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‘There will be no security and peace in Central Asia, without peace and security in Afghanistan’

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Khusrav Noziri, Secretary General of the Economic Cooperation Organisation (ECO), told Harici: “Afghanistan is not only the security concern for Tajikistan but for the whole region, for the whole Central Asia because the Central Asian countries consider the security of Afghanistan as the security of the Central Asia.”

Established in 1985 with Turkey, Pakistan, Iran, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan as members, and the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) as an observer, ECO is an economically-oriented regional organisation with a population of some 450 million.

Established with the aim of developing regional economic cooperation, ECO enables the implementation of regional cooperation projects in the fields of trade, transport, agriculture, energy, environment, health, industry, finance and economy.

Khusrav Noziri, who has been Secretary General of ECO since 2021, has held senior positions such as Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs in Tajikistan, as well as diplomatic posts in many countries, including Tajikistan’s embassies in Egypt, the Republic of South Africa and China. In 2021, he was awarded the “20th Anniversary of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation” medal for his contribution to the establishment and development of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO).

Ambassador Khusrav Noziri, Secretary General of ECO, answered our questions about the organisation’s goals, upcoming projects and trade cooperation in Central Asia.

The fact that the Middle Corridor continues to move forward despite obstacles is seen as a symbol of the South Caucasus-Central Asia region’s desire for political and economic autonomy. How do you assess the approach of major powers such as China and Russia to this issue?

Middle Corridor is one of the major corridors in the territory of the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) and as you know, we have established the Coordination Committee between ECO and United Nations Economic Committee for Europe (UNEC). In this framework, we are discussing how to better implement this project and realization of this corridor. This corridor is of high importance for our region because from the East, it connects our region to China, one of the most important countries in the world, and also, from the West to Europe. And this issue was also raised in Antalya Diplomacy Forum; it was highlighted that due to some events happening in the eastern part of Europe, the northern corridor has some difficulties. So now, we focus on how to better use of the potential which the Middle Corridor possesses, which cross through the ECO region.

Despite Western pressure, the Economic Cooperation Organization refuses to join the sanctions targeting Russia. How do you assess Washington’s measures on secondary sanctions?

As ECO, we agreed among the member states, not to raise political issues and focus only on the issues of economic cooperation and integration among ten member states.  But of course, it is sovereign right of every member state what to decide and whether to implement sanction or not. But what we are doing in our organization is that we have a target set, goals set in trade and transport, connectivity, energy, environment etc. We are now, according to our basic strategic document which is Vision 2025, implementing our projects, in all our priority areas. But, of course, we understand that these sanctions which are enforced against one of our key member states, of course, has negative consequences on our agenda of regional economic cooperation. We understand it. But, nevertheless, we are trying our best to overcome these difficulties and move towards closer cooperation economically and for closer integration in all our priority areas.

Can you give us some details about the remarkable goals which take place in your strategy document, Vision 2025?

According to our basic strategy document which is Vision 2025, we set a target to double our intra-regional trade. If we compare the level of our cooperation in the area of trade, we can see that the amount of our regional trade which is now 9% of from our global trade is much less if we compare with the similar level from other regional economic blocks and organizations. So, that’s why we set the target to double our intra-regional trade. We have two tracks on this. The first is to increase the share of contribution of our organization to the global trade. In 2022, for the first time we, as ECO members, crossed the mark of 1 trillion USD which is about 4% of the global trade. We want to increase our share and our contribution to the global trade. Secondly, we also simultaneously set a target to increase our intra-regional trade, the trade which we have inside the region among the member states. Because if we analyze the trade we can see that many items and commodities could be imported from within the ECO, instead of importing them from outside the block. So, in this regard, we have a huge potential. The second priority area is on transport and communication. In transport and communication, we have many success stories and we already discussed Trans-Caspian Middle Corridor. And also, we have again reactivated the corridor which is called ITI (Islamabad-Tehran-Istanbul) which starts from Islamabad and goes through Tehran and ends in Istanbul. If we compare it with the relevant sea corridor, it will be less expensive and time saving. Now, we are discussing with the Bulgarian companies to extend this corridor to Bulgaria which will eventually connect the South Asia by railway for the first time to Europe. So, it’s another major corridor in our region. Also, we are in the last ministerial meeting on transport which was held in Tashkent last year, we initiated two new corridors, multimodal corridors, which are called TUTIT and KUTIT. TUTIT is abbreviation for Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Iran and Türkiye. KUTIT is for Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Iran and Türkiye. Both are plus China. These two corridors are multimodal corridors. In last September, we had the first meeting of the working group in Dushanbe and now we are discussing when we should have a test-run alongside the TUTIT multimodal corridor. 

Another project it is KTI which is Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Iran. During the summit which we held in Ashkabad, we agreed to commercialize this transport corridor. One of our targets in the area of transport and communication is to make our transport corridors economic and trade corridors and thus commercialize them. Also, we are developing our cooperation in the area of transport in the maritime cooperation because we have Caspian Sea and Persian Gulf in the south, these are important sea ports. Also, Gwadar sea port in Pakistan and also the important sea ports in Türkiye will be included in the project. Three of our countries in organization have access to the sea but the majority of them, remaining seven member states are landlocked countries. And in this regard, the issues related to increasing the potential of landlock countries and providing them the access to the sea through this echo-gates, is of great importance. 

Also, we have a good cooperation in the aviation sphere. In the last ministerial meeting on transport, we decided to grant ECO the status of a hub to Gabala of Azerbaijan and Samarkand of Uzbekistan. This status, which also we hope that, will increase the potential of landlock countries in attracting the business, investments and etc. 

Other top priority areas are energy and environment. On energy, I would like to say that we have two flagship important projects. The first one is the establishment of ECO Clean Energy Center in Baku. This is a joint project which is implemented together with United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) and the initial phase of the establishment has been completed. Now, we are moving towards the implementation of the next stages of this project. We hope that during the next Conference on Parties 29 (COP29), which will be hosted by Azerbaijan, which is one of our important member states, we will succeed in inauguration of the ECO Clean Energy Center in Baku.

Another flagship program in energy sector is ECO-RAM. It’s a regional electricity market, now it’s at pilot stage. In this project, Türkiye and Iran, as neighboring countries are participating, with the potential involvement of Azerbaijan. But we think that this project has a prospect to be expanded because in our region, we have other countries which are rich in the natural resources and the production of electricity. Some of them are based on the fossils and some of them are based on electricity like Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. This cooperation is promising. 

Another area is environment. During the last COP in Dubai, we had the ministerial meeting on environment. In this meeting, we decided to have the first meeting of the high-level dialogue platform on environment cooperation in Samarkand, Uzbekistan. It’s a newly established mechanism in our organization.

The next priority area is tourism. Now, we are developing the concept of the tourism capitals of ECO. Now, we have six cities in this project. One of them is Erzurum of Türkiye. Next year, Erzurum will be announced as the tourism capital of ECO. In this regard, we are planning to convene major events in Erzurum. After Erzurum, it will be the turn of the Shusa. 

Last year, China organised a quintet summit in Xian that brought Central Asian countries together. How would you interpret China’s growing role in the region?

We understand that China plays a growing role in the ECO member states. That’s why ECO is interested in developing, strengthening and expanding relations with China. As you know, some significant number of ECO member states are the neighbors of China. Starting from Kazakhstan, Kirgizstan, Tajikistan and Pakistan are direct neighbors of China. ECO member states have significant and big projects, infrastructural projects etc. with China, which we consider that eventually could benefit ECO as well for increasing our economic cooperation and integration. So, China, for us, is an important trade partner, economic partner, investment partner. 

Some countries are pro-Chinese investments and some countries are feeling worried regarding the Chinese economic growth and being bounded to Belt and Road initiative and debts caused by that. What is the ECO’s position? 

If you look at the reality on the ground, I think all member states are welcoming the growing Chinese investments in their economies. We can see it on the ground in the forms of realization of the grand projects and different various areas.

You are not giving this interview on behalf of Tajikistan but if you allow me, I have some questions about your home country as well. We don’t know much about Tajikistan. We cannot speak much with Tajik politicians. It’s very hard to catch them and talk to them. We would like to know more about foreign policy of Tajikistan as according to the Tajikistan constitution it stressed upon a peaceful policy. What is that criteria and how it goes with the regional countries and beyond?

As Secretary General of Economic Cooperation Organization, of course, I cannot talk on behalf of Tajikistan, but I can say that Tajikistan is a very important and active member of our organization. Tajikistan hosted the summit of the organization, the Council of Ministers of the Organization several times. As you know, the Council is the highest decision and policymaking body in our organization. Tajikistan also participates in implementation of different regional projects in our organization. We value the participation of Tajikstan. In Antalya Diplomacy Forum, we once again met with the Foreign Minister of Tajikistan, Sirojiddin Muhriddin and had an exchange of views on the areas of cooperation and strengthening the role of Tajikistan and the activities.

Apparently, Tajikistan has a big issue with two of its neighbors and that’s are Kyrgyzstan and Afghanistan. What steps has been taken to normalize its ties or if there is any chance for improving of ties between those countries?

Again, I cannot speak on behalf of Tajikistan but what I know is that: Both Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan are our members. We welcome the negotiation process which is going on between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. We heard about the positive developments and the big area of the joint border between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. I think, the delegations agreed on how to demarcate this border. There are positive steps and positive development in this area. Afghanistan also is the member state of ECO. Afghanistan is very important especially in terms of the transport and especially in the terms of energy because we have projects with regard to Afghanistan but because of this current situation and de-facto rulers in Afghanistan, many of our projects are now on-hold. But, we have special program for Afghanistan.

Can we say that this is also one of the biggest security concerns of Tajikistan, too? 

Afghanistan is not only the security concern for Tajikistan but for the whole region, for the whole Central Asia because the Central Asian countries consider the security of Afghanistan as the security of the Central Asia. It was stated several times by Central Asian leaders that there will be no security and peace, without peace and security in Afghanistan.

Do you refer to Afghanistan as a country or do you refer to this threat regarding the de-facto rule of Taliban?

I refer to Afghanistan as a country because this situation not started two years ago. It continues already more than 40 years. So, I’m referring to the country. Afghanistan is an important member of our organization but due to this this current situation, Afghanistan regrettably cannot officially attend in our meetings.

The US and China are interested in investing in Tajikistan. Which of them have invested more in Tajikistan and in which areas?

[Laughter] For the countries receiving investments, I think, there is not big difference in who is investing as long as the money flows. I think the countries are interested to increase these investments and increase the number of countries who are coming with the investment. So, I believe, this is a policy of Tajikistan as well.

Looking on the ground, which country is investing more?

According to the statistics which we have, of course, China is the major investor not only in Tajikistan but in all Central Asian countries and in Iran as well and in Pakistan as well. 

Is there anything that I didn’t ask you but you want to tell us?

There is one more priority area which I haven’t mentioned. It is human resources and sustainable development. In this regard, this year we are going to convene the first Forum on Sustainable Development in Arkadak, Turkmenistan, which is the new modern smart city. This year is of the chairmanship of Iran. Iran came with the theme of enhanced and resilient ECO region through intra-regional trade. Again, coming back the intra-regional trade is a top priority for our region. With this regard, we are taking necessary measures for our organization. We negotiated on The Economic Cooperation Organization Trade Agreement (ECOTA) and signed and ratified by five member states, which is the minimum for entering into force. But regrettably, this agreement remains non-operational due to the divergence in opinion among the parties on the articles related to the reduction of the tariffs. But, it is not the end of the story but we are now exploring other ways how to facilitate the trade in particular. There are draft trade facilitation strategy and draft trade facilitation agreement. 

ASIA

Muslims react to Modi’s election speech targeting migrants as ‘hate speech’

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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has come under fire for comments made during his election campaign that critics have described as hate speech against Muslims, sparking anger and fear among the minority.

The 73-year-old leader addressed a rally in the northwestern state of Rajasthan on Sunday, just days after India kicked off a six-week election process in which Modi is seeking a rare third term.

Modi told the crowd that the Congress, the country’s main opposition party, would redistribute India’s wealth among “migrants” if it came to power, in provocative remarks thought to be aimed at winning support from his majority Hindu voter base.

“When they (Congress) were in power, they said that Muslims have the first right to the wealth of the country. They will take all your wealth and distribute it among those who have more children… among migrants,” Modi warned his audience. “Do you think your hard-earned money should be given to immigrants? Would you accept that?” he added.

Modi’s Hindu nationalist activities

Modi’s Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its supporters have previously referred to Muslims as immigrants and criticised them for their high birth rate. Such comments have fuelled fears among BJP supporters that Muslims will overtake India’s majority Hindu population. Muslims make up about 200 million of India’s 1.4 billion people.

Muslims are worried and angry about these reactions

India has been plagued for years by violence and sectarian conflict between Hindus and Muslims.

During his ten years in office, Modi has been criticised for undermining India’s tradition of secularism. Since coming to power, he has abolished the semi-autonomous status of the Muslim-majority state of Jammu and Kashmir. In January, Modi inaugurated the great Lord Ram temple in Ayodhya in the northeast, once a flashpoint of Hindu-Muslim conflict.

His government also passed a citizenship law granting citizenship to Hindus and people of some other faiths fleeing neighbouring countries, a rule critics say is designed to keep Muslims out.

Opposition calls for probe

India’s opposition said Modi’s weekend remarks were hate speech and accused him of violating election rules that prohibit candidates from trying to influence voters through religion, community or religious symbols.

The Congress described the remarks as ‘highly objectionable’ and asked India’s Election Commission to investigate. An Election Commission official told India’s The Economic Times newspaper that the complaints were ‘under consideration’.

Congress leader Mallikarjun Kharge wrote on social media platform X that “no prime minister in the history of India has lowered the dignity of his office like Modi”.

BJP national spokesman Tom Vadakkan insisted that the Congress had previously promised to redistribute wealth and that Modi’s remarks had been “taken out of context”.

Vadakkan told Nikkei that Modi was “talking about illegal immigrants, not Muslims in the country”. “If you look at the US, Europe or any other country, illegal immigrants are a big problem,” he added.

Modi and the BJP have repeatedly rejected accusations of discrimination, saying the party works for the benefit of all Indian citizens.

But Modi’s comments on Sunday also drew the ire of Muslim politicians.

Asaduddin Owaisi, a Muslim MP and president of the All India Majlis-e-Ittehad-e-Muslimin party, also took to social media to criticise Modi: “Modi’s only guarantee was to exploit Muslims and get votes.”

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Philippines skips China’s Navy Forum coinciding with US drills

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Senior naval officers from around the world gathered in China on Monday for a maritime symposium aimed at seeking global governance of maritime issues.

A senior Chinese defence official reiterated China’s commitment to resolving disputes with countries directly concerned through friendly consultation, but also vowed to take “countermeasures” against unwarranted provocations.

The 19th Western Pacific Naval Symposium (WPNS) opened on Monday in the port city of Qingdao in East China’s Shandong province. Zhang Youxia, vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission, attended the event and delivered a speech, Xinhua news agency reported.

Zhang said the Chinese armed forces had actively participated in international maritime security cooperation and provided maritime public security goods, adding that China would play a more positive and open role in international military cooperation:

“We should resolutely abandon the Cold War mentality, join hands to build peace and stability, bridge differences through dialogue and consultation, jointly discuss and establish governance rules, and bring maritime security governance to a new level with practical results.”

He said China is committed to resolving maritime disputes peacefully through friendly consultations with countries directly concerned, but will safeguard its legitimate rights in the face of deliberate violations of its sovereignty and take firm countermeasures against unreasonable provocations.

Zhang said: “We will not cause trouble and will not fear trouble. China’s armed forces will resolutely safeguard national unity and interests.

Platform for talks

Held every two years and attended by naval commanders and delegates from around the world, this year’s theme is “Oceans with a Common Future” and more than 180 naval representatives from 29 countries are attending the four-day meeting.

This is the second time the WPNS has been held in China, which hosted it for the first time in 2014.

Delegates will review the symposium’s activities since its 18th biennial meeting, set the future agenda and discuss and vote on issues such as the WPNS Code of Conduct, the Code for Unplanned Encounters at Sea (CUES) and unmanned systems, Xinhua reported.

Foreign naval chiefs were invited to discuss the Global Security Initiative and maritime peace, maritime security cooperation and maritime order based on international law and global maritime governance.

Liang Wei, a senior officer at the China Naval Research Academy (NRA), said the attendance at the meeting and the number of officers from other countries attending were high. “This not only shows the vitality of the symposium, but also reflects the influence and glamour of the Chinese Navy,” Liang said, Xinhua reported.

“The symposium is a rare opportunity for countries with conflicting regional interests to exchange views,” Reuters reported on Monday. Admiral Stephen Koehler, commander of the Pacific Fleet, is attending the symposium from the United States. Other delegations include Australia, France, India, Russia and the United Kingdom.

Global Times correspondents at the symposium reported that media organisations were eager to interview US delegates, but US Navy representatives refused to answer questions.

Exercises in the South China Sea

On the same day as the opening of the WPNS, thousands of Filipino and US troops began the annual Balikatan “shoulder-to-shoulder” military exercises in the Philippines, citing “Beijing’s growing assertiveness in the region, raising fears of conflict”.

Chinese analysts said on Monday that there was no conflict in the region under former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte, and that after the current regime took office in Manila, President Romualdez Marcos Jr. abandoned his predecessor’s “gentleman’s agreement” with China, which ensured peace and stability in the region, due to US interference. According to Chinese public opinion, the main reason for the current tensions is not China’s “growing assertiveness”, but the Philippines’ invitation to the US in the region against China.

The US-Philippine exercise is concentrated in the northern and western parts of the archipelago country, “near potential flashpoints in the South China Sea and Taiwan”.

Xu Liping, director of the Centre for Southeast Asian Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the Global Times on Monday that there is no doubt that the role played by the United States in the region is destructive and harmful, and that Washington is a troublemaker and provocateur that disrupts peace and stability in the region. “US policy in the region will one day backfire, because instability is not in the interests of the United States”.

The US is using regional disputes to legitimise its military presence in the region and for Washington, the Philippines is “just a pawn on the chessboard” and if the US provokes a direct military confrontation with China, US fleets and forces can easily walk away if the situation becomes undesirable, said a Chinese military expert and WPNS participant who requested anonymity, adding that the Philippines will stay where it is and that is why no other regional country wants to be used by the US, urging Manila to realise the consequences as soon as possible.

Asked why the Philippines did not participate in the 19th WPNS, Liang, a senior Chinese military officer, told the press on Monday that “China, as a member of the WPNS, invited the other 29 member countries and observer states, and China does not know the specific reasons why the Philippine Navy did not participate in this forum”.

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South Korea and the US conduct their largest-ever combined air exercises on the Korean Peninsula

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The United States and South Korea are conducting their largest-ever combined air exercises on the Korean peninsula. Officials said this year’s exercise was the biggest ever, with more than 100 aircraft taking part.

The US has about 28,500 troops in South Korea. The annual exercise, called Korea Flight Training, began last week and will end on Friday.

“We have an incredibly strong alliance and this exercise is a tangible example of that,” US Air Force spokeswoman Rachel Buitrago told reporters at the base in the city of Gunsan on Friday. Pilots, planners and maintenance personnel are working side by side.

Buitrago said the drills were purely defensive, with pilots practising how to respond to fire from the ground or from other aircraft. “We are constantly training to be ready in case we are attacked,” he said.

Officials say the drills are not being conducted with a specific enemy in mind, but their focus is clear.

Tensions on the Korean Peninsula

North Korea’s state media reported on Saturday that the country had tested a “super-large warhead” for a strategic cruise missile and a new anti-aircraft missile.

The tests took place in the same Yellow Sea waters as the Korean Flight Training, North Korea’s official Korean Central News Agency reported on Saturday, adding that “the technologies are fast”.

Earlier this month, North Korea conducted its second hypersonic missile test. An analysis on 38 North, a North Korea-related website, said North Korea’s missiles “demonstrated their potential to hit Japan if used at mid-range”.

US President Joe Biden and South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol agreed in a joint statement following their summit to “initiate discussions to expand the scope and scale of unified military exercises and training on and around the Korean Peninsula in 2022”. The two leaders cited the need to “strengthen deterrence” in the face of North Korea’s “destabilising activities”.

The US military presence in the region and the deployment of a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier have further strained relations with North Korea. South Korea, which has aligned its security doctrine with that of the United States, sees its ties with Washington as “reassurance” against North Korea.

Preparing for tomorrow

US and South Korean air force officials at Kunsan say their aim is to be ready for any scenario, referring to their joint slogan “Fight Tonight”.

Colonel Michael McCarthy, a US pilot taking part in the exercise, said the purpose of the training was for pilots from both countries to get to know each other by operating together. He added that the experience of operating a powerful aircraft over the Korean peninsula was “overwhelming”.

“We’re working to inoculate ourselves against the stress of a major operation,” McCarthy said, “so tomorrow will be a little easier.”

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