada of failing to properly investigate doping allegations against Chinese swimmers, and last Tuesday even introduced a bill to authorise the White House to cut the agency’s funding.

“When congressmen and senators get involved in the largely technical world of anti-doping, it ceases to be a scientific and legal analysis and moves into the political realm,” Fitzgerald said.

Tainted food and supplements the real culprit

Wada’s announcement on Tuesday followed a New York Times report on a previously undisclosed case in which two Chinese swimmers, one of whom was on this year’s Olympic team, were being investigated for doping.

The two swimmers had tested positive for a banned steroid in 2022, but were allowed to compete. China’s anti-doping agency concluded that the athletes had unknowingly consumed steroids, possibly by eating contaminated hamburgers.

Usada accused Wada of “tilting the field in their favour by allowing China to compete under a different set of rules”. But Wada defended its decision.

Wada said the athletes’ supplements and hair tests had returned negative results and that both swimmers had given control samples that tested negative in the days before and after the positive test. He added that the two swimmers had been suspended for more than a year and that their cases had been closed.

“Judging by the number of cases, it is clear that there is a contamination problem in different countries around the world,” the agency said, adding that the two athletes’ cases were part of a “wider series of cases involving [Chinese] athletes from different sports”.

Wada said in June that athletes who eat meat sometimes test positive for drugs if they take clenbuterol, a banned substance used as a growth promoter for livestock.

The agency is investigating cases of contamination in China as well as Mexico, Guatemala and other countries, it said in response to questions from The New York Times.

The head of the agency, Olivier Niggli, said at the time that the US media “only asked about China when meat contamination is a problem in many countries” and referred to “attempts to politicise the fight against doping”.

US swimming champion Katie Ledecky also weighed in on the debate

All this follows a bigger controversy in April, when the New York Times reported that 23 Chinese swimmers had tested positive for performance-enhancing drugs months before the Tokyo 2021 Olympics.

But they were allowed to compete after Chinese authorities said the results were due to contamination. The 30-strong team won six medals in Tokyo, including three gold.

Eleven of those who tested positive were selected for the Chinese swimming team for the Paris Olympics.

But US swimmer and 11-time Olympic medallist Katie Ledecky said her confidence in anti-doping authorities was at an “all-time low” after the news of the 23 Chinese swimmers.

Independent investigation backs Wada

But Wada’s investigation found that the source of the heart drug trimetazidine (TMZ) was “unable to refute the possibility of contamination”.

The report said the contamination theory was supported by the “consistently low concentrations of TMZ as well as the absence of a doping pattern” among the athletes tested.

That is, test results over several days were not consistent, fluctuating between negative and positive.

An independent investigation found that Wada had not mishandled the case or favoured the Chinese swimmers.

Chinese swimmers tested more than usual

Scandals have piled pressure on anti-doping authorities, and the Chinese swim team was subjected to far more tests than usual when it arrived in Paris.

Since January, each of the 31 members of the team has been tested an average of 21 times by various anti-doping organisations, according to World Aquatics, which oversees swimming.

By contrast, Australia’s 41 swimmers have been tested an average of four times and the USA’s 46 swimmers an average of six times.

The testing inflation has led to a number of other allegations. The Global Times, which is close to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), accused Western powers of “abusing doping tests to disrupt the [Chinese] swimming team”.

Speaking to the Global Times, a professor of international politics in Shanghai accused the US of dominating anti-doping rules.

Shen Yi claimed that “cruel and unethical testing” had disrupted the Chinese team’s training and called it “a disgrace to the Olympics”.

Chinese record swimmer: Our performance is threatened

Chinese swimmer Qin Haiyang, who holds the world record in the men’s 200m breaststroke, said the constant testing “proves that the European and American teams feel threatened by the Chinese team’s performances in recent years”.

“Some tricks are aimed at disrupting our preparation rhythm and destroying our psychological defences. But we are not afraid,” he said.

Qin, who won gold medals in the 50m, 100m and 200m breaststroke at last year’s World Championships, finished seventh in the men’s 100m breaststroke final at the Paris Olympics.

The criticism was echoed by former Chinese diving champion Gao Min, who said the rigorous testing had “corrupted the Chinese swimming team” and described Qin’s performance as “the worst in any competition in the past two years”.

China’s current medal tally is one gold, two silvers and two bronzes.

China’s “butterfly queen” Zhang Yufei, who won silver in the 100 metres in Tokyo, was in tears over her bronze medal in Paris but said the doping tests had not had a major impact on her.

Although the tests were “a bit annoying”, Zhang Yufei said the real pressure was “much greater” than she had imagined.

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EU pushes for final peace deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia

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European Council President Charles Michel has stepped up efforts to broker a final ‘peace deal’ in the South Caucasus.

Two senior diplomats confirmed to POLITICO that the former Belgian prime minister held bilateral meetings with the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan on the sidelines of the European Political Community summit in the UK earlier this month.

Michel also wrote to both sides, urging them to return to the table and “finalise the peace agreement” by making progress on outstanding issues such as border demarcation.

But Brussels is disappointed that the long-awaited ceasefire has failed to materialise after months of delays and diplomatic deadlock.

Despite talks with Michel, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev have not been able to meet, with both sides blaming each other for the lack of a solution.

In the end, it is up to both sides to stop playing games and reach an agreement, because President Michel has done everything in the EU’s power to reach a peace deal,’ said a senior EU diplomat close to Michel.

Tensions have been rising again for some time. Last week, Azerbaijan’s defence ministry accused Armenia of ‘provocations’ along the two countries’ shared border and threatened to ‘take the necessary response measures in self-defence with all available means’.

Armenia, for its part, says the accusations are disinformation.

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