Europe
Trump-backed Reform could shake up Britain’s two-party system
Reform UK, the right-wing party in the United Kingdom led by Nigel Farage, has emerged as the latest alternative party to top political opinion polls in the country. It has overtaken the Conservatives and Labour Party, which have held a monopoly on power for nearly a century, according to a poll conducted by YouGov.
Farage aims to become the political leader who finally breaks the dominance of Labour and the Conservatives in Westminster, particularly with Donald Trump’s influence in the US.
Recent polls, including this week’s YouGov poll, have placed Reform in the lead, with the party averaging 24.3 percent in a series of opinion polls this year. This positions Reform above the opposition Conservative Party at 23.1 percent and nearly level with the ruling Labour Party at 25.5 percent.
Historically, support for third parties has diminished as election day approaches, allowing the two main parties to consolidate their base. Reform’s predecessor, the Brexit Party, achieved a similar peak in support just after the 2019 European Parliament elections, the last election before the UK formally left the EU, polling around 23 percent.
However, after Boris Johnson became leader of the Conservatives and prime minister of the United Kingdom, the Brexit Party’s strength rapidly declined, partly due to an electoral deal where the party withdrew some candidates from seats contested by pro-Brexit Conservatives. The Conservatives subsequently won a landslide general election victory in December 2019, leaving the Brexit Party with zero seats.
Previous attempts to disrupt the two-party dominance of British politics have failed to make a lasting impact due to the United Kingdom’s first-past-the-post system. Under this system, parties can poll well, but if they do not secure a majority of votes in each constituency, they are left without representation.
In the early 1980s, the Social Democratic Party briefly surpassed both Labour and the Conservatives but fell to third place in the 1983 election. The Liberal Democrats experienced a similar surge in the lead-up to the 2010 elections, often polling the same vote share as the Conservatives and Labour. On election day, the Liberal Democrats won 57 seats with only 23% of the vote but formed a coalition government with the Conservatives.
The last time either of the two main parties in the United Kingdom was displaced was in 1922, when Labour replaced the Liberal Party as the official opposition, and millions of working-class voters were enfranchised. The Conservatives and Labour have remained the two largest parties since, but there are indications that their position is weakening.
In the 2024 general election, Labour won a large majority of seats, but the combined Labour and Conservative vote share fell to 59%, the lowest in a century. The Liberal Democrats, Reform, Greens, and independents also secured a record number of seats.
Current opinion polls indicate that Labour and the Conservatives may win less than half of the votes. The next electoral test will be the local elections in England in May.
Farage’s close relationship with Trump and the Republicans is also believed to bolster his party’s prospects. For instance, Nigel Farage, who attended the swearing-in ceremony in the US, stated in his speech in Wiltshire yesterday that he was proud to call US President Donald Trump “my friend” and believed that the Republicans’ success in America was a positive sign for his party.
Farage said he welcomed Trump’s “attractive” plan for the US to take over Gaza and transform the region into the “Riviera of the Middle East.”
“I love ambition, the idea of a rich, wonderful, thriving place with well-paid jobs, casinos, nightlife is very attractive to me,” Farage stated.
Despite Elon Musk’s recent polemic with Farage, Trump’s conversation with the British leader continues.
Europe
EIB to unveil 15 billion euro tech initiative to scale European startups
The European Investment Bank (EIB) will announce a €15 billion initiative today, in collaboration with EU capitals and private investors, aimed at supporting the growth of European technology companies.
For decades, startups on the continent have struggled to raise the large-scale funding rounds necessary to scale on this side of the Atlantic, frequently turning to US investors or relocating abroad as they expand.
“We are catching up. Now we need to accelerate,” EIB President Nadia Calviño said.
Under the existing European Tech Champions Initiative, the EIB had already pooled resources with six EU governments to establish funds that invest in high-growth companies across the EU.
Calviño described the initiative as “very successful,” noting that it has supported 12 European “unicorn” companies valued at over $1 billion, including the German artificial intelligence translation firm DeepL.
The bank is now expanding the program with a new phase nearly four times the size of the original.
Twenty-five EU governments, alongside private investors such as Santander and Danske Bank, are expected to participate in the program.
This initial €15 billion aims to mobilize up to €80 billion in total investment. Calviño stated that this estimate is based on the multiplier effects achieved under previous programs.
As part of these efforts, the EIB also aims to attract European pension funds, which manage immense pools of capital but have historically allocated fewer resources to technology investments compared to their US counterparts.
In addition to the new funding, Calviño noted that the EIB will create a platform providing a single point of access for existing European scale-up initiatives, including the European Commission’s Scaleup Europe Fund, France’s Tibi initiative, and Germany’s Win initiative.
Europe
Germany to purchase US Tomahawk missiles to build own long-range strike capability
Germany will purchase Tomahawk cruise missiles from the United States and deploy them on German territory, Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced on Thursday.
The move marks a shift away from planned US deployments and toward Germany establishing its own long-range strike capability.
Merz told lawmakers that he finalized the agreement with the US government during the NATO summit in Ankara, adding that the talks held on Tuesday and Wednesday had exceeded his expectations.
“While we close a critical strategic gap in our defense, we are also working to develop our own European systems and deploy them in Europe,” the Chancellor said.
According to German government sources, Washington committed in a letter of intent signed on Tuesday to approve Germany’s acquisition of Tomahawk missiles and their land-based Typhon launchers in August.
The number of missiles and launchers Germany plans to purchase was not disclosed because the information is classified.
The planned acquisition appears aligned with US President Donald Trump’s pressure on European allies to cover their own security costs, such as by purchasing US weapons.
The fate of the Tomahawk procurement had become uncertain after Trump announced in May that he would reduce the US military presence in Germany.
That development was seen as a cancellation of a plan made under the previous administration to deploy a US battalion equipped with long-range Tomahawk missiles to Germany.
That original plan was designed as a temporary solution to serve as a strong deterrent against Russia while Europeans developed their own versions of such weapons.
Germany produces its own cruise missile, the Taurus, but its range of approximately 311 miles is three to five times shorter than that of the Tomahawk missiles.
Europe
Apple loses EU court appeal over Digital Markets Act gatekeeper designation
The General Court of the European Union has rejected Apple’s challenges against its “gatekeeper” status designated under the Digital Markets Act (DMA).
With this ruling, the company’s designated status for the App Store and iOS remains valid, while its applications regarding iMessage were also rejected.
Apple had argued that the five separate App Stores it operates for the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Mac, and Apple TV should be evaluated as distinct, individual services.
The court rejected this argument, ruling that these stores serve a common purpose of connecting developers and users, regardless of the specific device.
The court also dismissed Apple’s defense that the DMA’s interoperability obligations violate its fundamental rights.
However, it did not conduct a substantive assessment on the legality of this obligation, stating that a direct legal link could not be established between the regulation in question and the determination of “gatekeeper” status.
Following the ruling, Apple argued that the obligations under the DMA “exceed the boundaries of legality and proportionality.” The company asserted that the new rules jeopardize the work it has carried out for years to ensure user privacy and security.
Apple retains the right to appeal the decision, though a company spokesperson did not comment on whether there are plans to do so.
Apple previously declared that DMA rules prevented the launch of the updated version of Siri in Europe, resulting in European users being unable to benefit from the service.
In force in the European Union since 2024, the DMA covers a total of 22 services and products belonging to Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, ByteDance, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft.
The regulation obliges these companies to share certain data with competitors, provide access to user-generated data, and offer verification tools to advertising partners.
Additionally, it prohibits platforms from engaging in anti-competitive practices that favor their own products. Companies failing to comply with the rules face fines of up to 10% of their global turnover, which can rise to 20% in cases of repeated violations.
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