Diplomacy
US and United Kingdom sign limited trade deal
The US and the United Kingdom have signed a significant trade agreement after years of negotiations.
Under the agreement, the 10% “reciprocal” tariff rate applied to British goods remains unchanged, while the United Kingdom will benefit from exemptions on steel and automobiles and increased market access for agricultural exports.
The agreement also leaves the door open for further negotiations in the future. US President Donald Trump told reporters in the Oval Office, “The final details will be written in the coming weeks.”
Speaking by phone at the White House press conference, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer described the agreement as “historic,” stating, “This will increase trade between our countries. It will not only protect jobs but also create employment and open up market access.”
Although the agreement is far from a comprehensive free trade agreement, the United Kingdom became the first country to sign such a deal with Trump.
British automotive sector breathes a sigh of relief
The most significant change is the exemption from the general 25% additional tariff applied to steel, aluminum, and automobiles. Under the agreement, tariffs on British car exports will be reduced to 10%, with an annual quota of 100,000 units.
British prime ministerial sources say this figure is almost equal to the total amount the United Kingdom exported last year. If this quota is exceeded, vehicles will be subject to the 25% tariff.
On the other hand, this rate is four times the 2.5% tariff the UK benefited from before Trump’s second presidential term.
Nevertheless, the reduction in tariffs will provide much-needed relief to British car manufacturers, who exported £9 billion last year and are the United Kingdom’s largest goods exporter to the US.
Reciprocal steps in the steel and aerospace sectors
The agreement completely removes tariffs for the UK’s struggling steel industry, which is facing a crisis under the threat of blast furnace closures and job losses.
The US is currently the United Kingdom’s second most important steel export market after the EU: the American market accounts for 9% of the country’s steel exports by value and 7% by volume.
The US also promises exemptions for UK aerospace parts, while in return, the United Kingdom gains “preferential access” to aerospace components.
Speaking in the Oval Office, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said, “We have agreed to allow Rolls Royce engines and aircraft parts of that nature to be imported tariff-free.”
Initially, aerospace parts, including those previously exempted for security reasons, were included in the general 10% reciprocal tariff.
London did not compromise on digital tax
It came as a surprise to many that the United Kingdom did not compromise on the digital services tax despite US pressure to reduce the tax. The 2% tax targets the revenues of tech giants like Amazon, Meta, and Google and is estimated to generate £800 million this year. This tax had long drawn criticism from the US on the grounds that it discriminated against American companies.
But as POLITICO first reported on Thursday, the tax did not change as part of the agreement.
Instead, both countries decided to work on a digital trade agreement to eliminate bureaucracy for exporters and simplify customs procedures.
Christine Bliss, President of the Coalition of Services Industries, said in a statement, “The UK’s digital services tax needs to be discussed and addressed in more detail to ensure it is applied fairly to American service providers.”
The technology agreement also envisages greater cooperation in areas such as biotechnology, life sciences, quantum computing, nuclear fusion, and aerospace.
There was also no compromise on the United Kingdom’s online safety rules, which was a great relief for campaigners.
The London government had announced last month, under pressure from Washington, that online safety rules would be reviewed in trade talks with the US, drawing significant backlash.
The United Kingdom’s US Ambassador Peter Mandelson told POLITICO he was “very pleased with the outcome,” adding that his country had “achieved all its main demands and that the agreement will now open the door to a deeper and longer-term US-UK technology partnership.”
Reciprocal market openness and food standards in agriculture
In a move met with skepticism by the agricultural lobby in Great Britain, the countries signed a new reciprocal market access agreement on beef. Under the agreement, British farmers were granted a tariff-free quota of 13,000 metric tons and a reduced tariff rate of between 4% and 10%.
On the other hand, US farmers will also be able to export the same amount of beef to the UK tariff-free.
But more importantly, all imported meat must comply with United Kingdom food standards. This means British farmers can breathe a sigh of relief that hormone-treated beef will not be arriving at their doors anytime soon.
Food standards had been a contentious issue since the United Kingdom-US free trade agreement negotiations began under the first Trump administration in May 2020.
A boon for ethanol exports to the US
In a surprise move, the US was also granted a new tariff-free ethanol quota for the first 1.4 billion liters. Previously, US ethanol exported to the United Kingdom was subject to a tariff of between 10% and 50%, depending on its use.
Speaking at the White House press conference, Trump said the agreement would “significantly” increase market access for American beef, ethanol, and almost all products produced by large farmers.
According to White House documents, the agreement will create “$5 billion in new export opportunities for US farmers, ranchers, and producers.” More than $700 million of this figure will come from ethanol exports, and $250 million from other agricultural products such as beef.
Tom Bradshaw, President of the National Farmers Union, said, “Our biggest concern is that the heavy burden of tariff removal in other sectors of the economy is being placed on the shoulders of two agricultural sectors,” adding that British agriculture “cannot continue to bear such imbalances in future negotiations.”
Bradshaw also added that the inclusion of bioethanol in the agreement “raises concerns for British arable farmers,” and said they were examining what this means for the sustainability of domestic bioethanol production and its potential impact on their members.
The White House also announced that the countries have decided to work together to improve industrial and agricultural market access.
Preferential treatment for pharmaceuticals
The agreement will also allow Britain to negotiate a preferential outcome on pharmaceutical tariffs, even though the US has not yet imposed tariffs on pharmaceuticals.
Pharmaceuticals are the United Kingdom’s second largest export item to the US. The UK exported £6.6 billion worth of pharmaceuticals last year, and this figure accounted for 11.1% of the country’s total exports to the US.
On April 1, Trump launched an investigation into the impact of pharmaceutical imports on national security and announced on Tuesday that he would impose tariffs on this sector “in the next two weeks.”
On the other hand, it is not yet clear whether the United Kingdom will receive preferential treatment regarding the tariffs Trump will impose on the film industry.
Over the weekend, the US President threatened to impose a 100% tariff on foreign films, saying that incentives offered by other countries to attract filmmakers to their countries posed a threat to US national security.
Caroline Dinenage, Chair of the Culture Committee, argued that tariffs on films were “contrary to the interests of American companies” due to “investments in UK facilities and talent based on intellectual property rights held by the US.”
Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds said, “At this stage, it is not clear exactly what kind of tariffs the US is proposing to apply in relation to films.”
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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