Asia
Strong yuan tests Chinese export giants as BYD and Sany report FX losses
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the yuan’s exchange rate against the US dollar at its strongest level in more than three years on Thursday, a move that reinforces Beijing’s ambitions to internationalize the currency but threatens to squeeze the profit margins of the country’s industrial export giants.
The PBOC fixed the yuan’s midpoint rate—the central reference point for daily onshore trading—at 6.8487 per US dollar, the firmest level since April 2023. The fixing followed Wednesday’s reference rate of 6.8562.
The appreciation comes as Beijing maintains its drive to increase the yuan’s global footprint while international confidence in US dollar-denominated assets continues to fluctuate. Analysts expect the Chinese currency to maintain its upward trajectory in the coming months, potentially reaching 6.65 per US dollar by year-end, even as the rally creates headwinds for China’s massive export sector.
The yuan’s rise coincides with a period of sustained pressure on the US dollar. Investors have grown increasingly cautious amid policy uncertainty in Washington, questions regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, and concerns over the long-term fiscal sustainability of the US. The US dollar index stood at 97.97 on Wednesday, a sharp decline from 119.61 at the start of the year.
While Thursday’s fix marks a significant milestone, Serena Zhou, senior China strategist at Mizuho Securities Asia, told the South China Morning Post that markets were not caught off guard by the move.
“Today’s fixing reflects an improvement in Asian market sentiment, largely supported by developments in the Middle East,” Zhou said. “Expectations that the US and Iran may be nearing a peace agreement have lifted equities and bolstered confidence in the yuan.”
Zhou forecasts the yuan will reach 6.80 per US dollar this quarter before strengthening to 6.65 by the end of the year. “Beijing’s policy objectives of rebalancing trade and stimulating domestic consumption are generally aligned with a gradually strengthening currency,” she added.
The exchange rate is expected to be a key item on the agenda during a projected mid-May summit in Beijing between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump. The US leader has previously accused Beijing of maintaining a “weak” currency to gain an unfair trade advantage—a claim the PBOC governor rejected during a meeting in March.
Concurrently, Beijing is accelerating efforts to promote the cross-border use of the yuan as an alternative to the dollar-based financial system amid intensifying discussions over global “de-dollarization.” In April, the United Arab Emirates signaled it could conduct oil transactions in yuan should US dollar supplies be disrupted.
Data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) this month showed the yuan’s share of global foreign exchange transactions has climbed to 8.8% from just 2% in 2013. The Chinese currency now ranks third globally in cross-border trade payments, with a share exceeding 7%.
On the monetary policy front, the US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady for the third consecutive meeting on April 29, maintaining the federal funds rate between 3.5% and 3.75%. Markets have priced in no further rate changes until at least the start of 2027. Meanwhile, Kevin Warsh, Trump’s nominee to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, is expected to be confirmed by the Senate as early as next week.
The yuan has appreciated by a total of 2.64% against the US dollar so far this year. “Exporters are becoming increasingly willing to convert their US dollar holdings back into yuan as expectations for further appreciation grow,” Zhou noted. “This shift in conversion behavior is providing additional self-sustaining support for the currency.”
Despite the currency’s rise, China’s export engine has remained resilient. Customs data shows that exports grew 11.9% year-on-year in the first quarter. In a January report, Soochow Securities argued that the impact of a strong yuan on export competitiveness may be more limited than widely assumed, as Chinese exporters increasingly rely on technological sophistication rather than simple price advantages.
The report also noted that the rising use of the yuan in cross-border settlements has made Chinese firms less sensitive to exchange rate volatility.
Nevertheless, foreign exchange losses have emerged as a significant drag on the earnings of several prominent Chinese corporations in recent months, renewing pressure on businesses to enhance currency risk management.
Chinese electric vehicle leader BYD reported a reversal from a 1.9 billion yuan ($279 million) foreign exchange gain in the first quarter of 2025 to a 2.1 billion yuan loss in the first quarter of this year. This represents a 4 billion yuan swing that weighed heavily on net profits.
Eoptolink, a manufacturer of optical modules, saw its financing expenses surge 1,678% year-on-year to 522 million yuan, driven largely by exchange rate losses. Construction equipment giant Sany Heavy Industry also recorded approximately 800 million yuan in currency-related losses during the first quarter.
“Major exporters typically hedge against large currency moves through forward contracts and options,” Zhou said. “The actual impact is often more manageable than headline figures suggest.”
Asia
Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand
Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.
Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.
Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.
Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.
Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.
In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.
The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.
Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.
This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.
The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.
Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.
Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.
Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.
CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange
Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.
As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.
At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.
Asia
Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister
Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests
India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.
The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.
The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.
What triggered the protests?
Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.
Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.
According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.
Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.
The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.
How the movement unfolded
Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.
Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.
The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.
Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.
CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.
Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.
Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.
Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.
In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.
Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.
Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.
Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.
On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.
On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.
Asia
China’s DeepSeek prepares for 2027 mainland IPO, aims for $71 billion valuation in new funding round
DeepSeek, the China-based startup developing artificial intelligence models, has begun preparations for an initial public offering (IPO).
According to a Bloomberg report citing sources familiar with the matter, the company plans to file its IPO application either this year or early next year.
The sources noted that the filing timeline will depend on the readiness of the company’s financial reports, with DeepSeek projected to go public on a mainland Chinese stock exchange in 2027.
Prior to the IPO, DeepSeek also aims to conduct a new funding round. In this second investment round, the company reportedly plans to raise at least 10 billion yuan (approximately $1.48 billion), a process expected to push its market valuation to at least 480 billion yuan (approximately $71 billion).
The AI startup, which secured $7.4 billion in its first funding round, saw its market valuation exceed $50 billion, rendering DeepSeek the most valuable artificial intelligence company in China.
The company’s founder, Liang Wenfeng, personally invested $3 billion of his own capital into the DeepSeek project. According to data from the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Liang’s stake in the company fell from 90% to 78% following the latest investment round.
Despite this decline, Liang’s personal wealth more than doubled, rising from $16.7 billion to approximately $36 billion.
This surge has positioned Liang as the wealthiest founder of an AI model-developing company in the world.
According to earlier reports by Reuters, the investment round was structured under an unusual partnership model that allows founder Liang Wenfeng to maintain administrative control over the company.
Under this framework, which requires investors to provide funds to a limited liability partnership managed by the company’s general manager rather than investing directly in DeepSeek, backers are not granted voting rights. Furthermore, the provided funds are locked and cannot be withdrawn for a period of five years.
The China National Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund was the sole institution exempted from these strict rules, investing approximately $150 million directly into DeepSeek.
Based in Hangzhou, China, DeepSeek was founded by Liang Wenfeng in 2023.
The company was structured as a unit within Zhejiang High-Flyer Asset Management, a hedge fund specializing in artificial intelligence that Liang launched alongside two former university classmates.
In early 2025, DeepSeek released a new artificial intelligence model offering performance comparable to US rivals such as OpenAI, but at a significantly lower operating cost.
Following these developments, founder Liang Wenfeng stated that the company will continue to develop open-source artificial intelligence models, emphasizing that their ultimate global objective is to achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI).
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