Middle East
Jordan emerges as strategic hub for US airpower as Iran strike looms
The Muwaffak Salti Air Base in central Jordan has emerged as the strategic nerve center for potential US military operations against Iran, according to reporting by the New York Times.
Satellite imagery obtained Friday confirms a massive surge in American combat power at the installation, with the number of deployed US fighter jets tripling to more than 60 aircraft. Flight tracking data further reveals that at least 68 cargo planes have landed at the base since Sunday. Military analysts suggest additional airframes may be concealed within hardened aircraft shelters to mask the full extent of the buildup.
The visual evidence identifies a potent mix of advanced aerial platforms, including F-35 Lightning II “stealth” fighters, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and rotary-wing aircraft. In anticipation of potential retaliation from Tehran, Washington has reportedly integrated new air defense batteries around the perimeter of the facility.
Amman maintains its territory will not be used for aggression
Jordanian officials have characterized the presence of US aircraft and military hardware as part of a long-standing defense agreement with Washington. In formal statements, the government in Amman has remained firm, insisting it will not permit its sovereign territory to be utilized as a launchpad for any offensive strikes against Iran.
However, a Jordanian source speaking to Israeli media suggested these public denials are primarily intended to maintain a veneer of neutrality and shield the kingdom from being drawn directly into a regional conflagration. The diplomatic balancing act comes amid explicit warnings from Tehran; Iranian officials have announced that any regional state facilitating a US attack will be considered a legitimate military target.
Regional security architecture designed to defend Israel
Leaked documents spanning 2022–2025, previously disclosed by the Washington Post, indicate that while several Arab nations publicly criticize Israeli operations in Gaza, they have simultaneously deepened clandestine military cooperation with both Washington and Tel Aviv.
According to these records, a “regional security architecture” is being finalized involving Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Israel. The cornerstone of this coalition is an integrated air defense initiative designed to intercept Iran’s sophisticated missile and drone salvos. Reports suggest that in the event of open hostilities with Iran, Jordan is slated to function as a critical component of this US-led framework specifically tasked with the defense of Israel.
President Trump signals military options are active
On Feb. 19, US President Donald Trump issued a high-stakes ultimatum, declaring that military options would be activated if Tehran fails to accede to Washington’s terms regarding its nuclear program. The president provided a window of 10 to 15 days for compliance.
Observers note that any forthcoming operation would likely far exceed the scope of the precision strikes conducted against Iranian nuclear facilities last year. Conversely, intelligence assessments suggest Iran is prepared to launch a multi-theater retaliation, utilizing ballistic and hypersonic missiles against both US regional assets and Israel.
“It will be very difficult for the Trump administration to execute a one-off, limited strike against Iran this time,” said Ali Vaez, an Iran expert at the International Crisis Group. “The Iranians are poised to respond in a manner that would make an all-out conflict inevitable.”
Military reinforcements surge in the Sea of Oman
Since late January, the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group and three guided-missile destroyers have been operating in the Sea of Oman. This maritime presence was bolstered two weeks ago by the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group and an additional three destroyers to the region.
The aerial buildup is equally formidable, with F-35, F-22, F-15, and F-16 squadrons transitioning from bases in the US and Europe to West Asia. Supporting this strike force are 85 aerial refueling tankers and more than 170 transport aircraft.
Despite the intensity of the mobilization, Washington has signaled no current plans for a large-scale deployment of ground forces similar to the Iraq wars. Military analysts argue that while the current buildup is comprehensive, the absence of a significant “boots on the ground” component suggests the intended operations may have specific strategic limits.
Middle East
Qatar and UAE LNG tankers go dark in Strait of Hormuz to evade security risks
Qatar and United Arab Emirates liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers are turning off their transponders in the Strait of Hormuz, shifting their logistical strategies in response to ongoing military conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the strategic waterway.
According to a Bloomberg report citing industry sources and vessel-tracking data, as time and patience run thin for both nations, tankers have begun operating under radio silence to conceal their movements and secure their LNG shipments.
The report noted that neither Qatar nor Abu Dhabi, the federal emirate of the UAE, is subject to international sanctions. Despite this, state-owned QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC) are employing these “going dark” tactics to minimize security risks for their vessels and crews transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Vessel-tracking data revealed that in May, at least four Qatari LNG vessels and four tankers linked to Abu Dhabi-based ADNOC transited the Strait of Hormuz without transmitting tracking signals. Sources speaking to Bloomberg stated that Qatari authorities requested captains of state-owned and chartered tankers to turn off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders when navigating around the Ras Laffan port—the world’s largest LNG export terminal—as well as when transiting or exiting the Persian Gulf.
The implemented security measures extend beyond turning off transponders. Sources reported that vessels have been instructed to transit the gulf in pairs to enhance security, and tanker captains who refused to comply with the “shadow” navigation protocols have been replaced.
Industry sources speaking to Bloomberg warned that the increase in covert transits undermines the fundamental rules of international maritime trade and transforms these shipping routes into high-risk areas.
They emphasized that until recently, every cargo in the LNG sector could be tracked in real time, but these newly adopted tactics have eliminated that transparency.
Saul Kavonic, a senior energy analyst at energy consultancy MST Marquee, commented on the situation, saying: “It is entirely natural for Persian Gulf LNG producers to try to avoid Iranian attacks and consequently adopt shadow fleet methods. This could persist as long as Iran continues to control and threaten transits through the Strait of Hormuz. This practice may continue for a long time even after a peace agreement is signed.”
Following the start of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the Tehran government closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for approximately 20% of global oil shipments and 30% of global liquefied natural gas.
After negotiations in Islamabad failed, US President Donald Trump announced on April 13 that he would impose a blockade on Iranian ports. In late May, he announced that the blockade was lifted as part of the planned peace treaty process with Tehran.
Middle East
Israeli defense exports hit record $19.2 billion fueled by regional conflicts
The Israeli Ministry of Defense has announced that international demand for military systems manufactured in the country and deployed in regional conflicts has reached unprecedented levels.
In an official statement, the ministry declared that exports of military equipment and weaponry have hit an all-time high for the fifth consecutive year.
According to the disclosed data, export volume reached $19.2 billion in 2025, representing an approximate 30% increase compared to the previous year. The figures demonstrate that the country’s defense exports have doubled over the past five years and quadrupled over the past decade.
Data shared by the ministry indicates that missile, rocket, and air defense systems secured the largest share of military sales contracts signed throughout 2025.
Sales in this sector accounted for 29% of the total trade volume. The ministry noted that the vast majority of these agreements fell into the category of “mega-contracts”—each valued at a minimum of $100 million—and that these large-scale deals constituted 53% of the total export volume.
The Ministry of Defense directly attributed this export growth to ongoing regional military operations.
The statement argued that global demand was driven by results achieved on the ground and the “combat-proven” performance of Israeli-made systems across all fronts, including the “Rising Lion” operation launched against Iran in June 2025.
Since October 7, 2023, Israel has conducted simultaneous military operations across multiple fronts in Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.
The military equipment and ammunition described as “combat-tested” in the ministry’s report continue to be deployed in active conflict zones, most notably in Lebanon.
Among the defense firms highlighted during this period is the Israel-based company Xtend, which has drawn attention for its unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
Systems developed by the company have reportedly been utilized in operations in Gaza and for targeted assassinations. International reports revealed that an Xtend UAV was used to locate Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in October 2024.
Earlier in the year, Eric Trump, son of US President Donald Trump, announced that he would make significant investments in Xtend’s technology and support the company’s merger with the Florida-based JFB Construction Holdings.
Meanwhile, airstrikes and bombings conducted by the Israeli military continue to drive up civilian casualties in Gaza and Lebanon. In Lebanon alone, attacks over the past few months have claimed more than 3,400 lives. Thousands of deaths have also been reported in US-backed military operations carried out in Iran.
Studies published in the medical journal The Lancet project that the total death toll in Gaza, when including both direct and indirect fatalities, could reach hundreds of thousands.
During this period, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has supported Israel’s operations, emerged as one of the largest buyers of Israeli-origin weapons.
The Gulf nation is reported to have procured billions of dollars in military equipment from Israel over the past five years. According to US sources, the Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv administrations have established a joint fund to develop and procure new weapons systems.
On the other hand, as Tel Aviv continues to market its air defense systems globally, military tensions along the Lebanese border persist.
Hizbullah kamikaze drones have reportedly targeted Iron Dome batteries positioned at Israeli locations near the Lebanese border. The Israeli military has reportedly faced difficulties intercepting these attacks, with dozens of Israeli soldiers killed in Hizbullah strikes launched since March 2.
Middle East
Report challenges official assessments of damage from Iranian attacks on US military assets
BBC Verify, the verification unit of the BBC, published a detailed investigation on June 1 based on satellite imagery and video analysis that found Iranian retaliatory strikes had successfully hit and damaged at least 20 US military facilities across the Middle East since the start of the war launched against Iran by the United States and Israel.
The findings suggest that the scale and accuracy of Iran’s retaliatory attacks were significantly greater than previously acknowledged by US officials. Some independent analysts estimate that the number of affected bases may be as high as 28.
The military facilities targeted were reportedly spread across eight Gulf countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman.
Material losses in the region are said to include three THAAD missile defense batteries, each valued at approximately $1 billion and regarded as a cornerstone of the regional defense network.
Expert assessments also identified at least 42 aircraft that were destroyed or severely damaged, including F-35 fighter jets, MQ-9 Reaper drones and an E-3 Sentry airborne early warning and surveillance aircraft valued at $700 million.
According to military analysts, Iran achieved these results by altering its tactics. Rather than relying on large-scale, high-volume barrages, Tehran reportedly shifted to using smaller, more precise salvos concentrated on high-value infrastructure targets.
The shift in strategy was said to have exploited what was described as a degree of complacency within the US military during the early stages of the conflict.
US military commanders reportedly failed to relocate aircraft and other military assets at strategic installations such as Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia despite previous attacks on those facilities, a factor that is said to have increased losses. Commenting on the strikes, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared that the Middle East was no longer a “safe place” for US bases.
The White House had previously claimed that Iran’s military capabilities had been almost entirely eliminated.
However, the Pentagon’s latest estimates place the cost of the war at $29 billion.
A substantial portion of that expenditure is reportedly being directed toward repairing heavily damaged military equipment and replenishing significantly depleted munitions stockpiles. Former military officials have warned that damaged air defense systems in the region “cannot be replaced quickly or easily.”
The heavy consumption of interceptor missiles during the conflict has also left other US facilities across the Gulf increasingly vulnerable to future Iranian precision-guided missile attacks, according to the assessments cited.
The Washington administration is also reported to have sought restrictions on satellite imagery providers in an effort to conceal the extent of the damage and limit criticism.
However, the “smoking craters” and flattened aircraft hangars featured in the BBC report appear to contradict official US assertions, illustrating what the report described as the true scale of the destruction on the ground.
Iran also announced that it struck a US air base in Kuwait with missiles and drones on Sunday night in retaliation for attacks by US forces on Iranian military targets over the weekend, which Tehran said constituted a violation of the ceasefire.
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