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Reviewing the Halfway Progress of the Trump Administration’s Trade War

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On July 31, South Korean President Lee Jae-myung confirmed that a trade agreement had been reached with the United States. U.S. tariffs on Korean automobiles will be reduced to 15%, and Korea will not further open its rice and beef markets to the U.S., but it has pledged to invest $350 billion in U.S.-controlled investment projects.

On the same day, the Trump administration agreed to extend the tariff agreement with Mexico for 90 days. Meanwhile, it threatened to impose a 25% tariff on India starting August 1 and announced it would not extend the final deadline for negotiations with other trade partners. Although the U.S. has not yet reached new agreements with major trading partners such as Mexico, Canada, India, and China, the trade war—considered epic in scale—can be said to be halfway through, with the Trump administration appearing to have won a superficial victory. However, there remain many uncertainties in the subsequent implementation.

Three rounds of the China-U.S. trade war have concluded without a final solution. On July 29, China and the U.S. concluded their third round of talks in Sweden. China’s Ministry of Commerce representative and Vice Minister Li Chenggang announced that, after a day and a half of negotiations, the trade teams from both countries had in-depth, candid, and constructive exchanges on major issues of mutual concern, based on the consensus reached during the June 5 call between the two heads of state. Li also emphasized that both sides would continue to promote the timely extension of the mutually suspended 24% tariffs and China’s countermeasures. The China-U.S. economic and trade teams will maintain close communication to promptly exchange views on trade issues and continue to promote stable and healthy development of bilateral trade relations.

On May 12, China and the U.S. held the first round of talks in Geneva and achieved a major initial result of “mutual tariff cancellation”: the U.S. promised to cancel 91% of the tariffs imposed under two executive orders on April 8 and 9; China reciprocated with a 91% cancellation; both sides agreed to suspend the 24% tariff for 90 days, retaining only 10% tariffs. This result provided a much-needed cooling down of the China-U.S. trade war that had flared up when Trump returned to office.

On June 12, the two sides completed the second round of talks in London, but no specific content was disclosed. The media only emphasized that the two sides had reached a consensus in principle on measures to implement the consensus of the leaders’ phone call and consolidate the results of the Geneva trade talks. The third round of talks held in Stockholm also did not yield any substantive breakthroughs, and both sides remain in a stage of bargaining and haggling.

While China-U.S. trade negotiations are moving forward with difficulty, the Trump administration has successfully broken through three major trade negotiation barriers within ten days, particularly reaching agreements with the EU and Japan, which can be considered symbolic victories. This has also created new pressure for China and other trading partners who have yet to compromise.
On July 28, the U.S. and the EU announced a comprehensive new trade agreement with a baseline tariff rate of 15%, covering key goods such as automobiles, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals. The EU pledged to purchase $750 billion worth of energy products from the U.S. and added a $600 billion investment plan. This agreement marks a major compromise from the EU.

Previously, on July 23, the U.S. had reached a similar agreement with Japan, stipulating a uniform 15% tariff on most Japanese goods exported to the U.S., and Japan committed to a $550 billion investment in the U.S.

Although the U.S.-EU and U.S.-Japan tariff battles appear to involve mutual compromise, the U.S. has clearly benefited. For the EU, the 15% rate is significantly higher than the previous average of 4.8%, but lower than the punitive 30% the U.S. had threatened or the briefly implemented 20% rate. This “comprehensive uniform tariff” applies to most EU-manufactured goods, including automobiles that previously faced tariffs as high as 27.5%. For key sectors like pharmaceuticals, the U.S. also agreed to rates below 15% and retained the option for future interventions.

For Japan, although the 15% baseline tariff rate is slightly higher than the previously briefly implemented 10%, it is far lower than the 25% proposed by the U.S. before July. This tariff rate stabilizes Japan’s core automobile industry, which accounts for about one-fourth of its exports to the U.S., and has strategic significance for consolidating Japan’s manufacturing, especially the production and export of automobiles and auto parts.

The U.S. has obtained massive import or investment commitments from Europe and Japan. The EU has pledged to purchase over $750 billion in energy products from the U.S. in the coming years, mainly including liquefied natural gas, oil, and nuclear fuel. In addition, the EU has committed to an extra $600 billion investment in the U.S., covering infrastructure, energy system integration, and key industrial chain restructuring. Notably, the EU will also expand its military procurement from the U.S.

Japan has committed to a $550 billion investment plan in the U.S., covering sectors such as manufacturing, automotive supply chain expansion, infrastructure, and high-tech cooperation. In the automobile sector, Japan is accelerating localized production capacity in the U.S. to stabilize its strategic access to the American market.

The U.S. has further opened up the European and Japanese markets. Although the U.S.-EU agreement establishes a unified baseline tariff rate, several “zero-for-zero” exception lists were set, including aircraft and parts, semiconductor equipment, key raw materials, certain agricultural products, and specific chemicals.

Japan will also further open its market, especially for U.S. automobiles, rice, and certain agricultural products. This move responds to Trump’s longstanding complaint that “American products can’t enter the Japanese market.” Although Japan has not reduced tariffs on U.S. goods in this round of negotiations, by adjusting non-tariff barriers and loosening import quotas, it has in effect provided greater market access for U.S. goods. At the same time, Japan has retained regulatory authority over sensitive domestic industries, seeking policy flexibility within its concessions.

In 2024, the top ten U.S. trade partners by total trade volume are: Mexico, Canada, China, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan (China), Vietnam, the United Kingdom, and India. Before securing Japan, the EU, and South Korea, the U.S. had already handled the UK, Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Considering that EU members such as the Netherlands, Ireland, Switzerland, Italy, and France are the 11th to 15th U.S. trade partners, the Trump administration’s trade war has already conquered half the battlefield. Only four tough “bones” remain: Mexico, Canada, India, and China.

Some therefore judge that “Trump has won big,” especially with his trade victories over the EU and Japan. However, legally speaking, the U.S.-EU trade agreement still needs approval from the legislative bodies of the 27 EU member states. So whether this agreement can allow the Trump administration to laugh to the end is still uncertain.

First, almost the entire political and public sphere in Europe is criticizing the new U.S.-EU agreement, especially in France and Germany. French Prime Minister Bérou called the 27th a “dark day” for Europe; far-right leader Le Pen said the EU had suffered a “political, economic, and moral defeat,” signing a “surrender document”; far-left leader Mélenchon called it a “total concession to Trump”; former PM de Villepin said the agreement was “unequal” and likened it to “tribute.” French officials in charge of industry and trade called the trade “unbalanced” and demanded a new round of negotiations. Germany’s Export Association said the deal poses a “survival threat” to many German traders; the Federation of German Industries criticized the EU for making “asymmetrical compromises.”

In addition, the Swedish finance minister accused the new U.S.-EU agreement of harming Sweden’s economy. Spain’s El País said the agreement reinforced U.S.-EU tariff inequality. Hungarian PM Orbán even mocked that Trump “ate EU Commission President von der Leyen for breakfast.” The European Parliament’s trade committee chair Bernd Lange slammed the deal as a “biased” transaction…

On the 28th, the European Commission issued a document stressing that the “handshake deal” between Trump and von der Leyen has no legal effect. The U.S. and EU have not finalized a formal agreement, especially around key points of divergence such as food standards, digital regulations, energy, investment, and steel and aluminum tariffs.

Although the opposition in Japan is not as fierce as in Europe, public opinion has still criticized the Ishiba government for sacrificing the rice bowl to protect the car wheel. Most benefits from the investment in the U.S. are seen to favor the American side. The latest poll by Kyodo News shows that about 78% of the public is dissatisfied with the agreement, with only 11% expressing support. Analysts believe the new U.S.-Japan agreement not only damages Ishiba’s political prestige and the LDP’s ruling foundation but also reminds Japanese society of the long nightmare triggered by the signing of the U.S.-Japan “Plaza Accord”—namely, Japan’s lost decade of growth.

Secondly, the implementation of U.S. terms may also be constrained by domestic political and legal challenges. The U.S. Federal Court of Appeals is about to hear a lawsuit concerning the legality of Trump’s taxation powers, and its ruling may shake the legal foundation of Trump’s foreign trade agreements. The U.S.-EU agreement fails to clarify the tariff treatment of American goods exported to Europe, showing that serious asymmetry still exists. The U.S.-Japan agreement has left the American auto industry dissatisfied, believing that it has not substantially improved the U.S. trade deficit with Japan, and the long-standing structural industrial contradictions between the U.S. and Japan remain unresolved.

Thirdly, although Europe and Japan have increased their investment in the U.S., reshoring of U.S. manufacturing faces structural bottlenecks. The Trump administration is vigorously promoting direct investment in the U.S. by Europe, Japan, and other allies—especially in key sectors like semiconductors, automobiles, batteries, and clean energy—to accelerate manufacturing reshoring and restructure the supply chain. However, in practical terms, this strategy faces structural bottlenecks in many aspects such as talent, culture, and regulatory systems, making it difficult to absorb the systemic costs of converting investments in the short term. The most fundamental constraint is the severe shortage of skilled labor in U.S. manufacturing. The gap in engineers and technicians directly limits the implementation of production lines. Cultural differences further intensify friction. The highly efficient execution systems of multinational companies are not suited to the loosely decentralized American management style, creating structural bottlenecks from construction to operation and weakening overall investment returns.

In summary, countries such as Canada, Mexico, and India will face increasing pressure from the U.S. and be forced to fight alone in confronting America’s all-around hegemonic coercion. The outlook for China-U.S. trade negotiations is also not optimistic and is bound to face difficulties arising from the U.S. shift from “comprehensive attack” to “focused attack,” including the Trump administration’s return to the full-pressure tactics of its version 1.0 era.

This week, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) plans to issue a travel health advisory to China due to a rise in “chikungunya virus cases” in China. At the same time, the Republican-controlled U.S. House and Senate announced that a congressional delegation would visit Taiwan in August. This comes right after the Trump administration refused the Taiwan regional leader’s transit passage, a maneuver reflecting both duplicity and inconsistency in U.S. Taiwan policy. It also sends an implicit warning to China: if it doesn’t make concessions at the trade negotiating table, the U.S. will open its geopolitical “Pandora’s box” and unleash a full array of tactics to disrupt China.

From a global and strategic perspective, China-U.S. relations—especially trade relations—are “too big to fail” and serve as the core links of the global industrial, trade, and value chains. China-U.S. trade volume is enormous, with high interdependence, strong economic complementarity, and significant structural differences. With many friction points, deep policy gaps, and strong competitiveness, the China-U.S. trade negotiations are bound to become the biggest, most difficult, and ultimately decisive battleground.

China remains the largest source of goods for the U.S., the biggest market for multinational investment and profits, and the largest consumer market for agricultural products. China not only possesses a vast domestic circulation market, but also retains tremendous external circulation potential. It also has multiple leverage points in its games with the U.S., Europe, and Japan. As the Trump administration secures agreements with other trade partners, it is likely to gain confidence and raise its demands, even using trade negotiations and geopolitical tools alternately or simultaneously to pressure China into making major concessions.

Given these trends, China must maintain strategic clarity, confidence, composure, endurance, and resilience. It must engage with the Trump administration using great wisdom, flexible strategies, and a combination of tactics—negotiating persistently, fighting without breaking ties—in order to ultimately defeat the Trump administration’s blind self-confidence, empty rhetoric, and excessive demands, and force it to recognize reality and accept a relatively fair and balanced bilateral trade agreement, achieving a truly win-win China-U.S. outcome.

Prof. Ma is the Dean of the Institute of Mediterranean Studies (ISMR) at Zhejiang International Studies University in Hangzhou. He specializes in international politics, particularly Islam and Middle Eastern affairs. He previously worked as a senior Xinhua correspondent in Kuwait, Palestine, and Iraq.

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India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships

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Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.

India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.

Today, India’s achievements extend  beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.

India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.

India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.

The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.

Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.

India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with  NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.

These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.

To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.

India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.

The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.

In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.

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Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa

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In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.

History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.

Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.

Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.

AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS

Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.

Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.

In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”

China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.

THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY

It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.

The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.

The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.

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The women who refuse to be erased: On Japan’s surrender anniversary, the fight over wartime sexual slavery continues

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BUSAN, South Korea — On the day Japan marks the 81st anniversary of its surrender in World War Two, a conference room in Busan’s city council building has become the latest front in a battle over memory.

Allan Wilson, Journalist

Last month, on 23 July, academics, activists and lawmakers gathered here for a symposium on one of the war’s most painful legacies: the estimated tens of thousands of women — euphemistically labelled “comfort women” — forced into sexual slavery by the Imperial Japanese Army. The event was co-hosted by the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia division and the Korean Women’s Forum.

“The records of the Japanese military’s comfort women are historical assets that the international community must preserve together,” Nam Myung-sook, the Busan city councillor who co-organised the symposium, told the gathering. “Social consensus must be broadened.”

Her words were aimed at more than the audience in the room.

For three decades, survivors and their advocates have pressed Japan for a full and unequivocal accounting. They have met a familiar pattern: moments of apparent progress — the 1993 Kono statement acknowledging military involvement, the 2015 bilateral agreement with South Korea — followed by retreat. Japanese officials continue to dispute the term “sexual slavery.” Textbooks soften the language. Senior politicians visit Yasukuni Shrine, where convicted war criminals are honoured alongside the dead.

The symposium came as UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee convened in Busan, and the timing was deliberate. One of the gathering’s stated goals was to revive the push to have comfort women records inscribed on UNESCO’s Memory of the World register — an effort Japan has repeatedly blocked.

“Our aim is to reaffirm the historical facts of comfort women (受害) to the international community and explore directions that contribute to peace and human rights,” said Yu Ying-mo, senior adviser to the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia region, in remarks prepared for the event.

A statue, a warning

The symposium also addressed an incident that has become a diplomatic flashpoint: the recent removal of a comfort women memorial statue in Taiwan.

The statue, one of dozens erected across East Asia and beyond, was taken down in recent months. Organisers in Busan described the removal as “an erroneous approach that erases historical wounds and weakens collective memory,” according to the symposium’s programme.

For advocates, the Taiwan case illustrates what happens when political pressure is allowed to dictate historical memory. “Statues, memorial halls, and archives related to comfort women are important spaces of memory that testify to the victims’ suffering and history,” the Carter Human Rights Center said in its written address. “They must be respected.”

Dozens of comfort women memorials now stand in cities from Seoul to San Francisco to Berlin. Each has become a site of diplomatic friction: Japan’s government has consistently objected to them, arguing they perpetuate what it calls an inaccurate narrative.

The shrinking window

Time is running out. Of the few hundred women who came forward in the 1990s, the number of surviving registered victims in South Korea has dwindled to single digits.

This demographic reality has injected new urgency into the preservation effort. Shim Ok-ju, a research professor at George Mason University Korea, told the symposium that the focus must now shift from oral testimony — soon to be lost — to documentation and education.

Seo Kyung-soon, a professor at Pukyong National University, presented findings from the so-called “Gwanbu Trial” records — a series of postwar legal proceedings in which comfort women sought compensation through Japanese courts. The documents, she argued, contain incontrovertible evidence of state orchestration.

A designated discussant panel followed, bringing together Kim Tae-wan, a political science professor at Dong-eui University; Kim Kyung-hee, an independent researcher; and Ahn Jun-young, a journalist from the Busan Ilbo newspaper. The format was designed to bridge academia and public consciousness — to test whether scholarly findings could survive the scrutiny of working journalists and political scientists.

The international dimension

The comfort women issue has never been purely bilateral. In 1996, the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women concluded that the system constituted “military sexual slavery.” In 2022, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women urged Japan to “ensure that the issue is accurately reflected in school curricula.”

Yet the gap between international consensus and Japanese government policy remains wide. Prime ministerial statements offer “apologies and remorse” but stop short of accepting legal responsibility. Reparations have come from private funds, not the state.

For organisers of the Busan symposium, the path forward runs through multilateral institutions. UNESCO recognition, they argue, would make historical revisionism harder to sustain. But Japan has made clear it will oppose any such move, as it did when Chinese documents related to the 1937 Nanjing Massacre were inscribed in 2015.

“Facing history squarely and respecting it is a fundamental value that the international community should share,” the symposium’s organisers concluded.

This 15 August, as Japan observes its National Memorial Service for the War Dead, the women who survived — and those who did not — will be remembered in rooms like the one in Busan. Their numbers are dwindling. The question is whether their story will outlast them.

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