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“Good” and “bad” terrorists

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These days, the topic of comparing the Taliban and Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) has become a hot topic in the media outlets and social networks. The head of HTS recently said that Syria will not turn into another Afghanistan, because both countries have different social and cultural situations and Afghanistan has tribal structures.

His words have provoked different reactions from Afghan social media users – some have confirmed these statements of Jolani, but some have opposed them. However, the words of the leader of the HTS delegation that Syria will not become another Afghanistan and his gentle and flexible approach to the people have attracted the attention of many.

Jolani has now become the next leader of Syria from the leadership of a terrorist group, and both countries, including Russia, which supported Bashar Assad’s regime, also want political interaction with him. Although it is too early to believe all the words of Jolani, it is clear that he has so far introduced himself as a practical and moderate figure.

He has been able to gain the attention of the Syrian people and the media and be ahead of other Islamists. On the other side of the story, we are dealing with the Taliban, the group that in the last three years has only secretly invited people to follow them with the language of force and violence, including threats, beatings, arrests, torture, and murders. The Taliban came to reform the people they believed in, not to listen to the people’s demands through moderation and to respect the internationally accepted principles.

If we analyze the current situation of Syria and Afghanistan from the point of view of political realism, then we are faced with two different attitudes: one representative is the Tahrir al-Sham group led by Ahmed al-Shara and the other representative is the Taliban group led by Mullah Hibatullah.

“Bad” or “worse” terrorists, a common scourge of realism in today’s politics.

Both groups are hardline Islamic groups and have extensive backgrounds in terrorism, but their attitudes differ from each other. The first group tries to conform to the demands of the people and the world, while the second group stubbornly wants the people and the world to submit to their demands.

The first group wants to interact with the people and the world, but the second group insists that, even if they use the atomic bomb, they will not interact. Such brutality, backwardness, stubbornness and ideological ignorance show that the Taliban never intend to change.

HTS’s leader (L) and the Taliban Prime Minister (R)

The main fear of the Taliban and other ideological groups, whether they are right-wing or left-wing, is death. Based on this reason, in order to preserve their old beliefs and sacred values, which have become old since time and are no longer hurting the society in the process of change, they are willing to commit any kind of crime.

Some groups, such as Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, when they realize the failure of their long-term efforts to achieve their imaginary and ambitious goals, they come to the conclusion that without accepting flexibility and leaving aside reality for political stability, which is always changing, he has no other choice.

These groups, however outwardly, are trying to change, but all these efforts continue until their power bases are threatened.

Some terrorist groups are not ready to change, and act like a complete deaf to accept the current world’s reality   

However, many extremist groups, such as the Taliban, are not ready for such radical changes. The virus of ideology has entered them so deeply that it has turned them completely deaf and blind and they do not show any flexibility.

The Taliban have not backed down from their decisions in any field and have drawn lines to the world with the language of force.

These are the countries of the world that have always backed away from their positions against the Taliban, so to show that there is no other way than compromise and cooperation with the Taliban. This group, now aware of the weaknesses of the world, is taking a greater toll than before by increasing violence and hostility, because they know that tax payers are easily ready to violate their principles and accept the demands of this group.

It seems that the world has become so helpless that it actually believes that terrorism has not been definitively defeated, because international politics reproduces this phenomenon again and again in geopolitical contests.

Currently, the only way that the countries of the world have adopted to deal with the manifestation of terrorism is to divide the terrorist groups into “bad” and “worse” or “good” and “bad” which presents the ruling realism of international politics. In order to confront the “worse”, you must stand with the “evil” or unite with the “good” to try to defeat the “evil”. But what needs to be noted is that the above division is comparative.

For example, the countries of the world are supporting the Taliban, which is considered a “bad” terrorist group, against ISIS in Afghanistan, which is considered a “worse” terrorist group. The Taliban are only less dangerous than ISIS and for this reason they fall into the category of “bad” terrorists. “Worse” or “good” and “bad” division changes.

There is no way to compare HTS’s of Syria with the Taliban’s of Afghanistan

For another example, if we compare Hayat Tahrir al-Sham with the Taliban, considering what we have seen in Syria in this short period of time, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is considered a “good” terrorist group by the countries of the world – known as, while the Taliban have proved that they are “evil” in their three years of actions. “Good” terrorists like Jolani go along with the world and give up ideology, even if only temporarily.

But the “bad” terrorists, such as Mullah Hibatullah, the leader of the Taliban, have one leg. A “good” terrorist is a pragmatist and knows that the world is not going his way, and that he must submit to the ruling order of the world. Therefore, “good” terrorists are better than “bad” terrorists who never want to give up their ideological selfishness and be ready for compromise and reconciliation.

There are more chances of political stability and staying, of course, if “bad” terrorists like the Taliban have an exceptional position due to the presence of ISIS, then the world sees the solution in interacting with them, not in turning their face and opposing them. This is a common scourge of realism in today’s politics.

ASIA

China warns economists spreading ‘inappropriate’ views

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The Securities Association of China (SAC), an industry watchdog, issued a directive last week urging chief economists at Chinese brokerages to “play a positive role in interpreting government policies and boosting investor confidence,” according to the state-run financial newspaper Securities Times.

The statement did not clarify what constitutes “inappropriate comments,” but it warned that individuals who “repeatedly trigger reputational risks due to inappropriate comments or behaviors” or cause “major adverse effects” within a specified timeframe could face serious consequences, including termination.

This directive represents Beijing’s latest effort to restore investor confidence and stimulate economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy. However, some analysts and economists express concerns that increasing censorship might heighten the risk of policy missteps.

Nikkei Asia reported that a Chinese economist working at a bank recently received an internal warning for public comments on the economy. According to SAC guidelines—supervised by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC)—chief economists are prohibited from attending meetings, events, or making public statements without prior approval from their firms. The guidelines also stipulate that brokerage firms should avoid hiring economists with a “spotty track record.”

The warning comes weeks after candid discussions by prominent economists Gao Shanwen and Fu Peng sparked social media debates on the reliability of official economic indicators, including unemployment rates and growth statistics. Following their viral remarks, access to their social media accounts was restricted.

China’s post-pandemic economic recovery has underperformed expectations, leading to debates about whether the economy is nearing recession. In 2022, the country’s official growth rate was 5.2%, its slowest since 1990, excluding the years of COVID-19 disruptions. During the annual economic work conference last year, Beijing urged officials to uphold a “bright theory” of economic conditions amid challenges like a property market downturn and declining stock values. The government also restricted negative commentary on the economy, labeling such rhetoric as “false.”

Since September, Chinese leaders have introduced a range of stimulus measures to restore confidence. These include lowering interest rates, reducing mortgage costs, and offering low-interest loans to encourage stock buybacks. However, these efforts have had limited impact. Consumer inflation dropped to a five-month low in November, exports experienced a sharp decline, and imports fell unexpectedly.

At a key political meeting this month, Beijing announced plans to boost domestic demand and increase fiscal spending through additional borrowing in 2024. The government is also preparing for potential trade shocks as former U.S. President Donald Trump, who has threatened to raise tariffs on Chinese goods, gears up for a second term.

Despite ongoing challenges, officials maintain an optimistic outlook. Han Wenxiu, Vice Chairman of the Central Committee for Financial and Economic Affairs, stated earlier this month that China’s economy is projected to grow by around 5% in 2024.

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Syria will not follow Afghanistan’s Taliban model of governance

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In an astonishing statement, Ahmed Shará, also known as Abu Mohamad Jolani, the leader of the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) said that he will allow the girls to go to schools and will not turn Syria like Afghanistan under the rule of the Taliban.

Jolani, the de facto ruler of Syria, said that he will distance himself from the Taliban’s strict policies on women’s rights, and said that Syria will not follow the Taliban’s mode of governance.  

Jolani, who brought down the government of Bashar al-Assad and also widely welcomed by the Taliban, said that he believes in the education of women and girls and will not make Syria like Afghanistan.

“Syria is a diverse society with various ideas, unlike Afghanistan, which is more tribal. The Afghan model cannot be applied here,” Jolani told a BBC reporter.

Jolani says that Syria is a diverse society with various ideas, unlike Afghanistan, which is more tribal.

Jolani’s comment came when the Taliban congratulated the HTS-led victory by Jolani over Assad’s regime after years of fighting. The Afghan Foreign Ministry celebrated Jolani’s victory through a statement and hoped Jolani can bring peace and stability in the country.

“It is hoped that the power transition process is advanced in a manner that lays the foundation of a sovereign and serve-oriented Islamic government in the line with the aspiration of the Syrian people; that unifies the entire population without discrimination and retribution through adoption of a general assembly; and a positive foreign policy with world countries the safeguard Syria from a threat of negative rivalries of foreign actors and creates conditions for the return of millions of refugees,” the statement by Taliban Foreign Ministry.

However, Jolan’s position on the rights of women and girls is in great contrast with the current view of the Taliban leadership. Women and girls have been banned from education and work since the return of the Taliban in August 2021, following the collapse of the Republic System and withdrawal of the US troops from Afghanistan. Girls and women are even banned from medical institutions and visiting public spaces.

Jolani says he has a plan to create a government based institution and a council chosen by the people. 

The situation got worse when the Taliban’s Ministry for the Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice called women’s voices “immodest” compounding their exclusion from public life. This year, it has been marked as three years since girls were banned from pursuing education over sixth grade. Besides that, on December 20, 2022, the Taliban’s Ministry of Higher Education announced that women would be barred from attending public and private universities.    

In an interview with CNN, Jolani said that he has a plan to create a government based on institutions and a “council chosen by the people.”

“When we talk about objectives, the goal of the revolution remains the overthrow of this regime. It is our right to use all available means to achieve that goal,” said Jolani.

“The seeds of the regime’s defeat have always been within it… the Iranians attempted to revive the regime, buying it time, and later the Russians also tried to prop it up. But the truth remains: this regime is dead.”

Moreover, he also said the Syrian people are the “rightful owners” of the country after the ouster of Assad, and declared a “new history” has been written for the entire Middle East.

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Yoon summoned again for questioning on treason charges

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A joint law enforcement team investigating South Korea’s martial law case announced on Friday that it has issued a second summons to ousted President Yoon Suk Yeol, requesting his presence for questioning next week. The inquiry concerns his alleged involvement in the failed implementation of martial law.

The team has scheduled the questioning for 10:00 a.m. next Wednesday at the Corruption Investigation Office for Senior Officials (CIO) headquarters in Gwacheon, located just south of Seoul. This marks the second summons after Yoon refused to cooperate with the initial notice earlier this week.

The decision to hold the questioning on a public holiday appears to be a strategic move by the CIO, likely aimed at addressing security concerns. The office confirmed that the summonses were delivered via express mail and electronically to both Yoon’s residence and the presidential office in Yongsan. Notably, after Yoon’s team refused to accept the first subpoena, the CIO opted against delivering the documents in person for this round.

The investigation focuses on Yoon’s role in the December 3 martial law declaration, which he revoked following a vote in the National Assembly. If Yoon continues to disregard the summons without valid justification, the CIO may seek a court order to detain him for up to 48 hours.

Yoon faces allegations of sedition and abuse of office, charges that have gained traction since his dismissal by parliament last Saturday. His suspension from office remains in effect pending a decision by the Constitutional Court, which will determine whether he is permanently removed or reinstated.

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