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14 NATO countries conclude nuclear exercise amid debate on European deterrence

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Fourteen NATO countries, including Germany, are completing this year’s “Steadfast Noon” nuclear exercise today (October 24).

The Steadfast Noon exercise, held annually in October, simulates a potential attack using US nuclear weapons stored in Europe. Jets from the German Air Force can also be used as carrier or launch aircraft.

In a sign of the growing willingness to participate in nuclear deterrence in Europe, new NATO members Finland and Sweden joined the exercise for the first time this year, while Denmark also provided a base for the first time.

The German government is also currently having the Büchel air base in the Eifel region rebuilt at a cost of billions of euros, so that in the future it can station US F-35 fighter jets along with new B61-12 nuclear bombs at this base.

At the same time, discussions continue about a European nuclear shield independent of the US. In addition to a nuclear shield provided by France, a German nuclear shield based on German nuclear weapons is also being debated.

A majority of young people in the 18-24 age group in Germany support the Bundeswehr acquiring nuclear weapons.

Rehearsal of the American B61-12 nuclear bomb

Approximately 2,000 soldiers from 14 NATO countries participated in the exercise with over 70 military aircraft. This number is higher than in previous years.

New NATO members Finland and Sweden also participated for the first time, sending F/A-18 Hornet and Gripen model fighter jets. The German military participated with Tornado and Eurofighter model aircraft.

According to reports, the use of the new B61-12 type US atomic bombs, which are guided by satellite navigation and therefore considered much more precise than their predecessors, was rehearsed.

These bombs are also scalable and can be used with different explosive yields, meaning they can be considered, among other things, as tactical, limited-effect battlefield weapons.

According to the American Federation of Scientists (FAS), the first air base in Europe where the B61-12 was included in training operations was Volkel Air Base in the Netherlands, located between Nijmegen and Eindhoven, in 2021.

New American nuclear weapons deployed to the UK

Volkel was the main base for Steadfast Noon this year. Additionally, the Kleine Brogel base in the far northeast of Belgium, just 60 kilometers from Volkel; the Skrydstrup base in Denmark, about 60 kilometers north of Flensburg; and the Lakenheath base in the UK, 40 kilometers northeast of Cambridge, were also included.

With Skrydstrup, a Danish air base was used for Steadfast Noon for the first time. This is also significant because Denmark is currently taking a more aggressive stance against Russia.

In 2023 and 2024, Denmark allowed US armed forces to deploy Typhon launchers capable of firing Tomahawk cruise missiles on the island of Bornholm as part of maneuvers and also announced it would purchase long-range precision weapons.

It was reported that US nuclear bombs were brought to Lakenheath over the summer. The US had stored more than 100 nuclear weapons at the air base during the Cold War, only withdrawing them in 2008.

Opponents of armament are demanding clarification on what exactly is happening at the Lakenheath air base, but so far without success.

The F-35 as a nuclear weapon carrier

What was new in this year’s Steadfast Noon exercise was the dual-function use of US F-35 fighter jets.

On one hand, these jets served as the aircraft carrying and dropping the bombs; according to reports, this was the case for the Dutch F-35 squadron stationed at Volkel.

On the other hand, the jets escorted the bomb-laden aircraft, a task undertaken by the Danish F-35 squadron, which also participated in the Steadfast Noon exercise.

The F-35 will also be purchased by the German Federal Army; the Air Force will acquire 35 units to ensure the continuation of nuclear participation at the Büchel air base in Eifel without interruption after the very old Tornado jets are decommissioned.

Over the summer, it was announced that the necessary renovations at the Büchel air base, where US nuclear bombs are stored, would not cost the initially planned 700 million euros, but two billion euros according to the current situation.

Furthermore, it was reported that Defense Minister Boris Pistorius was insisting on the purchase of an additional 15 F-35 fighter jets to meet NATO’s requirements for the Bundeswehr, but the German Ministry of Defense officially denied this news.

French shield versus German shield

While nuclear sharing is being trained and secured, the debate continues on creating a separate European nuclear shield or, alternatively, acquiring a “German bomb.”

As things stand, a European nuclear shield could be provided by France. Paris and Berlin announced after the last German-French Council of Ministers meeting in Brégançon on August 29 that a “strategic dialogue” on this issue would be initiated; this dialogue was to be conducted by the French Presidency and the German Chancellery, with the participation of the foreign and defense ministries of both sides.

So far, an agreement has not been reached because Germany insists on having some say over French nuclear forces, which France resolutely rejects.

In contrast to the option of placing Europe under a French nuclear umbrella, some German experts are demanding a debate on an independent European protective shield under German leadership.

In August, Joachim Krause, former director of the Institute for Security Policy at Kiel University (ISPK), explained that the primary focus was on the question of whether Germany has the capability to produce an atomic bomb.

Experts generally conclude that there would be no technical difficulties. The necessary infrastructure is also in place with the uranium enrichment plant in Gronau, the centrifuge manufacturer ETC in Jülich, and the research reactor in Garching.

The main obstacle here is more political than technical: the Federal Republic would not only have to withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons but also terminate the Two Plus Four Agreement.

German youth are open to the nuclear bomb

On the other hand, according to a survey conducted in June, only 21% of Germans argue that the Federal Republic of Germany should possess nuclear weapons, while 72% oppose it.

However, there are very large differences between different age groups. For example, only 7% of Germans in the 45-54 age group and 11% of Germans aged 65 and over support Germany having a nuclear bomb.

Conversely, 54% of Germans in the 18-24 age group support Germany acquiring nuclear weapons. This suggests that public opinion on nuclear armament could also change.

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Morawiecki launches Rozwój Plus movement following high-profile split from Poland’s PiS

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The first major event organized by the political circle of Mateusz Morawiecki, following his split from Law and Justice (PiS), is set to take place in Warsaw’s Praga district.

The gathering comes just days after the former prime minister and dozens of his allies severed ties with the national-conservative PiS.

The move also led to Morawiecki’s resignation from the presidency of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) group in the European Parliament.

Organized by his Rozwój Plus (Development Plus) movement, the conference—dubbed “Morawiecki’s barbecue” due to the prominent inclusion of charcoal-grilled kiełbasa sausages—will mark a significant moment in Polish conservative politics.

The event will bring together key figures from the emerging movement alongside featured guests, including former world chess champion Garry Kasparov and General Rajmund Andrzejczak, the former chief of the General Staff of the Polish Armed Forces.

The gathering will offer Morawiecki’s camp an opportunity to present a political vision distinct from that of the current PiS leadership.

“Poles care about the fight for a strong Poland, their wallets, their jobs, housing, development, identity, culture, the Christian faith, and the defense of the cross hanging in the Sejm,” Morawiecki said this week. “These are our principles; this is our faith.”

Discussions will focus on demographics, security, and the politics of memory—topics that have grown increasingly sensitive amid recent tensions in Polish-Ukrainian relations.

While Morawiecki describes Rozwój Plus as an “expert group and think tank,” its political ambitions are becoming increasingly clear.

A new parliamentary group established on Wednesday brings together 40 deputies and one senator, providing his allies with an official platform in parliament and a base from which to challenge PiS.

“This is a threat to us,” Mateusz Kurzejewski, a PiS politician and spokesperson for Przemysław Czarnek’s prime ministerial campaign, told Euractiv. “After all, this is an initiative that reduces our chances of victory, though it does not eliminate them entirely. Therefore, we will continue to work hard.”

However, whether Morawiecki can successfully reshape the Polish right remains uncertain.

An SW Research poll commissioned by Onet revealed that 32.9% of respondents would consider voting for a party led by the former prime minister.

The strongest potential support comes from voters who already align with the right. Among respondents currently close to PiS, 14% said they would consider supporting Morawiecki, while 7.1% of those aligned with the further-right Confederation held the same view.

The initiative could also draw limited support from the ruling camp. Approximately 7.4% of voters currently supporting Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU Civic Coalition, The Left, Poland 2050, or the Polish People’s Party indicated they would not rule out voting for a party led by Morawiecki.

Sources within Tusk’s government believe the split in PiS could benefit the ruling coalition in the short term.

“Particularly because this situation helps soften the impact of the hospital scandal,” one source told Euractiv. “Today, no one is talking about it anymore, and fortunately, no new statements have been made.”

The controversy revolves around allegations that a Warsaw hospital operated a preferential admission system for politicians belonging to the governing Civic Coalition, allowing them to enter a VIP lounge and receive medical treatment ahead of other patients.

Questions have also been raised regarding the salary of the doctor heading the hospital’s emergency department, who is reportedly linked to Tusk’s party.

Yet the same source warned that Morawiecki’s departure may have little long-term impact on the Civic Coalition.

They argued that PiS possesses a fiercely loyal electorate, whereas enthusiasm for Rozwój Plus could prove temporary.

“Look at the IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita,” another source said. “70% of PiS voters say they are voting for their ideal party. This core electorate accounts for about 70% of PiS’s current voters.”

A similar perspective prevails within PiS, where politicians contend that Morawiecki is chasing a voter base that may be too small to sustain a new party.

Speaking to Euractiv, Kurzejewski said:

“People do not want to vote for politicians who have been excluded from PiS. As for Law and Justice voters, they do not want to vote for those who betrayed them. That is why this project means Rozwój Plus will fail to clear the electoral threshold.”

Today’s event will therefore serve as an early test of whether Morawiecki can translate curiosity and institutional support into lasting political clout—or whether his departure will become merely another short-lived fracture on Poland’s crowded right wing.

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Ceuta migration crisis sparks diplomatic row as Italy demands Spain’s suspension from Schengen

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An influx of thousands of migrants entering Spain from neighboring Morocco has plunged the autonomous enclave of Ceuta into chaos since Wednesday, prompting fresh backlash against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s immigration policies.

Local authorities warned on Wednesday that an increasing number of migrants were reaching Ceuta by sea.

Juan Jesús Vivas, the president of Ceuta, told reporters that the situation constituted “an absolute humanitarian and social emergency” and demanded that the central government take action.

The situation escalated further on Thursday as thousands of people entered Ceuta by land and sea, overwhelming reception centers.

Videos shared online showed individuals using wetsuits and life jackets to swim to shore.

In a statement posted Thursday on X, Sánchez announced that he was working with Moroccan authorities to restore order as quickly as possible and promised an immediate response.

The border chaos erupted just weeks after the Spanish Supreme Court issued a ruling preventing the direct deportation of migrants arriving by sea.

Sánchez’s political rivals laid the blame for the crisis directly on the prime minister. Santiago Abascal, leader of the right-wing Vox party, characterized the events as an “invasion,” while Alberto Núñez Feijóo, leader of the center-right People’s Party (PP), was also among those condemning the prime minister.

The developments drew additional criticism from anti-immigration figures across Europe, including Alice Weidel, co-leader of Alternative for Germany (AfD), and Manfred Weber, chairman of the European People’s Party (EPP), the largest group in the European Parliament.

“This proves one thing: the Migration Pact and return regulations must be put into force today, not tomorrow. Furthermore, Frontex must be strengthened,” Weber wrote.

Tensions have remained high in Spain since the Sánchez administration launched a program enabling undocumented migrants to apply for legal status and remain in the country. More than one million people have applied under the scheme.

This represents the most severe border crisis to hit Ceuta since 2021, when at least 8,000 people entered the territory from Morocco.

The autonomous Spanish cities of Ceuta and Melilla are the only EU territories sharing a land border with Africa.

Italian leaders demand Spain’s expulsion from Schengen

Meanwhile, the fiercest reaction to the migration crisis in Spain emerged from Italy. Top Italian politicians demanded that Spain be expelled from the Schengen Area as tensions continued to escalate.

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said in a statement on X: “The images coming from Ceuta are shocking and demonstrate once again that uncontrolled illegal migration poses a real threat to the security of Europe’s borders.”

Meloni added that Italy was prepared to act, “including through extraordinary measures,” to protect its borders and guarantee the safety of its citizens.

Together with Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini and Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani—the most senior ministers representing parties in the Italian right-wing coalition—Meloni demanded the suspension of the Schengen Agreement or the exclusion of Spain from the border-free zone.

Under the accord, individuals can travel freely between 29 signatory European countries.

However, several member states have reinstated checks at certain borders, as permitted under the agreement, citing migration risks.

Italy had previously temporarily reintroduced controls on its border with Slovenia to prevent smuggling and terrorism.

Tajani went beyond calling for Spain’s exclusion from Schengen, attributing responsibility for the events in Ceuta to the immigration policies of Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, who had promised to legalize hundreds of thousands of undocumented migrants.

The minister characterized the policy as “profoundly wrong” and claimed it provided “an incentive for human trafficking.”

The remarks provoked a sharp reaction from Spanish Foreign Minister José Manuel Albares, who summoned the Italian ambassador to account for Tajani’s statements.

Replying to Tajani on X, the Spanish minister wrote: “This message is unbefitting the foreign minister of a partner and friendly country from whom we expect European solidarity, not partisan demagogy.”

Separately, European Commissioner for Migration Magnus Brunner, who is also an EPP member, stated that the European Commission supports Spain in protecting the integrity of its borders, including Ceuta, and is in contact with Spanish Interior Minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska regarding the matter.

A spokesperson stated that the Commission welcomed “the close cooperation established between Morocco and Spain to combat these migratory flows and to ensure the swift return of individuals who entered Ceuta illegally, in accordance with applicable rules.”

“When it comes to our cooperation with partner countries, Morocco is a key and reliable partner for the EU. In recent years, we have intensified our cooperation in the areas of migration and border management, as well as the fight against smuggling. We are currently working to turn our relations into a comprehensive and strategic partnership,” the spokesperson added.

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Rome’s hesitation over SAFE defense allocation draws frustration across EU

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Italy is delaying the execution of a €14.9 billion loan agreement under the European Union’s SAFE defense program, a hesitation that is preventing other member states from accessing unallocated funds.

The Italian government has failed to finalize the exact amount it intends to borrow due to an ongoing energy crisis and internal political debate, effectively holding other European nations “hostage” ahead of a year-end deadline for fund redistribution, according to a report by Euronews.

Rome had previously requested €14.9 billion in loans—an application that was swiftly approved by both the European Commission and the Council of the European Union. However, the administration has yet to issue a final decision regarding the exact amount it will draw down.

Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani stated this week that his country has “reserved” the full €14.9 billion as a maximum threshold.

Tajani noted that the government will only determine the final loan volume toward the end of the year, adding that he expects the eventual figure to range between €6 billion and €9 billion.

Eastern bloc frustrates over indecision

Rome’s reluctance is causing growing irritation across Europe, Euronews reported. While 17 EU member states have completed their formal agreements with the European Commission, they remain unable to access unclaimed funds because of Italy’s position.

Eastern flank countries, including Poland and Lithuania, are facing particular constraints as they seek additional resources beyond their initial allocations.

Under SAFE framework regulations, all unspent resources must be redistributed by the end of the year. Euronews reported that if Italy continues to delay, the European Commission could formally restrict Rome’s application in September, opening the remaining pool of approximately €10 billion to applications from other member states.

The Security Action for Europe (SAFE) operates as an EU financing mechanism designed to provide low-interest loans to help member state governments bridge gaps in their military capabilities and maintain continued support for Ukraine.

Approved by EU ambassadors in May last year to support the bloc’s rearmament, the SAFE loan facility has a total capacity of €150 billion.

The program forms part of the broader €800 billion “ReArm Europe” initiative announced by the European Commission in March.

Energy crisis and domestic politics stall progress

Italy’s cautious approach stems from a combination of domestic political pressures and economic factors. The country is contending with the impact of rising energy costs linked to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, leading the Italian government to request fiscal flexibility from the EU to handle energy expenditures.

Concurrently, Italy’s ruling coalition—comprising Fratelli d’Italia (Brothers of Italy), Lega (League), and Forza Italia—faces intensifying pressure from its far-right wing, which has criticized increased defense spending ahead of upcoming elections. Italy must hold its next parliamentary elections no later than Dec. 22, 2027.

Euronews previously reported in May that despite reserving €14.9 billion under the SAFE program, Rome subsequently decided to request only €4 billion to €5 billion to cover existing signed contracts.

Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Foreign Minister Tajani justified the move by emphasizing the need to prioritize the energy crisis. Rome missed the deadline to submit its SAFE projects after requesting budget flexibility from Brussels for energy spending.

“We cannot tell our citizens that there is only money for defense,” Meloni said regarding the situation.

Italian daily La Repubblica also reported persistent disagreements between Meloni and other EU leaders concerning Ukraine. At the end of June, Germany’s Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) reported that a draft text intended for consensus at the NATO Summit in Ankara envisioned maintaining annual support for Kyiv at €70 billion through 2027, matching the 2026 commitment level.

However, Italy withheld its approval for the draft, objecting to long-term financial commitments of that scale for Kyiv.

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