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Modi declares historic BJP victory in West Bengal as party breaches Trinamool stronghold

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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has declared a historic victory for his Bharatiya Janata Party in West Bengal, as vote-counting trends from elections held in April showed the party preparing to form a government in the politically critical eastern state for the first time.

Modi, whose party was on track to take the lead in the state, posted on X: “Lotus is blooming in West Bengal!” in a reference to the BJP’s symbol. “The 2026 West Bengal Assembly Elections will be remembered forever,” he added.

“The power of the people has prevailed and the BJP’s politics of good governance has triumphed. The people have given the BJP a magnificent mandate, and I assure them that our Party will do everything possible to fulfil the dreams and aspirations of the people of West Bengal,” Modi said.

The outcome reflects the BJP consolidating its political position in regions beyond its traditional strongholds in the north and west of the country.

West Bengal had been governed for the past 15 years by the All India Trinamool Congress, led by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee, a rival of the BJP.

Three other states – Assam in the northeast, and Tamil Nadu and Kerala in the south – as well as the federally administered southern territory of Puducherry also held elections last month.

According to data from the Election Commission of India, the BJP was either leading or had won in 204 of West Bengal’s 294 seats as of 19:00 local time.

Ahead of the elections, reports that approximately 9 million voters – amounting to more than 10% of the total – had been removed as part of a revision of the electoral rolls had been a major focus of the campaign. The BJP argues that the revision carried out by the commission was necessary to prevent illegal immigrants from neighbouring Bangladesh from voting; its opponents contend the move was aimed at tilting the rolls in the BJP’s favour.

West Bengal plays a critical role in India’s national politics because the state sends 42 representatives to the 545-member Lok Sabha, the lower house of parliament. That makes West Bengal the third-largest state by number of elected members, after the northern state of Uttar Pradesh with 80 seats and the western state of Maharashtra with 48.

The decisive surge shown by the BJP-led alliance in the West Bengal vote-counting trends reflects the party’s growing influence in regions outside its traditional bastions. Modi’s party had lost its outright majority in the 2024 general election and was forced to rely on allies to form the national government for a third consecutive term; however, it has since won several key state elections.

Meanwhile, in Assam the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is set to return to power for a third straight term, while in Tamil Nadu a new political party founded by the popular actor-turned-politician Joseph Vijay Chandrasekhar is emerging as the largest single party. In Kerala, an alliance led by the Indian National Congress is poised to form a government, while in Puducherry the ruling coalition, which includes the BJP, holds the lead.

In a later address to party workers, the Prime Minister highlighted the BJP’s return to power in Assam for a third consecutive term and said the northeastern state would accelerate its development.

“Today there are BJP-NDA governments in more than 20 states of the country,” he said, adding that people had come to see the BJP as synonymous with “good governance.”

The war in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, which has caused a shortage of cooking gas, did not appear to be a central issue among voters; experts said other factors were at play.

“It is historic,” political analyst Rasheed Kidwai, a visiting fellow at the Observer Research Foundation think tank, told Nikkei Asia, referring to the BJP’s performance in West Bengal. Kidwai cited anti-incumbency sentiment against the Trinamool Congress, corruption allegations relating to public programmes, the revision of the electoral rolls, and a lack of unity among opposition parties as factors working in favour of Modi’s party.

“The BJP’s right-wing political approach is evolving and winning the confidence of the majority community, while the opposition is fragmented and divided,” he said.

Both West Bengal and Tamil Nadu are governed by parties that are key constituents of the Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance, a coalition of opposition parties formed in 2023 to take on the BJP. With the grip of these parties weakening, analysts expect Modi and the BJP to gain strength in the run-up to the 2029 national election.

V.S. Chandrasekar, a New Delhi-based political observer and former editor-in-chief of the Press Trust of India news agency, told Nikkei Asia that although the southern states of Tamil Nadu and Kerala remain beyond the BJP’s control, “on the surface at the moment, the BJP broadly emerges as the winner and the opposition appears weakened.”

“But three years is a long time in politics,” he said. “By then, how the BJP-led government at the centre performs and the extent to which people’s expectations are met will determine the BJP’s performance in the 2029 election. Modi is not invincible at present.”

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Chinese Politburo signals cautious confidence as Beijing pivots toward targeted tech support

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The mid-year meeting of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Politburo has long served as a critical evaluation point for Beijing. The session provides the central government with an opportunity to review developments from the first half of the year and steer the country toward a more realistic economic course in the months ahead.

The latest statement from the top leadership signals cautious confidence. The release indicates that policymakers are favoring a stable, targeted approach over the broad-based stimulus measures that characterized previous years. As China manages its economic transition, the post-Covid era of aggressive spending has clearly drawn to a close. In its place, a strategic and structural approach has taken hold, prioritizing resilience and stability over short-term capital injections.

According to the outcomes of the Politburo meeting, the policy orientation will continue to target specific sectors. Financial support will be directed away from the property market and toward high-tech emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors. In the real estate sector, the objective remains stabilizing market confidence and keeping debt risks under control.

Infrastructure investment is likewise being reshaped around the concept of “new infrastructure.” The focus is no longer solely on concrete and physical structures; smart power grids, information technology networks, and data infrastructure have taken precedence.

This approach signifies an investment in future competitiveness rather than simply pumping capital into the economy’s more stagnant sectors. Serving as a new driver of growth, digital infrastructure fulfills a dual purpose: supporting domestic demand in the short term while safeguarding technological competitiveness over the long term.

Finally, Beijing is signaling a more conciliatory posture in international trade. The Chinese leadership aims to establish a more balanced trade framework to mitigate concerns voiced by trade partners such as the European Union over what has been termed “China Shock 2.0.”

As the administration prepares for critical leadership changes next year, its primary focus will remain on stability across both economic and social spheres.

China continues to strike a balance between realistic growth targets and systemic restructuring, maintaining policy leeway to absorb potential external shocks. Beijing’s economic strategy reflects a pragmatic assessment of both domestic and international challenges.

Struggling with weak demand, the domestic economy is not yet in a position to anchor national growth independently. Expansion continues to rely heavily on a record trade surplus alongside the impressive export performance of high-tech and clean energy sectors. However, this reliance has drawn pushback from several trading partners.

To stimulate domestic economic activity and ease trade tensions, Beijing unveiled its first standalone five-year plan focused on consumption. Released in July by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce, the plan targets an increase in retail sales to 60 trillion yuan (approximately $8.9 trillion) by 2030. This represents an increase of roughly 20% compared to 2025 levels.

To improve profit margins for small businesses, regulatory authorities are tackling the issue of “involution”—described as excessive internal competition—by curbing platform monopolies and preventing destructive price wars. While these structural adjustments may take longer to yield results, they are viewed as a more sustainable and effective alternative to direct cash handouts.

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Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand

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Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.

Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.

Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.

Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.

Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.

In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.

The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.

Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.

This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.

The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.

Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.

Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.

Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.

CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange

Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.

As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.

At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.

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Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister

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Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests

India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.

The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.

The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.

What triggered the protests?

Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.

Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.

According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.

Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.

The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.

How the movement unfolded

Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.

Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.

The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.

Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.

CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.

Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.

Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.

Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.

In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.

Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.

Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.

Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.

On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.

On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.

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