Middle East
Is the FBI’s ‘Shireen’ investigation a message to Netanyahu?
The FBI will investigate the murder of US citizen Palestinian journalist Shireen Abu Akleh. The investigation to which Israel reacted is discussed in terms of relations of the potential Israeli government led by Netanyahu with the Biden government.
The FBI will investigate the murder of US citizen Palestinian journalist Shireen Abu Akleh. The investigation to which Israel reacted is discussed in terms of relations of the potential Israeli government led by Netanyahu with the Biden government.
The US Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) has started an investigation into the murder of Palestinian journalist Shireen Abu Akleh, who is also an American citizen. The US Department of Justice has informed the Israeli Ministry of Justice about the FBI’s investigation into the death of Al Jazeera reporter Abu Akleh, who was killed on 11 May in the occupied West Bank. At the end of the process, it was stated that the United States could make a request for the investigation of Israeli soldiers that are involved in the incident.
The investigation decision came after more than 20 US senators signed a joint letter calling for an independent FBI investigation. “This is an overdue but necessary and important step in the pursuit of justice and accountability in the shooting death of American citizen and journalist Shireen Abu Akleh,” US Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen said on Twitter, welcoming the decision. Republican Senator Ted Cruz, a prominent figure in the Israeli lobby, criticised the decision, saying that the Biden government is addressing Netanyahu and Israel: “Joe Biden and his government view Israel and his elected Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as political enemies and therefore respond to them the way they respond to all their political enemies: unleashing the FBI on them.”
Israel is reactive while Palestinian is content
The news of the investigation shocked Israel. “I made it clear to the United States that we will not cooperate with any external investigations and that we will not allow any interference in Israel’s internal affairs,” Israeli Defence Minister Benny Gantz said on his Twitter account, describing the decision to investigate as a “serious mistake”. Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid also said that they would not allow the FBI or any other foreign country organization to investigate Israeli soldiers, no matter how friendly, and added: “Our strong protest has been passed on to the Americans.”
The Palestinian Ministry of Foreign Affairs is satisfied with the decision: “This decision reflects the belief on the American side that, although it was overdue, there was no serious investigation by Israel, that Israel saw it as a formality and that it was using it as an attempt to cover up criminals and murderers.”
What happened?
Al Jazeera’s experienced field reporter, Abu Akleh, had been killed by fire opened by Israeli soldiers on 11 May while covering an attack by Israeli forces on a refugee camp in the West Bank city of Cenin. Ali es-Sumudi, the journalist who was with Abu Aqilah, was also injured in the back. The fact that Abu Akleh was shot dead by Israeli soldiers with real bullets, even though she was wearing a vest with “press” written on it while she was on her duty, caused reactions. Investigations and inquisitions made by several international institutions have concluded that Abu Aqile was targeted and killed by Israeli soldiers. The Israeli army, which has repeatedly denied responsibility for the incident and blamed the Palestinian armed groups, announced in its final report, issued on 5 September following international reactions, that “it is highly possible Abu Akleh was accidentally killed by the fire of the Israeli army”.
Far-right and democrats of Israel
It was noteworthy that after the elections in Israel, the former Prime Minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given the task of forming a government, followed by this step from the United States. The possibility of giving important ministries to Itimar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, with whom Netanyahu is preparing to form a coalition, is making the Western “democracies” uneasy due to the strict and formalist anti-Arabism of these names. US President Joe Biden’s government is forcing Netanyahu not to appoint Smotrich as defence minister, Israeli media reported. In this context, the Israeli general opinion in the press regarding the FBI investigation is that the decision was made under pressure of the Democrats in Congress. On the other hand, it is remarked that it reveals the changes in the relations between the Democratic Party and Israel and that the relations between the two countries are at a turning point in their history.
How will it affect the investigation at the ICC?
Jerusalem Post’s intelligence, terrorism and legal analyst Yonah Jeremy Bob discussed the possible effects of FBI’s investigation on the “war crimes commited in Israel” investigation at the ICC in his analysis that is titled “Is the Ben-Gvir effect wounding Israel before he even takes office?”. Former ICC Chief Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda announced in March 2021 that Israeli authorities had launched an investigation into alleged war crimes in Gaza, the West Bank and East Jerusalem. However, no concrete steps were taken in the investigation after Bensouda handed over his seat to Karim Khan in June 2021. In his analysis, Yonah Jeremy Bob pointed out that the discovery of Israeli local courts’ neglect of any war crimes allegations would strengthen the hand of the ICC’s Chief Prosecutor. Because, in accordance with the principle of “a person cannot be tried twice for a crime”, the ICC cannot file a lawsuit if the perpetrator of the crime is subject to the trial of the state in which he/she is a national. However, some gaps such as “ the collapsed judicial system” give the ICC jurisdiction.
At this point, Jeremy Bob says, “If even Israel’s most powerful ally, the US, is ready to launch its own investigation against Israelis, and if the Israeli Defence Forces’ investigation is declared inadequate, what could stop the ICC from concluding that the broader Israeli legal system is inadequate.”
‘Biden’s method of threatening’
Without any suspects and direct evidence, which Israel has already announced it will not share, the FBI’s investigation will be very limited. Bob doesn’t think Biden is planning to put bilateral relations in a major crisis by blaming a higher-level Israeli soldier. The only possibility that prompted Biden to take this step is the Itamar Ben-Gvir effect, according to Bob: “The US announcement of the FBI investigation came shortly after American authorities reportedly warned Netanyahu not to assign Ben-Gvir and Betzalel Smotrich to key security posts. There is no implicit threat: the Biden government has made it clear that they will not work with any of these men as Secretary of Defense or Minister of Public Security. (…) In addition, at least one wing of the Democrats (against Israel) is campaigning for an investigation, and the by-elections in the US are now over, meaning that a new fight with Israel will not cost the US a great deal in the elections. This could be a method for the Biden government to threaten Netanyahu about how bad he could get if he gave Ben-Gvir some real power. ”
‘Slap in the face of the Israeli government’
The issue was also addressed in the editorial of the Jerusalem Post. “It is hard to believe that the FBI will conclude anything other than the completed investigations,” the editorial said, pointing out that some of the results of Israeli investigations into the murder of Abu Aqile, including the US, have been shared with Washington. Israel, however, is a slap in the face of Jerusalem (referred to as West Jerusalem) as it moves to a new government led by Yair Lapid and Benjamin Netanyahu. ”
Although they understand the investigation into the death of a murdered American citizen, it seems to have upset and shocked the Jerusalem Post editors that the country in question is Israel: “Such investigations are not the norm when it comes to a close ally of the United States, such as Israel, who knows that Washington respects the supremacy of law and has an independent, reliable judiciary. Friends don’t treat friends that way, and we strongly invite our American allies to reconsider their decisions. ”
According to Israeli media, the United States told Netanyahu that it would not be able to establish relations with Smotrich or Ben-Gvir if they were appointed to the Defence and Homeland Security Ministries.
‘As if the occupation was an internal matter…’
Although the Israeli press is stunned and angry, there are those who do not agree with the United States. One of them is Israel’s oldest daily newspaper, Haaretz, which stands out with its leftist views. Haaretz criticizes the Israeli investigation into the murder and its consequences in his editorial titled “If the army investigates itself”. The Israeli Army’s internal investigation points out that it took Abu Akleh four months to accept the possibility that she was killed by a bullet from the Israeli soldier’s gun. In addition, the editorial cited that even this semi-joint acceptance comes after the results of an investigation conducted by a number of organisations, including the UN, points out that “if the investigation were conducted by an independent Israeli judiciary rather than by the Israeli Army, the results might be more acceptable”. In this context, it is pointed out that if the new Israeli government’s plan to control the judiciary is put into effect, Israel’s demands for “intervention” in its internal affairs will even be stronger.
According to the editorial, it is wrong to associate the FBI’s investigation decision with pressure that is put by Democrats demanding a firm stance against Israel: “Instead, Israel better start internalising that the world, including the United States, is beginning to look at what is happening in Israel more harshly. The possibility that the international community – as if the occupation of another country for more than 50 years were all about Israel’s own internal matter – will not interfere with ‘Israel’s internal affairs’ is losing its power. ”
Middle East
Iran to receive hundreds of Chinese shoulder-fired missiles within weeks, sources say
Iran is expected to receive its first shipment of 400 Chinese-made shoulder-fired air defense missile systems within weeks as it seeks to rebuild its air defenses amid an ongoing war with the US.
Three sources with knowledge of the agreement disclosed the information to Reuters.
Valued at between $60 million and $70 million, the purchase represents one of Tehran’s largest known efforts to bolster its short-range air defense capabilities since the outbreak of hostilities with the US and Israel.
According to the sources, the contract covers between 300 and 400 man-portable air defense systems, or MANPADS, including Chinese-made QW-12 and FN-16 missiles.
The deal was signed with Hong Kong-based Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment, which reportedly acted as an intermediary between the Iranian side and the Chinese supplier.
Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has not yet responded to a request for comment from Reuters regarding the information provided by the sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.
China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued the following statement:
“The relevant reports are completely baseless. China has consistently played a role in promoting peace and bringing an end to the conflict.”
Beijing-based Zhong Qing Bao Shang Group, the parent company of Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment, did not immediately respond to a request for comment sent on Tuesday.
Iran needs to rearm following months of conflict during which the US and Israel struck facilities tied to its missile, drone, and air defense programs. Tehran responded to those attacks with salvos of ballistic missiles and drones.
The fighting demonstrated the difficulty of defending static military and strategic installations against advanced fighter jets and precision-guided munitions.
Washington abruptly halted its two-week bombing campaign on Saturday. However, US President Donald Trump said attacks would resume if negotiations aimed at ending the five-month war—which has theoretically been under a ceasefire since April—fail.
The delivery of hundreds of MANPADS systems would significantly expand Iran’s inventory of short-range air defense weapons.
However, the sources cautioned that while the agreement has been signed, the delivery schedule, quantities, and other operational details remain subject to change.
Under the plan agreed upon by the parties, initial deliveries will be transported by air from the western Chinese city of Urumqi before being routed through Pakistan to Iran. The sources did not clarify whether transport following the transit through Pakistan would occur by air or land.
The Pakistani military’s public relations wing, ISPR, said in a statement:
“Allegations that Pakistan is playing a role in the supply of air defense weapons from China to Iran are completely fabricated and contrary to fact.”
Two Western intelligence sources and an Iranian official said Tehran is also exploring the option of using overland routes to transport Chinese-made military equipment and dual-use components more covertly, reducing the risk of shipments being intercepted.
The procurement process underscores how the Islamic Republic of Iran continues to rely on a combination of domestic arms production and foreign suppliers, despite years of sanctions and defense import restrictions.
Reuters previously reported, citing individuals familiar with the discussions, that Iran was close to concluding a separate deal to purchase anti-ship cruise missiles from China. Reuters was unable to confirm whether that agreement was finalized.
Middle East
Saudi crude exports from Yanbu plunge 40% as Yemeni strikes force reliance on costlier routes
Crude oil shipments from Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu Port on the Red Sea coast have dropped by 40% over the past few days.
According to data published on July 26 by maritime intelligence firm Vortexa, the Riyadh administration has begun utilizing the SUMED pipeline in Egypt and alternative transit routes in an effort to bypass the naval blockade declared by forces aligned with Sanaa.
The sharp decline in shipment volumes follows retaliatory operations and the enforcement of a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia by the Yemeni Armed Forces, operating under the Ansarallah movement.
Riyadh has maintained military strikes and blockade measures against Yemen for nearly 12 years.
A Sunday report by maritime intelligence firm Windward, drawing on Vortexa data, noted that Saudi Arabia has established a new logistical framework to maintain its export flows. “Saudi Arabia has created an alternative export route functioning via the SUMED pipeline and the Cape of Good Hope,” the report stated. The agency reported that this shift has driven up transportation costs by approximately $9 per barrel.
The market analysis report provided the following assessment regarding the operational mechanics of the transition:
“Saudi crude shipments have not stopped; they have been split into two distinct routes. Tankers berthing at Yanbu Port are now operating with their AIS signals completely turned off. Vessels are concealing their locations to avoid inclusion on Ansarallah’s target list. Saudi Arabia has established an alternative export route operating via the SUMED pipeline and the Cape of Good Hope. Although this route increases costs and transit times, it demonstrates that the market is capable of adapting to changing conditions.”
Saudi Arabia previously activated a similar alternative route via Yanbu during the initial phase of the US-Israel war, following Iran’s first blockade measures directed at the Strait of Hormuz.
At the time of the Windward report’s release, satellite imagery published by SoarAtlas revealed the ongoing situation at Saudi Aramco’s Jizan Oil Refinery. Massive fires triggered by attacks carried out by the Yemeni Armed Forces were shown to be persisting at the $12 billion facility. Images captured on Saturday documented dense black smoke continuing to billow from a giant oil storage tank at the site.
The Yemeni Armed Forces publicly announced their latest military operations against Saudi Arabia on July 25. They stated that the strikes were executed in response to the Saudi-led coalition resuming aerial bombardments against the Yemeni port city of Hodeidah.
An official statement issued by the Yemeni military under the Ansarallah-led administration provided the following details:
“In response to this overt and criminal aggression, the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out two specialized military operations. In the first operation, sensitive Saudi Aramco facilities in Jizan were targeted with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones. In the second operation, sensitive Saudi Aramco facilities in Yanbu were struck using ballistic and cruise missiles alongside unmanned aerial vehicles.”
Spokespersons for the Yemeni military emphasized that the strikes were “precise” and “direct,” while residents in the city of Yanbu were reported to have heard explosions over the weekend. In the early hours of Saturday, Saudi airstrikes had targeted fuel storage facilities and telecommunications infrastructure in Hodeidah.
Mahdi al-Mashat, President of the Ansarallah Supreme Political Council, issued a warning to the Saudi Arabian leadership in a statement on July 27. “We say to the Saudi enemy that those offering you false hopes will be of no avail. Anything short of an end to the aggression and the complete lifting of the blockade is mere fantasy,” al-Mashat said.
In line with their naval blockade decision, the Yemeni Armed Forces have also targeted two Saudi oil tankers with missiles in recent days. The Sanaa administration officially initiated its maritime restrictions on July 20 under the stated principle of “a blockade for a blockade.”
This latest phase of heightened tension began in early July when Saudi Arabia launched an airstrike targeting Sanaa International Airport for the first time after a prolonged hiatus. Yemeni forces responded by striking Abha Airport in Saudi Arabia with missiles and drones. The attack marked the Yemeni military’s first direct retaliatory strike inside Saudi territory since 2021.
The Saudi-led coalition initially intervened in Yemen in 2015 after Ansarallah took control of the capital, Sanaa, and ousted the Riyadh-backed government. The United Arab Emirates joined as a principal coalition partner, while the UK, the US, and Israel provided logistical support.
During peace negotiations conducted between Saudi Arabia and Yemen in 2023, the parties came close to a final agreement before talks stalled. Nevertheless, those contacts effectively served to freeze large-scale combat operations for an extended period.
The air and sea blockade enforced by Saudi Arabia for over a decade has deepened the humanitarian crisis, particularly due to commercial flight restrictions imposed on Sanaa International Airport. These measures have prevented critically ill and injured civilians from traveling abroad for medical treatment, while the coalition’s military intervention has driven widespread famine and resulted in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people. Prior to Riyadh’s latest airstrikes, Yemeni forces had been conducting a general mobilization aimed at expelling coalition elements from the country.
Middle East
Pentagon faces severe budget crunch as Middle East operational costs drain key military funds
The US Department of Defense is facing a severe budgetary shortfall driven by the escalation of the war with Iran, according to current and former American officials cited by The Washington Post.
Officials noted that funding for several critical areas could be completely exhausted in the coming weeks. Budgets allocated for this year’s operations of the Navy and Air Force, which have deployed warships and aviation assets to the Middle East, are projected to run out by the end of July.
To cover the funding deficit expected before the start of fiscal year 2027 on October 1, the Pentagon is internally redirecting its budgetary resources. Under this approach, military exercises and training sessions designed to maintain troop combat readiness are being scaled back or canceled. Additionally, funds originally allocated for the maintenance and repair of military equipment and facilities are being transferred to operational expenses.
In recent weeks, the Department of Defense requested permission from Congress to shift $4.3 billion—initially allocated for personnel training and weapons procurement—to cover emergency requirements. However, no decision has yet been made regarding this request.
The White House has also requested that Congress allocate $67 billion in emergency supplemental funding to cover military expenditures. Despite this, the House of Representatives plans to begin a one-month recess on Thursday, which will delay any decision on the funding for at least several weeks.
“Everyone needs to look at this situation and shake off the complacency,” said Representative Pat Harrigan, a Republican from North Carolina, commenting on the development.
Pentagon Spokesperson Sean Parnell emphasized the critical importance of defense funding, stating that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will do everything necessary to maintain the combat readiness of the armed forces.
Secretary Hegseth and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Caine, are scheduled to present the justification for the funding allocation at an upcoming hearing before the Senate Appropriations Committee. Russell Vought, the Director of the White House Office of Management and Budget, is also among those scheduled to testify before the committee.
Vought stated last month that the cost of the war had reached approximately $30 billion. However, this White House calculation did not include the cost of rebuilding and repairing US bases damaged as a result of Iranian attacks in the Middle East.
Current and former officials warn that if Congress fails to act, military leadership will soon be forced to make even deeper compromises.
In closed-door discussions, Pentagon officials are expressing more profound anxieties. They emphasize that supplemental funding is urgently required to replenish munitions stockpiles, which are vital for deterring adversaries such as Russia and China.
The US defense budget for this year stands at approximately $1 trillion. This figure includes $150 billion in one-time funding approved by Congress last year for various priority goals, ranging from designing advanced weapons systems to stimulating the domestic defense industry. Meanwhile, the Donald Trump administration has requested a $1.5 trillion defense budget for 2027.
Internal Pentagon assessments indicate that when accounting for base repairs, the replacement of destroyed aircraft, and the replenishment of munitions stockpiles, the total cost of the Iran war could rise to between $80 billion and $100 billion, according to reporting by NBC. Sources state that the repair costs for US military facilities in Bahrain alone could reach $1 billion.
Senators are expected to question Hegseth on the collapse of the ceasefire, rising war costs, and the American service members who lost their lives in Jordan, Bloomberg reported.
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