Europe
Centre right wins Portuguese election
Portugal’s centre-right Democratic Alliance (AD) narrowly won Sunday’s general election (29.5 percent) but fell short of a majority, leaving the upstart right-wing Chega party as a potential governing partner.
Chega, the nativist/localist party led by André Ventura, made the biggest gains with 18% of the vote (from 7% in 2022 to 18%), while the ruling Socialist Party (PS) lost around 13% of the vote compared to the 2022 elections (from 41% to 28%).
AD leader Luís Montenegro insisted on Monday that he would stick to his promise not to form a coalition with Chega, even if it could create a conservative majority.
“Of course I will keep my word. I would never commit the crime of not honouring the commitments I have so clearly made to myself, my party and my country,” Montenegro said.
During the election campaign, Montenegro frequently described Chega’s views as ‘racist’ and ‘xenophobic’.
Another way for AD to take power is for the PS to abstain in the parliamentary vote on the formation of the government, allowing Chega to govern without its help.
The Socialists conceded defeat early on Monday. The snap election, triggered by a corruption scandal that led to the resignation of Prime Minister António Costa, ended eight years of PS rule.
The United Democratic Coalition, made up of the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party (PEV), won 3.3% of the vote and 4 MPs, while the Left Bloc (BE) won 4.5% and 5 MPs. The Liberals (IL), with 5.5 per cent, sent 8 deputies to parliament.
Chega has the key
Chega leader Ventura increased his share of the vote from 7 per cent to 18 per cent, making his party the third largest in Portugal. After the elections, Ventura quickly launched his own initiative to enter government.
“We are ready to form a stable government in Portugal. AD wanted a majority. Today the Portuguese have spoken and said they want a two-party government with AD and Chega,” Ventura said.
Asked if he would call Montenegro on election night, Ventura said: “Let’s see. I’m going to call my mother now,” he replied.
“We will not make it impossible to form a government,” said Socialist leader Pedro Nuno Santos, suggesting that his party will ensure that Montenegro takes office without Chega. After that, however, the PS will do little to help, Santos said, stressing that the Socialists should not be expected to support the government.
Montenegro said he understood that the PS did not identify with the programme it would present, but he asked the party to ‘respect the will of the Portuguese people’. “I hope that the PS and Chega will not join forces to overthrow the government,” the AD leader said.
It is now up to Portuguese President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa to appoint a new prime minister, which he is expected to do after meeting with the parties in the coming days. It could take a week or two for the chosen candidate to try to form a government.
The rise of Chega
Ventura was quick to appeal to Rebelo de Sousa: “This is a victory that should be heard in Belem Palace,” referring to the president’s official residence.
Socialist leader Santos said Chega had achieved a result that could not be ignored: “18 per cent of Portuguese are not racist, but there are many angry Portuguese. We want to regain the confidence of these Portuguese,” he said.
Chega is highly critical of Portugal’s two mainstream parties. The PS corruption scandal has played into Ventura’s hands. But his attitude towards immigrants and Portugal’s small Roma community has resonated more. The party also advocates ‘chemical castration’ for some sex offenders.
The election was also marked by anger over the cost of living crisis, in which rising housing costs, fuelled in part by an influx of foreign buyers, have left millions of Portuguese unable to afford decent homes.
Ventura has forged links with other right-wing parties, including Vox in neighbouring Spain. Vox leader Santiago Abascal congratulated him in a post on X.
The party is also known for its opposition to the traditional ‘centre-left’. In a video on Chega’s website, Ventura said he would ‘cleanse Portugal of socialists and social democrats’.
Ventura entered politics as a candidate for the Social Democrats (PSD) in the 2017 local elections in Loures, near Lisbon. He targeted the Roma community, claiming they were almost entirely dependent on state benefits. Ventura lost that election and then left the PSD to form Chega in 2019.
Ventura, 41, is a former tax inspector and football commentator.
PS doomed by continued austerity
During his campaign, Montenegro said the Socialists had squandered the chance of a parliamentary majority they won in 2022 and rejected the idea that this party had ended the era of ‘austerity’.
“Maximum taxes, minimum public services. What more austerity could there be? Per capita income at the bottom of Europe. What could be more austerity than that?” he asked.
The Democratic Alliance is more ‘moderate’ than most of Europe’s mainstream conservative parties, but has pledged to break with nearly a decade of ‘centre-left’ rule by cutting taxes and further promoting the private sector.
Chronic corruption, high public debt (which has fallen below 100 per cent of GDP for the first time since 2009), high unemployment and low growth rates are among the causes of Portugal’s social crisis, which has been spreading for years. The sale of residency permits and citizenship to foreigners through real estate was one of the straws that broke the camel’s back for the Portuguese, who were already struggling with high property prices.
Europe
Morawiecki launches Rozwój Plus movement following high-profile split from Poland’s PiS
The first major event organized by the political circle of Mateusz Morawiecki, following his split from Law and Justice (PiS), is set to take place in Warsaw’s Praga district.
The gathering comes just days after the former prime minister and dozens of his allies severed ties with the national-conservative PiS.
The move also led to Morawiecki’s resignation from the presidency of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) group in the European Parliament.
Organized by his Rozwój Plus (Development Plus) movement, the conference—dubbed “Morawiecki’s barbecue” due to the prominent inclusion of charcoal-grilled kiełbasa sausages—will mark a significant moment in Polish conservative politics.
The event will bring together key figures from the emerging movement alongside featured guests, including former world chess champion Garry Kasparov and General Rajmund Andrzejczak, the former chief of the General Staff of the Polish Armed Forces.
The gathering will offer Morawiecki’s camp an opportunity to present a political vision distinct from that of the current PiS leadership.
“Poles care about the fight for a strong Poland, their wallets, their jobs, housing, development, identity, culture, the Christian faith, and the defense of the cross hanging in the Sejm,” Morawiecki said this week. “These are our principles; this is our faith.”
Discussions will focus on demographics, security, and the politics of memory—topics that have grown increasingly sensitive amid recent tensions in Polish-Ukrainian relations.
While Morawiecki describes Rozwój Plus as an “expert group and think tank,” its political ambitions are becoming increasingly clear.
A new parliamentary group established on Wednesday brings together 40 deputies and one senator, providing his allies with an official platform in parliament and a base from which to challenge PiS.
“This is a threat to us,” Mateusz Kurzejewski, a PiS politician and spokesperson for Przemysław Czarnek’s prime ministerial campaign, told Euractiv. “After all, this is an initiative that reduces our chances of victory, though it does not eliminate them entirely. Therefore, we will continue to work hard.”
However, whether Morawiecki can successfully reshape the Polish right remains uncertain.
An SW Research poll commissioned by Onet revealed that 32.9% of respondents would consider voting for a party led by the former prime minister.
The strongest potential support comes from voters who already align with the right. Among respondents currently close to PiS, 14% said they would consider supporting Morawiecki, while 7.1% of those aligned with the further-right Confederation held the same view.
The initiative could also draw limited support from the ruling camp. Approximately 7.4% of voters currently supporting Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU Civic Coalition, The Left, Poland 2050, or the Polish People’s Party indicated they would not rule out voting for a party led by Morawiecki.
Sources within Tusk’s government believe the split in PiS could benefit the ruling coalition in the short term.
“Particularly because this situation helps soften the impact of the hospital scandal,” one source told Euractiv. “Today, no one is talking about it anymore, and fortunately, no new statements have been made.”
The controversy revolves around allegations that a Warsaw hospital operated a preferential admission system for politicians belonging to the governing Civic Coalition, allowing them to enter a VIP lounge and receive medical treatment ahead of other patients.
Questions have also been raised regarding the salary of the doctor heading the hospital’s emergency department, who is reportedly linked to Tusk’s party.
Yet the same source warned that Morawiecki’s departure may have little long-term impact on the Civic Coalition.
They argued that PiS possesses a fiercely loyal electorate, whereas enthusiasm for Rozwój Plus could prove temporary.
“Look at the IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita,” another source said. “70% of PiS voters say they are voting for their ideal party. This core electorate accounts for about 70% of PiS’s current voters.”
A similar perspective prevails within PiS, where politicians contend that Morawiecki is chasing a voter base that may be too small to sustain a new party.
Speaking to Euractiv, Kurzejewski said:
“People do not want to vote for politicians who have been excluded from PiS. As for Law and Justice voters, they do not want to vote for those who betrayed them. That is why this project means Rozwój Plus will fail to clear the electoral threshold.”
Today’s event will therefore serve as an early test of whether Morawiecki can translate curiosity and institutional support into lasting political clout—or whether his departure will become merely another short-lived fracture on Poland’s crowded right wing.
Europe
Ceuta migration crisis sparks diplomatic row as Italy demands Spain’s suspension from Schengen
An influx of thousands of migrants entering Spain from neighboring Morocco has plunged the autonomous enclave of Ceuta into chaos since Wednesday, prompting fresh backlash against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s immigration policies.
Local authorities warned on Wednesday that an increasing number of migrants were reaching Ceuta by sea.
Juan Jesús Vivas, the president of Ceuta, told reporters that the situation constituted “an absolute humanitarian and social emergency” and demanded that the central government take action.
The situation escalated further on Thursday as thousands of people entered Ceuta by land and sea, overwhelming reception centers.
Videos shared online showed individuals using wetsuits and life jackets to swim to shore.
In a statement posted Thursday on X, Sánchez announced that he was working with Moroccan authorities to restore order as quickly as possible and promised an immediate response.
The border chaos erupted just weeks after the Spanish Supreme Court issued a ruling preventing the direct deportation of migrants arriving by sea.
Sánchez’s political rivals laid the blame for the crisis directly on the prime minister. Santiago Abascal, leader of the right-wing Vox party, characterized the events as an “invasion,” while Alberto Núñez Feijóo, leader of the center-right People’s Party (PP), was also among those condemning the prime minister.
The developments drew additional criticism from anti-immigration figures across Europe, including Alice Weidel, co-leader of Alternative for Germany (AfD), and Manfred Weber, chairman of the European People’s Party (EPP), the largest group in the European Parliament.
“This proves one thing: the Migration Pact and return regulations must be put into force today, not tomorrow. Furthermore, Frontex must be strengthened,” Weber wrote.
Tensions have remained high in Spain since the Sánchez administration launched a program enabling undocumented migrants to apply for legal status and remain in the country. More than one million people have applied under the scheme.
This represents the most severe border crisis to hit Ceuta since 2021, when at least 8,000 people entered the territory from Morocco.
The autonomous Spanish cities of Ceuta and Melilla are the only EU territories sharing a land border with Africa.
Italian leaders demand Spain’s expulsion from Schengen
Meanwhile, the fiercest reaction to the migration crisis in Spain emerged from Italy. Top Italian politicians demanded that Spain be expelled from the Schengen Area as tensions continued to escalate.
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said in a statement on X: “The images coming from Ceuta are shocking and demonstrate once again that uncontrolled illegal migration poses a real threat to the security of Europe’s borders.”
Meloni added that Italy was prepared to act, “including through extraordinary measures,” to protect its borders and guarantee the safety of its citizens.
Together with Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini and Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani—the most senior ministers representing parties in the Italian right-wing coalition—Meloni demanded the suspension of the Schengen Agreement or the exclusion of Spain from the border-free zone.
Under the accord, individuals can travel freely between 29 signatory European countries.
However, several member states have reinstated checks at certain borders, as permitted under the agreement, citing migration risks.
Italy had previously temporarily reintroduced controls on its border with Slovenia to prevent smuggling and terrorism.
Tajani went beyond calling for Spain’s exclusion from Schengen, attributing responsibility for the events in Ceuta to the immigration policies of Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, who had promised to legalize hundreds of thousands of undocumented migrants.
The minister characterized the policy as “profoundly wrong” and claimed it provided “an incentive for human trafficking.”
The remarks provoked a sharp reaction from Spanish Foreign Minister José Manuel Albares, who summoned the Italian ambassador to account for Tajani’s statements.
Replying to Tajani on X, the Spanish minister wrote: “This message is unbefitting the foreign minister of a partner and friendly country from whom we expect European solidarity, not partisan demagogy.”
Separately, European Commissioner for Migration Magnus Brunner, who is also an EPP member, stated that the European Commission supports Spain in protecting the integrity of its borders, including Ceuta, and is in contact with Spanish Interior Minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska regarding the matter.
A spokesperson stated that the Commission welcomed “the close cooperation established between Morocco and Spain to combat these migratory flows and to ensure the swift return of individuals who entered Ceuta illegally, in accordance with applicable rules.”
“When it comes to our cooperation with partner countries, Morocco is a key and reliable partner for the EU. In recent years, we have intensified our cooperation in the areas of migration and border management, as well as the fight against smuggling. We are currently working to turn our relations into a comprehensive and strategic partnership,” the spokesperson added.
Europe
Rome’s hesitation over SAFE defense allocation draws frustration across EU
Italy is delaying the execution of a €14.9 billion loan agreement under the European Union’s SAFE defense program, a hesitation that is preventing other member states from accessing unallocated funds.
The Italian government has failed to finalize the exact amount it intends to borrow due to an ongoing energy crisis and internal political debate, effectively holding other European nations “hostage” ahead of a year-end deadline for fund redistribution, according to a report by Euronews.
Rome had previously requested €14.9 billion in loans—an application that was swiftly approved by both the European Commission and the Council of the European Union. However, the administration has yet to issue a final decision regarding the exact amount it will draw down.
Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani stated this week that his country has “reserved” the full €14.9 billion as a maximum threshold.
Tajani noted that the government will only determine the final loan volume toward the end of the year, adding that he expects the eventual figure to range between €6 billion and €9 billion.
Eastern bloc frustrates over indecision
Rome’s reluctance is causing growing irritation across Europe, Euronews reported. While 17 EU member states have completed their formal agreements with the European Commission, they remain unable to access unclaimed funds because of Italy’s position.
Eastern flank countries, including Poland and Lithuania, are facing particular constraints as they seek additional resources beyond their initial allocations.
Under SAFE framework regulations, all unspent resources must be redistributed by the end of the year. Euronews reported that if Italy continues to delay, the European Commission could formally restrict Rome’s application in September, opening the remaining pool of approximately €10 billion to applications from other member states.
The Security Action for Europe (SAFE) operates as an EU financing mechanism designed to provide low-interest loans to help member state governments bridge gaps in their military capabilities and maintain continued support for Ukraine.
Approved by EU ambassadors in May last year to support the bloc’s rearmament, the SAFE loan facility has a total capacity of €150 billion.
The program forms part of the broader €800 billion “ReArm Europe” initiative announced by the European Commission in March.
Energy crisis and domestic politics stall progress
Italy’s cautious approach stems from a combination of domestic political pressures and economic factors. The country is contending with the impact of rising energy costs linked to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, leading the Italian government to request fiscal flexibility from the EU to handle energy expenditures.
Concurrently, Italy’s ruling coalition—comprising Fratelli d’Italia (Brothers of Italy), Lega (League), and Forza Italia—faces intensifying pressure from its far-right wing, which has criticized increased defense spending ahead of upcoming elections. Italy must hold its next parliamentary elections no later than Dec. 22, 2027.
Euronews previously reported in May that despite reserving €14.9 billion under the SAFE program, Rome subsequently decided to request only €4 billion to €5 billion to cover existing signed contracts.
Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Foreign Minister Tajani justified the move by emphasizing the need to prioritize the energy crisis. Rome missed the deadline to submit its SAFE projects after requesting budget flexibility from Brussels for energy spending.
“We cannot tell our citizens that there is only money for defense,” Meloni said regarding the situation.
Italian daily La Repubblica also reported persistent disagreements between Meloni and other EU leaders concerning Ukraine. At the end of June, Germany’s Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) reported that a draft text intended for consensus at the NATO Summit in Ankara envisioned maintaining annual support for Kyiv at €70 billion through 2027, matching the 2026 commitment level.
However, Italy withheld its approval for the draft, objecting to long-term financial commitments of that scale for Kyiv.
-
America2 weeks agoUS agricultural superpower status at risk as trade wars shift global markets to Brazil
-
America2 weeks agoUS controls $13 billion in Venezuelan oil revenues with little transparency, raising congressional concerns
-
Europe2 weeks agoUS secures multi-billion-dollar energy and AI deals at Three Seas summit in Dubrovnik
-
Diplomacy2 weeks agoPalantir CEO Alex Karp says he would not vote for ‘pro-Russian’ AfD in Germany
-
Diplomacy2 weeks agoWorld Bank warns US-Iran conflict could slash global growth to 1.3% as inflation looms
-
Middle East2 weeks agoPentagon faces severe budget crunch as Middle East operational costs drain key military funds
-
Europe2 weeks agoGermany accelerates African energy diplomatic push to secure natural gas and green hydrogen
-
America2 weeks agoAIPAC cuts online donation links for Democrats after Israel aid vote
