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Germany’s ‘Sparta 2.0’ plan outlines path to European military independence from US

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German defense strategists have presented a concept paper titled “Sparta 2.0,” outlining a plan for Germany and Europe to develop military capabilities independent of the United States.

As the authors themselves note, it is currently inconceivable for any “European war mission” to be conducted without US-provided “software or systems” and the corresponding approval from Washington.

The paper argues, however, that European countries could free themselves from this dependence within a few years, provided there is sufficient political will and financing amounting to €500 billion over the first decade.

The authors conclude that such spending is financially feasible. The document identifies 10 specific “capability gaps,” including some areas already under development by German companies, such as the mass production of unmanned aerial vehicles and the deployment of satellite constellations.

The authors state that the path toward European “defense autonomy” lies in “mobilizing Germany’s financial and industrial resources.”

Europe advised to pursue a “change of course”

According to German Foreign Policy, the new “Sparta 2.0” report, addressed to “German and European decision-makers,” first identifies severe deficiencies in the current state of military development in Germany and Europe.

The report states that although European countries now invest an amount equivalent to 60% of the US military budget in their armed forces, they remain “militarily dependent on the US at every level.”

This dependence extends not only to individual weapons systems but also to the entire operational chain, from satellite-based reconnaissance to fire control and battlefield operations.

The text offers a blunt assessment: “Without US approval, software or systems, no European war mission is currently conceivable.”

According to the strategy paper, unless there is a genuine “change of course,” the gap between Europe’s financial contributions and its military capabilities will continue to widen in the coming years.

Yet such a “change of course” is entirely achievable, the report argues. Europe, which possesses the world’s second-largest defense budget along with a competitive industrial and technological base, already has all the necessary preconditions.

Europe’s military shortcomings laid bare

“Sparta 2.0” identifies 10 strategic capability gaps in which Europe’s dependencies are considered critical. According to the document, closing these gaps through the development of German or European capabilities is “a strategic necessity.”

In some cases, particularly in the German defense sector, relevant efforts are already underway.

This applies, for example, to scalable autonomous systems, the serial production of all types of drones, and air defense systems.

German companies are also working on establishing a European satellite constellation and producing small and medium-sized launch vehicles capable of putting satellites into orbit.

The development and production of long-range precision weapons has meanwhile been initiated through multinational cooperation.

Other elements, however, including the establishment of a resilient command-and-control system and the development of a sovereign European data and artificial intelligence infrastructure, remain lacking.

In addition to the 10 “capability gaps,” the authors point to other “bottlenecks,” such as ammunition shortages and problems in medical logistics.

These issues, the paper states, will need to be resolved within the existing framework of Europe’s armed forces and defense industry.

Germany as the core of European military power

“Sparta 2.0” provides concrete details regarding both timelines and costs.

For example, “significant progress toward independent European operational capability” is described as a realistic objective within three to five years. “Comprehensive autonomy,” meanwhile, could be achieved “in most areas” within five to 10 years.

The authors estimate the cost at €150 billion to €200 billion by 2030, while approximately €500 billion would be required over the decade needed to achieve comprehensive autonomy.

This amounts to roughly €50 billion annually. For EU member states together with the United Kingdom and Norway, this would represent slightly more than 0.25% of economic output, making it financially achievable, the report says.

The approach could be pursued within the framework of a “Coalition of the Willing,” involving, in practice, Central and Eastern European states, the Nordic countries, and “traditional partners” in Western Europe together with the United Kingdom.

The paper explicitly acknowledges that Germany has increased its military budget far more than other European countries.

As a result, “the path to European defense autonomy” also “inevitably involves mobilizing Germany’s financial and industrial resources.”

Germany is thus positioned as the core of a future European military power.

The authors’ ties to the arms industry

Four of the five authors behind the “Sparta 2.0” concept had already published an article in March 2025 calling for an independent German-European rearmament effort aimed at reducing reliance on the US.

The authors exemplify the increasingly close overlap between state institutions, leading think tanks, and the arms industry.

Reserve officer Thomas Enders, for example, became president of the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) in 2019 after spending many years at the helm of aerospace and defense giant Airbus.

Former Deutsche Telekom CEO René Obermann currently serves as chairman of Airbus and is set to become chairman of the supervisory board of software company SAP next year. SAP has operated a Defense Innovation Center in Munich since February.

Jeanette zu Fürstenberg, a startup investor, serves as European head of Silicon Valley venture capital firm General Catalyst.

Moritz Schularick is president of the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

The newest addition to the group of authors is Nico Lange, senior fellow at the Munich Security Conference.

Lange, Obermann and Schularick, together with retired Lieutenant General Jürgen-Joachim von Sandrart, also form an advisory group established specifically within the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs to support the growth of the security and defense industry.

Two of the five authors also maintain direct ties to Germany’s emerging drone industry. Fürstenberg was among the first investors in drone company Helsing, founded in 2021, while Enders has served on the company’s supervisory board since 2022.

One of Helsing’s three founders, Gundbert Scherf, was temporarily assigned to the Federal Ministry of Defense in 2014 while working as a consultant for McKinsey. Until 2016, he served under then-Minister Ursula von der Leyen as head of Strategic Armaments Management.

A Bundestag inquiry committee later examined the McKinsey networks that had been highly active during that period.

Helsing recently secured a contract together with Stark Defence to produce drones for the Bundeswehr, initially valued at €270 million and potentially expandable to €1.5 billion.

Among its other activities, Helsing is also involved in the development of the first combat drone manufactured in Germany.

The startup is preparing to launch a new funding round expected to raise €1.2 billion, more than any previous German startup financing round.

This would value Helsing at €18 billion, making it the most valuable startup in German history.

Helsing’s rival, Stark Defence, is also well connected in Berlin. The company’s senior vice president is retired Major Johannes Arlt, who served in the Bundestag for the SPD from 2021 to 2025 after holding various positions in the Bundeswehr and the Federal Ministry of Defense.

Marie Theres Niedermaier, previously a personal adviser on economic and financial policy at the Chancellery, also now works at Stark Defence.

Stark Defence likewise received an initial €270 million contract from the Bundeswehr for drone production.

The company also manufactures unmanned naval vessels and markets a command-and-weapons deployment system for all types of drones.

Europe

China’s critical mineral restrictions challenge EU defence expansion plans

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The European Union’s plans to expand its defence capabilities are being hindered by China’s export controls and sales restrictions on critical raw materials.

In response, EU leaders are urging member states to accelerate efforts to diversify supply chains.

According to Nikkei Asia, the European Commission announced last week that it would propose new legislation requiring companies across the bloc to broaden their supplier base in an effort to address economic imbalances, although it did not explicitly name China.

The war in Ukraine and growing uncertainty over Washington’s security guarantees have pushed European governments to increase military spending and defence production.

At the same time, according to a report published in May by Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), China accounts for at least 70% of global mining or refining activity in 17 of the 34 materials classified as critical by the EU. Eight of those 34 materials are currently subject to Chinese export controls.

“China is undermining Europe’s rearmament efforts,” Teer wrote. “Simply by activating this tool, China has already increased its leverage and demonstrated both the capability and willingness to restrict supply whenever it chooses.”

The Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe also warned that geopolitical developments and intensifying global competition for critical raw materials are further underscoring the need to strengthen European supply chains.

The organisation represents more than 4,000 companies, including Britain’s BAE Systems, France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall.

European defence manufacturers are pursuing a range of strategies, including vertical integration, recycling, diversification and stockpiling.

Rheinmetall told Nikkei Asia that it has “no dependencies” and is “well prepared” regarding critical minerals.

A company spokesperson said: “Rheinmetall has stockpiled key raw materials sufficient for several years. We have also implemented IT systems that allow us to centrally monitor and precisely manage raw material consumption across the entire group.”

Analysts, however, caution that stockpiling alone will not be sufficient. Maria Shagina, a researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said: “Stockpiling serves as an important buffer against sudden disruptions, but on its own it is unlikely to mitigate structural damage over the long term.”

Shagina added that replacing the volume and diversity of critical minerals controlled by Beijing with alternative sources would take years.

In 2024, the EU enacted the European Critical Raw Materials Act, aimed at rebuilding domestic supply chains for such minerals.

The legislation sets 2030 targets for domestic extraction, processing and recycling while limiting dependence on any single third-country supplier to 65%.

A €3 billion ($3.5 billion) fund was established last year to accelerate strategic projects.

Nevertheless, the European Court of Auditors has noted that the 2030 targets are not legally binding and that the EU remains far from achieving them.

Industry groups argue that policy inconsistencies could further slow progress.

The Cobalt Institute, which represents a sector vital to jet engines, advanced batteries and defence alloys, warned that proposed EU chemicals regulations risk undermining the industry.

“Europe has one foot in and one foot out,” said Michael Blakeney, head of government and public affairs at the London-based institute. “It says the right things, but its actions are inconsistent.”

Europe’s efforts are unfolding alongside a more aggressive US strategy to secure critical mineral supply chains.

Shagina said:

“The US is investing more capital to secure and expand capacity, taking greater financial risks and, in some cases, acquiring equity stakes. Europe, by contrast, is generally more cautious, which places it at a relative disadvantage in the competition for critical minerals.”

In April, the EU signed an agreement with the United States to coordinate supplies of critical minerals. Although some member states initially resisted over concerns that the deal could weaken the bloc’s strategic autonomy, they authorised the Commission in early June to join the US-led “Pax Silica” initiative, which coordinates investment and export-control policies.

Teer urged Europe to use ongoing US-EU-Japan negotiations as the nucleus of a broader coalition aimed at making critical mineral production outside China financially viable through state support, minimum-price mechanisms and supply rules.

“Particularly important are countries that either produce raw materials or possess significant mineral deposits, such as Malaysia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Brazil and Indonesia, as well as countries like India with large pools of skilled labour,” he said.

Teer also argued that the EU should activate its Anti-Coercion Instrument, which allows the bloc to impose tariffs and restrictions in response to economic pressure on countries outside the union, in order to deter China from introducing further restrictions.

A European Commission spokesperson said the bloc had “long been aware of the risks associated with the EU’s dependence on critical raw materials.”

“The objective is clear: to anticipate disruptions early and reduce the EU’s vulnerabilities while strengthening our industrial and defence capacities,” the spokesperson said.

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Four European countries move to make citizenship harder to obtain

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European countries are increasingly tightening their citizenship rules. Most recently, the Norwegian government has drafted legislation that would raise the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from three years to seven.

The proposed amendments to the citizenship law were presented by the Ministry of Labour and Social Inclusion.

Under the draft legislation, stateless individuals born in Norway, as well as those who arrived in the country as children, would be required to reside in Norway for at least five years before becoming eligible for citizenship.

The government also plans to increase residency requirements for foreign nationals who are married to or cohabiting with Norwegian citizens.

Language requirements are set to become more demanding as well. The proposal would raise the required level of spoken Norwegian proficiency from A2 to B1. The new rules would apply to applicants aged between 18 and 67.

Commenting on the changes, Minister of Labour and Social Inclusion Kjersti Stenseng said: “Obtaining and holding Norwegian citizenship should be a privilege.”

The government argues that simplifying administrative procedures while simultaneously tightening eligibility criteria will help reduce the country’s large backlog of pending applications and shorten processing times.

Norway is the latest European country to announce revisions to its citizenship rules.

In Finland, the minimum residency requirement for citizenship was increased from five years to eight years on October 1, 2024.

The country also plans to introduce a mandatory citizenship test for applicants aged between 18 and 64 from the beginning of 2027.

Finnish Interior Minister Mari Rantanen said: “The introduction of a citizenship test is the final component of a comprehensive reform aimed at making citizenship requirements more stringent.”

Sweden has also approved a similar reform. Beginning in June 2026, the standard residency requirement for citizenship will increase from five years to eight years. Authorities are also introducing a financial self-sufficiency requirement for applicants and expanding the scope of security screenings.

Explaining the rationale behind the changes, Migration Minister Johan Forssell said: “It was possible to become a citizen after living in the country for five years without knowing a single word of Swedish, learning anything about Swedish society, or even having one’s own source of income.”

The most far-reaching changes have been implemented in Portugal. Portuguese President Antonio Jose Seguro has signed legislation raising the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from five years to 10 years.

For citizens of the European Union and the Community of Portuguese Language Countries, the requirement has been set at seven years.

The residency period will now be calculated from the date a residence permit is granted rather than from the date a citizenship application is submitted. The new rules will also affect the children of immigrants.

Previously, children could obtain citizenship one year after birth if their parents held residence permits. Under the new rules, at least one parent must have legally resided in the country for a minimum of five years.

The law also introduces a mandatory examination covering Portuguese history, culture, values and social structures.

Migration policies are tightening across the European Union as well. On June 17, the European Parliament approved legislation allowing irregular migrants whose asylum applications have been rejected but who cannot be returned to their countries of origin to be deported to third countries.

The new EU rules permit the establishment of migrant detention centres outside the bloc’s borders. African countries are reportedly among the options being discussed for such facilities.

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SpaceX warns EU satellite spectrum plan could disrupt connectivity in Ukraine

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SpaceX has sharply criticised a European Union plan to restrict access to satellite spectrum, arguing that the proposal risks degrading connectivity in Ukraine and disrupting emergency communications services.

In a document shared with European officials and reviewed by the Financial Times, SpaceX warned:

“This proposal significantly increases the likelihood that Europeans will be deprived of direct-to-device satellite services, or that new European operations will create global interference issues, including for emergency services such as those operating in Ukraine.”

In a proposal unveiled in May, the EU recommended reserving part of the spectrum band used for direct satellite-to-smartphone connectivity for European operators, thereby limiting the frequencies available to US and Chinese providers.

The 2 GHz frequency band in question is currently used by two US companies, Viasat and EchoStar.

SpaceX argued that the EU plan prioritises “an operator’s country of establishment over economic, technical and regulatory realities.”

When the proposal was announced, EU technology chief Henna Virkkunen defended the move, saying the bloc wanted to “increase European capacity in this sector.” She added that other parts of the frequency band would remain open to international operators, arguing that prioritising European providers was justified.

Other participants involved in discussions over the proposal said some EU officials were specifically seeking to limit Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.

Europe’s initiative follows a warning from Washington. In March, the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) cautioned that it could take retaliatory measures if the EU chose to favour European satellite operators over alternatives such as Starlink.

At the time, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr told the Financial Times: “Some of the discussions in Europe regarding satellite sovereignty concern us. If Europe decides to move down that path, then, as you know, we will have to consider reciprocal measures.”

The European Commission’s proposal has not yet entered formal negotiations with EU member states or the European Parliament.

A source close to SpaceX said the company remained hopeful of influencing the outcome of the process, given concerns raised by both businesses and several European governments.

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