Connect with us

EAST MEDITERRANEAN

Arguments of Cairo are different than that of Athens

Published

on

While both Greece and Europe argue about the contents of the EEZ agreement made between Turkiye and Libya, Egypt instead opposes the signing of the agreement by the Tripoli government, which Egypt claims illegitimate.

Ankara’s agreement with the Tripoli government, on joint hydrocarbon drilling activities within the Libya’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) in the Eastern Mediterranean and over the Libyan territory, continues to be debated.

The preliminary of the Delimitation of the Maritime Jurisdiction Areas Memorandum between Turkiye and Libya in November 2019, was signed in Tripoli last week. The details of the preliminary are yet to be clarified, but according to the joint statements, Turkiye and Libya is set to start their joint oil and gas exploration and drilling activities in both the Eastern Mediterranean and the Libyan continental territories. The first country to react to this preliminary was Greece, just as it was back in 2019. Alongside the countries such as Germany and France, the European Union (EU) leadership also declared its opposition to this preliminary. Another reaction that was reflected among the public, came from Egyptian administration. Although it was being reported to the Turkish public as “Egypt opposes the preliminary”, under the headlines that of reactions from Greece and Europe, this is actually far from the full picture.

Nikos Dendias and Sameh Shoukry met in Cairo.

There are no comments on the content of the agreement

The truth is that, there have been two official statements from the Egyptian administration since the signing of this preliminary. Both were made by the Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry, and both were made after the meetings with the Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Dendias. And when we take a closer look at the contents of these statements, it seems somewhat different from the statements made by Greece and the EU. The statements from Greece and the EU suggest that this preliminary violates the sovereignty of other countries (namely Greece), and therefore being contrary to international maritime law. So, there is an objection directed towards the contents of the agreement.

Egyptian objection is a ‘formality’

The Egyptian Foreign Minister Shoukry stated in both statements that the government of Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh does not have the authority to sign any international agreements, since his term has expired after the Tripoli government’s failed election process in December last year. Shoukry did not comment on any of the content of the preliminary, while calling for elections to be held in Libya and support the initiatives taken by the House of Representatives (HoR).

This is because Egypt argues that the government of Fathi Bashagha, that is appointed by the HoR, is the legitimate government in Libya. As a matter of fact, when the Arab League foreign ministers meeting in Cairo last month was chaired by Tripoli government’s Foreign Minister Najla Mangoush, the Egyptian delegation decided to leave the meeting. Therefore, there is a quite big difference between Egypt’s “formal” objections and the West’s “solid” objections.

Afterall, there are no EEZ disputes between Turkiye and Egypt in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, the two countries’ long-standing lack of dialog and their mutual “hostile” policies towards each other, had brought Cairo closer to Athens in the Eastern Mediterranean issue. Though, this situation has begun to change drastically in the last two years.

There are no obstacles for an Ankara-Cairo memorandum

Egypt has already signed maritime jurisdiction area delimitation agreements with both Greece and the Greek Cypriots, but has left a piece of EEZ between the limitations of the two other agreements, where they can still make an agreement with Turkiye as well. Although Athens demanded the limitations to be extended all the way to the Southern Cyprus in the memorandum signed with Cairo, Egypt kept the agreement limitations to 28th longitude. The memorandum’s exclusion of  Island of Meis (Kastellorizo) as a continental shelf, has also dealt a major blow on Athens’ Eastern Mediterranean claims. Again, Turkiye’s compliance to the continental shelf boundaries defined by the United Nations (UN) in its new hydrocarbon enterprises, has become one of the factors that opened up by the Ankara-Cairo rapprochement process.

Actually the “normalization” process between Ankara and Cairo had officially begun a little bit later, in order to re-establish the relations that were severed after 2013. And while the both foreign ministry delegations were establishing a dialog, the Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu announced that the negotiations could be started over a delimitation of maritime jurisdiction areas if Egypt also demanded, and said “It is obvious that they will get more from an agreement they make with us”.

Both countries are desperate to sign it

This statement from Cavusoglu gave a blow on the Greek officials, who suddenly began to visit Egypt to persuade them to finalize the partial agreement they made in 2020. A possible EEZ memorandum between Egypt and Turkiye could mean the end of Athens’ maritime claims. Greece, which opposes the Turkish claims on the basis that islands have their own EEZ, even had to make concessions on the continental shelf of the Island of Meis (Kastellorizo), in order to get Cairo’s signature.

In the case of a maritime jurisdiction delimitation memorandum signed between Egypt and Turkiye, Greece would have lost a total of 15 thousand square kilometers of EEZ and the Greek Cypriot Administration would lose 11.5 thousand square kilometers. Turkiye on the other hand, wishes to scrap these two memorandums and sign another delimitation agreement between them and Egypt. Cairo, which will benefit from a possible deal with Ankara, is also leaving a way out for this hypothetical deal. However, the slowness of the progress of “normalization” between the two countries and the tensions created by some developments in Libya, where the two countries support different sides, offers Greece a great opportunity. In order not to hand Greece such opportunities, and also to ease its cause in the Eastern Mediterranean, Ankara definitely needs to reconsider its “normalization” schedule. It is basically up to Cairo to reclaim the stolen maritime zones. Moreover, Cairo also has to get a middle ground with Ankara in order to secure its vast border with Libya.

EAST MEDITERRANEAN

Germany pushes for ‘positive’ message to Turkey at EU summit

Published

on

Germany has stepped up pressure in recent days for a ‘positive’ message on the future of EU-Turkey relations to be included in the final declaration of the EU summit, Euractiv has learned.

Two EU diplomats confirmed to Euractiv that Berlin is pushing for the inclusion of a paragraph in the final text of the EU summit conclusions urging the European Commission to continue monitoring the development of EU-Turkey relations.

After months of escalating relations between Greece, Cyprus and Turkey, the EU’s chief diplomat Josep Borrell prepared a report on the state of play of EU-Turkey political, economic and trade relations in early 2023.

Although the first report was completed in November 2023, it could not be discussed due to the busy agenda of EU leaders at the last three summits.

However, according to Euractiv, Cyprus wanted a “proper” discussion at this summit before sending a “positive” message, as suggested by Germany.

An EU diplomat told Euractiv that European Council President Charles Michel was not keen to discuss the issue because of the heavy agenda.

Relations with Athens, migration and satisfaction with sanctions against Russia

According to Euractiv, the European Commission would like to see a reference to a possible EU-Turkey discussion between EU leaders in the final declaration and, at best, a reference to Borrell’s November report.

According to EU officials, positive steps have been taken in recent months, with improved relations with Greece (especially on migration) and special measures taken against Russian sanctions-busting.

However, there are still ‘some concerns’ about President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s description of Hamas as a ‘liberation group fighting to preserve Palestinian land’ rather than a ‘terrorist organisation’.

Cyprus issue stands out as main obstacle

According to Euractiv, there are also some concerns about Ankara’s stance on Cyprus. Sources in Athens stress that Greece could accept a paragraph calling on the Commission to continue the EU-Turkey situation reports.

However, the same sources said that this paragraph should include the following statement from the previous EUCO conclusions “The European Council reiterates the EU’s readiness to engage with Turkey in a gradual, proportionate and reversible way to enhance cooperation in various areas of common interest”.

In addition, the Greek Cypriot side asked for the inclusion of a sentence clarifying that the European Council should have the “last word” on any political decision concerning Turkey.

Cyprus asked for the inclusion of an EU representative on the Cyprus problem, but not all member states agree, Euractiv reported.

Finally, Cyprus asked for the inclusion of the EU’s line on the Cyprus problem, i.e. a bi-communal, bi-national federal solution, in opposition to Turkey’s efforts for a two-state solution.

Athens and Nicosia react to Erdoğan’s comments

Tensions have eased in recent months as Greece and Turkey have engaged in dialogue to improve bilateral relations.

But earlier this week Erdogan provoked the ire of Athens and Nicosia when he said: “Maybe even if we were burdened with the south, I say this as a son of today, there would be no more south-north, there would be no more south-north, Cyprus would be completely ours.”

Cyprus said the statement was “unacceptable”. In Greece, a source in the Greek Foreign Ministry argued that Erdogan’s “statements on the illegal occupation of Cyprus in 1974 constitute a blatant distortion of historical facts and an insult to the memory of the victims”.

The source pointed out that these remarks were made at a time when efforts are underway to resume negotiations under the auspices of the UN, within the framework of UN Security Council resolutions, for the settlement of the Cyprus problem.

Continue Reading

EAST MEDITERRANEAN

Tehran-Riyadh rapprochement may be the key in Arash/Durra

Published

on

Tehran has called for negotiations over the disputed gas field between Iran, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. A Riyadh-Tehran rapprochement could help bring the parties to a settlement in the gas field, which has not been shared since the 1960s.

After Iran announced it would drill in the Arash/Durra gas field in the Persian Gulf, Kuwait and then Saudi Arabia claimed that the field belonged to them.

The controversy started when Mohsen Khojestemehr, Managing Director of the National Iranian Oil Company, announced that “preparations to start drilling in the oil field have been completed.” “The board of directors of the National Oil Company has been allocated a significant amount of resources to implement the development plan for this field,” Khojestemehr said, according to Iranian state media.

Following Iran’s announcement, an anonymous Kuwaiti Foreign Ministry official said that the Arash/Durra Gas Field in the Persian Gulf and its natural wealth, the subject of the dispute with Iran, belongs entirely to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. The official called on Iran to sit down with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia and start negotiations to define the maritime border between the two countries.

A day later, a similar call came from Saudi Arabia. Riyadh argued that the entire Durra field belongs to Saudi Arabia and Kuwait and urged Iran to “sit down at the table”.

The Arash/Durra Gas Field in the Persian Gulf, discovered in 1967, has been causing problems between Iran and Kuwait for years. The Iranian side of the gas field is called Arash, while the Kuwaiti side is known as Durra.

Saudi Arabia and Kuwait signed an agreement in March 2022 to develop the Durra Gas Field. Iran, on the other hand, argued that the agreement was “illegal” and announced that it would start drilling in the region.

Kuwait and Saudi Arabia had previously called on Iran to negotiate on this issue, but there was no response from Tehran.

Robin Mills, CEO of Dubai-based Qamar Energy, told The National, “The Saudi-Iran restoration of diplomatic relations included talk of developing joint oil fields. Kuwait has held negotiations with Iran on the border but maintains its position that Al Durra belongs entirely to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia”.

Nora Bakhsh, a researcher on Saudi Arabia and the Gulf, said that the rapprochement between Iran and Saudi Arabia was looking positive so far, but these negotiations are still in the beginning stages and Tehran’s claims to Al Durra could pose additional challenges to them.

Continue Reading

EAST MEDITERRANEAN

Dibeybe and Haftar agree on “Government of Reconciliation”

Published

on

Libya’s Government of National Unity (GNA) and Khalifa Haftar, the leader of the armed forces in the east of the country, have reportedly reached a consensus on the formation of a new “Government of Reconciliation”. This agreement was reflected in the meeting of the “6+6” committee formed to prepare the legal framework for the elections in the Moroccan capital, Rabat. The committee agreed on the formation of a joint government to manage the election process.

Cairo-based negotiations between Tripoli and Benghazi have been taking place for a long time. The most important item on the agenda of these talks is to determine the laws that will lead the country to elections. The most important disagreement in this context is the relevant articles that will determine whether Khalifa Haftar, the leader of the armed forces in the east of the country, will be a candidate. It is claimed that a consensus has been reached in the talks deadlocked because the government in Tripoli opposed Haftar’s candidacy. The deal is based on the formation of a joint government that will lead the country to elections. Accordingly, a source close to the Libyan government told AA, “During the negotiations between the delegations of the two sides in the Egyptian capital Cairo, an agreement was reached that the prime minister should be from the west of the country and his deputy from the east.” According to the source, who requested anonymity, according to the agreement between the two sides, GNU Premier Dibeybe will continue to serve as prime minister in the new government in exchange for Haftar’s renunciation of the pressure he exerted to prevent him from participating in the presidential elections. In other words, Dibeybe will not object to the electoral law’s exclusion of articles preventing “dual citizens and soldiers” from running for the presidency, paving the way for Haftar’s presidential candidacy.

The consensus in the informal Cairo-based negotiations was reflected in the talks in Rabat of the UN-supervised “6+6” committee to prepare the legal framework for the elections. According to a Libya Observer briefing last night, the meeting agreed on the rules for the election of the President and members of the National Assembly. Accordingly, they agreed to form a unified government to run the election process.

Consisting of 6 members each from the Libyan Supreme Council of State and the House of Representatives, the Committee for the Electoral Laws started its meetings in Rabat on Monday, May 22, to draft the laws for the elections planned to be held this year.

An anonymous Libyan member of the Committee told AA that logistical issues were discussed during the meeting with the UN Special Envoy to Libya and the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) election official. The member said that issues such as the individual electoral system and electoral lists were discussed during the talks, adding that closed and open lists, the majority system, the seats to be allocated to women and internal migration issues were also discussed in the meeting. The Libyan official noted that the 6+6 committee discussed these issues both among themselves and with the UN official.

The “Constitutional Declaration”, announced after the overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi’s rule in Libya (1969-2011), is considered the provisional constitution in the country. The Committee for the Electoral Laws, consisting of 6 members each from the Libyan Supreme State Council and the House of Representatives, is planned to amend Article 13 of the Constitutional Declaration, regarded as the constitutional basis for the elections in the country.

Haftar eliminated Bashagha

On the other hand, it was claimed that Fathi Basaga was suspended from his post since he rejected the reconciliation between Dibeybe and Haftar.

The source who spoke to AA said that Bashagha did not want to take a lower-level post in the new government, “Bashagha refused to be Dibeybe’s deputy. For this reason, Haftar put pressure on the House of Representatives to remove Bashagha.”

In his resignation letter addressed to the Presidency of the House of Representatives in Tobruk on May 16, Bashagha said, “I express that Libyan Deputy Prime Minister Ali Faraj al-Katrani was assigned with all our duties and authorities.” On the same day, in a session held in the House of Representatives in Tobruk, an investigation was launched against Fathi Bashaga, who was elected Prime Minister for the east of the country in February 2022.

Abdullah Bliheg, the House spokesperson, stated in a written statement that “the Parliament voted by majority for the dismissal of Libyan Premier Fathi Bashagha and the opening of an investigation against him on charges of damaging public property” and stated that Osama Hammad, Minister of Finance and Planning, was appointed as acting Prime Minister for the seat vacated by Bashagha.

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey