Opinion
Israel’s reoccupation of Gaza will bury the “Oslo Accords”
On August 8, under the coercion of far-right forces such as Prime Minister Netanyahu, Israel made a major and historic decision that completely reverses the peace process between Palestine and Israel, announcing that it will fully reoccupy the Gaza Strip, completely eliminate the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas), and establish a new civil government. The Israeli Prime Minister’s Office stated that the Israel Defense Forces will be prepared to take over Gaza City while providing humanitarian aid to civilians outside the war zone.
It is reported that the Israeli Security Cabinet approved by majority vote Netanyahu’s strongly advocated “final solution” for Gaza, passing the so-called “Five Principles to End the War,” which include disarming Hamas; returning all Israelis held captive, whether alive or dead; achieving the demilitarization of the Gaza Strip; maintaining Israel’s security control over the Gaza Strip; and establishing a civil government that belongs neither to Hamas nor to the Palestinian National Authority.
This move by Israel is enough to shock and deeply worry world public opinion. When Israel, after ending 20 years of institutionalized garrison in the Gaza Strip, once again imposes full military administration, it is tantamount to declaring the complete death of the “Oslo Accords,” that the Palestinian National Authority recognized by the international community is no longer a peace partner, that the Gaza Strip is no longer “owned and governed by Palestinians,” and that Israel will once again become the overlord of this land.
From a broader and longer-term perspective, this move will weaken Israel’s strategic mutual trust and reconciliation cooperation with its peace partner and the sole legitimate representative of the Palestinian people, the PLO, and may reset the reconciliation process between Israel and Arab countries based on the “Abraham Accords,” possibly further worsening Israel’s relations with the international community, and even creating new troubles for the United States, which fully supports Israel, increasing its heavier strategic liabilities.
Reoccupying the Gaza Strip and dominating its future governance is to put the historically turbulent train of the Palestinian-Israeli and Arab-Israeli peace process into reverse, pushing Israel to repeat the mistakes of history. It will neither help effectively resolve the Gaza war predicament it is deeply mired in, nor help achieve lasting peace and stability, especially the historical reconciliation with Palestine and Arab countries.
Since October 7, 2023, when Hamas carried out the “Al-Aqsa Flood” operation and crossed the border to attack Israel, only a year and a half has passed, yet the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has escalated into the “Sixth Middle East War,” with the flames of war extending to the Eastern Mediterranean, the Red Sea region, and the Persian Gulf. Israel appears to have achieved military victories over most of its opponents in the “Axis of Resistance,” even hardline adversary Iran, and unexpectedly reaped the “fruit” of the Syrian regime’s collapse. However, it has never managed to conquer the Gaza Strip, which is only 360 square kilometers, has not eliminated Hamas despite the leadership being reportedly “wiped out,” has not eradicated the remnants of Hamas engaged in “ruins guerrilla warfare,” and has not rescued nearly 50 hostages on the brink of death.
Netanyahu and his government, using near-genocidal “scorched-earth tactics” and “starvation tactics,” have created a contemporary, horrific humanitarian disaster that shocks the conscience, challenges the principles of international and humanitarian law and the bottom line of human civilization, humiliates the international community, especially the United Nations composed of 193 sovereign states and two observer states, triggers a global wave of condemnation and anti-Israel sentiment, and revives non-mainstream antisemitic thought in both Eastern and Western societies. In addition, major Western countries that originally adopted indulgent and appeasing policies toward Israel have successively changed their positions—Canada, France, the UK, and Australia are preparing to recognize the State of Palestine, with some countries taking various forms of sanctions and restrictions against Israel. Some developing countries have long since imposed harsher sanctions on Israel, including severing or downgrading diplomatic relations, cooperating with the International Criminal Court in issuing “war crimes” warrants for Netanyahu and other Israeli political and military leaders.
However, Netanyahu, regardless of Israel’s historic political and diplomatic failures, and ignoring opposition from intelligence chiefs, in order to please far-right forces and avoid the collapse of his ruling coalition, as well as to evade legal accountability likely to arise from corruption cases and national security crises, has recklessly led the full reoccupation of the Gaza Strip, expanding the scale and intensity of the war, and increasing Palestinian suffering.
Netanyahu’s latest risky Gaza strategy is actually the result of excessive personal self-interest and an extreme obsession to fight to the end, ignoring that the whole country has fallen into a long war and is fighting on multiple fronts, ignoring the daily casualties at the front line, ignoring the gradual exhaustion of manpower to the point of overturning decades-old national policy to forcibly conscript religious students, ignoring that the entire country’s main trajectory has shifted from peace and development to war and conquest, ignoring the continuous deterioration of the investment climate, the ongoing withdrawal of foreign capital and expatriates, and the constant hemorrhaging of economic development.
Netanyahu’s “scorched-earth tactics” have completely deprived the geographically small Gaza Strip of any security space. Not only are Palestinians losing their lives at the rate of hundreds per day, but the plight of Israeli hostages is also worsening. Especially when combined with the “starvation tactics,” it not only continuously causes a systemic crisis in the basic food and nutrition supply for Palestinians, but also objectively turns surviving Israeli hostages into burial companions.
After Hamas and other organizations recently released the latest hostage status video, the world was shocked, and Israel suffered another heavy blow: Evyatar David, trapped in a confined space, is skin and bones, estimated to have lost half his body weight. Evyatar was even forced to dig his own grave in the reinforced concrete tunnels under Hamas control. Although Hamas’s inhumane acts are certainly condemnable, they show that Netanyahu’s military pressure policy has completely failed—the clearing strategy that nearly flattened Gaza and dug three feet underground cannot completely eliminate Hamas.
It can be said that Hamas, by torturing and starving hostages in extreme retaliation for Israel’s “starvation tactics” and mocking Israel’s “scorched-earth tactics,” has severely provoked Israel’s political nerves and emotions across society. Evyatar’s family accuses Netanyahu’s Gaza policy of failure, and more Israeli citizens, former senior officials, and intelligence chiefs are urging an end to the war to secure the release of hostages. Perhaps the tragic scene of Evyatar being on the verge of starving to death will become a watershed moment in the Gaza war, placing the warlike Israeli right-wing ruling coalition on the fire, and forcing the cornered Netanyahu to take his final gamble—staking his political future, the destiny of Israel, and the Palestinian-Israeli and Arab-Israeli peace process.
In 1993, the Israeli Labor Party government, suffering from the multiple torments of the long-term occupation of Palestine, reached the “Oslo Accords” with the PLO regarding transitional autonomy. Then Prime Minister Rabin, who had once served as Defense Minister, had always sought to free Israel from the “Gaza nightmare,” because since seizing the Gaza Strip from Egypt in 1967, “peace under Israeli rule” had lasted only 20 years. In 1987, the spark of the “Intifada (uprising)” was ignited in the Gaza Strip, quickly sweeping into a prairie fire and spreading to the broader West Bank.
Rabin himself had also sworn to “break the bones of the Palestinians,” and more Israeli generals cursed Gaza as a “damned strip,” a “hateful hornet’s nest,” because the Israeli army occupied this area during the day, while at night control shifted to various resistance forces. The conflict over the occupied territories, with Gaza as its focus and symbol, plunged Israel into an unprecedented predicament under international law and a whirlpool of world public opinion, while also paying a heavy security and economic price. Today, Netanyahu has forgotten the lessons of history, willingly returning to the old path of the occupier that runs counter to the correct direction of human civilization and history, once again mortgaging Israel’s national image, national development, and international status to the occupation of the Gaza Strip.
On August 7, the Israeli right-wing mouthpiece The Jerusalem Post published an editorial warning Netanyahu to “heed the warning and avoid the Gaza quagmire,” pointing out that fully reoccupying it would worsen the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip and give Hamas a propaganda victory, portraying Israel as an occupier and inspiring resistance.
The paper pointed out that historical experience and military analysis show Netanyahu may believe that occupying the Gaza Strip will bring the hostages home and crush Hamas, but this is wishful thinking. The paper quoted famous retired U.S. General David Petraeus, comparing the Gaza ground campaign to “Mogadishu on steroids,” which would lead to rapidly escalating casualties and chaos.
Petraeus, a renowned special warfare expert, U.S. Army general, former commander of the Multinational Force in Iraq, commander of U.S. Central Command, top commander of the International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan, and director of the CIA, was later forced to resign due to an extramarital scandal. Petraeus is far more aware than Netanyahu, who is not from a military background, of the heavy costs and political consequences if the Gaza Strip becomes “Mogadishu-ized.”
In October 1993, U.S. peacekeeping forces stationed in Mogadishu fell into an urban warfare trap while trying to capture aides of warlord Aidid. The U.S. forces killed more than 1,000 fearless militiamen but suffered 19 dead, one captured, and two Black Hawk helicopters destroyed. When televised images reached the U.S. of the captured soldier begging Washington for rescue and Mogadishu mobs dragging the bodies of dead American soldiers through the streets, public opinion pressure skyrocketed, forcing the Clinton administration to announce withdrawal from Somalia four days later.
Today, Evyatar, emaciated and displayed in a Hamas video, is in a situation eerily similar to the U.S. military’s Mogadishu defeat back then. Petraeus’s reminder of this American heartbreak is actually a warning to Netanyahu and his government that if they insist on reoccupying Gaza and causing an even more severe disaster, it could trigger a reversal in America’s one-sided favoritism toward Israel.
The Jerusalem Post also pointed out that fully occupying the Gaza Strip would not ensure Israel’s security; rather, it would trap Israel in the Gaza Strip, in an expensive, endless war with no visible end, making all Israelis bear the consequences, whether reduced income or long-term military service. The paper cited data released by Bank of Israel showing that the war has already caused serious damage to Israel, with all war-related activities—including reserve mobilization, reduced labor force, and disruption of high-tech supply chains—costing more than $600 million per week, about 6% of GDP. By the end of 2025, the cumulative economic burden is expected to reach $5.3 billion to $6.7 billion, close to 10% of GDP.
In 1994, based on the “Oslo Accords,” both sides launched the peace process, starting with “Gaza-Jericho First Autonomy,” later expanding to all Palestinian-populated cities in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank. After the five-year transitional autonomy ended, the two sides failed to reach a compromise on a series of final status issues, the peace process reversed, Palestine launched the second violent resistance, the “Al-Aqsa Intifada,” and Palestinian-Israeli relations deteriorated rapidly, leading to the demise of the relatively moderate Israeli left-wing camp.
With the rise of Israeli right-wing leader Sharon and the Likud bloc to power, and the Bush administration’s “Axis of Evil” doctrine and anti-terrorism strategy after 9/11, the nature of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict was deliberately distorted and deconstructed by Israel and the U.S., demonizing the core relationship of “occupation and anti-occupation” into “terror and anti-terror.” Fatah, the long-term ruling party of Palestine advocating peace, suffered joint suppression by the U.S. and Israel, and its widely recognized political leader Arafat died under Israeli siege. The Palestinian political landscape was thus fundamentally reshaped, with the hardline positions of Hamas and others gradually winning mainstream public opinion.
In 2005, at the critical moment when pro-peace and pro-war forces within Palestine were subtly reversed, the Sharon government unilaterally announced withdrawal from the Gaza Strip, ultimately allowing Hamas to completely gain the upper hand and drive Fatah, which insisted on cooperating with Israel, out of the Gaza Strip, turning this small area into its exclusively controlled “Hamastan.”
In 2006, Hamas, by participating in the Palestinian Legislative Council elections, indirectly acknowledged and accepted the “Oslo Accords” and even the “two-state solution,” because whether the Palestinian transitional autonomy government or the legislative body, their establishment and operation were legally based on the “Oslo Accords.” This move was actually a key change in Hamas’s policy toward Israel, but because it did not amend the “Hamas Charter” in time—i.e., did not explicitly and publicly abandon the fundamental position of “eliminating Israel”—its governing legitimacy was not recognized by Israel and the U.S., instead leading to a harsher blockade of the Gaza Strip, creating the “world’s largest open-air prison.”
Since then, as Israeli right-wing forces became more aggressive, continually nibbling away at occupied West Bank territories and intensifying “Judaization” measures in East Jerusalem, it triggered two major Palestinian-Israeli conflicts from 2008 to 2014, i.e., what Israel defines as the “Israel-Hamas wars.” Over the past 20 years, the Netanyahu government has deliberately adopted a “strike but not destroy” approach toward Hamas, intentionally creating two Palestinian power centers, aggravating their geographic, social, political, and governance divisions, and maintaining the enormous and one-sided benefits Israel reaps from long-term occupation.
In 2017, when the U.S. Republican Party returned to power, Hamas seized the opportunity once again, issuing a declaration on May 1 that year accepting the existence of Israel, reaffirming the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital and the Gaza Strip and West Bank as its territory, and expressing hope that the Trump administration would promote the resumption of Palestinian-Israeli peace talks. This was originally another rare window for the Palestinian issue, but it was jointly shut by the unprecedentedly pro-Israel Trump administration and the Israeli right-wing, greedy for immediate interests: the U.S. moved its embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, introduced the “Deal of the Century” that sacrificed Palestinian national interests, promoted the “Abraham Accords” that betrayed the Palestinian cause, and encouraged Israel’s far-right forces to further expand illegal settlements.
Hamas’s slow strategic shift and repeated gestures of goodwill abroad were met with humiliation, “warm faces pressed against the cold backsides” of the U.S. and Israel, while domestically facing doubts and challenges from radicals such as the Islamic Jihad Organization and Jihadist Salafists. Thereafter, Hamas returned to hardline and violent policies, becoming involved in multiple large-scale conflicts with Israel, while the “Abraham Accords,” which abandoned the Palestinian cause, created a new reconciliation trend for Israel, paving the way for normalization talks between Saudi Arabia, the new “leader” of the Arab world, and Israel.
Beset by internal and external troubles and despairing about the prospects for peace and reconciliation, at the latest low point and turning moment in the fate of the Palestinian people, on the eve of the fiftieth anniversary of the “Ramadan War” when Israel had suffered heavy losses, and at the last moment before Saudi Arabia, Israel, and the U.S. might cross the key threshold of sacrificing Palestinian interests, Hamas carefully planned and tightly executed the largest-ever single “suicidal” cross-border attack in world military history with 2,000 people at once, attempting through the predictable ruthless retaliation by Israel and the heavy Palestinian casualties to attract the world’s attention and sympathy, push the long-marginalized Palestinian issue back to the center of the world stage, and thereby cause rare mutual fatal injuries and cycles of violence between the two sides, triggering the “Sixth Middle East War,” surpassing all previous Middle East wars in scale and losses.
Strictly speaking, Israel’s unilateral withdrawal from the Gaza Strip in 2005 did not mean what Israel claimed as the “end of the occupation,” and naturally meant that Hamas retained the right to armed resistance granted by international law. Because the Gaza Strip is part of the occupied Palestinian territory, Hamas claims to represent the interests of all Palestinians and indeed has won the support and recognition of most Palestinians. Because Israel has not returned Gaza’s airspace and territorial waters, has not returned control of Gaza’s external crossings and residents’ freedom of movement, has not ended the collective punishment of Gaza’s 2.3 million people, and has not alleviated the historical suffering of the Palestinian people.
After the “Al-Aqsa Flood” ignited a new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict, UN Secretary-General Guterres, a former Prime Minister of Portugal, stated: “Hamas’s attack on Israel did not happen without reason.” This statement is entirely from the standpoint of international law, and also represents the mainstream value judgment and main empathy of the international community. Over the past two years, the international attention received by Israel and Palestine has been completely reversed; politically and morally, the Palestinians have achieved victory and honor, and Hamas has realized its strategic vision, even though I personally firmly and consistently oppose resolving the Palestinian-Israeli conflict through violent means.
Therefore, Netanyahu’s scheme to fully reoccupy the Gaza Strip, or the plan to continue besieging the Gaza Strip that may be rejected, are not fundamental solutions to breaking the Gaza deadlock and achieving lasting security for Israel, but are two different strategies for maintaining the illegal occupation, different cost-performance schemes for internal calculations of gains and losses. Has Israel’s de facto occupation and blockade of the Gaza Strip over the past 20 years not ended in failure? Has it not led to the national disaster and national humiliation of the “Israeli 9/11”? Whether full reoccupation or continued blockade, the essence is to maintain the illegal occupation of the Gaza Strip and the entire Palestine, prolong the long suffering of the Palestinian people, and create endless national hatred, family feuds, and cycles of violence—it is the typical act of drinking poison to quench thirst, ladling water onto boiling soup, or extinguishing a fire with fuel. In the end, it is still a dead end.
Lives are of paramount importance, whether Israeli hostages or Palestinian civilians. The most feasible emergency choice is for Israel to immediately and unconditionally cease fire, fully open humanitarian aid to Palestine, in exchange for the early release of Israeli hostages, and then to study and review whether Israel’s war goals of “de-Hamasization, de-militarization, and de-violence” are reasonable and realistic, and whether they can once and for all end Israel’s security predicament and the historical tragedy of the Palestinian people.
Continuing to put faith in iron and blood and the big stick will lead Israel away from the original intentions and vows of independence and statehood, further from the political legacy of compensation for the Jews’ suffering in the Holocaust, and closer to the racism, militarism, and fascism that once persecuted the Jews. The latest cover article of The Economist points out that “a state that ignores the laws of war and feels no shame for illegal acts, without correcting them, not only harms the victims but also harms itself. Israel has a survival interest in achieving justice. Conversely, if it glorifies those who planned famine and ethnic cleansing in Gaza, its politics and society will tilt toward demagoguery and authoritarianism. The young, idealistic state born in May 1948 will cease to exist.”
In any case, the actions of the non-state actor Hamas in killing more than 1,000 Israelis cannot be the reason for the state actor Israel to cause the deaths of more than 60,000 Palestinians. Perhaps Israel’s reoccupation of the Gaza Strip is as irreversible as Caesar’s crossing of the Rubicon in 49 BC, but it must never be allowed to repeat the unrestrained annexation of Austria by the Third Reich in 1938.
Prof. Ma is the Dean of the Institute of Mediterranean Studies (ISMR) at Zhejiang International Studies University in Hangzhou. He specializes in international politics, particularly Islam and Middle Eastern affairs. He previously worked as a senior Xinhua correspondent in Kuwait, Palestine, and Iraq.
Opinion
A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order
The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.
The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”
One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.
The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.
Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.
Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.
On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.
Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.
When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.
The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.
The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.
The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
Opinion
NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism
Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.
As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.
In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.
Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.
Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion
NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.
And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.
The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.
The collapse of the Atlantic system
Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.
In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.
Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.
For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.
Opinion
Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing
Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.
For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.
Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.
It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.
The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.
Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.
This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.
For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.
China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.
All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.
The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.
Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.
Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
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