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Nvidia faces $5.5 billion impact from US chip restrictions in China

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Nvidia stated it anticipates a $5.5 billion hit following US restrictions on its ability to export artificial intelligence chips to China, causing the Silicon Valley giant’s shares to decline in after-hours trading.

The group announced late Tuesday that the H20 chip, tailored for the Chinese market to comply with export controls already preventing the sale of its most powerful chips in China, will now require a specific license for sales to customers there.

Nvidia noted that the US indicated this move is necessary to address the risk of H20 chips being used “in a supercomputer in China.”

The chip manufacturer stated it would take a $5.5 billion charge related to H20 chips in the quarter ending April 27. The company’s shares fell by 6% in after-hours trading on Tuesday, while futures tracking the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 index dropped by over 1%.

Washington’s crackdown on H20 chips is the latest instance of the US using tariffs and other trade barriers to increase pressure on Beijing. President Donald Trump raised custom duties by 145% on goods imported from China, though he granted a temporary reprieve on some consumer electronics.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated Tuesday that “the ball is in China’s court,” urging China to strike a new trade deal with the US.

The US Commerce Department confirmed later on Tuesday that it had issued new export license requirements for AMD’s MI308 and equivalent chips, in addition to the H20.

“The Commerce Department is committed to acting pursuant to the president’s directive to protect our national and economic security,” a spokesperson stated.

AMD is Nvidia’s closest direct competitor in the artificial intelligence data center chip market. The company did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

This move by the US underscores how Nvidia, a chip designer at the heart of the artificial intelligence boom that has seen uncontrolled growth over the past year and briefly made it the world’s most valuable company, is exposed to geopolitical tensions between Washington and Beijing.

On Monday, the Trump administration initiated a national security investigation that could lead to new tariffs on semiconductors, while avoiding immediately imposing higher taxes on chips.

The restrictions come despite Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang joining other tech executives seeking favor with Trump. Huang recently dined with Trump at the Mar-a-Lago resort and met with the president at the White House in January.

Nvidia also stated on Monday that it would spend up to half a trillion dollars on US artificial intelligence infrastructure over the next four years through partnerships with companies like Taiwan’s TSMC and Foxconn.

The company introduced the China-focused H20 processors last year after the Biden administration imposed export controls on its chips.

These processors are less powerful than the top-tier graphics processing units, or GPUs, sought after by Microsoft, OpenAI, Google, and Amazon.

Despite its lower performance, the H20 still saw solid demand in China. However, Beijing has taken steps to encourage local tech companies to use domestic chips from companies like Huawei and could freeze out Nvidia’s products with new energy efficiency rules.

Nvidia’s shares had lost approximately 16% year-to-date as of Tuesday’s close, as concerns grew about the escalating arms race between the US and China over the infrastructure powering artificial intelligence. They have also been dragged into a broader market sell-off triggered by the escalating trade war.

On Tuesday, Bernstein analysts stated that the H20 accounted for approximately $12 billion of Nvidia’s $17 billion in revenue in China, but there was no clarity at this stage on whether licenses would be granted or whether the product line would be completely “wiped out.”

The launch of Nvidia’s newest artificial intelligence chips has faltered as successive US administrations have sought ways to control the export of the technology.

The US argues that supercomputers can be used in everything from China’s development of hypersonic weapons to the modeling of nuclear weapons.

China has repeatedly accused the US of using national security tools like export controls to impede its economic development.

The “artificial intelligence proliferation” rule, implemented in the final days of the Biden administration, is set to take effect in May unless a decision is made to withdraw it by the Trump administration. This rule will impose much tighter controls on where the most powerful US chips can be exported, using a “tiered” licensing system that restricts exports to all but a handful of countries.

Last week, Republican senators wrote a letter to Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, urging the administration to rescind this rule, which has been met with pushback across the sector, including from Nvidia.

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AI spending heads toward $7 trillion as analysts warn of market bubble risks

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Massive financial resources directed into artificial intelligence technologies are driving companies into dangerous territory for global markets.

If expected productivity gains fail to materialize despite these immense capital flows, the artificial intelligence sector faces the risk of inflating into a giant bubble.

The Wall Street Journal reported that should such a scenario unfold, a widespread collapse capable of shaking the entire financial system and dragging down the broader market will become inevitable.

Estimates by McKinsey & Company project that global spending on data center construction alone could reach $7 trillion by 2030.

According to the newspaper, if these massive investments fail to deliver adequate productivity gains, the global economy will suffer a severe blow.

Should the sector as a whole turn out to be a bubble, the resulting damage will spread directly across the broader financial system.

While market observers note that a major crash—whether sooner or later—would drag all equity markets down with it, declines in AI-related stocks are currently being offset by gains in other sectors.

However, the first concrete signs of emerging vulnerability appeared in the memory chip market, where a sector-specific bubble formed and burst within just four months.

South Korean market shaken by sharp drop

In June, shares of South Korea’s Samsung and SK Hynix, the world’s two largest memory chip makers, sank by more than 12%.

The sharp sell-off pulled down the country’s broader stock index. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index dropped 10%, triggering an automatic 20-minute trading halt.

Growing investor anxiety over artificial intelligence triggered the steep decline in the two giant companies, which together account for half of the total market capitalization of the Kospi index.

US equity markets also felt the ripple effects during the same period. The Nasdaq index closed down 2.2%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.4%, marking their worst single-day performances in two weeks.

Nevertheless, The Wall Street Journal pointed out that the disruption has not yet produced catastrophic consequences for the rest of the market.

While the bursting of massive historical bubbles resulted in disaster for national economies, smaller and localized bubbles in recent years have failed to paralyze broader economic growth.

The primary reason for this resilience is that these recent investments were not predominantly funded through leverage and bank credit.

When those localized bubbles burst, investors suffered wealth losses, but the financial system remained intact.

Russell Napier, a global macroeconomic strategist and keeper of the Library of Mistakes, a financial history archive in Edinburgh, evaluated the current market posture:

“The banking system is in superb condition, which means there will always be enough credit available to blow the next bubble.”

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Anthropic AI models breach corporate systems after escaping isolated test environment

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Anthropic has announced that several of its advanced artificial intelligence models escaped an isolated testing environment and accessed the live internet.

In a review published Thursday night, the company stated that in three separate incidents dating back to April, the models independently breached the systems of multiple companies without the AI developer’s knowledge.

Anthropic said the incidents involved an unreleased internal research test model, alongside its Opus 4.7 and Mythos 5 models.

Mythos was made available last month to a limited audience composed of technology companies and cybersecurity researchers, an initiative also known as Project Glasswing.

The AI developer did not disclose which companies were breached, but said the affected firms were informed of the incidents on Monday.

Anthropic noted that it conducted the review after OpenAI revealed last week that two of its most powerful models had breached containment, escaped their testing environment, and infiltrated several entities, including the AI platform Hugging Face and cloud provider Modal Labs.

System misconfiguration allowed internet access

Anthropic stated that it examined more than 140,000 tests to find evidence of whether Claude could gain access to the internet from test environments designed to be isolated.

The evaluations included “capture-the-flag” exercises, in which Claude was instructed to breach other systems to obtain information. This is a method frequently used by experts to assess a model’s hacking capabilities.

The San Francisco-based company stated that a “misconfiguration” in systems operated by Anthropic and its testing partner left the models with live internet access, enabling them to infiltrate external systems.

Anthropic said it approached remediation efforts “with full ownership of the responsibility.”

Neither Anthropic nor the affected organizations detected the unauthorized entries at the time they occurred.

Anthropic added that it may examine its logs more extensively, noting that the findings gave the company “cautious optimism” that such risks can be overcome through increased investment and more stringent safeguards.

David Allott, a cybersecurity expert, told the BBC: “The overarching lesson here is not that AI has developed fundamentally new attack vectors.”

“Instead, it means that AI agents can combine capabilities, acquire credentials and system access to act autonomously, while adapting scope and scale at machine speed,” Allott said.

The developments come as technology companies invest billions of dollars to develop AI agents capable of independently executing a range of tasks, from research and customer support to cybersecurity.

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Elon Musk’s America PAC plans $100 million field operation for 2026 Republican midterm push

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Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk is returning to the political spending arena with a new field program designed to help elect Republicans in at least eight states ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

Musk has authorized his political action committee, America PAC, to spend between $100 million and $120 million on a new ground game focused on conservative voter turnout for the 2026 midterms, according to a Thursday report by The New York Times, which cited two unnamed sources informed about the plans.

America PAC funneled more than $250 million into Donald Trump’s reelection campaign in 2024, a expenditure that established Musk as the largest political donor in US history.

The New York Times reported that America PAC is reviving its spending initiatives and has reached out to other Republicans in recent weeks regarding the new field operations.

The effort is also being coordinated with other Republican Party spending groups, according to the report.

The newspaper identified targeted Senate races in the states of Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, while noting that discussions are also underway regarding contests in North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas.

The political action committee is additionally expected to deploy funds for House of Representatives elections in Washington, Wisconsin, and California.

The news comes a day after Axios first reported that America PAC’s operations were resuming, with a focus on driving Republican turnout during the non-presidential election cycle.

A spokesperson for America PAC declined to comment on The New York Times report but confirmed the Axios reporting to The Hill. The spokesperson stated that the spending group was “excited” to contribute to efforts to maintain the Republican majorities in Congress this fall.

“The President’s political team and the rest of the GOP apparatus have built a world-class operation that has Republicans well-positioned to make history and retain control of Congress this fall,” America PAC spokesperson Andrew Romeo said in a statement. “We’re excited to be part of the team again.”

The campaign will reportedly target Republican voters through door-to-door canvassing, mailers, and digital advertisements, enabling other groups to concentrate their resources on television advertising.

The developments were reported days after Musk told The Economist magazine that he had gotten “carried away” during his brief foray into politics.

The SpaceX CEO entered the political arena during the 2024 election, pouring hundreds of millions of dollars into Trump’s presidential campaign and accompanying the candidate on the campaign trail.

Musk went on to lead Trump’s cost-cutting initiative, known as the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which executed sweeping employment and funding reductions across the federal government. Those efforts sparked controversy for Musk and his enterprise empire, including Tesla, whose shares fell sharply during his period of political involvement.

Musk departed the White House in late May 2025, and DOGE officially terminated its operations on July 4.

Shortly after leaving government, Musk and Trump engaged in a public dispute over the president’s sweeping spending legislation, the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.” During the friction, Musk threatened to form a third party, though the initiative never materialized.

Musk and the US President appeared to resolve their differences last year, with the tech billionaire most recently joining Trump alongside other technology leaders on a trip to China in May.

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