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IS-TTP and Afghanistan-Pakistani’s future security

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Afghanistan’s capital city has once again plagued by violence with gunfire erupting at the Pakistani embassy to target Pakistan’s chief envoy and a suicide bombing attack to target a famous Afghan politician.

A gunman opened fire from a nearby building near the embassy as Pakistan’s Chargé d’Affaires to Afghanistan Ubaidur Rehman Nizamani, was leaving. Nizamani was unscathed but his guard was critically wounded and evacuated to Pakistan for treatment.

The Islamic State (IS) , also known as the Daesh group, took credit for the attack, claiming two of its members armed with “medium and sniper weapons” targeted the ambassador and his security personnel.

On the same day, two suicide bombers attacked Iman Mosque of Hizb-e-Islami office of Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, in which two guards and two assailants were killed. Some source suggests that the assailants intended to detonate a car bomb, but were interrupted by Hekmatyar’s bodyguards. One of the suicide bombers was wearing a woman’s burka at the time of attack. Gulbuddin Hekmatyar survived the assassination attempt, but lost two of his guards.

While no group is ready to accept responsibility for the attack on Hekmatyar, but the nature and timing indicates that Daesh could be behind that too.

Pakistan asks Afghanistan to beef up security at Kabul embassy

Pakistan’s Special Representative for Afghanistan Muhammad Sadiq asked the Afghan government to “beef up the security of our embassy and its personnel”.

“Our top most priority is the security of members of our mission,” Sadiq said, adding that security guard of Nizamani, Sepoy Israr Mohammad, “who took bullets on chest” was evacuated to Combined Military Hospital in Peshawar by a special plane. No updates were given on his health condition, but officials confirmed he is in ICU.

While saluting the extraordinary courage and devotion to duty of the guard, Sadiq called on the Taliban to beef up the security of Pakistan’s embassy and its personnel.

Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif condemned the “assassination attempt” on the top, demanded immediate investigation and action against perpetrators of this heinous act.

Nizammani landed in Kabul last month to take up his position at one of a few embassies that has continued to function in Afghanistan following seizure of power by Afghanistan last year.

Taliban vows action

Afghan Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi spoke with his Pakistani counterpart Bilawal Bhutto Zardri on phone condemned the attack on the embassy and assured to bring the perpetrators to justice swiftly. He also reiterated Afghanistan’s firm resolve to combat terrorism.

Bilawal said that the Afghan government must prevent the terrorists from undermining relations between Pakistan and Afghanistan. He also reiterated Pakistan’s unwavering commitment to fight terrorism and said that Pakistan will be undeterred by such cowardly attacks.

Zardari also affirmed that his country has no plan to close its embassy or withdraw its diplomats from Kabul.

Although Pakistan does not officially recognize Afghanistan’s Taliban government, but has kept its embassy open and maintains a full diplomatic mission.

Meanwhile, the Afghan security forces arrested a suspect involved in the assassination attempt on Nizamani. Sources say that he was residing on the 8th floor of the nearby building, and the suspect tried to escape, however he was arrested by the Afghan forces. An AK-47 rifle, a long-range automatic rifle, a sniper rifle and other weapons were also discovered from the possession of the suspect.

Mutually useful cooperation remains missing

Now when it is clear that Daesh has taken the responsibility for the attack on the Pakistan embassy, it has unfolded in some dimensions. For a start, it shows that there is still a security failure and gap beside the Taliban maintained security at this point. Another factor could be that some Taliban fighters who think the Taliban as sellouts have joined the Daesh on the sly. This also raises alarm bells for Pakistan, and there is possibility of more attacks against Pakistanis and even the Daesh group could spread its activities inside Pakistan. And In the most pessimistic view, what will happen to Pakistan if Daesh and Tehrik Taliban Pakistan (TTP) will pledge loyalty to each other.

TTP is basically a Pakistani issue, but the Taliban should not underestimate Daesh as it already claimed responsibility for several deadly attacks across Afghanistan since Taliban returned to power in August 2021. If TTP and Daesh become friends, no matter Afghanistan or Pakistan, they only need to follow their agenda, and friends morally help each other.

We should not forget that TTP and Taliban already have great ties and the Taliban were also acting as an honest broker between the TTP and Pakistan. However, the mediation efforts have come to naught, and the TTP is once again on the rampage as it just recently carried a car bombing in Pakistan. TTP also called off a ceasefire with Pakistan and ordered its fighters to carry attacks across the country.

The enemy of my enemy is my friend

There is a great saying that “the enemy of my enemy is my friend”. Taliban are friends to Pakistan and also Taliban are friends to TTP, but TTP is the enemy of Pakistan. TTP had already declared war with Islamabad, and Daesh is now on the same path. At the same time, Daesh is the enemy of Taliban. In this contest, TTP-Daesh is the main point of concern for the peace and safety of Afghanistan and Pakistan as well as the region. It wouldn’t be naïve to think that TTP will not join Daesh to wage more war against Pakistan in the wake of attack on the Pakistan embassy in Kabul. Unluckily, if TTP and Daesh established ties, confronting them will not be painless. Daesh already sent an alliance message to TTP by attacking a Pakistan compound.

At this stage, it is essential that Kabul and Islamabad should stop complaining or to engage in some sort of blame game that seems to be developing, and instead take concert measures that will bring matters under control. This is not really carrying weight to see that both sides agreed that embassy-like attack will not harm the mutual ties between the two countries, but what is important is to think carefully how to deal with Daesh and TTP as they are growing rapidly and splitting out of control.

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Syria will not follow Afghanistan’s Taliban model of governance

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In an astonishing statement, Ahmed Shará, also known as Abu Mohamad Jolani, the leader of the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) said that he will allow the girls to go to schools and will not turn Syria like Afghanistan under the rule of the Taliban.

Jolani, the de facto ruler of Syria, said that he will distance himself from the Taliban’s strict policies on women’s rights, and said that Syria will not follow the Taliban’s mode of governance.  

Jolani, who brought down the government of Bashar al-Assad and also widely welcomed by the Taliban, said that he believes in the education of women and girls and will not make Syria like Afghanistan.

“Syria is a diverse society with various ideas, unlike Afghanistan, which is more tribal. The Afghan model cannot be applied here,” Jolani told a BBC reporter.

Jolani says that Syria is a diverse society with various ideas, unlike Afghanistan, which is more tribal.

Jolani’s comment came when the Taliban congratulated the HTS-led victory by Jolani over Assad’s regime after years of fighting. The Afghan Foreign Ministry celebrated Jolani’s victory through a statement and hoped Jolani can bring peace and stability in the country.

“It is hoped that the power transition process is advanced in a manner that lays the foundation of a sovereign and serve-oriented Islamic government in the line with the aspiration of the Syrian people; that unifies the entire population without discrimination and retribution through adoption of a general assembly; and a positive foreign policy with world countries the safeguard Syria from a threat of negative rivalries of foreign actors and creates conditions for the return of millions of refugees,” the statement by Taliban Foreign Ministry.

However, Jolan’s position on the rights of women and girls is in great contrast with the current view of the Taliban leadership. Women and girls have been banned from education and work since the return of the Taliban in August 2021, following the collapse of the Republic System and withdrawal of the US troops from Afghanistan. Girls and women are even banned from medical institutions and visiting public spaces.

Jolani says he has a plan to create a government based institution and a council chosen by the people. 

The situation got worse when the Taliban’s Ministry for the Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice called women’s voices “immodest” compounding their exclusion from public life. This year, it has been marked as three years since girls were banned from pursuing education over sixth grade. Besides that, on December 20, 2022, the Taliban’s Ministry of Higher Education announced that women would be barred from attending public and private universities.    

In an interview with CNN, Jolani said that he has a plan to create a government based on institutions and a “council chosen by the people.”

“When we talk about objectives, the goal of the revolution remains the overthrow of this regime. It is our right to use all available means to achieve that goal,” said Jolani.

“The seeds of the regime’s defeat have always been within it… the Iranians attempted to revive the regime, buying it time, and later the Russians also tried to prop it up. But the truth remains: this regime is dead.”

Moreover, he also said the Syrian people are the “rightful owners” of the country after the ouster of Assad, and declared a “new history” has been written for the entire Middle East.

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Yoon summoned again for questioning on treason charges

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A joint law enforcement team investigating South Korea’s martial law case announced on Friday that it has issued a second summons to ousted President Yoon Suk Yeol, requesting his presence for questioning next week. The inquiry concerns his alleged involvement in the failed implementation of martial law.

The team has scheduled the questioning for 10:00 a.m. next Wednesday at the Corruption Investigation Office for Senior Officials (CIO) headquarters in Gwacheon, located just south of Seoul. This marks the second summons after Yoon refused to cooperate with the initial notice earlier this week.

The decision to hold the questioning on a public holiday appears to be a strategic move by the CIO, likely aimed at addressing security concerns. The office confirmed that the summonses were delivered via express mail and electronically to both Yoon’s residence and the presidential office in Yongsan. Notably, after Yoon’s team refused to accept the first subpoena, the CIO opted against delivering the documents in person for this round.

The investigation focuses on Yoon’s role in the December 3 martial law declaration, which he revoked following a vote in the National Assembly. If Yoon continues to disregard the summons without valid justification, the CIO may seek a court order to detain him for up to 48 hours.

Yoon faces allegations of sedition and abuse of office, charges that have gained traction since his dismissal by parliament last Saturday. His suspension from office remains in effect pending a decision by the Constitutional Court, which will determine whether he is permanently removed or reinstated.

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Xi Jinping champions economic diversification during Macau visit

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During a three-day visit to Macau commemorating the 25th anniversary of its return to Chinese sovereignty from Portugal, President Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of economic diversification and maintaining the “one country, two systems” framework.

Speaking at the swearing-in ceremony for Macau’s new Chief Executive Officer, Sam Hou-fai, Xi urged the administration to make economic diversification the city’s primary focus. Sam, the fourth leader since the 1999 handover and the first mainland-born Chinese official to hold the position, is expected to align closely with Beijing’s objectives to reduce Macau’s reliance on gambling. The gambling industry, which accounts for approximately 80% of Macau’s tax revenue, has been the cornerstone of its rapid economic growth in recent years.

“Macau should prioritize proper economic diversification,” Xi stated, calling for enhanced policy support and investment in emerging sectors. He also reiterated the significance of the “one country, two systems” principle, stressing its role in ensuring the city’s “prosperity and stability” for the long term.

Xi’s visit included stops at the Macau University of Science and Technology, where he explored laboratories focusing on traditional Chinese medicine and planetary science. He also attended a cultural performance at the Macau Dome and met with local stakeholders, according to Chinese state media. His trip marked a shift in tone, with Anthony Lawrence, founder of Intelligence Macau, noting that it was the first time Xi publicly praised Macau for its progress rather than delivering critiques or instructions.

Since the liberalization of Macau’s gaming monopoly in 2002, the city has attracted significant foreign investment, including from prominent US casino operators such as Las Vegas Sands, MGM, and Wynn Resorts. However, the economy struggled during the COVID-19 pandemic due to travel restrictions, and recovery has only recently begun.

On Friday, Macau’s casinos were bustling with visitors, while non-gaming initiatives like a stamp exhibition co-organized by MGM China and Beijing’s Palace Museum showcased the city’s efforts to diversify its offerings.

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