Europe
The West as we know it is gone, a new world order is coming, says von der Leyen
In a comprehensive interview with Germany’s leading weekly newspaper Die Zeit, European Union (EU) Commission President Ursula von der Leyen highlighted the fundamental changes in world politics following Donald Trump’s second election as US President, stating, “The West as we know it is gone.”
Von der Leyen emphasized that the series of crises the EU has faced since she took office in 2019 has strengthened the Union, and Europe now confronts the responsibility of actively shaping the emerging new world order.
Recalling that the EU has constantly struggled with crises since she began her term, von der Leyen said, “90 days after I took office, the World Health Organization declared Covid-19 a global pandemic. Before we could fully recover, Putin attacked Ukraine. Shortly after, we entered the worst energy crisis in our history when Putin cut off the gas. Now we are experiencing a transatlantic crisis. Yes, the crises followed one another.”
The Commission President noted that these challenging periods have also pushed the EU to focus on fundamental issues. “The essential thing is to keep the 27 member states together and provide direction. I must have or develop a plan for every crisis. It’s important that we act very pragmatically and quickly because people expect Europe to be there for them,” she explained.
‘Historic changes are happening, geopolitics is back’
When asked what has changed with the start of Trump’s second presidential term, von der Leyen replied, “Historic shifts.”
Reminding that the EU grew inward for a long time, achieving successes like the single market, common currency, and free movement, von der Leyen assessed, “We assumed that economic and political freedom would eventually converge and unite people. When the wall fell in 1990, the end of history was declared. Now history, and with it, geopolitics, is back.”
Von der Leyen described the current situation as “what we perceived as world order turning into world disorder,” citing the power struggle between China and the US, along with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s “imperialist ambitions,” as the primary reasons.
Stating that a different EU is needed in this new era, von der Leyen said, “A new European Union is required, one ready to actively shape this new world order together, willing to open up externally.”
‘The West as we know it is gone, but Europe is not alone’
Responding with a laugh to the comment on whether the change in US policy was a surprise for Europe and if it could be perceived like “malicious abandonment in old divorce law,” von der Leyen stated, “Europe has now woken up, completely.”
The President underlined that the EU needs to advance in two areas: “building its own defense capability” and “increasing its own competitiveness.”
Von der Leyen noted a strong political momentum and willingness within the EU to find creative ways forward, stating, “Allocating €800 billion in financial resources for military capabilities was unthinkable a few years ago. The desire of all 27 member states to strengthen our common defense industry would also have been unimaginable without the developments of recent weeks and months. The same applies to the economy. Everyone wants to follow our plan to increase competitiveness because everyone understands that we must stand firm in today’s globalized world.”
When reminded of EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas’s words after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was excluded from the White House – “The free world needs a new leader” – and asked if she was that leader, von der Leyen stated she dislikes such categories.
The official said, “What is decisive for me is that Europe strongly shapes the new world order that is slowly taking form, together. And I firmly believe that Europe can do this.”
Von der Leyen made a striking observation, saying, “The West as we knew it is no more,” and added: “The world has also become a sphere geopolitically, and today our networks of friendship span the entire globe; we notice this in the trade tariff dispute as well.”
She mentioned a positive side effect: she has met numerous leaders worldwide who want to build the new order together with the EU. “From Iceland to New Zealand, Canada to the United Arab Emirates, India, Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, Mexico, South America… I could currently hold such talks 24 hours a day. They all want to trade more with Europe, and it’s not just about economic ties. It’s also about setting common rules and predictability. Europe is known for its predictability and reliability; this is seen as something very valuable again recently. On the one hand, this is very pleasing; on the other, it’s a great responsibility we must fulfill,” she stated.
US relations and trade war
Asked whether “the West as we know it being gone” signifies a final break from the US, von der Leyen replied, “I am a great friend of the United States, a convinced transatlanticist. I absolutely believe that the friendship between Americans and Europeans will continue.”
However, the President noted the new reality is that many other countries are seeking closeness with the EU. “13% of global trade is with the US. That’s a lot. But trade with other countries in the world constitutes 87%. And they all want predictability and reliable rules. Europe can provide that. We must now use this momentum to open new markets for our companies and build the closest possible relationships with many countries that share our interests,” she said.
Addressing the trade tariff dispute with the US, von der Leyen stated the EU is pursuing a four-pronged strategy: “First, we are seeking a negotiated solution. Parallel to negotiations, we are developing countermeasures that consider both trade in goods and services. All options are on the table. Second point: We must be very careful that Chinese goods do not flood our market due to the trade war between the US and China. We have protective measures for this. Third point: We must build new partnerships and broaden the base of our trade relations. Fourth point: We must remove barriers in the internal market, deepen it, and harmonize it.”
Noting that the US particularly points to the surplus in goods trade, while the EU wants to balance the deficit in digital services, von der Leyen said, “Here we are talking about a few US companies that dominate about 80% of digital services. Europe is a very interesting, wealthy market for them. 450 million people with a high level of prosperity and time compared to the rest of the world. So, enormous revenues and profits are generated here with digital services. No company wants to give up this market.”
When reminded that possible countermeasures include imposing tariffs on digital services and US Vice President JD Vance’s threat, “If you touch our tech giants, the nuclear shield goes,” von der Leyen responded, “Both we and the Americans are putting our options on the table. That is the essence of negotiations: nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. I think we have the right to present the full spectrum, whether we are trading industrial goods or digital products.”
NATO and Ukraine
Nevertheless, when asked if the US nuclear shield for Europe and Article 5 of the NATO Treaty are still valid, von der Leyen said, “Yes, we assume so.”
Regarding whether Europe can protect Ukraine from losing the war against Russia without major US support, the Commission President emphasized that Putin failed in his goal of capturing Kyiv in three days and Ukraine in three weeks.
Von der Leyen assessed, “One of Putin’s justifications was that NATO was too strong, according to him. What he achieved was Finland and Sweden becoming NATO members. At the beginning of the war, Ukraine was an almost unarmed country. Today, when you see not only Ukraine’s highly equipped and experienced troops but also its extremely efficient, rapidly producing defense industry, it’s impressive. So, this country has bravely resisted with the help of its friends. It is very, very important to have staying power. Because Putin counted on support for Ukraine diminishing from the start. The exact opposite happened.”
Arguing that Europe needs to invest more in its defense industry, von der Leyen added, “Currently, the lion’s share of military equipment purchased by member states comes from outside Europe. This also means that the related good jobs, research, and development are generated outside Europe. I want more of this to happen within Europe in the future. These could also be American companies developing and producing in Europe. What’s important is that the billions we are investing now also have a positive impact on the European economy, far beyond the defense industry.”
Green Deal and bureaucracy criticisms
At the same time, stating that climate change will remain an existential issue, von der Leyen expressed that the EU will not abandon its Green Deal goals.
The official said, “Global decarbonization will continue, with or without the Americans. There’s a good reason why the Chinese are investing so heavily in electric mobility; they know the mobility of the future will be clean mobility. There’s a good reason why the Gulf countries, sitting on oil and natural gas, are investing heavily in green hydrogen. Because they know where the global trend is heading. We are leaders in many clean technologies.”
Expressing her determination regarding the planned expansion of the Emissions Trading System (ETS) to include transport and buildings (ETS 2), von der Leyen stated it is a smart market-based tool, but its social impacts must be mitigated from the outset.
Responding to the criticism that the EU is synonymous with bureaucracy, von der Leyen attributed this to the decision-making processes requiring consensus among 27 members but affirmed their commitment to changing unnecessary and complex procedures. “Entrepreneurship in the European Union must become easier again, that’s the goal,” she stated.
Concluding the interview, von der Leyen said she wanted to offer an “ode” to Europe: “Europe is still a peace project. We don’t have ‘cronies’ or oligarchs setting the rules. We don’t invade our neighbors and punish them. On the contrary, there are 12 countries on the waiting list to become EU members. In Europe, children can go to good schools regardless of their parents’ wallets. We have lower carbon dioxide emissions, higher life expectancy. We can discuss controversial topics in our universities. I believe these and more are values worth defending and show that Europe is more than just a union. Europe is our homeland. And people know this, people feel this.”
Europe
China’s critical mineral restrictions challenge EU defence expansion plans
The European Union’s plans to expand its defence capabilities are being hindered by China’s export controls and sales restrictions on critical raw materials.
In response, EU leaders are urging member states to accelerate efforts to diversify supply chains.
According to Nikkei Asia, the European Commission announced last week that it would propose new legislation requiring companies across the bloc to broaden their supplier base in an effort to address economic imbalances, although it did not explicitly name China.
The war in Ukraine and growing uncertainty over Washington’s security guarantees have pushed European governments to increase military spending and defence production.
At the same time, according to a report published in May by Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), China accounts for at least 70% of global mining or refining activity in 17 of the 34 materials classified as critical by the EU. Eight of those 34 materials are currently subject to Chinese export controls.
“China is undermining Europe’s rearmament efforts,” Teer wrote. “Simply by activating this tool, China has already increased its leverage and demonstrated both the capability and willingness to restrict supply whenever it chooses.”
The Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe also warned that geopolitical developments and intensifying global competition for critical raw materials are further underscoring the need to strengthen European supply chains.
The organisation represents more than 4,000 companies, including Britain’s BAE Systems, France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall.
European defence manufacturers are pursuing a range of strategies, including vertical integration, recycling, diversification and stockpiling.
Rheinmetall told Nikkei Asia that it has “no dependencies” and is “well prepared” regarding critical minerals.
A company spokesperson said: “Rheinmetall has stockpiled key raw materials sufficient for several years. We have also implemented IT systems that allow us to centrally monitor and precisely manage raw material consumption across the entire group.”
Analysts, however, caution that stockpiling alone will not be sufficient. Maria Shagina, a researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said: “Stockpiling serves as an important buffer against sudden disruptions, but on its own it is unlikely to mitigate structural damage over the long term.”
Shagina added that replacing the volume and diversity of critical minerals controlled by Beijing with alternative sources would take years.
In 2024, the EU enacted the European Critical Raw Materials Act, aimed at rebuilding domestic supply chains for such minerals.
The legislation sets 2030 targets for domestic extraction, processing and recycling while limiting dependence on any single third-country supplier to 65%.
A €3 billion ($3.5 billion) fund was established last year to accelerate strategic projects.
Nevertheless, the European Court of Auditors has noted that the 2030 targets are not legally binding and that the EU remains far from achieving them.
Industry groups argue that policy inconsistencies could further slow progress.
The Cobalt Institute, which represents a sector vital to jet engines, advanced batteries and defence alloys, warned that proposed EU chemicals regulations risk undermining the industry.
“Europe has one foot in and one foot out,” said Michael Blakeney, head of government and public affairs at the London-based institute. “It says the right things, but its actions are inconsistent.”
Europe’s efforts are unfolding alongside a more aggressive US strategy to secure critical mineral supply chains.
Shagina said:
“The US is investing more capital to secure and expand capacity, taking greater financial risks and, in some cases, acquiring equity stakes. Europe, by contrast, is generally more cautious, which places it at a relative disadvantage in the competition for critical minerals.”
In April, the EU signed an agreement with the United States to coordinate supplies of critical minerals. Although some member states initially resisted over concerns that the deal could weaken the bloc’s strategic autonomy, they authorised the Commission in early June to join the US-led “Pax Silica” initiative, which coordinates investment and export-control policies.
Teer urged Europe to use ongoing US-EU-Japan negotiations as the nucleus of a broader coalition aimed at making critical mineral production outside China financially viable through state support, minimum-price mechanisms and supply rules.
“Particularly important are countries that either produce raw materials or possess significant mineral deposits, such as Malaysia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Brazil and Indonesia, as well as countries like India with large pools of skilled labour,” he said.
Teer also argued that the EU should activate its Anti-Coercion Instrument, which allows the bloc to impose tariffs and restrictions in response to economic pressure on countries outside the union, in order to deter China from introducing further restrictions.
A European Commission spokesperson said the bloc had “long been aware of the risks associated with the EU’s dependence on critical raw materials.”
“The objective is clear: to anticipate disruptions early and reduce the EU’s vulnerabilities while strengthening our industrial and defence capacities,” the spokesperson said.
Europe
Four European countries move to make citizenship harder to obtain
European countries are increasingly tightening their citizenship rules. Most recently, the Norwegian government has drafted legislation that would raise the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from three years to seven.
The proposed amendments to the citizenship law were presented by the Ministry of Labour and Social Inclusion.
Under the draft legislation, stateless individuals born in Norway, as well as those who arrived in the country as children, would be required to reside in Norway for at least five years before becoming eligible for citizenship.
The government also plans to increase residency requirements for foreign nationals who are married to or cohabiting with Norwegian citizens.
Language requirements are set to become more demanding as well. The proposal would raise the required level of spoken Norwegian proficiency from A2 to B1. The new rules would apply to applicants aged between 18 and 67.
Commenting on the changes, Minister of Labour and Social Inclusion Kjersti Stenseng said: “Obtaining and holding Norwegian citizenship should be a privilege.”
The government argues that simplifying administrative procedures while simultaneously tightening eligibility criteria will help reduce the country’s large backlog of pending applications and shorten processing times.
Norway is the latest European country to announce revisions to its citizenship rules.
In Finland, the minimum residency requirement for citizenship was increased from five years to eight years on October 1, 2024.
The country also plans to introduce a mandatory citizenship test for applicants aged between 18 and 64 from the beginning of 2027.
Finnish Interior Minister Mari Rantanen said: “The introduction of a citizenship test is the final component of a comprehensive reform aimed at making citizenship requirements more stringent.”
Sweden has also approved a similar reform. Beginning in June 2026, the standard residency requirement for citizenship will increase from five years to eight years. Authorities are also introducing a financial self-sufficiency requirement for applicants and expanding the scope of security screenings.
Explaining the rationale behind the changes, Migration Minister Johan Forssell said: “It was possible to become a citizen after living in the country for five years without knowing a single word of Swedish, learning anything about Swedish society, or even having one’s own source of income.”
The most far-reaching changes have been implemented in Portugal. Portuguese President Antonio Jose Seguro has signed legislation raising the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from five years to 10 years.
For citizens of the European Union and the Community of Portuguese Language Countries, the requirement has been set at seven years.
The residency period will now be calculated from the date a residence permit is granted rather than from the date a citizenship application is submitted. The new rules will also affect the children of immigrants.
Previously, children could obtain citizenship one year after birth if their parents held residence permits. Under the new rules, at least one parent must have legally resided in the country for a minimum of five years.
The law also introduces a mandatory examination covering Portuguese history, culture, values and social structures.
Migration policies are tightening across the European Union as well. On June 17, the European Parliament approved legislation allowing irregular migrants whose asylum applications have been rejected but who cannot be returned to their countries of origin to be deported to third countries.
The new EU rules permit the establishment of migrant detention centres outside the bloc’s borders. African countries are reportedly among the options being discussed for such facilities.
Europe
SpaceX warns EU satellite spectrum plan could disrupt connectivity in Ukraine
SpaceX has sharply criticised a European Union plan to restrict access to satellite spectrum, arguing that the proposal risks degrading connectivity in Ukraine and disrupting emergency communications services.
In a document shared with European officials and reviewed by the Financial Times, SpaceX warned:
“This proposal significantly increases the likelihood that Europeans will be deprived of direct-to-device satellite services, or that new European operations will create global interference issues, including for emergency services such as those operating in Ukraine.”
In a proposal unveiled in May, the EU recommended reserving part of the spectrum band used for direct satellite-to-smartphone connectivity for European operators, thereby limiting the frequencies available to US and Chinese providers.
The 2 GHz frequency band in question is currently used by two US companies, Viasat and EchoStar.
SpaceX argued that the EU plan prioritises “an operator’s country of establishment over economic, technical and regulatory realities.”
When the proposal was announced, EU technology chief Henna Virkkunen defended the move, saying the bloc wanted to “increase European capacity in this sector.” She added that other parts of the frequency band would remain open to international operators, arguing that prioritising European providers was justified.
Other participants involved in discussions over the proposal said some EU officials were specifically seeking to limit Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.
Europe’s initiative follows a warning from Washington. In March, the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) cautioned that it could take retaliatory measures if the EU chose to favour European satellite operators over alternatives such as Starlink.
At the time, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr told the Financial Times: “Some of the discussions in Europe regarding satellite sovereignty concern us. If Europe decides to move down that path, then, as you know, we will have to consider reciprocal measures.”
The European Commission’s proposal has not yet entered formal negotiations with EU member states or the European Parliament.
A source close to SpaceX said the company remained hopeful of influencing the outcome of the process, given concerns raised by both businesses and several European governments.
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