ASIA
3rd round of Doha conference: A chance of “loss and win” for Taliban

By Shamim Shahid and Abdul Waheed Waheed
In order to participate in third conference scheduled to be held at Doha, Qatar on June 30th till July 3 next, regarding ongoing situation and future prospects of Afghanistan, the Taliban leaders governing Kabul have held talks with representatives of the United Nations and Qatar, and come up with the demand of Afghanistan seat in United Nations.
In connection with making successful the event, UN Secretary General’s representatives are touring the region. The UN representative had visited Kabul couple of days back and held details conversations with Taliban office holders. Taliban leadership besides listening to UN officioals also handed over a list of its demands which included beside others recognition of its Emirate Islami and giving it the UN seat on permanent grounds.
Whatever might be its conclusion and decisions but almost sessions of over three days much important gathering to be attended by a number of countries, either having stakes or interested in ending of over four decades conflict in Afghanistan but Taliban’s decision banning girls’ education, ending women’s jobs and establishing an inclusive government are believed to be its main key terms on the agenda. But instead, Taliban wants to include its achievements like controlling drugs production and its eradication, improving security situation and combating the IS (Daesh) militants considering a serious threat to the global peace may be made part of the agenda.
But apart from UN and Taliban, others especially European and Far Eastern world would definitely highlight political and rights issues as no one is allowed to exercise just human rights, Since mid of August 2021, forced disappearance, mysterious target and extra judicial killing, detention of men and women, denying just rights of expression to media personnel, making mum and even killing and beating of singers, musicians and artists are considered routine matters across Afghanistan. It will also be hard for the global community to remain silent spectators to what happening at hands of gun-totting Taliban inside prison houses and detention centers with all those who have served the country in different categories. All those who either remained in civil or in security organs since November 2001 last are still treated by Taliban as “enemies and American agents.” Hundreds of such people are locked in prisons for undine since August 2021 last.
Why it is hard for the regional countries to recognize Taliban
Except Russian Federation, nor any other country extended either any support to Taliban or willing to endorse its demand for giving representation in UN and recognition of its regime. Though Chinese are willing to recognize Taliban but they (Chinese) are aware its prices. It could be hard for China to formally recognize Taliban regime before of any other member of international community. Pakistan is making conditional all of its support and cooperation to Taliban. Compare to recent past, Pakistan’s position on the issue of Afghanistan is now different but still it effecting rest of the worlds on the grounds of its domains over “Islamic hardlines.”
In such a circumstances, defending its case could be very hard for Taliban in much high profile Doha Conference, considered biggest event in Qatar after February 2020 last when the US and Pakistan backed Afghan Taliban signed an agreement. Through this agreement, Taliban succeeded in returning to power but they had failed in earning hearts of common Afghans who having no any concern that who is in power and who is governing Afghanistan but they are much more interested in peace and tranquility in their motherland.
On such grounds, participation of Taliban government Doha Conference would definitely requires with strong arguments, especially with a positive approach, adopting a flexible and showing a balanced flexibility in the framework of its internal and external responsibilities and obligations. At the international level, the Taliban can communicate to the international community positive aspects of their achievements especially defending sovereignty and solidarity of the country, ensuring peace and tranquility and discouraging production of opium and its conversion in valuable commodities and its trafficking as well. Similarly patiently listening, understanding and responding its positive assurances about common men ( Afghans) miseries from the participants/observers and HR activists could make beneficial the Taliban who are now reluctant to share powers with others despite commitments made in Doha February 2020 historical documents.
Doha conference is significant opportunity for the Taliban
The Third globally applauded Doha conference might be a valuable opportunity for Taliban rulers as through it in return of international community’s demands pertained to honouring of human rights, allowing girls education and women to contribute in addressing economic needs of families, ending of political victimization and others, Taliban could easily cash its achievements. Doha conference could prove a golden chance for Taliban to review its all those internal and external shortfalls as Afghanistan is still on the bank of another global strategy, whereas US lead allies days and nights made hard by Russian federation on defense side and Chinese on economic side.
Attending the said meeting will certainly reduce sensitivity and mistrust of global community towards Taliban, calling also Emirate Islami Afghanistan. Through this event, Taliban could easily convey its messages to rest of the world and can easily convince some of community fellows in favour of its achievements. Similarly through this event, Taliban could easily convince rest of the world which is really interested in nothing else except ending of hostilities and return to peace and tranquility in the war devastated Afghanistan. Through this scheduled event, Taliban without support or assistance of any third party mediation, could easily response to reservations and observations of international community and can get a lot for the war affected people of Afghanistan. It is the time
Whatever might be the situation, Taliban must avail the opportunity otherwise its decision of didn’t attending the moot could be an emotional blunder. Though Taliban would call it an independence in decisions and didn’t bowing head to compromise its principles in according to their own interpreted Islamic doctrine but it would pose very bad impacts on the future of already over war devastated Afghanistan. It would make more isolate Afghanistan at the time when its sheltered banned Tehrik Taliban Afghanistan is considered a serious threats to its links with Pakistan and Russian Federation and some of Central Asian countries are considering Afghanistan sheltered IS militants a threat to its peace.
ASIA
China retaliates with 84% tariff on US goods

China has announced it will impose an additional 50% tariff on all American imports, in response to US President Donald Trump’s similar tariff increases on its goods. This raises China’s total tariff on US goods to 84%.
The world’s second-largest economy also pledged to implement new supportive policies in a timely manner to counter external shocks.
Analysts warn that tit-for-tat retaliation and high tariffs risk further decoupling with the US, but noted that Beijing’s move is a clear signal that it will resolutely defend its interests and fight to the end.
US stock index futures fell sharply following China’s announcement of the retaliatory measures.
Trump’s action, which increased the total of additional import taxes since he took office in January to 104%, took effect at noon on Wednesday.
The tax to be implemented by Beijing will take effect at noon on Thursday, raising the total of additional tariffs raised by Beijing to 84%.
“China will resolutely defend its interests, the multilateral trading system, and the international economic order,” the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement online.
Zhang Zhiwei, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management in Hong Kong, said: “China has sent a clear signal that it will maintain its stance on trade policies despite high tariffs in the US.”
In addition to filing a complaint with the World Trade Organization over the US’s new tariffs, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has added six US companies – Shield AI, Sierra Nevada, Cyberlux, Edge Autonomy Operations, Group W, and Hudson Technologies – to its list of unreliable entities.
It also imposed export controls on 12 American companies, banning Chinese companies from supplying these companies with dual-use items that have both civilian and military applications.
Those facing restrictions are American Photonics, Novotech, Echodyne, Marvin Engineering, Exovera, Teledyne Brown Engineering, BRINC Drones, SYNEXXUS, Firestorm Labs, Kratos Unmanned Aerial Systems, Domo Tactical Communications, and Insitu.
Meanwhile, the Chinese government intervened in capital markets to bolster investor confidence by increasing A-share purchases through its “national team” of state-backed funds.
Premier Li Qiang said at a symposium with economists and entrepreneurs on Wednesday that the Chinese economy had gained good momentum in the first quarter and acknowledged external pressure.
“We have made a full assessment and are preparing for various uncertainties,” Li said, according to state broadcaster CCTV.
Li, China’s number 2 political figure, vowed new measures to stabilize the national economy, while setting his sights on boosting domestic markets.
“We will regard the expansion of domestic demand as a long-term strategy,” he added.
The world’s second-largest economy will release March trade figures and first-quarter GDP next week.
Before announcing its latest retaliation, Beijing released a comprehensive framework on Wednesday reaffirming its stance on trade relations with the US, warning that tariffs will “ultimately backfire,” while leaving the door open for an “equal dialogue” between the countries.
ASIA
Japan prepares for tariff negotiations with US

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has signaled his intention to use every means to mitigate risks to Japan’s economy by selecting his close aide and key economic policy figure, Ryosei Akazawa, to lead tariff negotiations with the US.
Akazawa, who serves as the state minister in charge of economic and fiscal policy, warned on Tuesday that US President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs could negatively impact Japanese exports and the global economy. Akazawa told lawmakers he would maintain a “sense of urgency.”
Shunichi Suzuki, a former finance minister who chairs the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s General Council, said Ishiba had chosen a cabinet member with Akazawa who “can act as a playmaker.” He added, “I have worked with him, and he is very talented.”
As the state minister in charge of economic and fiscal policy, Akazawa coordinates the government’s economic agenda across institutions, giving him access to various bargaining chips and flexibility in negotiations.
Until now, Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Yoji Muto and Foreign Minister Takeshi Iwaya had been in contact with the US side regarding tariffs through their own channels.
Akazawa is not the first person to lead key trade negotiations with the US in this role.
From 2013, Akira Amari served as the point person for the Obama administration in the Trans-Pacific Partnership talks. Toshimitsu Motegi led negotiations for the Japan-US Trade Agreement during Trump’s first term and was described as a “tough negotiator” by his American counterpart, then-US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer.
Akazawa, a former Ministry of Transport bureaucrat, has also served as state minister in the Cabinet Office and state minister of finance. He appears to have policy expertise in areas expected to be covered by the tariff talks.
Meanwhile, the US’s selection of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as its chief negotiator with Japan signals that the dollar-yen exchange rate may also be addressed in the upcoming talks.
Trump’s tariffs are expected to deal a heavy blow to the Japanese economy. A failed response from Ishiba could become a liability for the prime minister as he leads his party into upper house elections this summer.
A senior Japanese official said, “The difference between Trump’s first and second terms is that he has even more power this time.”
Ishiba’s cabinet was already shaky within the LDP and suffered from low approval ratings. His government faces the difficult task of persuading affected industries domestically to abide by the outcome of the negotiation and preparing relief measures.
Yuichiro Tamaki, leader of Japan’s opposition Democratic Party for the People, told reporters on Tuesday, “Even as officials negotiate, there will soon come a time when the prime minister himself must try to break the deadlock with a leaders’ summit.”
ASIA
China releases white paper on US trade relations

The State Council Information Office of China yesterday released a comprehensive white paper titled “China’s Position on Certain Issues in China-US Economic and Trade Relations,” outlining its official position on ongoing trade disputes with Washington.
The white paper addresses the nature of economic relations between the two countries, the implementation of the Phase One Trade Agreement, compliance with World Trade Organization (WTO) rules, and unilateral policies of the US.
In the introduction, Beijing stated that China and the US are the world’s largest developing and developed countries, respectively, emphasizing that economic and trade relations between the two are of great importance for both bilateral and global stability and development.
It noted that since the establishment of diplomatic relations in 1979, bilateral trade volume has increased from $2.5 billion to approximately $688.3 billion in 2024.
The white paper stated that the foundation of China-US economic and trade relations lies in the understanding of “mutual benefit and win-win.”
It was noted that the two countries are important trading partners for each other, with rapidly increasing trade in goods and services.
China is the US’s largest goods export market and second-largest source of imports; the US is China’s third-largest export market and second-largest source of imports.
Beijing argued that it does not pursue a trade surplus, and that the trade balance is a result of structural problems in the US economy, the comparative advantages of the two countries, and the international division of labor.
It was reported that when local sales through trade in goods, trade in services, and investments are considered together, the economic benefits obtained by the two countries are roughly balanced.
Additionally, it was stated that China is taking active steps to increase imports through platforms such as the China International Import Expo (CIIE).
The white paper gave extensive coverage to the Phase One Trade Agreement signed on January 15, 2020.
It was argued that the Chinese side has meticulously fulfilled its obligations under the agreement, despite challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, and global economic recession.
In this context, it was stated that intellectual property protection has been strengthened, market access has been increased in the agricultural and food products and financial services sectors, and forced technology transfer has been prohibited.
In contrast, it was pointed out that the US side has not fulfilled its obligations under the agreement.
According to the white paper, Washington, contrary to the spirit of the agreement, tightened export controls, increased sanctions against Chinese companies, and imposed investment restrictions.
In particular, regarding technology transfer, it was argued that the US, as in the case of TikTok, is forcing companies to sell and preventing investment cooperation under the pretext of “national security.”
In the field of agriculture, it was stated that the US has not recognized China’s avian influenza-free zone status and has not responded to requests for cooperation on pesticides.
It was also claimed that the US has engaged in restrictive and discriminatory practices in financial services and exchange rate issues.
In addition, Beijing emphasized that since joining the WTO in 2001, it has adhered to the principle of free trade and has strictly complied with WTO rules.
It was stated that in this process, more than 2,300 central laws, regulations, and rules, and more than 190,000 local regulations have been reviewed and revised.
It was stated that customs duty rates have been reduced in line with WTO commitments and have even been further reduced unilaterally in recent years.
It was argued that subsidies are provided within the framework of WTO rules and within reasonable limits, and that relevant notifications are made in a timely manner.
The white paper stated that accusations that China creates “overcapacity” and disrupts international markets with “non-market economic behaviors” such as subsidies are “irrational and untrue.”
It was emphasized that such claims are trade protectionism and will harm global supply chains.
On the other hand, it was noted that China is constantly improving its business environment, expanding market access for foreign investments, and treating all domestic and foreign businesses equally.
A significant part of the white paper was devoted to criticizing the US’s unilateral and protectionist policies. It was stated that Washington arbitrarily expanded the concept of “national security,” used export controls as a political weapon (especially in the fields of semiconductors and artificial intelligence), and applied Section 301 and Section 232 customs duties that clearly violate WTO rules.
It was pointed out that the WTO panel found Section 301 tariffs to be against the rules. It was noted that these tariffs did not solve the US trade deficit, but rather increased costs for US importers and consumers.
Similarly, it was stated that Section 232 tariffs applied to steel and aluminum products were used not for “national security” reasons, but to put pressure on other countries in negotiations.
It was warned that US attempts to remove China’s Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) status violate WTO rules and would seriously damage bilateral relations.
It was stated that using the fentanyl issue as an excuse to increase customs duties is baseless and will not solve the problem.
Finally, it was pointed out that the “reciprocal customs duties” implemented by the US will harm both the US economy and global trade.
In the conclusion of the white paper, it was reiterated that China and the US are the world’s two largest economies and that cooperation between them is critical for global peace and development.
It was emphasized that it is natural for the two countries to have differences, but these should be resolved through equal dialogue and mutually beneficial cooperation rather than conflict.
Beijing, using the expressions “There are no winners in trade wars, and protectionism is a dead end,” called on the US side to move in the same direction as China, and to act in accordance with the principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation.
It was stated that the two countries can address their concerns through dialogue and jointly promote the healthy, stable, and sustainable development of bilateral economic and trade relations.
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