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Death penalty and cycle of violence

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The decision to stop execution of a tiny number of demonstrators in Iran could be considered as positive and promising signs in the way to end full death sentences.

On Tuesday, Iran’s top court overturned the death sentence of three protesters in connection with the killing of a paramilitary Basiji last month. Amir Hashemi, head of the judiciary’s public relations department, said that the top court accepted the appeal of three protesters while upholding the sentence against two others.

The three were identified as Hamid Qara Hasanlou, Hossein Mohammadi, and Reza Aria. The Supreme Court also ordered the retrial of 11 other protesters who had been sentenced to prison terms.

In one prominent case, five people have been sentenced to death for their alleged involvement in the killing of a member of the paramilitary Basij force.

They were arrested during a demonstration in the capital city Tehran. Iran has been engulfed in nationwide-protests after the death of a young woman in September for not wearing a proper hijab. She was detained by the country’s morality police but died in custody.

Young officer killed last in November

Rohullah Ajamian, a 27-year-old paramilitary Basiji, was killed with sharp weapons by a group of protesters in early November in Alborz capital city of Karaj. Videos and photos of the attack were widely circulated on social media.

Thousands of protestors, including some police officers, have been killed and injured, or imprisoned during the ongoing wave of demonstrations. Iran said that the root causes of the protest movement would need to be studied in detail. Iran already accused foreign countries for helping people to stage protests aimed at destabilizing the country. Iran authorities called the “riot”, while the world leaders put weight behind protesters and praised the Iranian women and men for standing for their rights. Iranian officials believe that complex consequences triggered by the dramatic events that shocked the country in the past several months require independent research.

Moreover, Iran court also conducted a televised trial of the defendants, in which the main defendants described graphic details of the incident that led to Ajamian’s death.

Iran’s judiciary spokesman, Masoud Setayeshi had earlier said they summoned another 16 people in the case, five of whom were sentenced to death and 11 to long prison terms.

According to Setayeshi, the death penalty was imposed for “corruption on earth” as well as “crimes against security” and “disturbing public order.”

Deadly protests

Since the protests began in September, Iranian security forces have killed hundreds of people, in a harsh response characterized by mass arrests and beatings.

There were violent protests, as officials confirmed the death of some 200 people, but independent human rights groups put the death toll to nearly 500 people.

Iran has already hanged to death two people in connection with the officer killing, while dozens other people are on death row. Iran also accused foreign countries for supporting the demonstrators in order to destabilize the country.

Foreign nationals arrested

Iran’s judiciary on Tuesday has indicted two French nationals with espionage and collusion against the country’s internal security, and found a Belgian national guilty of spying for the US.

Judiciary Spokesman, Masoud Setayeshi said that the verdict against the French nationals is awaited and also an indictment was issued against a Belgian national in a separate case. He did not provide details, but said a probe into the case is underway.

Setayeshi in late November said that 40 foreign nationals have been detained amid protests, but restrained to mention their names and nationalities.

In October, Iranian local tv showed two French nationals detained by the intelligence ministry for alleged involvement in the protests. In the video, the two French nationals identified as Cecile Kohler and Jacques Paris had confessed to working for their country’s intelligence agency to foment unrest in Iran. However, France called it “shameful, revolting, and unacceptable”, and said the pair was “arbitrarily detained” by Iranian authorities in May 2022.

In November, French Foreign Minister Catherine Colonna confirmed that two French nationals had been detained in Iran that brought the total number of detainees to seven.

Iran arrested a researcher Fariba Adelkhah, a French-Iranian dual national in June 2019 and sentenced him to five years in prison for acting against Iran’s national security.

Iran meanwhile released some 3,000 prisoners and 16 sentenced to death were also freed from the death penalty on the occasion of the death anniversary of General Qassem Soleimani.

Soleimani, the IRGC Quds Force commander, was killed by US strikes in Iraq’s capital city Baghdad on January 3, 2020.

Middle East

US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt

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The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.

The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.

Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.

Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.

A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.

Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.

A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”

This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.

An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”

The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”

“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.

The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.

The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.

A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.

In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”

The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.

The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.

Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.

Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.

In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.

Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.

This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.

Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.

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Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks

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Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.

This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.

United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.

Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.

The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.

Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.

Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.

“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.

Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.

The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.

Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.

Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.

Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.

Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.

The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.

Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.

Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.

The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.

Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.

Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”

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Middle East

Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials

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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.

Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.

Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.

According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.

The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.

The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”

Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.

Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.

Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.

Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”

Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.

According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:

“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”

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