Asia
Iran war batters India: Factories go dark, basmati rice piles up at ports as Hormuz crisis deepens
The tremors of war in Iran have reached deep into the Indian economy, halting factory floors, stranding the country’s prized basmati rice exports, forcing airlines to cancel hundreds of flights, and driving restaurants to temporarily shutter. Businesses across the subcontinent are now grappling with fractured shipping lanes and surging fuel costs that show no sign of abating.
Now in its thirteenth day, the conflict has all but paralysed maritime traffic through the critical Strait of Hormuz, sending freight costs sharply higher. Of all Asian economies exposed to a prolonged conflict and shipping blockade, India stands among the most vulnerable. Roughly 50% of the country’s crude oil imports transit the strait, and according to data from Kpler, fully 89% of India’s liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) supply passed through that chokepoint in 2025.
Late Monday, New Delhi activated emergency measures to guarantee that households and vehicles running on compressed natural gas (CNG) receive first priority access to whatever domestic gas supplies remain.
“The problem is no longer just price — we are now confronting a supply crisis,” Madhavi Arora, Chief Economist at Emkay Global, told Nikkei Asia.
Ceramic factories on the brink
The gas shortage threatens to bring the ceramic industry in Gujarat — the home state of Prime Minister Narendra Modi — to a standstill. India concentrates roughly 90% of its ceramic production in the city of Morbi. Of approximately 700 factories there, between 400 and 450 rely on propane to fire their kilns. Manoj Arvadiya, President of the Morbi Ceramic Association, said that close to 100 of those facilities have already closed.
“If propane supplies are not restored within 10 days, all of our factories could be facing shutdown,” Arvadiya warned.
The gas crunch has also forced temporary closures of restaurants in major cities, with hospitality industry bodies sounding the alarm.
Vijay Shetty, President of the Hotel and Restaurant Association of India, said roughly 20% of restaurants and hotels in Mumbai have temporarily shut their doors, warning that the figure could climb to 50% within days if the LPG supply crisis persists. “There is acute distress across [the state of] Maharashtra,” Shetty said.
Social media has been flooded with accounts of restaurants rationing fuel, cutting operating hours, and switching to induction cooktops, resulting in sharply reduced menus. The National Restaurant Association of India estimates that even a single day’s supply disruption costs the sector up to 13 billion rupees ($141 million).
Textiles and manufacturing squeezed
Textile manufacturers have not been spared. Ashwin Chandran, Chairman of the Confederation of Indian Textile Industry, said freight costs for shipments to Europe have surged approximately 40%, jumping from roughly $2,200–$2,300 per container to more than $3,000.
Chandran also flagged a 30% increase in polyester prices tied to the sharp spike in crude oil. “Polyester usage has been significantly impacted because it may not be possible to pass on the price increase under short-term existing contracts,” he said.
Brent crude has whipsawed violently over the past three trading sessions: it surged to nearly $120 per barrel on Monday, retreated to approximately $83.50 on Tuesday, then clawed back toward $100 on Thursday as the Trump administration sent contradictory signals about the trajectory of the war. Prices remain more than 66% higher year-to-date.
A recent note from ICICI warned that sectors relying on petroleum derivatives — among them paints and tyres — face mounting margin compression as prices stay elevated.
Exports snarled, rice stranded
The conflict is also choking export markets. According to a report by investment advisory firm ICRA, approximately 14% of India’s total exports are destined for West Asia — a degree of exposure significantly higher than that of ASEAN nations, where West Asia accounts for roughly 5% to 10% of total exports, according to Emkay Global’s Arora.
Among India’s largest export categories, basmati rice has been particularly hard hit. Satish Goel, President of the All India Rice Exporters Association, said India ships 6 million metric tons of rice annually, with approximately 75% bound for Gulf states. Goel estimated that around 400,000 tons of rice — worth roughly $1,000 per ton — is currently stranded at sea or piling up at Indian ports.
Airlines ground flights as fuel costs bite
The closure of airspace over Iran and surrounding conflict zones has forced hundreds of flights onto longer re-routing, driving up fuel burn, according to ICRA. Its report noted that, as of March 5, Indian carriers had cancelled more than 1,700 flights — equivalent to approximately 46% of their international operations.
Air India announced Tuesday that it would impose fuel surcharges on both domestic and international routes in response to a “sharp rise” in jet fuel costs, cautioning that without such surcharges, certain flights would be economically unviable and subject to cancellation.
Markets on edge at a sensitive moment
The cascading effects of the war have arrived at a delicate juncture for Indian financial markets. Foreign investors have been net sellers of Indian equities to the tune of more than 830 billion rupees this year, unnerved first by uncertainty surrounding a US-India trade deal and now by the ongoing conflict. Threats of AI-driven disruption have weighed on technology shares, and despite a correction of more than 8% in the benchmark Nifty 50 this year, large-cap stocks continue to trade at relatively elevated valuations — a point flagged in recent notes by both Nomura and Morgan Stanley.
Following the eruption of the energy and shipping crisis, Morgan Stanley downgraded India from overweight to equal-weight, citing these compounding risks alongside the country’s historically adverse sensitivity to oil price shocks.
Asia
South Korea emerges as major beneficiary of shifts in global arms market
Uncertainty in the global arms market, driven by the United States reassessing its relationships with allies and a broad rearmament drive across many countries, is creating major commercial opportunities for South Korea. According to an analysis published by Politico, Seoul has become the world’s fastest-growing supplier of military equipment.
The report said that large-scale conflicts around the world have created urgent demand for weapons as countries seek both to support allies and strengthen their own defenses against potential future confrontations. At the same time, changes in the US role within the global arms market have opened new opportunities for South Korean manufacturers. Statements and policy decisions by US President Donald Trump regarding NATO have led allies to question Washington’s reliability in times of crisis, increasing uncertainty across the global market. In addition, the diversion of a large share of US weapons supplies to the Middle East because of ongoing conflicts has placed further strain on already overstretched supply chains.
European countries increase purchases from South Korea
Faced with what Politico described as the Trump administration’s more distant approach toward allies, European countries in particular have accelerated arms purchases from South Korea. The publication noted that Seoul’s growing influence as a supplier has been driven largely by major defense contracts signed with Poland.
Following the outbreak of the conflict in Ukraine, several Eastern European capitals, including Warsaw, transferred portions of their military inventories to Kyiv, relying on German support to replenish their arsenals. However, Berlin’s slow pace in replacing allied stockpiles generated frustration across the region.
South Korea emerged as an alternative supplier during this period and became a reliable source of military equipment for Eastern European countries. Poland became Seoul’s largest customer through a $13.7 billion agreement covering the purchase of tanks, rocket launchers, self-propelled howitzers and other military equipment.
“We were originally preparing against North Korea, but now we are ready to provide these solutions to customers around the world,” said Choo Hyung-kim, head of the Security Management Institute, a defense analysis organization affiliated with South Korea’s National Assembly.
Lack of political baggage gives Seoul an advantage
Politico reported that one of the greatest advantages enjoyed by South Korean defense companies is the absence of the “political baggage” associated with major arms exporters such as the United States, China, Russia and Israel.
According to the figures cited, the combined projected revenue of South Korea’s largest defense companies, including Hanwha Group, Hyundai Rotem, LIG Nex1 and Korea Aerospace Industries, is expected to reach approximately $37 billion in 2026. That would represent a fourfold increase from their combined revenues in 2021.
Meanwhile, an official from the office of former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol told the Yonhap news agency in 2024 that the scale of any weapons shipments to Ukraine would depend on Russia’s approach to its relationship with North Korea. Seoul later clarified that it had no plans to provide ammunition directly to Ukraine.
Asia
DeepSeek raises $7.4 billion in funding round, surpasses $50 billion valuation
Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek has raised more than 50 billion yuan ($7.4 billion) in its first funding round. According to Reuters, citing The Information, the company’s valuation has surpassed $50 billion.
The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that the capital will be used to support the costly development of advanced artificial intelligence technologies.
According to the newspaper, citing sources familiar with the matter, investors valued the company at more than $50 billion. The valuation makes DeepSeek the most valuable AI startup in China.
DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng reportedly owned about 90% of the company before the funding round. Liang is said to have contributed roughly $3 billion during the fundraising process, making him the largest participant in the round.
According to Reuters, the transaction was structured in an unusual way that allows Liang to retain control of the company.
Rather than investing directly in DeepSeek, investors were required to invest through a limited partnership managed by a senior executive of the startup. Under the arrangement, investors were not granted voting rights. The report also said restrictions were placed on the use of invested funds for a period of five years.
The sole exception was the China National Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund. The fund reportedly invested approximately $150 million directly in DeepSeek, allowing it to retain both voting rights and full discretion over its stake.
Other major investors in the funding round included Tencent, which invested approximately $1.5 billion, and Contemporary Amperex Technology, which invested about $740 million.
Bloomberg previously described the transaction as one of the largest fundraising rounds undertaken by a Chinese startup. According to the agency, the investment marks a new stage in the efforts of leading Chinese AI companies to compete with their US rivals.
DeepSeek told prospective investors that it would prioritize foundational and transformative AI research over short-term commercialization.
Based in the Chinese city of Hangzhou, DeepSeek emerged as one of Beijing’s most prominent AI companies after unveiling a more powerful and lower-cost model more than a year ago. The WSJ reported that interest surrounding the company has accelerated AI adoption in China and increased investor appetite for domestic startups.
Liang Wenfeng has previously said he intends to continue developing open-source AI models and ultimately aims to achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI). According to Bloomberg, the strategy continues an approach that has contributed to the spread of open models and influenced companies across China’s AI market, including Alibaba’s Qwen platform.
Bloomberg added that while global rivals such as OpenAI and Anthropic are exploring public offerings and revenue-generation strategies, DeepSeek has maintained its “research first” approach.
Asia
China issues white paper on global governance reform, urging support for UN-centered international system
China’s State Council Information Office on Wednesday released a white paper titled “A More Just and Equitable Global Governance: China’s Principles, Proposals and Actions.”
The white paper was issued to introduce China’s principles, proposals, and actions regarding global governance, to foster a broader consensus within the international community, to enable more effective responses to global challenges, and to build a more just and equitable global governance system.
The document states that global governance is a common endeavor concerning the well-being of all humanity, and that building a just and equitable global governance system is a shared vision long pursued by people around the world. It also emphasizes that China has always been an active participant, contributor, and builder of global governance.
According to the white paper, in the new era, Chinese President Xi Jinping has put forward the vision of building a community with a shared future for mankind. Advancing a global governance system shaped on the basis of extensive consultation, joint contribution, and shared benefits, Xi has called for true multilateralism to promote an equal and orderly multipolar world and an economic globalization that is inclusive and beneficial for all.
In 2025, Xi proposed the Global Governance Initiative (GGI). This initiative was designed to offer China’s solutions to two urgent questions of the era: What kind of global governance system should be established, and how should global governance be reformed and improved?
The white paper notes that shortly after its introduction, the GGI received support from approximately 160 countries and international organizations, with more than 60 countries joining the Group of Friends of the Global Governance Initiative. It states that the international community is of the view that the GGI sends a clear message: to defend multilateralism, join forces, and strive for a just future.
According to the white paper, the GGI aligns with the growing trend toward greater democracy in international relations and strengthens international confidence in the practice of multilateralism. The initiative provides a clear and actionable roadmap for the improvement of global governance, injecting valuable stability and positive energy into a turbulent world.
The white paper emphasizes that China proposed the GGI to accelerate the construction of a more just and equitable global governance system. The document states that firmly defending the authority and status of the United Nations is of fundamental importance for the effective implementation of this initiative.
According to the white paper, success will also depend on major countries acting with a sense of responsibility and all nations working together in unity to bridge deficits in peace and development. It states that rather than attempting to reinvent the wheel, all countries must firmly defend the international system with the UN at its core, maintain the international order based on international law, and uphold the fundamental norms of international relations based on the purposes and principles of the UN Charter.
In addition to the preface and conclusion, the white paper consists of five chapters: “Today’s World Faces Severe and Complex Challenges,” “The Global Governance Initiative Responds to the Challenges of Our Era,” “China’s Contribution to the Development of Global Governance,” “Directing the Course of Change Toward a Bright Future,” and “Advancing Hand in Hand at a Critical Juncture in History.”
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