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World leaders and politicians gather in Istanbul

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Turkey on Friday brought world leaders, politicians, experts, academicians, journalists and non-governmental organization officials from 40 countries under one pinnacle to discuss the pressing challenges of the current time and contribute to global peace and security.

The dignitaries held detailed discussions on Friday within different panels in the 6th edition of the TRT World Forum 2022 that will also continue on Saturday. The Forum held in-person in Istanbul following two years of going virtual as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan addressed the opening ceremony of the Forum organized under the theme “Mapping the Future: Uncertainties, Realities and Opportunities”, and gave important messages to the world on current stinking problems.

“Turkey has always stood for what’s right and it believes that terrorism should be fought globally,” Erdogan said, while see Turkey has been left alone in its fight against terrorism. The president openly lamented over Europe countries refusal to battle the scourge of the PKK/YPG terror group, and said that Turkey will continue to fight them.

He further went on saying that “allay in NATO sending weapons, ammo to terrorist in northern Syria, but keep denying them.” There is all evidence to proof this, and no one can hold “us accountable in our fight against terror,” he added.

Hinting at the Ukraine-Russia war, Erdogan said that Turkey will continue its efforts to solve the war and will soon hold talks with his counterparts on both sides on that purpose. “I will talk with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sunday, likewise with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy aimed at resolving this crisis,” he said.

World is going through a crucial time

Russia-Ukraine conflict and the ongoing economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic have triggered the world into a crucial time. Given that, Erdogan said that Turkey is working for the benefit of all humanity. Erdogan showed willingness to further strengthen the grain corridor deal between Turkey, Russia, Ukraine and UN personnel to help reduce food shortages around the globe.

On July 22, the parties signed a landmark agreement in Istanbul to resume grain exports from three Ukrainian Black Sea ports, which had been halted since February due to war on Ukraine. Erdogan had also echoed Putin’s statement to send grain through this corridor to underdeveloped and African countries.

From the beginning, Turkey expressed readiness for mediation between Ukraine and Russia, and also carried out an intense diplomacy with the principle that there will be no winners in the war. While opposing fueling tension in the region, the president said it defends Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

Istanbul grain deal “ended” threat of poverty

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also addressed the gathering via a video link, and used the opportunity to thank the Turkish President for his efforts for the crucial grain deal with Russia as well as prisoner swap agreement.

Three sides “Turkey, Ukraine and UN” put an end to the threat of poverty and food crisis, according to Zelensky as grain shortages were felt worldwide as a result of war in Ukraine.

Meanwhile, Albania Prime Minister Edi Rama in the Forum said that “Turkey’s efforts in the Ukraine-Russia war are a textbook example of middle-power activism.”

Briefing the audiences, TRT World’s Director General Mehmet Zahid Sobaci also said under the leadership of President Erdogan, Turkey is advocating for peace, rather than wars and solutions rather than conflict.

Sobaci underlined the need to think about the future of the world together, and said that Turkey plays a key role in the resolution of many conflicts.

Turkey is most reliable candidate for EU accession

Former President of the UN General Assembly Volkan Bozkir called Turkey as the most reliable candidate to become a member of the European Union.

Speaking at the 6th TRT World Forum’s “A World in Disarray: The Return of Geopolitics?” public session, he said: “If there is political consensus, you are a member in a week. But if you do not have a consensus, they will make up excuses.”

He also described Turkey as an important alliance in NATO, adding that “the US has a big size in NATO, but think about it without Turkey, NATO will not be there either.”

Disinformation in digital era

Experts and head of media outlets discussed ways to alleviate the harm caused by disinformation as part of Disarming Disinformation: Defending the Truth in the Digital Age session of the Forum.

Experts and heads of media outlets discussed ways to alleviate the harm caused by disinformation as part of Disarming Disinformation: Defending the Truth in the Digital Age session of the Forum.

News is being interrupted in a non-stop way in the digital era, said Anadolu Agency’s Deputy Director General and Editor-in-Chief Yusuf Ozhan, adding that his agency set up a verification desk recently.

“The entire media, not only news agencies but also broadcast journalism and print journalism has to evolve into a certain direction. But before that, we have to decide that evolution is either going to be in line with people’s expectations or against it,” Ozhan said regarding social media’s effect on traditional media.

A political journalist in Brussels, Dominika Cosic, pointed out how crucial it is to balance freedom of expression in the digital era, while she said that sometimes it is “very difficult” to judge what is fake news and what is true.

“In such a scenario, it is very difficult to accuse people accordingly,” Cosic added.

TRT Director Sobaci said that nearly 100 speakers and over 1,000 participants from nearly 40 countries are attending the forum and it will also feature sessions on various subjects on Saturday.

DIPLOMACY

Argentina and the IMF: Negotiations begin for a new $44bn agreement

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Argentina is pursuing a new agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to replace its current $44 billion arrangement. The effort signals a significant shift in the country’s financial strategy under President Javier Milei’s administration.

IMF Chief Spokesperson Julie Kozack confirmed on Thursday that the Milei government is prioritizing the establishment of a new programme over completing the final reviews of the existing deal inherited from the previous administration. According to a Bloomberg report, Kozack stated, “The authorities have formally expressed their desire to move to a new programme, and negotiations are now underway.”

The discussions intensified following a visit earlier this month by officials from Economy Minister Luis Caputo’s office and the central bank to Washington, where they engaged with IMF representatives.

The central question in the negotiations revolves around whether the IMF will extend additional financing beyond the $44 billion already allocated to Argentina. Milei had previously suggested an additional $15 billion, although he has not reiterated this figure recently. However, Caputo indicated this week that new funding could be included as part of the prospective programme.

If the parties reach an agreement, it would mark Argentina’s 23rd programme with the IMF since 1958 and its third since 2018. Historically, the IMF’s interventions in Argentina have faced criticism, as many past agreements failed to stabilize the economy. Successive governments often violated programme objectives, raising doubts about the effectiveness of IMF support in the country.

President Milei and his chief negotiator, Caputo, have a history of strained relations with the IMF. Earlier this year, Milei publicly criticized Rodrigo Valdes, one of the IMF’s senior officials, leading to Valdes stepping back from negotiations. Similarly, Caputo clashed with the IMF during his tenure as finance minister in 2018, particularly over exchange rate policies, which eventually prompted his resignation after a short stint as central bank governor.

Despite these tensions, the IMF has commended the Milei administration for implementing measures to cut spending, reduce inflation, and narrow gaps between the country’s various exchange rates.

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Trump threatens tariffs on the EU over energy purchases

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U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has issued a warning to the European Union (EU), stating that the bloc may face tariffs if it does not increase its purchases of U.S. oil and gas on a “large scale.”

“I told the European Union that they must close the enormous gap with the United States by buying our oil and gas on a large scale. Otherwise, TARIFFS!!! in every way!!!” Trump declared in a post on the Truth Social platform on Friday.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen previously suggested that the EU could explore the possibility of importing more liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the U.S. “We still buy a lot of LNG from Russia, and why not replace it with American LNG, which is cheaper for us and lowers our energy prices?” von der Leyen remarked to reporters in November.

An EU official, speaking to the Financial Times (FT), noted the peculiarity of Trump’s threat, given von der Leyen’s earlier openness to the idea of increasing LNG imports from the U.S.

Currently, the United States is Europe’s largest supplier of LNG, though Russia remains the EU’s second-largest source. The possibility of replacing Russian LNG with U.S. imports aligns with the EU’s efforts to diversify its energy sources.

Trump has also floated the possibility of a general tariff of up to 20% on all non-Chinese imports, which could have significant implications for EU-U.S. trade relations.

In November, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde urged European leaders to engage with the U.S. on trade matters, including tariffs, and to consider purchasing more U.S.-manufactured goods. This call for cooperation echoes measures taken during Trump’s first term, when then-European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker pledged to buy more U.S. gas to avert the risk of a trade war.

Global oil prices have shown sensitivity to these developments. On Friday, international oil benchmark Brent crude prices dropped 0.4% to $72.61 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures also fell 0.4%, trading at $69.14 per barrel.

The U.S., currently the world’s largest producer of crude oil and exporter of LNG, has been strengthening its energy trade partnerships. Buyers, including the EU and Vietnam, are reportedly considering increased fuel purchases from the U.S., partly to mitigate the risk of potential tariffs.

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London pushes for continued U.S. support to Ukraine amid leadership transition

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UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer urged Donald Trump on Wednesday to ensure that Western allies “stand together” in supporting Ukraine against Russian aggression.

During a phone call with the U.S. president-elect, their second conversation since Trump’s electoral victory in November, Starmer emphasized the importance of unified support for Ukraine, stating that “allies must stand with Ukraine… and ensure that Ukraine is in the strongest possible position.”

A spokesperson for the British Prime Minister’s Office described the discussion as highlighting a “shared desire to strengthen the close and historic relationship between the United Kingdom and the United States.”

Starmer began the call by congratulating Trump on his recent team appointments. Trump responded by “warmly recounting” his recent meeting with Prince William, Prince of Wales, in Paris earlier this month, according to the Prime Minister’s Office.

As Trump prepares to take office next month, he has expressed intentions to seek a deal to end the war in Ukraine, though he has also publicly criticized certain Western policies, including the approval of missile supplies to Ukraine for use on Russian soil.

In an interview with The Sun on Tuesday, Starmer expressed hope to revive trade talks with the incoming U.S. administration. These negotiations had stalled two years ago under President Joe Biden. The leaders also expressed mutual anticipation of meeting in person “at the first opportunity.” According to the i newspaper, Starmer may visit the U.S. in early February.

Meanwhile, The Telegraph reported that Starmer’s chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney, conducted private meetings with senior members of Trump’s team earlier this month. McSweeney traveled to Florida to meet Susie Wiles, Trump’s chief of staff-designate, who played a pivotal role in managing his re-election campaign. He also held discussions in Washington with Congressman Mike Waltz, Trump’s incoming National Security Adviser.

A senior source in the Prime Minister’s Office described the interactions as “very warm,” adding that “President Trump has a warm approach to the UK. As the year draws to a close, the Starmer team is confident that the UK is well-placed for a strong bilateral relationship with the new president.”

Starmer’s delegation to the U.S., which began on December 2, included Jonathan Powell, former chief of staff to Tony Blair and now Starmer’s national security adviser. Together with McSweeney, Powell engaged in policy discussions on Ukraine, China, and the Middle East, identifying areas of alignment and divergence between the two leaders.

According to The Telegraph, those close to Starmer believe Trump is currently in “listening mode” on Ukraine, carefully evaluating strategies to fulfill his campaign promise of resolving the conflict “on day one” of his presidency.

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