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The Western bloc’s move to counter China’s hegemony in Africa: The Lobito Corridor

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Many of the rising stars among this century’s developing economies will emerge from Africa. Despite centuries of exploitation, the “Dark Continent” remains a potential source of wealth for the global economy, rich in both underground and surface resources. More importantly, demographic trends indicate that Africa is poised for significant advantages. The continent’s population, which stands at 1.304 billion as of January 1, 2025, is projected to reach 2.5 billion by 2050. This is significant not just in terms of population density, but also for the proportion of young people within the total population. In other words, a massive, dynamic population holds vast potential as a labor force. Another key point is Africa’s consumption trends. The fact that this dense population is also hungry for consumption increases Africa’s importance and appeal for global trade. This means Africa is not just a source of resources but also has the potential to become a massive market. We are talking about a market that could revitalize the global economy in the future.

South Africa, Egypt, Morocco, Algeria, Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana, Gabon, Senegal, Guinea, and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are prominent countries, both for their populations and their natural resources. It is highly likely that these nations will play a leading role in the continent’s rise. Bordered by the Mediterranean Sea to the north, the Indian Ocean to the east, and the Atlantic Ocean to the west, the continent will also hold strategic importance for future global trade corridors.

CHINA IS FAR AHEAD, BUT…

For all these reasons, it appears Africa will become the primary arena of competition for major powers starting from the second quarter of this century. China has already been making significant investments in the continent for a long time. The rise of Beijing’s economic influence in Africa is undeniable. In 2009, China surpassed the United States as the continent’s largest trading partner, and its recent trade volume is four times that of US-Africa trade. This situation has alarmed American policymakers about the decline of US influence on the continent, sparking their interest in development and infrastructure investments to improve and facilitate US-Africa economic ties. One of these initiatives is the Lobito Trade Corridor. First proposed in 2023, the Lobito Corridor is a 1,300-kilometer railway running from east to west through Zambia, the DRC, and Angola.

Any US initiative in Africa must catch up to and create the potential to compete with China’s longer-term and more comprehensive engagement strategy. For the past decade, China has been conducting these activities through its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a massive infrastructure and economic development project spanning Asia, Europe, and Africa. To date, the governments of many African nations have signed memorandums of understanding related to the BRI, and this initiative has facilitated billions of dollars in investment for the construction of roads, ports, railways, and other critical infrastructure. In 2023 alone, approximately $21.7 billion in loans flowed from the BRI to Africa. Including investments under the BRI and other bilateral agreements, it is estimated that China has invested a total of $2.23 trillion in Africa since 2005.

It is crucial to remember that every financial flow has geopolitical objectives and consequences. Through this financial power, China has been able to secure access to significant amounts of minerals and rare earth elements from Africa. The DRC, where Chinese companies own 72 percent of all cobalt and copper mines, is a case in point. Similarly, in Guinea, which is rich in bauxite deposits, Chinese companies are major stakeholders in the Simandou iron ore mine.

AIMING TO CHIP AWAY AT CHINESE DOMINANCE

The US is aware that it must increase and sustain its influence in Africa to solidify its global hegemony. It has little choice but to do this in coordination with European Union (EU) countries, which established vast colonies in the past and have historical, political, and economic ties to the continent. However, the extent to which it can achieve a coordinated, “win-win” cooperation with the United Kingdom, France, and other EU nations is not so clear. After all, these were the very countries it competed with on the continent until recently. To give a recent example, when France was being pushed out of the Sahel countries a few years ago, there was no shortage of American officials in Washington rubbing their hands with glee. Washington planned to fill the void left by France in the region. However, the national independence-minded governments in the region seem to have thwarted this American dream for now. The sight of Nigeriens demonstrating with Russian flags during the political tensions in Niger can perhaps be seen as a symbol of the anti-Western awakening in Africa. The statements by Burkina Faso’s President Ibrahim Traoré are another example.

With China being the most important trading partner in a large part of the continent, the Western Bloc’s job is harder than ever. In fact, it seems they will have to focus more on getting whatever they can from the region rather than truly defeating China. The Lobito Corridor, a project designed by the US in the south of the continent to rival the BRI, is a key part of this objective—though whether it will achieve its goal remains a question mark for now.

A “MULTILATERAL” IMAGE UNDER US LEADERSHIP

Nearly two years have passed since the project’s inception. Announced at the EU Global Gateway Forum in October 2023, the project brings together the African Development Bank (AfDB), the Africa Finance Corporation (AFC), the United States, and the European Commission to jointly construct a railway connecting Zambia’s northwest to the Port of Lobito on Angola’s Atlantic coast.

The financing structure of the Lobito Corridor resembles that of the BRI, with the US taking on the role of “primary facilitator” as the main financier of the investment. From the project’s start until September 2024, Washington provided over $3 billion in financing across various sectors, including transport and logistics, agriculture, clean energy, health, and digital access. A significant portion of the funding is channeled through the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGI), a joint initiative of G7 countries established in 2022 that aims to play a larger role in global infrastructure.

The Lobito Corridor attempts to present itself as just such an alternative. First, it appears to adopt a more multilateral perspective than a typical BRI project, seeking to partner with regional actors like the AfDB, which has been an active supporter of the corridor from the outset. The AfDB’s involvement serves two critical purposes. On a financial level, it helps distribute the financial burden of raising money for infrastructure projects, which have a long-term perspective on profitability. This is evident from the $1.6 billion the AfDB helped raise in 2023. On a political level, the AfDB helps alleviate concerns about the hegemony of major powers like the US or China. The multilateral approach also brings external actors into the process. For example, the World Bank provided $300 million for a complementary local initiative, marking the first infrastructure project the bank has contributed to in Africa since 2002. The European Commission has also pledged to conduct environmental and social feasibility studies to limit the impact on vulnerable habitats along the Lobito Corridor route. In other words, it comes with a “green” makeover!

CORNERSTONES THAT REVIVE MEMORIES OF COLONIALISM

The purpose of the Lobito Corridor is also familiar in that it aims to build new infrastructure in developing countries that lack capital. This infrastructure is being built not because it is profitable on its own, but because it enables other profitable economic activities. The project envisions the construction of approximately 550 kilometers of new railway line in Zambia, from Jimbe on the border to Chingola in the Zambian copper belt. This new line will connect to a newly constructed line in Angola at the border, which will then link to the existing Benguela railway at Luacano. The result will be a new trade corridor providing Zambia with access to the Atlantic Ocean. The project also includes the construction of about 260 kilometers of feeder roads and the refurbishment of the 120-year-old Benguela railway.

However, one must not forget that Africa has a memory. It is worth noting that for many Africans, the Benguela railway evokes the brutal exploitation of the colonial era—and not just the railway, but the savage, bloody, and relentless exploitation by Europeans! This, perhaps, setting aside other disadvantages, is the Western Bloc’s Achilles’ heel in its competition with China.

TO SECURE THE SHORT-TERM SUPPLY OF STRATEGIC MINERALS

For this reason, European countries and the US seem to be taking a page from the BRI’s book to avoid reviving bad memories. The Lobito Corridor is trying to develop an approach that also satisfies Africans while making infrastructure investments, such as strengthening the infrastructure of the participating countries and increasing their foreign trade volumes. This, of course, is a means to an ultimate end.

The project envisions trade flows moving westward along the Atlantic Ocean route. The goal is to secure the supply of rare earth minerals and industrial metals, which are strategic raw materials for the green energy, electric vehicle, battery technology, IT, and telecommunications sectors. As is well known, China holds global hegemony in the rare earth minerals market, and the US and EU aim to reduce this dominance, even if just by a little. Let’s call this the project’s bonus! The DRC is extremely rich in these minerals. In fact, the country possesses great wealth in many strategic minerals.

The new railway in the Lobito Corridor project has the potential to establish supply lines from both the DRC and Zambia by connecting the Zambian copper belt to an Atlantic port for the first time. Copper, the most important industrial metal, has become an even more critical strategic raw material, especially with the green transition. Previously, Zambia’s metal exports tended to flow eastward from Tanzania’s Port of Dar es Salaam. This time, the first shipment of copper to the US was loaded onto a container ship from Angola’s Port of Lobito. This shipment followed a series of copper shipments to European and Southeast Asian ports since Lobito Atlantic Railway took over the concession in January of this year. This is an indicator that access for mines in the “Congo copper belt” to Western markets, particularly the US, will increase. And such a supply line is vital for American companies to maintain their competitiveness against Chinese firms.

THE GOAL: TO INCLUDE TANZANIA IN THE CORRIDOR

The US also aims to expand the Lobito Corridor. This expansion strategy came to light in August 2024, when Helaina Matza, the Special Coordinator for the PGI at the US Department of State, announced that talks were underway to extend the corridor to Tanzania. With this, Washington revealed its plan to create a more comprehensive “Trans-African Corridor” connecting the Atlantic and Indian oceans. This move should be seen not merely as a commercial objective but as a geo-economic maneuver. Through it, Washington aims to somewhat restrain the rapidly growing Africa-China trade along the Indian Ocean route and become an effective actor on that route. Matza also added that the refurbishment of the Benguela railway, the first phase of the Lobito Corridor, was progressing smoothly and that copper shipments were flowing from the DRC to the US for the first time.

The second and more ambitious phase, the construction of a new railway in Zambia, was awaiting the completion of feasibility studies. The decision to open up all the rare earth minerals in the deposits along the corridor to trade eastward via Dar es Salaam might seem illogical for the Western Bloc at first glance. However, this is likely part of a long-term strategy.

First, the infrastructure largely already exists in the form of the Tazara Line, which connects Dar es Salaam on the Indian Ocean to Kapiri Mposhi in Zambia. Connecting to the Lobito Corridor at Chingola would require approximately 200 kilometers of new construction. Second, implementing the Trans-African Corridor could strengthen the soft power profile of the PGI, which claims to be motivated above all by advancing good governance and regional economic growth.

WHEN THE MONEY DRIES UP…

The Lobito Corridor is a significant move for the Western Bloc, but it may be a project that is a little too late. While China’s foreign direct investment in Africa averaged $4 billion between 2019 and 2021, higher than that of Western countries, the US direct investment amount had declined in some years. However, Beijing’s commanding competitive advantage has weakened recently. The post-pandemic economic slowdown and tightening credit facilities caused BRI-related investments in Africa to fall from $16.5 billion in 2021 to $7.5 billion in 2023—a 55% drop. A sense of fatigue with the BRI emerged as perceptions of it worsened in many regions between 2017 and 2022, partly due to growing debt concerns in BRI countries. After all, massive infrastructure and superstructure investments require huge financing, and every loan has to be repaid.

AFRICA COULD PROFIT FROM THIS RIVALRY

In summary, that is the situation for the parties involved. The path ahead is paved with advantages and disadvantages. So, is it still possible for Washington to position itself in Africa? Or are these investments sufficient? It is not easy to give a clear answer to these questions for now. It is true that the Lobito Corridor and similar projects face real challenges; China’s successes in infrastructure development and the growing interest of Africans in Beijing are undeniable facts. As a result, economic and diplomatic relations between Beijing and African countries are strengthening. The continent is home to 54 states, each with its own development needs and experiences—both positive and negative—of interacting with China. And if there is one thing that can unite Africans amidst this diversity, it is the shared need for capital and infrastructure investment.

It appears that the intensifying competition between China and the US-EU alliance could create a window of opportunity for Africans. The countries that stand to gain the most from this rivalry will be the African nations themselves—if their governments can truly act in the best interests of their people. When it comes to Africa, issues like bribery, corruption, dependency, and internal conflicts come to mind, and unfortunately, there is no guarantee that the right decisions will always be made.

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What did the Israeli attack in Syria reveal?

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Following Israel’s strike on the Abu al-Duhur Airbase in Syria on August 18, relations between Damascus and Tel Aviv have reportedly broken down. Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad Hassan Sheybani announced in the wake of the attack that all communication with Israel had been severed. “We anticipate that talks regarding a security agreement with Israel will resume in the near future. At present, we do not trust Israel. Our priority is the cessation of attacks against our sovereign territory,” he stated.

The minister’s utter helplessness reverberates through his words.

The post-Assad regime in Damascus ascended to power on the back of American and Israeli support. Consequently, the United States and Israel stand as the primary arbiters of Syria’s destiny. It is precisely for this reason that the Damascus administration has abandoned all claims to its rights over the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights—virtually resigning itself to the occupation and striking it from the agenda. Upon seizing power, it pledged immediate fealty to Washington: “We will pose no security threat to Israel, and we shall thwart anyone who attempts to do so.” It operated under the delusion that it could forge a functional relationship with Israel—led by Netanyahu, a perpetrator of genocide and a convicted war criminal—by appeasing it through concessions. It was gravely mistaken.

For Israel currently holds sway over a substantial portion of Syrian territory. It establishes military outposts across the country, carries out airstrikes at will, and deploys its armor unimpeded.

Similarly, the Israeli-backed PYD-YPG terrorist organization exercises control over an expanse of land vastly disproportionate to its actual strength—territory exceptionally rich in energy resources—solely through the patronage of the US and Israel. Leveraging that very support, it wrenches outsized political, military, and administrative concessions from the Damascus government.

Evidently, the displacement of Iranian and Russian influence in Syria by that of the United States and Israel has brought profound satisfaction to certain circles in our country. Yet what these quarters fail to see, refuse to see, or cannot bring themselves to acknowledge even when confronted with it, is this fundamental reality: Washington envisions a Middle Eastern order wherein Israel commands supremacy, projects expanding power, and dictates terms, while Türkiye raises no objection whatsoever and instead accommodates itself to this architecture. To compel Türkiye’s acquiescence, the US is actively deploying its vast and varied arsenal of leverage.

Lest we forget, the United States had already brought several Arab states to the desired threshold through the Abraham Accords. That process was ultimately intended to culminate in the open, formal consecration of the de facto rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Israel. That trajectory has not been abandoned; it has merely been placed on ice for the time being. Behind the scenes, Washington maintains an intense flurry of diplomacy with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, and Jordan. Once the wider Middle East, the Islamic world, and the Arab sphere have been fully conditioned to accept the ongoing reality in Gaza—and once the oppressed, grieving, and beleaguered Palestinian people have been driven entirely from their ancestral homeland—this shelved agenda will be revived.

We know that the Zionist establishment in Israel, aligned with American imperialism, chose not to strike Iran first before confronting the Iranian-backed Axis of Resistance, the Shia Crescent, and Tehran’s proxy forces. It executed the exact inverse: it struck first at Syria, at Hamas in Palestine, and at Hezbollah in Lebanon. Only after eroding their efficacy did it turn its sights directly upon Iran. In Syria, the previous regime held out far longer than anticipated—enduring for 13 years and 8 months. As a consequence of the civil war that erupted in March 2011, Assad was ultimately overthrown, finding refuge in Moscow.

When 61 years of Baathist rule, including 53 years of the Assad dynasty, came to a close in December 2024, the emergent regime in Damascus wasted no time in pledging its allegiance to the United States, to Israel, and to the Arab states that backed it, chief among them Saudi Arabia. It proclaimed that it would erect a bulwark against Iran, raise not the slightest objection to Israel, and execute Washington’s directives to the letter.

A broad demographic in Türkiye that welcomed this turn of events swiftly began asserting—under the banner of religious and sectarian fraternity—that this transition worked entirely in Türkiye’s favor. The sheer fallacy of this premise was exposed in short order.

And how was it exposed?

It was exposed by Israel immediately laying the groundwork for a Syria partitioned into four enclaves (Druze, Kurdish, Alawite, and Arab). It was exposed by the renewed revelation that the US-Israel axis intends, sooner or later, to carve up Syria along sectarian and ethnic fault lines—mirroring the precedents of Lebanon and Iraq—in a country roughly composed of 70 percent Sunni Arabs, 10 percent Alawites, 10 percent Kurds, 5 percent Christians, and 5 percent Druze and Turkmens.

It was exposed by the fact that the PYD-YPG terrorist organization, even if denied the entirety of its territorial ambitions, has managed to secure a portion of its political, military, and administrative demands through US–Israeli patronage, thereby being permitted to preserve its existence by settling for a reduced perimeter.

And it was exposed by the resilience of Iran, which, despite suffering immense exhaustion and attrition in the face of American and Israeli aggression, refused to capitulate and maintained its resistance. It was exposed by the failure of the US-Israel tandem to achieve its overarching political and military objectives in Iran, bringing to the fore once again the undeniable truth that Iran possesses an institutionalized state tradition, a national consciousness, and an armed force of a depth and resilience that defy any comparison to Libya, Iraq, or Syria.

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India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships

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Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.

India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.

Today, India’s achievements extend  beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.

India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.

India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.

The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.

Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.

India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with  NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.

These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.

To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.

India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.

The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.

In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.

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Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa

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In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.

History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.

Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.

Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.

AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS

Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.

Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.

In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”

China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.

THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY

It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.

The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.

The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.

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