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Iran’s evolving relations with Taliban

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Since Amir Khan Muttaqi, Taliban’s Minister of Foreign Affairs has sarcastically told Iran that the number of executions in that country is more than the number of prisoners inside Afghanistan, the representative of Iran has increased meetings with the Taliban officials aimed at keeping the ties normal.

Hassan Kazemi Qomi, Iran’s ambassador in Kabul, in a meeting with Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, Deputy Prime Minister for Economic Affairs of Taliban said that such statements should not harm the relations between the two sides. Recently, the Taliban and Iranian officials have openly criticized each other, and also, they had issues over water, triggering border clashes between the security forces of the two neighbors. Iran, which played a key role in the Taliban’s rise again to power, did not foresee facing such a situation.

This shows that the policy of being kind to the Taliban is not working and has harmed Iran’s position as an important actor in regional affairs. But Iran has no other way out and needs Taliban support for the long-term due to the continuation of several political issues with its other neighboring countries and in the Middle East. Iran’s interaction with the Taliban is much stronger than the past government which was recognized by the international community.

The Taliban took power on 15 August 2021 following the chaotic withdrawal of US troops resulting in the collapse of the republic system.

Iran put weight behind the Taliban  

At that time, Hassan Rouhani, the former president of Iran, during his meeting with the then Afghan president Hamid Karzai, openly spoke about occupation without respecting the honor of the host and neighborliness.

However, the situation is completely different today. Iran is fully on the side of Taliban, in spite of countless aid, Iran also handed over the Afghan embassy in Tehran to the Taliban and gave them Euro packages, still the country doesn’t want to see its ties broken or harm with the Taliban.

Muttaqi in a meeting with religious scholars in Kabul questioned the inclusivity of the government in Iran. “Do you have an inclusive government in your country,” Muttaqi responded to Iran’s demand for formation of an inclusive government in Afghanistan.

“Do you give your citizens’ their rights? There are not as many prisoners in our prisons as you execute. Thousands of people have disappeared in your country and no one can dare to ask where they are,” Muttaqi told Iran.

Immediately after this statement, ambassador Qomi, went to meet senior Taliban officials. In the past days, he met with Baradar and Muttaqi and asked them to soften their media statements towards Iran and expressed concern about the damage to the relations between the two sides.

Iran’s supreme called Taliban “reality” in Afghanistan

At least in the last one decade, the relations between Iran and the Taliban have been very close and extensive. It has been reported that Tehran had officially invited the Taliban to celebrate the anniversary of the “Islamic Revolution” even before the Taliban took over Afghanistan.

Two years ago, when the Taliban returned to power, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei publicly welcomed the Taliban’s presence in Afghanistan. Although he did not directly name the Taliban, however, he welcomed it by referring to the “new reality” in Afghanistan, which is under the rule of the Taliban.

In addition to that, Iran kept its embassy in Kabul active after the return of the Taliban to power and has since supported the Taliban in important regional and international meetings. It seems that Iran has supported the Taliban during its war against the common enemy (US) and doesn’t want anything to spoil this relationship. This is another reason for Iran that is exercising immense caution in any issue related to the Taliban.

The enemy of my enemy is my friend

On the other hand, Iran and the Taliban have mutual and extensive interests in relation to al-Qaeda and the presence of this group in Afghanistan.

It has a great proverb that says that “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.” So now somehow the US is up to al-Qaeda and recently US drones killed the group’s leader in downtown Kabul. However, the Taliban rejected the news and said an investigation is underway and blamed the US for violating the airspace of Afghanistan.

The Taliban so far did not confirm the man killed was al-Qaeda’s leader. Despite the disappointment and failure of the Taliban to keep good ties with Iran, politics in Tehran define this country’s relationship with the Taliban and al-Qaeda as a tactic to reduce the risk of other terrorist groups against Iran.

On the other hand, these three sides have a common goal towards the US. Iran expects to increase threats against the US by helping al-Qaeda and Taliban and meanwhile, Tehran tries to reduce Islamic State (IS) threats against its security, because al-Qaeda in Syria and Iraq has also cooperated with Iran’s overseas forces against IS.

Islamic State is a serious threat in region

Now that IS is a serious threat in the region, especially for Iran, the security and intelligence centers of the IRGC will do their best to fight against this group outside the borders of Iran.

At the moment, Tehran thinks that by having good ties with the Taliban, it can stop the threats of IS, and al-Qaeda has created a common denominator and a common language for the larger goals of uniting opposing Islamic ideologies against the US.

Enmity with US and IS will force Iran to pay more attention in its ties with the Taliban for a long time and will buy all the taunts of the Taliban with its heart and soul until the creation of an alternative structure in Afghanistan.

On the other side, the Taliban, with the illusion of victory and fearing Iran from expanding its relations with US and IS, get more concessions from Tehran and force this country not to support the military opponents of the Taliban in Afghanistan and reject the armed resistance against this group.

Last year, Qomi considered the resistance against the Taliban to be an US project. He said that America is “organizing a group under the title of Resistance Front, which is a lie”. He even denied the existence of resistance against the Taliban.

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Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says

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The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.

According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.

The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.

The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.

The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.

The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.

According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.

Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House

The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.

In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.

In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.

According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.

Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.

Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.

Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.

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Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices

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Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.

Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.

The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”

Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).

Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.

During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.

Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.

Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.

The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.

“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.

Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.

Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers

Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.

In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.

Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.

The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.

Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.

Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks

Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.

A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”

The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.

At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.

According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.

Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.

A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.

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South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants

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South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.

The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.

Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.

Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”

“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.

Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.

The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.

Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.

Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.

According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.

South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.

South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.

The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.

Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.

After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.

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