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CDU leader Merz proposes unified European peace plan for Ukraine

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Germany’s conservative opposition leader, Friedrich Merz, has called for a unified European strategy to establish a “common vision” for peace in Ukraine. During his visit to Kyiv on Monday, Merz emphasized the need for European allies to collaborate independently of the United States, particularly in light of potential geopolitical shifts.

Merz, the frontrunner for Germany’s chancellorship in the upcoming federal elections on February 23, highlighted the importance of preparing for changes in global leadership. Referring to Donald Trump’s potential return to the White House, he stated, “With the change of power in the United States, we are likely to face a new situation, and we must be prepared for it. We need a common strategy within Europe.”

The CDU leader proposed forming a new contact group comprising France, the United Kingdom, Poland, and other key European allies. This group would develop and coordinate a peace plan for Ukraine, potentially acting independently of U.S. leadership if required.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who met with Merz in Kyiv, expressed his support for the proposal. He suggested including Denmark, a strong military backer of Ukraine, in the contact group. Zelensky noted that such an alliance could work towards achieving “a just and lasting peace in Ukraine.”

The call for a European-led strategy arises amidst uncertainty over the future of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, a coalition of over fifty allied nations that regularly convenes at Ramstein Air Base in Germany to discuss military support for Ukraine. The group is currently chaired by outgoing U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, whose tenure ends with the U.S. administration’s transition in January.

If elected chancellor, Merz could position himself as a stronger ally to Ukraine than current German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Merz has pledged to increase military support for Kyiv, including providing long-range Taurus cruise missiles, a move Scholz has consistently opposed due to concerns about escalation risks.

Zelensky has also criticized Scholz’s November phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, arguing that such dialogues undermine efforts to isolate the Kremlin.

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US withdraws military personnel from Poland’s Ukraine aid hub

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The US Army has announced the withdrawal of American personnel and military equipment from the Jasionka base near Rzeszów, a key logistics hub for distributing military support to Ukraine.

Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated, “The Americans informed us in advance and assured us that the troops withdrawn from the Rzeszów area will continue to be stationed in Poland. This does not mean a reduction of US forces in Poland or in Europe.”

A statement from the command indicated that the troops would be moved to other locations in the country as part of “a broader strategy to optimize US military operations, increasing the level of support provided to Allies and partners while also increasing efficiency.”

The statement noted that the decision to reposition the troops and equipment “reflects months of assessment and planning, closely coordinated with Polish hosts and NATO allies,” adding that facilitating military aid to Ukraine via Jasionka will now continue under Polish and NATO leadership.

US forces had established a temporary presence in Jasionka in 2022 following the start of the war in Ukraine. Although not a permanent US military base in Poland, the area has been used by US, NATO, and partner forces for the past three years.

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Germany suspends UNHCR refugee admissions amid policy shift

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Germany has frozen the admission of individuals in need of special protection under the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) program.

According to a report in the Handelsblatt daily, citing the German Interior Ministry, the decision is related to government formation efforts.

The decision is reportedly linked to ongoing coalition government negotiations between the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) parties and the Social Democratic Party (SPD), where the tightening of immigration policy is being discussed.

It was stated that the parties agreed to terminate existing voluntary refugee admission programs as soon as possible and not to participate in new ones.

Exceptions will only be made for those whose procedures are in the final stages of completion.

The UNHCR program allows refugees who have already been granted asylum to resettle in a third country.

The receiving state has the right to independently determine the number of people it will accept and from which countries these people will come.

Germany had pledged to accept 13,100 refugees for 2024 and 2025.

It was stated that 5,061 people have entered the country so far under this quota. It was reported that these individuals include Ukrainians and Syrian citizens who fled the war with Russia.

The European Union (EU) and Turkey reached an agreement in 2016 on the resettlement of Syrians.

Earlier, it was revealed that Germany had fallen to third place in the EU in terms of the number of asylum applications, losing its lead for the first time in many years.

According to a report in the Welt, based on a confidential European Commission report, the number of applications made in the first quarter of this year was 37,787.

This figure represents a 41% decrease compared to the same period in 2024. France was reported to be the most attractive country for asylum seekers, with 40,871 applications. Spain ranked second with 39,318 applications.

It was noted that the citizens who applied for asylum in Germany the most were from Syria (24%), Afghanistan (16%), and Turkey (11%), respectively.

In general, it was stated that the most requests for refugee status in the EU came from Venezuelan citizens, with 25,375 people.

The number of applications from Venezuelans reportedly increased by 44% in one year.

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German economy faces threat from US tariffs, says Merz

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Friedrich Merz, the leader of the CDU and prospective chancellor of Germany, stated that Donald Trump’s tariffs and their detrimental impact on the German stock market underscore the necessity for tax cuts and deregulation.

On Monday, Germany’s primary stock index was among the worst-performing in Europe, plummeting by 10% before partially recovering as investors reacted to Trump’s announcement of sweeping import tariffs that appear poised to reshape the global economy.

Merz commented on Monday, “The situation in international stock and bond markets is dramatic and threatens to worsen. It is more critical than ever that Germany regain its competitiveness. This must be central to the coalition negotiations.”

The strength of the German economy lies in its exports of goods such as machinery, chemicals, and vehicles, with the US being a key market. Approximately one in ten German exports are destined for the US.

German exports had already become less competitive in recent years due to rising energy prices and other factors. The imposition of a 20% tariff by the Trump administration is unwelcome news for the industry.

The market shock appears to have injected a new sense of urgency into coalition talks between Merz’s Christian Democrats (CDU) and the Social Democrats (SPD) following the federal elections on February 23.

According to German media reports, coalition discussions were briefly paused on Monday as Merz, outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz, and SPD leaders consulted on how to respond to the US measures.

An estimate by the Cologne Institute for Economic Research suggests that the total economic damage to the German economy during Trump’s four-year term could reach up to €200 billion, potentially leading to a 1.5% reduction in GDP levels by 2028.

Deutsche Bank economists noted in a report on Monday, “In the short term, the new government will struggle to cushion the immediate trade shock,” adding that Germany could face a third year of GDP decline in 2025.

Merz, long known as a “fiscal hawk,” had already faced criticism within his party and domestically after approving a constitutional amendment allowing up to €1 trillion in new borrowing, a key demand of the SPD and Greens.

His comments on Monday aimed to reaffirm the CDU’s traditional focus on fiscal and economic discipline in the face of a changing global landscape.

Since the elections, Merz has seen his party’s approval ratings decline as conservative voters increasingly doubt his ability to deliver pro-business reforms and tax cuts. Polls also indicate rising support for the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD), which emerged as the second-largest force in parliament in the February vote and now appears to be catching up with the CDU for the first time.

Critics within the party say Merz has failed to deliver on his pre-election promise to “sharply shift the CDU to the right” on key policy areas.

Divisions within the party have become increasingly apparent in recent days after members of the conservative bloc’s youth organization in Cologne wrote a letter to Merz expressing their unease.

The letter stated, “Mr. Merz, we believed in your political leadership. We trusted you and fought for you. But now we ask the question: For what? For a CDU that bows to the left-wing mainstream?”

Much of the criticism against Merz comes from the Young Union (Junge Union), the youth organization of the conservative bloc.

Johannes Winkel, the head of the organization who also sits on the CDU’s executive board, threatened to vote against a coalition agreement with the SPD that does not include “fundamental conservative policies.”

Winkel demanded that immigration be curbed and that economic competitiveness be restored by reducing regulation and bureaucracy.

In an interview with the Süddeutsche Zeitung, the youth organization leader said, “If we enter the coalition without a delayed and promised change of policy, the country will suffer great damage.”

The youth organization in Cologne demanded that Merz fulfill his pre-election promises to reject asylum seekers at the border, reject tax increases, and ensure a “major reduction” in bureaucracy, all of which the SPD has resisted to varying degrees.

The conservative youth organization wrote, “If this course is not corrected immediately, you will not only endanger the CDU’s profile but also destroy the public’s trust and the commitment of its members.”

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