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Unprecedented tension between Taliban and Pakistan

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Tensions between the Afghan Taliban and Pakistani officials have heightened after the recent attack in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) province that left 23 Pakistani soldiers dead. The attack involved suicide bombings from Afghanistan, targeted Pakistani forces in Dera Ismail Khan neighborhood of PK.

Soon after the attack, the Tehreek-e-Jihad Pakistan, TJP, a group reportedly known as prominent branch of Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) had claimed responsibility for the attack, a statement caused anger among the Pakistani officials and called on the Afghan Taliban to stop harboring these groups inside their country.

Though, the Taliban has often claimed that they will not let any group to use Afghanistan soil against any other countries, but this narrative flattens when Qari Shakir, a resident of the Musa Qala district of Helmand province and member of the Afghan Taliban carried out suicide bombing. The bomber Shakir also appeared in a video clip, openly admitting to do suicide bombing.

This was when the Pakistani foreign ministry didn’t bear this open statement by an Afghan Taliban bomber and immediately summoned the Taliban ambassador in Islamabad. In the behind the door meeting, Pakistani authorities asked the ambassador to take action against the TTP group in Afghanistan and arrested their leaders.

A Pakistani soldier at the bombing site that killed his 23 comrades in the bombing. (AP)

In response, the Taliban have said they detained 13 members of the TTP. However, the arrest exposed the lie of the Taliban about TTP members that are not inside Afghanistan. If the TTP fighters are not in Afghanistan, who are the 13 TTP members? Pakistan asked Talian to hand these militants to them and also asked Taliban to strongly condemn the incident and launch a thorough investigation in the bombing.

Pakistan should stop blaming others for its own failure

Khawaja Muhammad Asif, Pakistan’s former defense minister had called Afghanistan as the origin of the terrorism. Asif said in response to the Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid, who said that “attributing every issue to another country is not a solution.” Mujahid had directly said that Pakistan should look after its internal affairs and don’t blame other countries for their own failure.

Meanwhile, John Achakzai, minister of information of Balochistan State, also labeled Afghanistan a “terrorism place” and suggested Washington carry drone attacks to target Islamic State (IS) militants and al-Qaeda members inside Afghanistan.

This was while General Asim Munir, the Chief of Staff of the Pakistan Army had visited the US and held talks with Lloyd Austin, US Defense Minister, and US officials.

Taliban not taking Pakistan seriously

A very simple question is why the Taliban is not paying heed to Pakistan’s request to start a crackdown against TTP. The first thing that we get is maybe the Taliban wants something in return. What that could be. Anything special. The critical issue for the Taliban is their recognition. So far, no country, including Pakistan which is very close to the Taliban, did not recognize their regime. This could be the first thing that the Taliban are up to.

Taliban somehow wants Pakistan to officially recognize their government and then the Taliban will launch an operation against TTP. This could be one scenario that the Taliban are not willing to take any action against the TTP. Honestly, the Taliban are right in their wish. Islamabad has been a prominent Taliban supporter and now Islamabad is not recognizing them. This is really hurtful to have such a dual policy from a friend.

Pakistan yet to recognize Taliban government while it did in 1996  

It is a logical question from the Taliban side as to why Pakistan is not recognizing their government while Islamabad had recognized their Emirate between 1996-2001, followed by two other countries, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Why this time Pakistan is not willing for a unilateral recognition of the Taliban. Though a number of its officials in international platforms are lobbying for the Taliban, that is not enough.

Taliban is smart and has been playing games with Pakistan by using the TTP as a tool. Taliban knows that if Pakistan officially recognized their government, it would make the way easy for other countries to follow Islamabad’s footstep.

Taliban not happy over Pakistan-US ties

Meanwhile, the Taliban has a lot of observations over Pakistan and US ties. The Taliban believes that Pakistan will help US anything Washington wants and even if it’s against the Taliban current government. It has been alleged that Pakistan has provided its airspace to the US. The allegation was turned right when a US drone strike killed Ayman al-Zawahiri, the leader of al-Qaeda in downtown Kabul, the Afghan capital city. The Taliban Defense Minister, Mullah Yaqoob Mujahid had said that US drones are violating Afghanistan’s airspace through Pakistan. He also called the airstrike a clear violation of Doha agreement between Taliban and US. Another Taliban official, Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai, Taliban Political Deputy of Foreign Affairs also accused Pakistan of receiving millions of dollars in exchange for the US using its airspace.

Taliban rage over expulsion of Afghan refugees from Pakistan

Pakistani authorities have unexpectedly decided to deport millions of Afghan refugees, including those who were born in Pakistan and lived there for decades. The Taliban had repeatedly called on Islamabad to stop the process of deportation, but it fell down to the deaf ears. The mass deportation caused the Taliban to further support the TTP instead of working Islamabad against the group.

Refugees arrive in trucks at the Pakistan-Afghanistan crossing point.

This was out of expectation for Islamabad and that’s why its interim Prime Minister had said that Pakatan’s interest is first and said that deportation of Afghan refugees will be continued.

Islamabad has been trying to use refugees as a tool against the Taliban while Taliban using TTP, but between them the poor Afghan refugees are the victims.

Apparently, Pakistan has only one serious issue with the Taliban – the harboring of the TTP leadership and fighters. Pakistan has never opposed the Taliban Emirate, even when the Talian stop girls from schools and women from workplaces. Islamabad called this restriction as an internal matter of Afghanistan and said they will not interfere in this regard. When the entered Kabul in 15 August 2021, following the withdrawal of US troops, Pakistan ex-spy chief visited Kabul and was very happy.

Pakistan’s chief of army’s flop US trip

Frustrating from the Taliban, the Pakistan Army Chief Asim Munir visited US in order to explain the situation and encourage Washington to convince the Taliban to arrested TTP leaders. Munir will also call for a military campaign against TTP members and also try to justify the deportation of Afghan refugees. The Pakistani general knows that the Taliban still receives financial support from the US and Washington could play an important role in this area.

But this is not an easy decision because the Taliban will oppose them, and the US is also very careful with the Taliban. The regional countries have been maintaining good ties with the Taliban and the US doesn’t want to spoil its relation with Kabul at any condition. Seemingly, Munir’s visit to the US would be a big flop.

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Chinese, Russian troops hold joint exercise targeting cross-border terrorism

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China and Russia have held a joint military exercise focusing on cross-border terrorism, amid growing concern over terrorist attacks in Moscow.

The drill was held on 25 June in a river area near the Heilongjiang Bridge linking Russia’s Blagoveshchensk and China’s Heihe, the Chinese military’s official media outlet PLA Daily reported on Tuesday.

It was the first joint counter-terrorism drill between the neighbouring countries since Russia’s intervention in Ukraine.

It came just days after terrorist attacks in Russia’s southern region of Dagestan on 23 June, in which at least 22 people were killed in shootings at two synagogues, two Orthodox churches and a police station.

In March, more than 140 people were killed in an attack on a concert hall in Moscow, the deadliest terrorist attack in Russia for almost two decades. The Khorosan branch of ISIS claimed responsibility for the attack.

According to the PLA Daily, last week’s joint exercise simulated ‘terrorists trying to cross the border’ to launch an attack.

Chinese and Russian troops used aerial reconnaissance, maritime interception and land ambush to intercept and capture the terrorists during the exercise.

The exercise, which focused on improving intelligence sharing and operational coordination, showed the “firm determination” of both militaries to take effective measures to “combat all forms of terrorism, separatism and extremism” while jointly securing border areas, the report said.

The report also said that the two sides discussed further deepening border cooperation.

This is not the first time the two countries have held joint counter-terrorism exercises. In 2019, China’s People’s Armed Police took part in an exercise with the Russian National Guard in Russia.

According to Tass, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov reaffirmed the two countries’ ongoing cooperation in the fight against terrorism, including on multilateral platforms, during a meeting with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi in April.

Aiming to strengthen law enforcement cooperation

Last week’s joint exercise follows an agreement between Chinese and Russian leaders during Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing in May to strengthen cooperation in law enforcement and defence, including by expanding joint training and exercises.

The Chinese and Russian coast guards also signed a memorandum of understanding on maritime law enforcement cooperation in April last year.

In March, China and Russia organised a naval exercise with Iran focusing on anti-piracy efforts. China and Russia also held joint naval and air exercises in the Sea of Japan, or East Sea, in July last year.

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Controversial military operations and ethnic dynamics in Pakistan’s fight against terrorism

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In a recent high-level meeting, the federal government of Pakistan announced its intention to launch a new military operation against terrorist organizations. This decision is aimed at eradicating militancy under the banner of Azm-i-Istehkam. Surprisingly, the military leadership has remained silent on this proposed operation, leaving the advocacy to political figures, notably Defense Minister Khawaja Asif of the Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N).

The Pakistan People’s Party (PPP), a significant coalition partner in the federal government, has maintained a conspicuous silence on the matter. Meanwhile, despite the approval from Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s Chief Minister Ali Amin Gandapur, factions within Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) and the Sunni Ittehad Council have openly opposed the operation. This divergence in political opinion highlights the complex dynamics at play in Pakistan’s approach to counter-terrorism.

The opposition from various regional and ethnic parties, including the Pashtun Protection Movement (PTM), Pakhtunkhwa Milli Awami Party (PkMAP), and the Awami National Party (ANP), stems from deep-seated concerns about the operation’s focus and its implications. Historically, PTI and PkMAP have not been staunchly anti-Taliban. PTI’s leader, Imran Khan, has consistently opposed military actions against Taliban militants, advocating instead for dialogue. Similarly, PkMAP leader Mehmood Khan Achakzai, while ostensibly opposing terrorism, is perceived to have friendly relations with the Taliban, as evidenced by the relative safety of his party members from Taliban attacks.

Significant religious-political entities have complex stances on militancy in Pakistan

The relative safety of certain political groups, like PTM and the National Democratic Movement, from Taliban violence raises questions. Critics argue that this perceived immunity could suggest covert alliances or understandings, casting doubt on the motivations behind their opposition to the military operation.

Jamiat Ulama-e-Islam (JUI-F) and Jamaat-e-Islami (JI), both significant religious-political entities, have complex stances on militancy. JUI-F’s position has been ambiguous since the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979. In contrast, JI, having reaped substantial benefits from the Afghan war, now finds itself sidelined and is striving to reassert its relevance by attempting to align with nationalist sentiments.

The media and sections of the government, particularly those influenced by Punjabi and Urdu-speaking elites, have often portrayed the Taliban as predominantly Pashtun. This narrative has led to the proposed military operation being focused on Pashtun-majority areas, such as Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. Defense Minister Khawaja Asif’s statement that the operation will target these regions reinforces this perception.

Pashtun-dominated regions reject the notion that terrorism is a Pashtun phenomenon

However, leaders from Pashtun-dominated regions, like Khan Muhammad Wazir of the ANP, reject the notion that terrorism is a Pashtun phenomenon. Wazir points to the involvement of non-Pashtun militants in numerous terror attacks across Pakistan. He highlights the role of Punjabi militants in groups like the Punjabi Taliban, Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, and Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, who have orchestrated some of the deadliest attacks in recent years. Wazir’s argument underscores the ethnic diversity of militant groups in Pakistan, challenging the stereotype of the Pashtun terrorist.

Wazir’s emotional plea for an operation starting in Punjab, rather than Pashtun areas, aims to shift the focus to the diverse origins of militancy. He names several key figures from Punjab involved in terrorist activities, such as Tariq Lahori of Daesh and Maulana Qasmi of Jamaat-ul-Ahrar. By highlighting these figures, Wazir seeks to demonstrate that terrorism in Pakistan is not confined to any single ethnic group.

Doubt on the narration of the proposed military operation “Azm-i-Istekham”

The insistence on a military operation in Pashtun regions, driven by a media narrative dominated by Punjabi and Urdu-speaking elites, risks alienating the Pashtun community. Wazir’s call for international intervention by entities like China, the United States, Russia, the United Nations, and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) underscores the severity of this perceived ethnic targeting. If the government and media continue to frame terrorism as a predominantly Pashtun issue, it may lead to increased ethnic tensions and further marginalize the Pashtun population.

The proposed military operation “Azm-i-Istehkam” and the political dynamics surrounding it reveal deep-seated ethnic and regional tensions within Pakistan. While the operation aims to eradicate terrorism, its focus on Pashtun areas risks reinforcing harmful stereotypes and overlooking the broader ethnic diversity of militant groups. A more equitable approach, recognizing the involvement of non-Pashtun militants and addressing the root causes of militancy across all regions, is crucial for fostering national unity and effectively combating terrorism. Only through such an inclusive strategy can Pakistan hope to achieve lasting peace and stability.

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Huawei Harmony aims to end China’s reliance on Windows and Android

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While Chinese tech giant Huawei’s recent smartphone launches have been closely watched for signs of progress in China’s chip supply chain, the company has also developed expertise in sectors vital to Beijing’s vision of technological self-sufficiency, from operating systems to car software.

Chinese President Xi Jinping told the CPC Politburo last year that China must fight hard to localise operating systems and other technologies “as soon as possible” as the US restricts exports of advanced chips and other components.

OpenHarmony, developed by Huawei, is widely promoted in China as the “national operating system”.

“This strategic move is likely to erode the market share of Western operating systems such as Android and Windows in China as local products gain traction,” Sunny Cheung, an associate fellow at the Jamestown Foundation, a US defence policy group, told Reuters.

In the first quarter of 2024, Huawei’s own version of the HarmonyOS operating system overtook Apple’s iOS to become the second best-selling mobile operating system in China after Android, according to research firm Counterpoint. It has not yet been released on smartphones outside China.

“Harmony has created a strong core operating system for the future of China’s devices,” Richard Yu, president of Huawei’s consumer business group, said at the opening of a developer conference last week.

Self-sufficiency

Huawei first introduced Harmony in August 2019, three months after Washington imposed trade restrictions over alleged security concerns. Huawei denies that its equipment poses a risk.

Since then, China has stepped up its self-sufficiency efforts, pulling out of the main code-sharing centre Github and supporting a local version, Gitee.

China banned the use of Windows on government computers in 2014 and now uses mostly Linux-based operating systems.

Microsoft derives only 1.5 per cent of its revenue from China, its chief executive said this month.

Originally built on an open-source Android system, Huawei this year released the first “pure” version of HarmonyOS, which no longer supports Android-based apps, further separating China’s app ecosystem from the rest of the world.

Huawei said in its 2023 annual report that OpenHarmony was the fastest-growing open source operating system for smart devices last year, with more than 70 organisations contributing to it and more than 460 hardware and software products produced in the financial, education, aerospace and industrial sectors.

Visited by Reuters, Charlie Cheng, deputy director of the Harmony Ecosystem Innovation Centre, said the aim of making it open-source was to replicate Android’s success in eliminating licensing costs for users and provide companies with a customisable springboard for their own products.

“Harmony will definitely become a mainstream operating system and give the world a new choice of operating systems besides iOS and Android,” he said.

Google, Apple and Microsoft did not respond to requests for comment.

China’s previous efforts to build large open source projects have struggled to gain traction among developers, but Huawei’s growing smartphone market share and extra work to develop a broader ecosystem gives Harmony an edge, analysts said.

Huawei’s Yu said this month that more than 900 million devices, including smartphones, watches and car systems, were running HarmonyOS and that 2.4 million developers were coding in the ecosystem.

“OpenHarmony will need more time and iterations for these developers to feel more confident about working with OpenHarmony,” Emma Xu, an analyst at research firm Canalys, told Reuters, adding: “But the reputation, behaviour and trust that HarmonyOS has achieved will certainly have a positive impact.”

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