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Sanae Takaichi secures historic supermajority in Japan’s landmark winter election

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Sanae Takaichi’s governing coalition secured a crushing victory in Sunday’s lower house elections, granting the Prime Minister a commanding “supermajority” with 352 seats. The results signal a definitive shift in Japan’s regional posture, as the leader looks to maintain a hawkish stance toward China in alignment with US policy, bolster national defense, and move away from the country’s traditional pacifist framework.

Takaichi, Japan’s first female leader who cites the United Kingdom’s “Iron Lady” Margaret Thatcher as her primary inspiration, led the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) to 316 seats in the 465-member House of Representatives, according to final counts released by public broadcaster NHK early Monday.

While the LDP easily cleared the 233-seat threshold required for a simple majority on its own, its coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party, secured an additional 36 seats.

With a combined 352 seats, Takaichi now holds a supermajority in the lower house. This status effectively streamlines her legislative agenda, allowing the lower house to override the upper chamber where necessary, despite lacking a majority there.

The results mark the party’s most significant electoral triumph since its founding in 1955, surpassing the previous record of 300 seats set in 1986 under the late Prime Minister Yasuhiro Nakasone.

“This election centered on major policy shifts—particularly a significant transformation in economic and fiscal policy, alongside the strengthening of our security posture,” Takaichi said in a televised interview as the results were finalized. “These are policies that have faced serious opposition. If we have received the support of the people, we must dedicate our full strength to these issues.”

Conversely, the new opposition alliance—comprised of the LDP’s former, more dovish coalition partner Komeito and the liberal-leaning Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan—is expected to see its pre-election strength of 167 seats slashed by half.

First to congratulate: The US, India and Taiwan

US President Donald Trump congratulated Takaichi’s coalition on Sunday.

“Congratulations to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and her Coalition on a BIG VICTORY,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform. “It was an honor to support you and your coalition. I wish you great success as you implement your conservative agenda based on the principle of peace through strength.”

Trump had voiced his explicit support for Takaichi on Friday, describing her as a “highly respected and very popular leader.” He added that Takaichi’s “brave and smart decision” to call the election had clearly paid off.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi also extended his congratulations. “Congratulations Sanae Takaichi on your historic victory in the House of Representatives elections!” Modi posted on social media Sunday, adding, “I am confident that under your capable leadership, we will further advance the India-Japan friendship.”

Taiwanese leader William Lai Ching-te also shared a message on social media offering his “heartfelt congratulations.”

The 64-year-old Takaichi called the rare winter snap election following her ascent to the LDP leadership late last year, seeking to capitalize on rising personal approval ratings.

While voters were drawn to her outspoken and industrious image, her promises of tax cuts have caused some unease in financial markets. Simultaneously, her ultra-nationalist tendencies and emphasis on security have strained relations with an increasingly assertive China.

Weeks after taking office, Takaichi sparked the most significant dispute with Beijing in a decade by publicly discussing how Tokyo might respond to a potential Chinese intervention in Taiwan.

In November, her suggestion that Japan could involve itself in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan escalated tensions further. Beijing responded by imposing restrictions on the export of rare earth elements to Japan and issuing travel warnings for the country.

Beijing has continued to emphasize its plans for reunification with Taiwan—which the United Nations recognizes as part of China—into 2026. While many nations, including the US, do not recognize Taiwan as an independent state, Washington continues to provide arms to Taiwan and support separatist trends against China. Takaichi’s alignment with US interests in this dispute has drawn the ire of Beijing.

A strong electoral mandate is expected to accelerate Takaichi’s plans to strengthen Japan’s defenses—a move Beijing characterizes as an attempt to revive the country’s militaristic past.

“Beijing will not welcome Takaichi’s victory,” said David Boling, a director at the Asia Group, which advises firms on geopolitical risk. “China is now faced with the reality that she is firmly established and that their efforts to isolate her have failed.”

Takaichi captured young voters

Takaichi managed to partially reverse the party’s fortunes by building a massive social media following and forging a connection with younger voters.

“Takaichi’s personal appeal will allow LDP candidates, who might otherwise struggle to get elected, to win seats through her endorsement,” Levi McLaughlin, a professor at North Carolina State University, told This Week in Asia.

The Prime Minister has also triggered an unexpected youth-driven trend known as sanakatsu—roughly translated as “Sanae craze”—which has led to high demand for merchandise she uses in parliament, such as her handbag and pink pens.

“She beats the drum. She has an interest in Korean products, music, and the entertainment sector. Unlike the rest of her party, she is active on social media,” said Mark Cogan, an associate professor at Kansai Gaidai University.

“She is markedly different from her rather stagnant peers,” Cogan noted, adding that this distinctiveness helped her weather various political storms, including diplomatic tensions with Beijing.

However, Cogan questioned the longevity of this popularity: “The real question is how long ‘Sanae craze’ will last. Is this a case of young people being swept up by something new or different while ignoring policy positions that do not always align with their own interests?”

The election was only the third general election in the post-war era to be held in February, as polls are typically conducted during more temperate months.

What challenges await Takaichi?

Following the dissolution of the lower house on January 19, a special session must be convened to officially elect the prime minister. This session is expected to take place on February 18. Takaichi’s immediate priority will be passing the annual budget for the fiscal year beginning in April.

While budget deliberations usually take about two months, the process was disrupted by the snap election. Takaichi is expected to prepare a provisional budget to ensure Japan’s financial operations continue through the first weeks of the fiscal year.

Another priority will be materializing her proactive fiscal policy. One of her core campaign messages was to increase domestic investment by targeting sectors with high growth potential. She also spoke of building a nation “resilient to currency fluctuations.” A framework for basic economic and fiscal policy, expected around June, is likely to outline measures to attract private investment back to Japan.

On the diplomatic front, Takaichi’s management of relations with both the US and China will be decisive and challenging.

She is expected to focus on reaffirming the robust Japan-US partnership. Takaichi will travel to the US on March 19 to meet with Trump at the White House, aiming to further solidify their strong relationship.

How Takaichi will navigate Japan-China relations remains uncertain. Trump is scheduled to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping during a visit to China in April, and the US President is thought to want to move relations with China to a more “stable” level.

Despite the strong mandate from voters, Tobias Harris of Japan Foresight notes that significant hurdles remain.

“The markets are watching her every move closely,” Harris said. “The truth is, it’s impossible to predict what will happen when the meeting between Trump and Xi takes place. If the US and China move closer while Japan and China do not move in the same direction, it leaves Takaichi in a delicate and uncomfortable position.”

“The issue of defense spending will be extremely complex,” Harris continued. “There is a consensus on spending more, but no consensus on how to finance it. This will pose a serious challenge, as will managing a larger LDP. She will have a strong base, but that doesn’t make these problems disappear; it only gives her more room to maneuver while addressing them.”

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South Korea emerges as major beneficiary of shifts in global arms market

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Uncertainty in the global arms market, driven by the United States reassessing its relationships with allies and a broad rearmament drive across many countries, is creating major commercial opportunities for South Korea. According to an analysis published by Politico, Seoul has become the world’s fastest-growing supplier of military equipment.

The report said that large-scale conflicts around the world have created urgent demand for weapons as countries seek both to support allies and strengthen their own defenses against potential future confrontations. At the same time, changes in the US role within the global arms market have opened new opportunities for South Korean manufacturers. Statements and policy decisions by US President Donald Trump regarding NATO have led allies to question Washington’s reliability in times of crisis, increasing uncertainty across the global market. In addition, the diversion of a large share of US weapons supplies to the Middle East because of ongoing conflicts has placed further strain on already overstretched supply chains.

European countries increase purchases from South Korea

Faced with what Politico described as the Trump administration’s more distant approach toward allies, European countries in particular have accelerated arms purchases from South Korea. The publication noted that Seoul’s growing influence as a supplier has been driven largely by major defense contracts signed with Poland.

Following the outbreak of the conflict in Ukraine, several Eastern European capitals, including Warsaw, transferred portions of their military inventories to Kyiv, relying on German support to replenish their arsenals. However, Berlin’s slow pace in replacing allied stockpiles generated frustration across the region.

South Korea emerged as an alternative supplier during this period and became a reliable source of military equipment for Eastern European countries. Poland became Seoul’s largest customer through a $13.7 billion agreement covering the purchase of tanks, rocket launchers, self-propelled howitzers and other military equipment.

“We were originally preparing against North Korea, but now we are ready to provide these solutions to customers around the world,” said Choo Hyung-kim, head of the Security Management Institute, a defense analysis organization affiliated with South Korea’s National Assembly.

Lack of political baggage gives Seoul an advantage

Politico reported that one of the greatest advantages enjoyed by South Korean defense companies is the absence of the “political baggage” associated with major arms exporters such as the United States, China, Russia and Israel.

According to the figures cited, the combined projected revenue of South Korea’s largest defense companies, including Hanwha Group, Hyundai Rotem, LIG Nex1 and Korea Aerospace Industries, is expected to reach approximately $37 billion in 2026. That would represent a fourfold increase from their combined revenues in 2021.

Meanwhile, an official from the office of former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol told the Yonhap news agency in 2024 that the scale of any weapons shipments to Ukraine would depend on Russia’s approach to its relationship with North Korea. Seoul later clarified that it had no plans to provide ammunition directly to Ukraine.

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DeepSeek raises $7.4 billion in funding round, surpasses $50 billion valuation

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Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek has raised more than 50 billion yuan ($7.4 billion) in its first funding round. According to Reuters, citing The Information, the company’s valuation has surpassed $50 billion.

The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that the capital will be used to support the costly development of advanced artificial intelligence technologies.

According to the newspaper, citing sources familiar with the matter, investors valued the company at more than $50 billion. The valuation makes DeepSeek the most valuable AI startup in China.

DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng reportedly owned about 90% of the company before the funding round. Liang is said to have contributed roughly $3 billion during the fundraising process, making him the largest participant in the round.

According to Reuters, the transaction was structured in an unusual way that allows Liang to retain control of the company.

Rather than investing directly in DeepSeek, investors were required to invest through a limited partnership managed by a senior executive of the startup. Under the arrangement, investors were not granted voting rights. The report also said restrictions were placed on the use of invested funds for a period of five years.

The sole exception was the China National Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund. The fund reportedly invested approximately $150 million directly in DeepSeek, allowing it to retain both voting rights and full discretion over its stake.

Other major investors in the funding round included Tencent, which invested approximately $1.5 billion, and Contemporary Amperex Technology, which invested about $740 million.

Bloomberg previously described the transaction as one of the largest fundraising rounds undertaken by a Chinese startup. According to the agency, the investment marks a new stage in the efforts of leading Chinese AI companies to compete with their US rivals.

DeepSeek told prospective investors that it would prioritize foundational and transformative AI research over short-term commercialization.

Based in the Chinese city of Hangzhou, DeepSeek emerged as one of Beijing’s most prominent AI companies after unveiling a more powerful and lower-cost model more than a year ago. The WSJ reported that interest surrounding the company has accelerated AI adoption in China and increased investor appetite for domestic startups.

Liang Wenfeng has previously said he intends to continue developing open-source AI models and ultimately aims to achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI). According to Bloomberg, the strategy continues an approach that has contributed to the spread of open models and influenced companies across China’s AI market, including Alibaba’s Qwen platform.

Bloomberg added that while global rivals such as OpenAI and Anthropic are exploring public offerings and revenue-generation strategies, DeepSeek has maintained its “research first” approach.

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China issues white paper on global governance reform, urging support for UN-centered international system

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China’s State Council Information Office on Wednesday released a white paper titled “A More Just and Equitable Global Governance: China’s Principles, Proposals and Actions.”

The white paper was issued to introduce China’s principles, proposals, and actions regarding global governance, to foster a broader consensus within the international community, to enable more effective responses to global challenges, and to build a more just and equitable global governance system.

The document states that global governance is a common endeavor concerning the well-being of all humanity, and that building a just and equitable global governance system is a shared vision long pursued by people around the world. It also emphasizes that China has always been an active participant, contributor, and builder of global governance.

According to the white paper, in the new era, Chinese President Xi Jinping has put forward the vision of building a community with a shared future for mankind. Advancing a global governance system shaped on the basis of extensive consultation, joint contribution, and shared benefits, Xi has called for true multilateralism to promote an equal and orderly multipolar world and an economic globalization that is inclusive and beneficial for all.

In 2025, Xi proposed the Global Governance Initiative (GGI). This initiative was designed to offer China’s solutions to two urgent questions of the era: What kind of global governance system should be established, and how should global governance be reformed and improved?

The white paper notes that shortly after its introduction, the GGI received support from approximately 160 countries and international organizations, with more than 60 countries joining the Group of Friends of the Global Governance Initiative. It states that the international community is of the view that the GGI sends a clear message: to defend multilateralism, join forces, and strive for a just future.

According to the white paper, the GGI aligns with the growing trend toward greater democracy in international relations and strengthens international confidence in the practice of multilateralism. The initiative provides a clear and actionable roadmap for the improvement of global governance, injecting valuable stability and positive energy into a turbulent world.

The white paper emphasizes that China proposed the GGI to accelerate the construction of a more just and equitable global governance system. The document states that firmly defending the authority and status of the United Nations is of fundamental importance for the effective implementation of this initiative.

According to the white paper, success will also depend on major countries acting with a sense of responsibility and all nations working together in unity to bridge deficits in peace and development. It states that rather than attempting to reinvent the wheel, all countries must firmly defend the international system with the UN at its core, maintain the international order based on international law, and uphold the fundamental norms of international relations based on the purposes and principles of the UN Charter.

In addition to the preface and conclusion, the white paper consists of five chapters: “Today’s World Faces Severe and Complex Challenges,” “The Global Governance Initiative Responds to the Challenges of Our Era,” “China’s Contribution to the Development of Global Governance,” “Directing the Course of Change Toward a Bright Future,” and “Advancing Hand in Hand at a Critical Juncture in History.”

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