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US reinforces Middle East military footprint as tensions with Iran escalate

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In the face of explicit threats directed at Iran by US President Donald Trump, the American military began mobilizing significant assets to the Middle East over the past month.

Over the weekend, General Brad Cooper, the head of US Central Command (CENTCOM), visited Israel to conduct coordination meetings regarding a potential strike against Iran.

According to data compiled by Haaretz from open-source intelligence, a squadron of F-15 fighter jets was recently deployed to Jordan, departing from Seymour Johnson Air Force Base in the US and RAF Lakenheath in the United Kingdom. This specific squadron had previously been stationed in Jordan during earlier Iranian escalations. During those missions, the squadron’s pilots were credited with intercepting dozens of Iranian drones bound for Israel, for which they received several commendations.

American sources familiar with the matter claim the current deployment is “merely a rotation” intended to replace other aircraft scheduled to depart Jordan in 2025. However, open-source tracking has yet to observe any squadrons returning to the UK or the US, suggesting that approximately 35 F-15 jets are currently concentrated in Jordan. These aircraft appear to be positioned primarily to bolster defensive capabilities rather than to spearhead an offensive against Iran.

The arrival of these fighter jets in recent weeks has been supported by approximately 40 transport and logistics flights, along with roughly 10 aerial refueling tankers, directed toward bases in Jordan and Saudi Arabia. Simultaneously, the British Royal Air Force announced the deployment of several Typhoon fighter jets to Qatar, describing the move as strictly “defensive.”

Within the last 48 hours, open-source tracking systems also monitored roughly ten additional flights from Fort Hood, Texas, to Kuwait. Fort Hood serves as the home base for two THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) batteries. However, it remains unclear whether the US has actually deployed these specific air defense systems to Israel.

Senior US officials told the Wall Street Journal last week that there are plans to deploy additional THAAD and Patriot missile defense batteries to the Middle East to protect critical US installations in the Gulf. These sites include the CENTCOM headquarters at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and the US 5th Fleet headquarters in Bahrain.

Furthermore, the US announced last week that the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group was transiting from the South China Sea toward the Middle East. The group passed through the Strait of Malacca last Tuesday. Based on its last recorded speed of 20 knots off the coast of Indonesia, the strike group should have already reached the vicinity of the Arabian Peninsula near Iran. The exact current coordinates of the group have not yet been disclosed in open-source reports. The carrier is escorted by three destroyers, and the entire strike group possesses the collective firepower of dozens of fighter jets and hundreds of cruise missiles.

Last week, reports also indicated the deployment of several additional US destroyers equipped with ballistic missile defense systems—assets that proved critical in assisting Israel during previous Iranian retaliatory strikes.

Contrary to some media reports, no unusual activity has been recorded at the Diego Garcia base in the heart of the Indian Ocean. Furthermore, there is no evidence from open-source data or satellite imagery suggesting that B-52 or B-2 bombers have been dispatched to the island, as has occurred during previous periods of heightened tension with Iran.

It is also noteworthy that the volume of air transport to the Middle East over the past month—including ammunition and logistics—remains significantly lower than the levels observed during previous preparations against Iran, such as in April and October 2024, or during the 12-day conflict in June 2025.

However, it is highly probable that the US is employing operational security and deception measures, meaning not all military activity is visible or traceable. For instance, during the strike on Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025, the US announced that B-2 bombers were heading west toward the Pacific Ocean; in reality, the primary strike force secretly took off to the east, refueling mid-flight to execute a surprise attack on Iran.

Middle East

US lifts naval blockade of Iran after ceasefire memorandum signed

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The United States has lifted its naval blockade of Iran on the orders of President Donald Trump, ending restrictions on vessels entering and leaving Iranian ports.

Announcing the development, the US Central Command (CENTCOM) said the US military was no longer blocking maritime traffic to Iranian ports and had halted all operations related to enforcing the naval blockade.

The statement added that US warships would remain in the region to monitor compliance with the terms of the agreement.

The decision to lift the blockade follows the memorandum of understanding signed by the United States and Iran on June 18, aimed at ending the war and reopening the Strait of Hormuz to maritime traffic.

After signing the document in France, where he was attending the G7 summit, Trump sent the agreement to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian for approval.

In a statement, Iran’s Foreign Ministry said a formal signing ceremony between the two delegations, previously scheduled to take place in Geneva on June 19, would no longer be held.

Negotiations to continue in Switzerland

According to Axios, citing sources familiar with the matter, the signing process for the memorandum of understanding was accelerated in order to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to shipping as quickly as possible.

A planned meeting between US and Iranian representatives in Switzerland has not been cancelled. The talks are expected to focus on launching negotiations over Iran’s nuclear programme, with US Vice President James David Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf set to take part.

According to CNN, the 14-point memorandum calls for an immediate ceasefire on all fronts, the lifting of the naval blockade, the resumption of maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, the removal of oil sanctions on Iran and the withdrawal of US troops from areas surrounding Iran.

The agreement also includes the allocation of $300 billion for Iran’s economic reconstruction, the release of $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets and a 60-day negotiation process aimed at reaching a final agreement on the nuclear programme.

In return, the authorities in Tehran pledged not to develop nuclear weapons.

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Middle East

US conducts covert ship-to-ship oil transfers in Strait of Hormuz, sources say

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The United States is conducting a covert operation in the Strait of Hormuz to ensure the uninterrupted flow of oil shipments from the Persian Gulf, according to reports.

The US Armed Forces are secretly escorting tankers and conducting ship-to-ship oil transfers using unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), unmanned surface vessels, and helicopters, Reuters reported, citing sources and satellite imagery.

At least 92 cargo vessels have participated in the process since the launch of the operation, the report said.

Sources stated that the plan is executed entirely and continuously under the control of the US military. According to the disclosed details, tankers arrive at a designated assembly point before reaching the Strait of Hormuz.

From there, they depart at staggered times, maintaining a distance of approximately 3 to 4 kilometers from one another. During the transit, the tankers switch off their transponders and extinguish their lights.

The US Armed Forces track the progress of the tankers via pre-determined routing points.

Once the tankers pass through the Strait of Hormuz and arrive just outside the zone that Iran has declared under its own control, they pull alongside receiving vessels to begin the oil transfer.

This transfer process reportedly lasts between 24 and 40 hours, after which the emptied tankers return back through the strait. Reuters noted that this method resembles the scheme used by Iran to bypass sanctions.

Oil transfers conducted in two distinct areas

Sources familiar with the process reported that the ship-to-ship oil transfers began in the early days of May and are being carried out in two distinct locations.

One of these points is located off the coast of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), while the other is near the Port of Sohar in Oman.

Reuters reported that satellite imagery dated June 11 detected 17 pairs of vessels simultaneously conducting oil transfers across both areas.

Sources claimed that a US Air Force Apache-type helicopter, which was shot down by Iran on the evening of June 8 and triggered retaliatory strikes by Washington, was also involved in this covert mission.

Satellite imagery captured on the day of the incident showed six pairs of tankers positioned side-by-side off the coast of Sohar. When asked for comment on the matter, the US Department of Defense (Pentagon) maintained that assets of the US Central Command (CENTCOM) are in no way involved in activities providing protection to ship-to-ship oil transfer operations on the high seas.

According to shipping documents reviewed by Reuters, a significant portion of the oil transported in the operation consists of exports originating from the UAE.

Sources added that the Kuwait Oil Tanker Company, a firm owned by the Kuwaiti state, is also actively participating in these transfers.

The UAE government, the UAE state oil company ADNOC, and the Kuwait Oil Tanker Company have not yet made any statements regarding the matter.

In a report published on June 3, Bloomberg also wrote that after Washington suspended its initiative dubbed “Project Freedom,” which envisioned escorting vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, the US Navy continued to quietly assist the transit of ships through the strait while trying not to publicize these activities.

The Iran-based Mehr news agency announced on June 10 that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps had shot down a US MQ-9 Reaper-type unmanned aerial vehicle in the skies over the Iranian city of Jam.

On the evening of the same day, US President Donald Trump announced that he was preparing to resume bombardments against Iran due to insufficient progress in negotiations and the downing of the Apache helicopter off the coast of Oman on the evening of June 8.

CENTCOM announced on June 11 that the US military, acting on the instructions of President Donald Trump, had begun conducting “additional self-defense strikes” against certain targets in Iran.

Washington later desisted from launching new strikes, and Trump announced on June 15 that a peace agreement had been signed between the US and Iran.

Trump declared that the Strait of Hormuz was already partially open to maritime traffic and would be fully opened on June 19.

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Middle East

Mine clearing in Strait of Hormuz could delay shipping traffic for up to 50 days

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Clearing mines from the Strait of Hormuz to restore safe transit could delay the return of normal maritime traffic by several weeks, even after an agreement is reached to reopen the strategic waterway.

Security risks in the region persist, according to a report by the Reuters news agency, which cited shipping and maritime security sources.

Estimates from five Western sources operating in maritime security suggest that the clearance operation, which will utilize traditional minesweepers and underwater drones, could take 40 to 50 days to complete. Sources stated that this process must be concluded before insurance, shipping, and oil companies will be willing to risk transiting the strait.

The projected delay could impact global markets at a time when oil inventories in the world’s largest economies have fallen to their lowest levels since 2003. Based on pre-war shipment volumes, estimates suggest that tens of millions of additional barrels of oil could remain trapped in the strait, adding to the Persian Gulf shipments that have been blocked since February 28.

Jakob Larsen, the head of maritime safety and security at the shipping association BIMCO, called for caution regarding the situation:

“At this stage, we believe it is still too risky to begin transits. The mine hazard in the region remains a problem both now and for the future; therefore, safe, de-mined routes must be established.”

The report noted that the exact number of mines laid by Iran remains unknown in the strait, which accounted for 20% of global daily oil and natural gas shipments before the war. A June 11 briefing note from the German Navy, citing data from US and British naval forces, stated that the mines were located in four areas around the strait, though Germany noted it could not independently verify these locations.

The mere possibility of mines is highlighted as enough to keep shipping companies away from the region. Because a supertanker carrying crude oil can be valued at approximately $300 million, war-risk insurers, oil companies, and tanker operators are expected to demand guarantees of safe passage.

Rene Kofod-Olsen, CEO of V.Group—one of the world’s largest technical ship and crew management companies, which has 13 vessels stranded in the Persian Gulf—evaluated the situation:

“Even a single naval mine is enough to cause loss of life. This is clearly a massive problem for the global shipping industry.”

Arsenio Dominguez, Secretary-General of the UN’s International Maritime Organization, welcomed the agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, calling it “an important step toward restoring security in this vital corridor for seafarers and ships.” However, Dominguez added that “implementation will take time to ensure all necessary security and safety guarantees are met.”

Earlier, US President Donald Trump announced that an agreement had been signed with Iran, that the Strait of Hormuz was partially opened to maritime traffic, and that it would be fully opened as of June 19.

Trump claimed that, at the current stage, “a search is being conducted for a few mines.”

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