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Iranian Professor: Ongoing nationwide protests have social fact, not politics

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An Iranian professor of anthropology at Tehran University has been considering the root of the nearly two months of nationwide protests as transformation of a political matter into a social matter that highlights the social development of Iranians people which believes: “In the future, there will be more movements with more culturally and cognitively that they will be treated and tried to deal every issues “questioningly.”

Ebrahim Fayyaz, is one of famous academic figures in the field of humanities, especially sociology, has been trying to evaluate and calculate the protests since its eruption by presenting opinions and analyzing the causes of these demonstrations from a sociological perspective.

Fayyaz’s opinions and analysis and those of other professors of sociology, have earned mixed reactions though it was in the favor of the protestors or against, but they found their own fans. What is more important than agreeing or disagreeing with these different and sometimes conflicting points of expressions, is the attention of the “academic” personalities on the street protests, an approach which was absent in the late 90s. The deficiency has been described due to the “theoretical poverty, scientific weakness and lack of analytical ability” of most sociologists and experts in that time. Two analytical examinations were made public, but cut off due to lack of media coverage.

However, at the current time, the universities and academic institutions have adapted an active look towards political and social issues in the past one decade. It’s appreciable to see that the professors and the students of the “school of thought” have come to a conclusion that remaining silent and ignoring social and political issues like in the past, is not justifiable.

Here is the interview of Ebrahim Fayyaz conducted by the Iranian news agency ISNA.

Two months have passed since the death of Mahsa Amini and the start of protests across Iran. There are different points of views and analysis regarding the origin of the protests.  Some say it’s only a political move, while others call it a freedom moment, and others label it as a foreign conspiracy against Iran. What is your take on the root of these protests?

Currently we have reached the peak. And it is important to emphasize that we need to theorize the structure of our society in terms of time, history and geography. At the present, the course of Iranian society did not theorize at all, or it has been theorized by the western ideas.

As far as your question goes, I must say that from 1968 to 1988, our society has witnessed the rule of the economy in the country. At that time, we were not thinking of other issues but rather to have a better car, a better house, a better neighborhood, a better school, and etc….

However, since 1988 with the emergence of movements and other issues, we have triggered political wrangling and year after that we engaged more in communications. In term of economy, the instinct of hunger was the sole reason behind it, after 2008, the sexual intuition and even now it is the human communication impulse that has prevailed.

The second point is that we are lacking a clear policy to deal with these issues at first place, and no specific rule was chalked out to overcome the problems and organizations like the Publicity Office, Cultural Revolution Council, and academic insinuations did not theorize these issues and now we are suffering a dead end and come as a shock.

Since we are in deadlock, now some says morality policy patrol should be further made stricter, another comes with an idea that if a woman enter a bank without headscarf (hijab) should be fined, or a taxi driver who have a female customer without hijab should be find, and etc….

Such statements were already made and on other sides they were ready to respond where the death of Mehsa Amini was the start point. The scenario resembled an explosive device the size of a world that just needed a click, which now caused a strong explosion.

Do you see any relationship between the communication issue and the recent protests?

We already entered into communication issues and this will make use to hold a deep discussion on it and it could also probably take the media coverage. Whether in the field of religion, politics, aesthetics, opinion, and power, all these issues will earn media dimensions, and that’s why I predict that indigenous theorizing in all above aspects will rise in the future.

On the other hand, our society is full of foreign theories, but I think this will no longer be useful. The young generation will not go under this burden and this is at time while the institutions such as “Academic Jihad” or other similar institutions have made progress in experimental sciences and engineering and have not progressed in humanities like other scientific institutions.

This is the main reason that we are suffering from shortage of social capital and humanities. I mean only medication and engineering have flourished while humanities have completely abandoned as well as severely weakened. This has caused calamity in the society, though not for everyone, but it has taken the path of peace. And now we lost peace and a hiring crisis, and we are experiencing rebellion. It means, the current movement, almost all segments of the society are on the streets and the main focus of it are young and teenage girls.

In the past decades, there were street protests over range of issues like focusing on press freedom over suspending of Salam newspaper in 1978, questioning the election votes (1988), criticizing economic policies and high prices (1996 and 1998), but now the protestors are chanting slogans “women, freedom, and life.” How do you see the change from a sociological point of view?

These are highly developed movements that are controlled without any political leader. In 2018, the protests were political-motivated, but now it is not like that anymore. This is merely because social media changed attention from political developments toward social.

Now, the concept of the nation-state has changed in the world. Currently, other platforms, especially social media are now engaged in economic affairs. It means you are able to order goods from one city to another within the country or outside the country, without knowing on the other side. Just you need to pay and he will send you the goods. In a general view, we have moved in a way that we deliberately created problems. I mean if anything was related to the social issues, the politicians linked that into politics, but it was truly a social problem not politics – like that the political matter has become a social matter now. This means that Iran has become an advanced country. In Saudi Arabia, the political matter is still treated as politics, but in Iran, the political issues have now become a social matter.

How do you see the role of the domestic and foreign media, especially social platforms in influencing public opinion, especially in shaping the mentality of the protesters?

We, in Iran, because of thinking transcendentally and due to the mystical nature of literature, we often don’t see the quick intellect that is technology. There is no doubt that technology is changing drastically, and it has a huge impact. First, it changes the lifestyle, which means the relationship between life and technology. Digital technology changes the structure of Iran and the world day by day. Now we have created an ideological combination called “social space” and we kept saying that this space is virtual and that space is real, but the reality is that this is digital technology.

This technology is making everything so easy as well as cheap and also everyone could get easy access to it. So it means that in the not-so-distant future, our whole lives will change through this technology. The most important point is that this technology removes everything from ambiguity whether it be religion or other issues. How Hinduism thinks, how Buddhism is formed, where is Islam, where is Christianity, what is Judaism, technology is demystifying it all.

Well, of course technology doesn’t do that in Iran alone, now this technology is creating problems for Israel who wants to provide an iron and closed ideological system. The power of social media in the US and EU is also a big issue. The EU said that they can’t ignore the role of social media in influencing people.

What is more highlighted in the current protests compared to the previous years is the clash of protestors with the police and security forces, with the change in slogans. How do you see the cause of these changes?

Profanity is linguistic language. When the sexual instinct is not legitimately satisfied, it becomes a curse. That’s the fact they chant slogans that “you are a whore, you are a whore, I am a free woman”, it means that they want to say that I am a free woman who wants to get married and start a family. These people should understand that marriage is natural thing and belongs to all people of the world. Marriage is sacred in everywhere around the world. Marriage is being performed in the form of a religiously ceremony not matter if it is in Christianity, Jews or Buddhists. But one thing is good that these developments are positive and women are opposing homosexuality and consider their sexual partner to be a man and not their same sex.

In universities, they also can’t eat together; my question is why they shouldn’t sit together in the canteen? What is this? The main thing is that the children want to sit next to each other in the cafeteria and get to know each other and get married. Why these restrictions. They are not perverts. People have families and think about marriage. Let the student get married believe me, the addiction to even cigarettes decreases tenfold. Why has smoking addiction increased in universities? Because drugs are complementary to sex and if it is not, drugs take its place.

So you see the origin of such developments more in the context of marriage?

They asked me if women should go inside the stadium or not, I replied that first of all, we don’t have men and women as you say. The Iranian people are usually going everywhere with their families no matter if they go to the park, in the cinema, or in other such environments.

In the football stadiums, when the atmosphere becomes like a family, then the bad mouthing and collective obscenity of the single man in the football and other sport stadiums, which has damaged the personality of football, will no longer exist; even in my opinion, it will affect the quality of Iranian football and the quality of the games.

The biggest assets of the Iranian people are their family. Now, when a girl and a boy want to get married while they are students, why do they need to have so much cat and mouse? Even the teachers in the universities should help these students, and I have personally helped many of my students in this issue. We must understand that university is not only an educational structure. It is also a social structure.

How do you see the future of the country’s political and social environment? Will there be reformation of some governance policies, or will the confrontations continue?

The recent protests have come as a shock, actually a massive shock. Well this is not just a shock because most of the movements are intellectual that are now in the streets. Indeed, these protests started from the universities and rapidly spread into society and turned violent. However, now again it returned to the universities and apparently the violence is decreasing. The next level, it could be turned into writing and holding conferences, and whereas the sexual thing will be recognized and after that the communication obsession will also be accepted. We are basically moving in the same direction.

If we look at the past, since 2008, it gives an indication that we have become closer to the cultural and intellectual movements. As we move forward, the movements have become more cultural and epistemological.

After this, these social movements will turn into cognitive movements and starting thinking about sexual issues, and how to think about religious, politics and aesthetics issues, and how to think about seeking power.

A structural movement has already been formed and this is the beginning of the work. It would be naïve to think that this movement is over. Currently the movement is thinking about women’s issues, but it is not limited to them, and don’t doubt that it will bring changes and local ideas will be formed.

How do you see the government’s reaction to this?

There is no other choice but to go with them. The movement is serious. I am defining myself inside the Islamic Republic and talking about this issue. Many people are thinking like me, but of course it is time-consuming to reach a conclusion. We don’t have a theory nor a strategy. Our universities are very backward and studying at the university has become extremely meaningless, both in humanities and in technical and engineering sciences.

Because digital technology has now adopted the work of the human memory, and that is a huge library of several million books that can be gathered in a few minutes. It means that knowledge and insight can be searched and that is important.

Anyway, to say we are making the future or the future will shape us, but one thing is important to realize that building the future requires knowledge, insight and ideas. Unfortunately, we do not use the knowledge as well as the insight which is on the Internet, and there is no news of ideas. We are unfortunately moving violently into the future. One thing is for sure that we make the future for ourselves, we will make it with peace and ease, but if it makes our future, it will definitely be with violence.

Middle East

Eisenkot ties Syria pact to withdrawal of Russian and Turkish forces

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Gadi Eisenkot, Benjamin Netanyahu’s fiercest challenger in this month’s elections, has conditioned any agreement with Syria on the complete withdrawal of Turkish and Russian forces.

In an extensive interview with The Times of Israel (ToI), the leader of the Yashar Party and former chief of staff said it was necessary to take advantage of the “fluid situation” in Syria.

Contending that Syria’s transitional leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, is “originally a very extreme person, an ISIS member,” Eisenkot remarked: “I have no illusions about him; together with the Americans operating in Syria, I killed many people from his organisation.”

Nevertheless, the opposition leader emphasised that a crucial question must be posed:

“Is there an opportunity to take the 1974 Kissinger interim agreements and significantly upgrade them, with tight security arrangements that will ultimately bring about the withdrawal of foreign forces from Syria?”

Asked by the reporter whether this included Israel withdrawing from Mount Hermon and key strategic positions in Syria, Eisenkot replied:

“The fundamental condition is the complete expulsion of the Turks and the Russians from the area. As for Mount Hermon and the relevant security arrangements, these must be negotiated.”

Arguing that Israel must speak from a “position of strength” backed by “unshakeable American guarantees,” Eisenkot added: “There must be an American protective umbrella, oversight, and commitment that will enable Israel to take calculated risks.”

Pointing to the “extremely problematic situation” created by Netanyahu over the past three years, the Yashar leader described it as an “ever-widening and dangerous gap between American interests in the Middle East and Israel’s interests.”

Noting that Israel shares “deep common interests” with the US, Eisenkot listed them as: “maintaining stability in the Middle East, strengthening the moderate Sunni camp, weakening the radical Shiite axis, weakening the fundamentalist Sunni axis, and subsequently achieving economic prosperity in the region.”

Stating that a “strong Israel as a strategic asset” for the Middle East is also an asset for the US, the Israeli politician emphasised his support for moving towards the establishment of a “NATO of Sunni states.” He stressed that Israel could make major contributions in early-warning intelligence and defence systems, adding:

“We have proven this capability. Today, there are Arab countries in the Gulf that quietly receive Israeli protection. I also connect this to the broader peace effort that Israeli leaders have unfortunately stopped talking about. We want peace.”

Within this framework, Eisenkot noted the necessity of strengthening already signed peace treaties: “These must never be taken for granted, as there is also deep concern that these agreements could slide backwards. Therefore, we must strengthen our relations with Egypt, Jordan, and the signatory countries of the Abraham Accords, and actively involve other countries in the process. I believe there may also be an opportunity regarding Lebanon.”

Contending that Netanyahu’s “blatant foolishness and dreadful political-strategic judgment” had dragged Israel to rock bottom, the opposition leader pointed out that 12 countries are currently waiting to impose sanctions on Israel.

“Even the Americans have begun considering the possibility of imposing sanctions on official Israeli actors in Judea and Samaria [the West Bank],” Eisenkot said.

Noting that the steps he would take in the West Bank would not be a political gesture aimed at bringing Saudi Arabia into the Abraham Accords, but would be done “entirely in Israel’s interests,” Eisenkot said he would improve security conditions in the region, prevent the burning of Palestinian homes and villages by extremist Jewish settlers, and intervene with an “iron fist” against anyone acting outside the law.

“That is exactly how I acted throughout my military service. [Those attacks] did not happen when I was Chief of Staff,” Eisenkot said, referring to assaults by illegal Jewish settlers on Palestinian villages in the West Bank.

The Yashar leader argued that anyone seeking to establish full sovereignty over the West Bank and incorporate another 2.8 million Palestinians into Israel is “endangering the Zionist project and the Jewish demographic majority.”

Addressing Netanyahu’s judicial overhaul, Eisenkot said: “Anyone who seeks to weaken the Supreme Court and crush the judiciary is endangering democracy.”

Accusing Netanyahu of desiring “endless wars,” the opposition leader said: “We will change this through a rational government. Netanyahu’s government is pursuing an entirely irrational policy: it incites conflict solely to consolidate its domestic political base. For this single purpose, it clashes with everyone.”

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CIA report warns Israel faces growing risk of civil conflict

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Deepening political fractures, economic strains, and societal fault lines in Israel are confronting the country with the potential for civil conflict and the breakdown of state mechanisms.

According to a report by Drop Site News citing two US sources, these findings are detailed in a classified Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) assessment drafted in August.

The report by Aída Chávez notes that the assessment, titled “Fracturing from Within”, was authored by experts within the CIA’s Red Cell unit, which is tasked with examining alternative and contrarian scenarios.

The CIA declined to answer questions regarding the assessment, which was compiled by combining open-source data with US intelligence holdings.

The report emphasises that the assessment focuses solely on Israel’s Jewish population, excluding from its analysis the country’s Palestinian citizens, who make up approximately 20% of the population.

It notes that Amnesty International and various human rights organisations characterise the practices endured by this segment of the population as part of a broad apartheid system.

The report outlines multilayered risks accumulating across the country ahead of the 27 October elections.

These factors include economic bottlenecks fuelled by surging military expenditures, heavily armed soldiers returning from protracted combat with severe psychological trauma, escalating settler violence in the occupied West Bank, and a constitutional crisis sparked by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s efforts to retain power.

Speaking to Drop Site News, an intelligence source pointed out that the team responsible for the report comprises experts deeply familiar with the Israeli landscape, stating: “This is not an imaginary ‘what if’ scenario. Considering the upcoming elections and divisions in Israel, we must take seriously its findings that the country is only one spark away from real civil conflict.”

One of the sharpest points of tension in Israeli domestic politics involves mandatory military service exemptions granted to ultra-Orthodox men. The divide is widening between the ultra-Orthodox community, which continues to receive state subsidies while enjoying sweeping draft exemptions, and reservists being repeatedly mobilised to the front lines.

The rationale cited by religious leaders for rejecting military service is not opposition to war, but the argument that Torah study and religious life would be threatened.

A deteriorating economic landscape is also aggravating pressure on households. According to data, basic food prices, including fresh fruits and vegetables, have surged by 9.5% over the past two years, reaching record highs.

The report states that the majority of domestic opposition to Netanyahu focuses not on violence directed against Palestinians, but on how these policies are executed and on the security failures of 7 October.

Major Zionist parties remain divided over coalition strategies, while opinion polls indicate that neither the governing nor the opposition blocs can attain the 61-seat majority required to form a government.

Recalling historical eras in which traumatised, armed veterans coincided with intense political division, one consulted source cited the Freikorps units in post-First World War Germany.

The source remarked that while modern Israel is not identical to interwar Germany, certain parallels can be observed.

The CIA assessment also considers Israel’s mounting international isolation and the erosion of US support as factors that could accelerate collapse dynamics.

Israeli officials are reported to be concerned that reliance on billions of dollars in direct US military aid may prove unsustainable amid weakening political consensus.

Spring data from the Pew Research Center indicates that 60% of Americans view Israel unfavourably, up from 53% a year earlier.

The report projects that foreign technology and artificial intelligence investments could be withdrawn if the domestic crisis deepens. It underscores that such an outcome would further destabilise under-pressure economic fundamentals.

Additionally, regional countries could question the strategic value of normalisation processes, while Hamas or Hezbollah might exploit internal vulnerabilities within the country.

Intelligence sources emphasise that the assessment deliberately adopted the term “civil conflict”, warning that the compounding array of domestic pressures may ultimately prove impossible to contain through military means.

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US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt

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The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.

The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.

Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.

Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.

A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.

Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.

A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”

This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.

An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”

The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”

“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.

The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.

The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.

A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.

In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”

The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.

The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.

Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.

Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.

In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.

Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.

This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.

Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.

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