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Is the FBI’s ‘Shireen’ investigation a message to Netanyahu?

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The FBI will investigate the murder of US citizen Palestinian journalist Shireen Abu Akleh. The investigation to which Israel reacted is discussed in terms of relations of the potential Israeli government led by Netanyahu with the Biden government.

The FBI will investigate the murder of US citizen Palestinian journalist Shireen Abu Akleh. The investigation to which Israel reacted is discussed in terms of relations of the potential Israeli government led by Netanyahu with the Biden government.

The US Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) has started an investigation into the murder of Palestinian journalist Shireen Abu Akleh, who is also an American citizen. The US Department of Justice has informed the Israeli Ministry of Justice about the FBI’s investigation into the death of Al Jazeera reporter Abu Akleh, who was killed on 11 May in the occupied West Bank. At the end of the process, it was stated that the United States could make a request for the investigation of Israeli soldiers that are involved in the incident.

The investigation decision came after more than 20 US senators signed a joint letter calling for an independent FBI investigation. “This is an overdue but necessary and important step in the pursuit of justice and accountability in the shooting death of American citizen and journalist Shireen Abu Akleh,” US Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen said on Twitter, welcoming the decision. Republican Senator Ted Cruz, a prominent figure in the Israeli lobby, criticised the decision, saying that the Biden government is addressing Netanyahu and Israel: “Joe Biden and his government view Israel and his elected Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as political enemies and therefore respond to them the way they respond to all their political enemies: unleashing the FBI on them.”

Israel is reactive while Palestinian is content

The news of the investigation shocked Israel. “I made it clear to the United States that we will not cooperate with any external investigations and that we will not allow any interference in Israel’s internal affairs,” Israeli Defence Minister Benny Gantz said on his Twitter account, describing the decision to investigate as a “serious mistake”. Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid also said that they would not allow the FBI or any other foreign country organization to investigate Israeli soldiers, no matter how friendly, and added: “Our strong protest has been passed on to the Americans.”

The Palestinian Ministry of Foreign Affairs is satisfied with the decision: “This decision reflects the belief on the American side that, although it was overdue, there was no serious investigation by Israel, that Israel saw it as a formality and that it was using it as an attempt to cover up criminals and murderers.”

What happened?

Al Jazeera’s experienced field reporter, Abu Akleh, had been killed by fire opened by Israeli soldiers on 11 May while covering an attack by Israeli forces on a refugee camp in the West Bank city of Cenin. Ali es-Sumudi, the journalist who was with Abu Aqilah, was also injured in the back. The fact that Abu Akleh was shot dead by Israeli soldiers with real bullets, even though she was wearing a vest with “press” written on it while she was on her duty, caused reactions. Investigations and inquisitions made by several international institutions have concluded that Abu Aqile was targeted and killed by Israeli soldiers. The Israeli army, which has repeatedly denied responsibility for the incident and blamed the Palestinian armed groups, announced in its final report, issued on 5 September following international reactions, that “it is highly possible Abu Akleh was accidentally killed by the fire of the Israeli army”.

Far-right and democrats of Israel

It was noteworthy that after the elections in Israel, the former Prime Minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given the task of forming a government, followed by this step from the United States. The possibility of giving important ministries to Itimar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, with whom Netanyahu is preparing to form a coalition, is making the Western “democracies” uneasy due to the strict and formalist anti-Arabism of these names. US President Joe Biden’s government is forcing Netanyahu not to appoint Smotrich as defence minister, Israeli media reported. In this context, the Israeli general opinion in the press regarding the FBI investigation is that the decision was made under pressure of the Democrats in Congress. On the other hand, it is remarked that it reveals the changes in the relations between the Democratic Party and Israel and that the relations between the two countries are at a turning point in their history.

How will it affect the investigation at the ICC?

Jerusalem Post’s intelligence, terrorism and legal analyst Yonah Jeremy Bob discussed the possible effects of FBI’s investigation on the “war crimes commited in Israel” investigation at the ICC in his analysis that is titled “Is the Ben-Gvir effect wounding Israel before he even takes office?”. Former ICC Chief Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda announced in March 2021 that Israeli authorities had launched an investigation into alleged war crimes in Gaza, the West Bank and East Jerusalem. However, no concrete steps were taken in the investigation after Bensouda handed over his seat to Karim Khan in June 2021. In his analysis, Yonah Jeremy Bob pointed out that the discovery of Israeli local courts’ neglect of any war crimes allegations would strengthen the hand of the ICC’s Chief Prosecutor. Because, in accordance with the principle of “a person cannot be tried twice for a crime”, the ICC cannot file a lawsuit if the perpetrator of the crime is subject to the trial of the state in which he/she is a national. However, some gaps such as “ the collapsed judicial system” give the ICC jurisdiction.

At this point, Jeremy Bob says, “If even Israel’s most powerful ally, the US, is ready to launch its own investigation against Israelis, and if the Israeli Defence Forces’ investigation is declared inadequate, what could stop the ICC from concluding that the broader Israeli legal system is inadequate.”

‘Biden’s method of threatening’

Without any suspects and direct evidence, which Israel has already announced it will not share, the FBI’s investigation will be very limited. Bob doesn’t think Biden is planning to put bilateral relations in a major crisis by blaming a higher-level Israeli soldier. The only possibility that prompted Biden to take this step is the Itamar Ben-Gvir effect, according to Bob: “The US announcement of the FBI investigation came shortly after American authorities reportedly warned Netanyahu not to assign Ben-Gvir and Betzalel Smotrich to key security posts. There is no implicit threat: the Biden government has made it clear that they will not work with any of these men as Secretary of Defense or Minister of Public Security. (…) In addition, at least one wing of the Democrats (against Israel) is campaigning for an investigation, and the by-elections in the US are now over, meaning that a new fight with Israel will not cost the US a great deal in the elections. This could be a method for the Biden government to threaten Netanyahu about how bad he could get if he gave Ben-Gvir some real power. ”

‘Slap in the face of the Israeli government’

The issue was also addressed in the editorial of the Jerusalem Post. “It is hard to believe that the FBI will conclude anything other than the completed investigations,” the editorial said, pointing out that some of the results of Israeli investigations into the murder of Abu Aqile, including the US, have been shared with Washington. Israel, however, is a slap in the face of Jerusalem (referred to as West Jerusalem) as it moves to a new government led by Yair Lapid and Benjamin Netanyahu. ”

Although they understand the investigation into the death of a murdered American citizen, it seems to have upset and shocked the Jerusalem Post editors that the country in question is Israel: “Such investigations are not the norm when it comes to a close ally of the United States, such as Israel, who knows that Washington respects the supremacy of law and has an independent, reliable judiciary. Friends don’t treat friends that way, and we strongly invite our American allies to reconsider their decisions. ”

According to Israeli media, the United States told Netanyahu that it would not be able to establish relations with Smotrich or Ben-Gvir if they were appointed to the Defence and Homeland Security Ministries.

‘As if the occupation was an internal matter…’

Although the Israeli press is stunned and angry, there are those who do not agree with the United States. One of them is Israel’s oldest daily newspaper, Haaretz, which stands out with its leftist views. Haaretz criticizes the Israeli investigation into the murder and its consequences in his editorial titled “If the army investigates itself”. The Israeli Army’s internal investigation points out that it took Abu Akleh four months to accept the possibility that she was killed by a bullet from the Israeli soldier’s gun. In addition, the editorial cited that even this semi-joint acceptance comes after the results of an investigation conducted by a number of organisations, including the UN, points out that “if the investigation were conducted by an independent Israeli judiciary rather than by the Israeli Army, the results might be more acceptable”. In this context, it is pointed out that if the new Israeli government’s plan to control the judiciary is put into effect, Israel’s demands for “intervention” in its internal affairs will even be stronger.

According to the editorial, it is wrong to associate the FBI’s investigation decision with pressure that is put by Democrats demanding a firm stance against Israel: “Instead, Israel better start internalising that the world, including the United States, is beginning to look at what is happening in Israel more harshly. The possibility that the international community – as if the occupation of another country for more than 50 years were all about Israel’s own internal matter – will not interfere with ‘Israel’s internal affairs’ is losing its power. ”

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Shin Bet Director dismissed amid ‘Qatargate’ probe

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The Israeli government has unanimously dismissed Shin Bet Director Ronen Bar. Bar stated that the real intention behind his dismissal was to “continue ceasefire negotiations without reaching an agreement.” Referencing the Qatargate scandal investigated by Shin Bet, Bar said his dismissal “smells of foreign interests and an unprecedented conflict of interest.”

In a first for Israel, the director of Shin Bet, considered an independent institution, was dismissed by a cabinet decision. Bar did not attend the meeting where the dismissal was to be voted on, despite being summoned, but sent a letter to the ministers.

In his letter, Bar refuted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s claim that there was a trust issue between them, which Netanyahu cited as the reason for the dismissal. Bar stated, “There has been intense and effective cooperation between Shin Bet under my leadership and the Prime Minister.”

Arguing that the Shin Bet Director should be loyal to the people, not the Prime Minister, Bar said, “Netanyahu could not support the reasons he put forward for my dismissal. Despite my request, no concrete examples were provided.”

Bar argued that Netanyahu’s insistence on the lack of trust between them was not a valid basis, but that his real intention was to continue ceasefire negotiations in Gaza without reaching an agreement.

Bar stated that Netanyahu’s decision to exclude him and Mossad Chief David Barnea from the ceasefire and prisoner exchange negotiations harmed the delegation and prevented any progress in the release of prisoners.

Bar added that Netanyahu is taking steps that will “weaken the country both internally and against its enemies.”

According to Bar, the decision is driven by “foreign interests and conflict of interest.”

Shin Bet Director Bar also referred to the “Qatargate” investigation in Israel, conducted by Shin Bet, regarding allegations that Netanyahu’s close advisors received money from Qatar through shell companies.

Bar stated, “Important investigative steps are being taken. Following the disruption of these steps by a sudden and hasty dismissal based on completely unfounded allegations, there is a smell of foreign interests and an unprecedented conflict of interest.”

He warned that the dismissal, initiated by Prime Minister Netanyahu, sends a dangerous message to those under investigation and could jeopardize the outcome of the investigation.

The government’s decision to dismiss the Shin Bet Director has been taken to the High Court.

The Movement for Quality Government requested the decision be halted in a petition to the High Court.

The decision also drew a swift reaction from the opposition. Yisrael Beytenu party leader Avigdor Liberman said, “By firing Shin Bet Director Ronen Bar, Netanyahu is doing exactly what our enemies dream of.”

The main opposition leader Yair Lapid says that the government dismissed Bar “for one reason only”: to stop the Qatargate investigation.

Lapid stated, “The opposition parties will jointly object to this reckless move to legitimize the infiltration of a hostile state into the prime minister’s office.”

The “Qatargate” discussions began with allegations that millions of dollars were taken from Qatar and transferred to Netanyahu’s election campaign.

These allegations turned into an investigation conducted by Shin Bet, with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s spokespeople Eliezer Feldstein and advisors Jonathan Urich and Srulik Einhorn in the defendant’s seat.

Israeli media reported that Netanyahu also received $15 million from Qatar in 2012 and $50 million in 2018.

It was reported that Feldstein was paid by an international company to support Qatar’s image, and Netanyahu’s advisors Urich and Einhorn also provided image consultancy for Qatar.

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Gaza ceasefire: The bell of war ringing again

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The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas did not last long, and eventually the bell for war had sounded again. According to media reports, hundreds of Palestinians have been killed in the Gaza Strip as a result of Israeli airstrikes. Israeli officials also warned that the gates of hell had opened on Gaza. The United States also announced that it had responded positively to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s request to resume the war.

The question: Why has the Gaza war resumed?

First: These days, US President Donald Trump has been feverishly pushing for talks with Iran, which is not pleasing to the Israeli side. Trump has repeatedly emphasized the need to negotiate with Iran before pursuing other options.

More importantly, he recently sent a letter addressed to the Iranian Leader and also informed the media. The content of the letter is also focused on starting negotiations with Iran, although it is spoken from a position of power. Furthermore, Adam Boehler, Trump’s representative for Israeli hostage affairs, met with the Hamas leadership in Doha, the capital of Qatar, and evaluated the meeting as constructive, while in response to Tel Aviv’s criticism, he described Hamas members as good people.

Of course, it was recently claimed that he was removed from his position. Now, in order to prevent Trump and Iran from entering the negotiating line and for the US to avoid direct talks with Hamas, the Israeli side has wanted to make the situation critical so that the atmosphere for consultations remains unfavorable. Furthermore, by intensifying the attacks, Netanyahu wants to force Hamas to accept conditions that the group has so far refused to accept.

Second: In the meantime, Trump also has specific goals that he is seeking to achieve: forcing Iran to negotiate. Trump has repeatedly emphasized establishing peace; but from the position of exercising power, using the tools of sanctions and military threats. The deadly airstrikes by the US military on Yemeni Houthi positions and the hints and insinuations of Trump and his entourage towards Iran are also intended to force Tehran to agree to negotiations, and that is, negotiations whose terms and conditions are determined by the American side.

Trump’s green light to resume the Gaza war could also be in this direction, because if the ceasefire goes ahead as included in the agreement, the American and Israeli sides believe that Iran and the so-called “axis of resistance” will declare themselves victorious, and in that case Tehran will either refuse to negotiate or will try to enter the arena from a strong position.

Third: It is true that Trump signed the plan to resume the war, but he will not support the continuation of the war and its spread, for three reasons:

1- it would contradict the slogans that Trump has constantly chanted to end wars. More importantly, since he values ​​the principle of “cost-benefit” so much, his support for a long and consequential war would harm the achievement of the larger goals he has in mind.

Therefore, it supports what Netanyahu wants to a certain extent, which is natural; but it seems unlikely that the previous US administration would want to continuously pump advanced weapons and military equipment into Israel for more than a year.

2- Second, Trump’s support for a long war that results in the deaths of Palestinian civilians could undermine the prospects for expanding the Abraham Accords, an agreement that Trump holds in high regard and cites as the most important achievement of her first administration.

Arab governments also have a sense of dignity and prestige and will not join this treaty for free, especially Saudi Arabia. Therefore, Trump does not want the scope of this treaty to remain narrow.

3- If Trump agrees to support a large-scale and high-consequence war in Gaza, America will be stuck in the Middle East, which will sideline the rest of the White House’s priorities: Ending the war in Ukraine, a trade war with China, Canada, Europe, etc. When the US is once again involved in the Gaza conflict, Russia will become bolder and, instead of giving in to Trump’s demand to sign a ceasefire agreement, will insist on continuing the war to occupy more territory in Ukraine. The trade war with China and Europe also requires that Trump be comfortable with the Middle East.

4- Netanyahu’s cabinet is grappling with numerous internal problems. For example, Internal Security Minister Ben-Governor resigned and left the government in response to accepting the first phase of the ceasefire. Smotrich, another Netanyahu ally, has also warned that he will resign in response to accepting the second phase, which would lead to the collapse of the cabinet.

Apart from that, the risk of launching a comprehensive investigation to clarify the dimensions of the October 7 attack is also prominent, which is possible in the absence of war conditions. In recent days, a serious disagreement between Netanyahu and Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar has flared up, leading to the latter’s dismissal. This dismissal is said to be related to the risk of leaking documents that could jeopardize Netanyahu’s political life.

Now, the simple and inexpensive way to keep the government going and quell internal disputes is to resume the war with Hamas, so that the opposing and supporting view of the external enemy is fixed. In the meantime, the protests of the families of the hostages and the opposition forces are important as a deterrent; but not to the extent of the internal conflict in the cabinet, the disclosure of documents and the preparation of the investigation file into the October 7 attack, which could put an end to the life of the Netanyahu government.

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Israeli army expands ground invasion in Gaza

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The Israeli army is expanding its ground invasion in Gaza after resuming attacks and breaking the ceasefire. The Israeli army, which initially entered the Netzarim Corridor, bisecting Gaza along a north-south axis, has announced the commencement of a ground invasion in the north. In response to Israel’s intensified attacks, Hamas targeted Tel Aviv for the first time in five months.

In a statement, the Israeli army announced the start of ground operations in the northern Gaza Strip, adding that the operations are being conducted jointly with Shin Bet, its internal intelligence agency.

Ground operations have reportedly begun off the coast of the Beit Lahia region in the northern Gaza Strip, preceded by aerial targeting of Hamas sites in the area.

The statement noted that attacks on Gaza continued throughout the night, purportedly targeting military structures and weapons.

The statement also affirmed that attacks on the Gaza Strip are ongoing.

Conversely, it is anticipated that Israel will conduct even more intensive attacks in Gaza than its previous operations, which resulted in the deaths of thousands of civilians.

The Walla news site reported that the Israeli army used the ceasefire to reinforce its strength and replenish its arsenal.

The report stated that Israel has increased the capability of its armored vehicles and added new ones to its inventory. It also assessed that the new Chief of General Staff, Eyal Zamir, with the support of the US, will use more firepower and be more aggressive.

After breaking the ceasefire with Hamas and resuming airstrikes, the Israeli army announced the resumption of its ground invasion in the Netzarim Corridor, which divides Gaza along a north-south axis.

The Israeli army, which withdrew from the Netzarim Corridor on February 9 as part of a ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement, has reoccupied the corridor. It has also demanded that Palestinians evacuate from certain areas, announcing that the army is conducting pinpoint strikes.

While Salahaddin Street is closed, Palestinians traveling along the north-south axis of Gaza can use Rashid Street on the coast, it was noted.

Meanwhile, the Israeli army is expanding its occupation in the buffer zone around the Gaza Strip, continuing its ground invasion in the areas off Beit Lahia and Khan Yunis.

Hamas’s military wing, the Kassam Brigades, announced that it bombed Tel Aviv with M90 rockets in response to “the Zionist massacres against civilians.”

The Israeli army also announced that three long-range rockets were fired from the southern Gaza Strip towards Tel Aviv, the capital of Israel. According to the statement, one of the rockets was intercepted by air defense systems, while the other two hit open areas. This marks the first time Hamas has targeted Tel Aviv since October 7, 2024.

Furthermore, Hamas announced that negotiations with mediators are ongoing to halt Israeli attacks and force Tel Aviv to implement the agreed-upon ceasefire agreement.

Hamas Spokesman Abdullatif al-Kanu stated in a written statement that they are committed to the ceasefire agreement and are “working with mediators to save the Palestinian people from the war and to ensure the withdrawal of the occupiers from Gaza.”

Kanu added, “The blockade, starvation, and genocide being carried out against Gaza require the Arab League and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) to take immediate action.”

Egyptian Foreign Minister Bedr Abdulati and Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdurrahman Al Sani also discussed the situation in Gaza in a telephone conversation.

At least 710 people have died and more than 900 have been injured in the attacks launched by the Israeli army on the Gaza Strip since the morning of March 18.

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