Opinion
The Western bloc’s move to counter China’s hegemony in Africa: The Lobito Corridor
Many of the rising stars among this century’s developing economies will emerge from Africa. Despite centuries of exploitation, the “Dark Continent” remains a potential source of wealth for the global economy, rich in both underground and surface resources. More importantly, demographic trends indicate that Africa is poised for significant advantages. The continent’s population, which stands at 1.304 billion as of January 1, 2025, is projected to reach 2.5 billion by 2050. This is significant not just in terms of population density, but also for the proportion of young people within the total population. In other words, a massive, dynamic population holds vast potential as a labor force. Another key point is Africa’s consumption trends. The fact that this dense population is also hungry for consumption increases Africa’s importance and appeal for global trade. This means Africa is not just a source of resources but also has the potential to become a massive market. We are talking about a market that could revitalize the global economy in the future.
South Africa, Egypt, Morocco, Algeria, Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana, Gabon, Senegal, Guinea, and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are prominent countries, both for their populations and their natural resources. It is highly likely that these nations will play a leading role in the continent’s rise. Bordered by the Mediterranean Sea to the north, the Indian Ocean to the east, and the Atlantic Ocean to the west, the continent will also hold strategic importance for future global trade corridors.

CHINA IS FAR AHEAD, BUT…
For all these reasons, it appears Africa will become the primary arena of competition for major powers starting from the second quarter of this century. China has already been making significant investments in the continent for a long time. The rise of Beijing’s economic influence in Africa is undeniable. In 2009, China surpassed the United States as the continent’s largest trading partner, and its recent trade volume is four times that of US-Africa trade. This situation has alarmed American policymakers about the decline of US influence on the continent, sparking their interest in development and infrastructure investments to improve and facilitate US-Africa economic ties. One of these initiatives is the Lobito Trade Corridor. First proposed in 2023, the Lobito Corridor is a 1,300-kilometer railway running from east to west through Zambia, the DRC, and Angola.
Any US initiative in Africa must catch up to and create the potential to compete with China’s longer-term and more comprehensive engagement strategy. For the past decade, China has been conducting these activities through its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a massive infrastructure and economic development project spanning Asia, Europe, and Africa. To date, the governments of many African nations have signed memorandums of understanding related to the BRI, and this initiative has facilitated billions of dollars in investment for the construction of roads, ports, railways, and other critical infrastructure. In 2023 alone, approximately $21.7 billion in loans flowed from the BRI to Africa. Including investments under the BRI and other bilateral agreements, it is estimated that China has invested a total of $2.23 trillion in Africa since 2005.
It is crucial to remember that every financial flow has geopolitical objectives and consequences. Through this financial power, China has been able to secure access to significant amounts of minerals and rare earth elements from Africa. The DRC, where Chinese companies own 72 percent of all cobalt and copper mines, is a case in point. Similarly, in Guinea, which is rich in bauxite deposits, Chinese companies are major stakeholders in the Simandou iron ore mine.

AIMING TO CHIP AWAY AT CHINESE DOMINANCE
The US is aware that it must increase and sustain its influence in Africa to solidify its global hegemony. It has little choice but to do this in coordination with European Union (EU) countries, which established vast colonies in the past and have historical, political, and economic ties to the continent. However, the extent to which it can achieve a coordinated, “win-win” cooperation with the United Kingdom, France, and other EU nations is not so clear. After all, these were the very countries it competed with on the continent until recently. To give a recent example, when France was being pushed out of the Sahel countries a few years ago, there was no shortage of American officials in Washington rubbing their hands with glee. Washington planned to fill the void left by France in the region. However, the national independence-minded governments in the region seem to have thwarted this American dream for now. The sight of Nigeriens demonstrating with Russian flags during the political tensions in Niger can perhaps be seen as a symbol of the anti-Western awakening in Africa. The statements by Burkina Faso’s President Ibrahim Traoré are another example.
With China being the most important trading partner in a large part of the continent, the Western Bloc’s job is harder than ever. In fact, it seems they will have to focus more on getting whatever they can from the region rather than truly defeating China. The Lobito Corridor, a project designed by the US in the south of the continent to rival the BRI, is a key part of this objective—though whether it will achieve its goal remains a question mark for now.

A “MULTILATERAL” IMAGE UNDER US LEADERSHIP
Nearly two years have passed since the project’s inception. Announced at the EU Global Gateway Forum in October 2023, the project brings together the African Development Bank (AfDB), the Africa Finance Corporation (AFC), the United States, and the European Commission to jointly construct a railway connecting Zambia’s northwest to the Port of Lobito on Angola’s Atlantic coast.
The financing structure of the Lobito Corridor resembles that of the BRI, with the US taking on the role of “primary facilitator” as the main financier of the investment. From the project’s start until September 2024, Washington provided over $3 billion in financing across various sectors, including transport and logistics, agriculture, clean energy, health, and digital access. A significant portion of the funding is channeled through the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGI), a joint initiative of G7 countries established in 2022 that aims to play a larger role in global infrastructure.
The Lobito Corridor attempts to present itself as just such an alternative. First, it appears to adopt a more multilateral perspective than a typical BRI project, seeking to partner with regional actors like the AfDB, which has been an active supporter of the corridor from the outset. The AfDB’s involvement serves two critical purposes. On a financial level, it helps distribute the financial burden of raising money for infrastructure projects, which have a long-term perspective on profitability. This is evident from the $1.6 billion the AfDB helped raise in 2023. On a political level, the AfDB helps alleviate concerns about the hegemony of major powers like the US or China. The multilateral approach also brings external actors into the process. For example, the World Bank provided $300 million for a complementary local initiative, marking the first infrastructure project the bank has contributed to in Africa since 2002. The European Commission has also pledged to conduct environmental and social feasibility studies to limit the impact on vulnerable habitats along the Lobito Corridor route. In other words, it comes with a “green” makeover!
CORNERSTONES THAT REVIVE MEMORIES OF COLONIALISM
The purpose of the Lobito Corridor is also familiar in that it aims to build new infrastructure in developing countries that lack capital. This infrastructure is being built not because it is profitable on its own, but because it enables other profitable economic activities. The project envisions the construction of approximately 550 kilometers of new railway line in Zambia, from Jimbe on the border to Chingola in the Zambian copper belt. This new line will connect to a newly constructed line in Angola at the border, which will then link to the existing Benguela railway at Luacano. The result will be a new trade corridor providing Zambia with access to the Atlantic Ocean. The project also includes the construction of about 260 kilometers of feeder roads and the refurbishment of the 120-year-old Benguela railway.
However, one must not forget that Africa has a memory. It is worth noting that for many Africans, the Benguela railway evokes the brutal exploitation of the colonial era—and not just the railway, but the savage, bloody, and relentless exploitation by Europeans! This, perhaps, setting aside other disadvantages, is the Western Bloc’s Achilles’ heel in its competition with China.

TO SECURE THE SHORT-TERM SUPPLY OF STRATEGIC MINERALS
For this reason, European countries and the US seem to be taking a page from the BRI’s book to avoid reviving bad memories. The Lobito Corridor is trying to develop an approach that also satisfies Africans while making infrastructure investments, such as strengthening the infrastructure of the participating countries and increasing their foreign trade volumes. This, of course, is a means to an ultimate end.
The project envisions trade flows moving westward along the Atlantic Ocean route. The goal is to secure the supply of rare earth minerals and industrial metals, which are strategic raw materials for the green energy, electric vehicle, battery technology, IT, and telecommunications sectors. As is well known, China holds global hegemony in the rare earth minerals market, and the US and EU aim to reduce this dominance, even if just by a little. Let’s call this the project’s bonus! The DRC is extremely rich in these minerals. In fact, the country possesses great wealth in many strategic minerals.
The new railway in the Lobito Corridor project has the potential to establish supply lines from both the DRC and Zambia by connecting the Zambian copper belt to an Atlantic port for the first time. Copper, the most important industrial metal, has become an even more critical strategic raw material, especially with the green transition. Previously, Zambia’s metal exports tended to flow eastward from Tanzania’s Port of Dar es Salaam. This time, the first shipment of copper to the US was loaded onto a container ship from Angola’s Port of Lobito. This shipment followed a series of copper shipments to European and Southeast Asian ports since Lobito Atlantic Railway took over the concession in January of this year. This is an indicator that access for mines in the “Congo copper belt” to Western markets, particularly the US, will increase. And such a supply line is vital for American companies to maintain their competitiveness against Chinese firms.
THE GOAL: TO INCLUDE TANZANIA IN THE CORRIDOR
The US also aims to expand the Lobito Corridor. This expansion strategy came to light in August 2024, when Helaina Matza, the Special Coordinator for the PGI at the US Department of State, announced that talks were underway to extend the corridor to Tanzania. With this, Washington revealed its plan to create a more comprehensive “Trans-African Corridor” connecting the Atlantic and Indian oceans. This move should be seen not merely as a commercial objective but as a geo-economic maneuver. Through it, Washington aims to somewhat restrain the rapidly growing Africa-China trade along the Indian Ocean route and become an effective actor on that route. Matza also added that the refurbishment of the Benguela railway, the first phase of the Lobito Corridor, was progressing smoothly and that copper shipments were flowing from the DRC to the US for the first time.
The second and more ambitious phase, the construction of a new railway in Zambia, was awaiting the completion of feasibility studies. The decision to open up all the rare earth minerals in the deposits along the corridor to trade eastward via Dar es Salaam might seem illogical for the Western Bloc at first glance. However, this is likely part of a long-term strategy.
First, the infrastructure largely already exists in the form of the Tazara Line, which connects Dar es Salaam on the Indian Ocean to Kapiri Mposhi in Zambia. Connecting to the Lobito Corridor at Chingola would require approximately 200 kilometers of new construction. Second, implementing the Trans-African Corridor could strengthen the soft power profile of the PGI, which claims to be motivated above all by advancing good governance and regional economic growth.
WHEN THE MONEY DRIES UP…
The Lobito Corridor is a significant move for the Western Bloc, but it may be a project that is a little too late. While China’s foreign direct investment in Africa averaged $4 billion between 2019 and 2021, higher than that of Western countries, the US direct investment amount had declined in some years. However, Beijing’s commanding competitive advantage has weakened recently. The post-pandemic economic slowdown and tightening credit facilities caused BRI-related investments in Africa to fall from $16.5 billion in 2021 to $7.5 billion in 2023—a 55% drop. A sense of fatigue with the BRI emerged as perceptions of it worsened in many regions between 2017 and 2022, partly due to growing debt concerns in BRI countries. After all, massive infrastructure and superstructure investments require huge financing, and every loan has to be repaid.
AFRICA COULD PROFIT FROM THIS RIVALRY
In summary, that is the situation for the parties involved. The path ahead is paved with advantages and disadvantages. So, is it still possible for Washington to position itself in Africa? Or are these investments sufficient? It is not easy to give a clear answer to these questions for now. It is true that the Lobito Corridor and similar projects face real challenges; China’s successes in infrastructure development and the growing interest of Africans in Beijing are undeniable facts. As a result, economic and diplomatic relations between Beijing and African countries are strengthening. The continent is home to 54 states, each with its own development needs and experiences—both positive and negative—of interacting with China. And if there is one thing that can unite Africans amidst this diversity, it is the shared need for capital and infrastructure investment.
It appears that the intensifying competition between China and the US-EU alliance could create a window of opportunity for Africans. The countries that stand to gain the most from this rivalry will be the African nations themselves—if their governments can truly act in the best interests of their people. When it comes to Africa, issues like bribery, corruption, dependency, and internal conflicts come to mind, and unfortunately, there is no guarantee that the right decisions will always be made.
Opinion
A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order
The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.
The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”
One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.
The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.
Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.
Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.
On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.
Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.
When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.
The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.
The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.
The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
Opinion
NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism
Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.
As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.
In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.
Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.
Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion
NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.
And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.
The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.
The collapse of the Atlantic system
Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.
In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.
Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.
For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.
Opinion
Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing
Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.
For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.
Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.
It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.
The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.
Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.
This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.
For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.
China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.
All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.
The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.
Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.
Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
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