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Poland on its way to the elections: Who are the US and the EU betting on?

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Parliamentary elections will be held next year in Poland, a country which currently serves as a logistics center for the arms and equipment flow to Ukraine in Russia’s ongoing military operation.

Despite all its sympathy for NATO over Ukraine, Poland is now under a heavy pressure from its staunchest allies.

The United States is now trying to develop various instruments for a change of government, by supporting the main opposition in the Polish Parliament. Likewise, Germany is coming up with ultimatums of receding the European Union (EU) funds, in its efforts to elect out the Law and Justice (PiS) government, and to replace it with the former European Council President Donald Tusk.

New ambassadors of these countries mentioned above have just got in office in Poland; The new US ambassador to Warsaw was appointed last year to be Mark Brzezinski, son of the former US National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski, who is also known as the architect of the Afghanistan trap for the US. Germany has also appointed Thomas Bagger as its new ambassador to Warsaw in July.

Mark Brzezinski gave a presentation to the US Senate on December 1st 2021, about the diplomatic course he is planned to take in Poland, and stated that in his bilateral contacts with the Warsaw officials he will “emphasize the importance of the independent judiciary and media, and recognition of human rights, especially those of LGBTQI+ and other minorities.”

Brzezinski’s first month in office was marked by the official visits to his office in Warsaw by the US President Joe Biden, Vice-President Kamala Harris and other Washington top officials. On March 29th Brzezinski met with Jaroslaw Gowin, who served as the Minister of Justice in Donald Tusk’s cabinet and discussed about “the current visions of the US-Polish relations, especially in economic areas”.

On April 3rd, Brzezinski invited the regional chair of Google in Poland to his residence, and was also attended by Szymon Holownia, an opposition party leader. There is no doubt that the US government requested Google to run its algorithms in favor of the opposition parties amidst the elections.

And on April 11th, Brzezinski traveled to the Polish cities of Szczecin and Poznan with the former German ambassador Arndt Freytag von Loringhoven, who is the son of Adolf Hitler’s personal staff officer.

On April 13th, Brzezinski met with Aleksander Kwasniewski, the former Polish president who was known for his close ties to the Russian and Ukrainian oligarchs.

Brzezinski, who invited Waldemar Pawlak and Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz, who were the signatories of the gas transfer agreements signed with the Russian Gazprom on April 27th, has recently met with Donald Tusk on July 5th.

The new German ambassador to Warsaw Thomas Bagger, is a professional in his diplomatic career and is the son of the former Inspector General of the Bundeswehr. His father was born Braniewo (formerly Braunsberg, East Prussia) in 1938 and was deported along with his mother and brother in 1945. Prior to arriving in Warsaw, Ambassador Bagger worked with the German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier for five years.

Only a few months after Crimea was annexed by Russia, Bagger came to Poland at the invitation of the Bertelsmann Foundation and declared that “the EU will not start a Cold War against Russia.”

Bagger’s remarks during his visit to Warsaw, were basically a re-phasing of Berlin’s stance on relations with Moscow until the Ukrainian conflict began. Bagger stressed that “the German government continues to support the bilateral relations and trade that is ongoing between Russia and the EU”.

The chances of winning another election for the PiS government, which has so far adequately fulfilled its duties as an American vassal even though coming against the Biden administration’s agendas in most cases and being at odds with Germany, the driving locomotive of the EU, look very slim right now.

The enormous public expenditures caused by the millions of refugees and the missions taken on behalf of NATO has greatly weakened the power grip of the government.

Germany is currently pressuring Poland to loyally act as a buffer zone, on the issue of refugees.

On the other hand, holding the record in arms supply to Ukraine means that, Poland is either pouring more and more money into the US arms industry or is in an enormous debt. Warsaw, which will pay 14.1 billion USD on standard prices for the new F-35 fighters and Abrams main battle tanks and Patriot missile systems, keeps buying more and newer weapons from the US, but will have a much larger debt, during the payment period than it had during the entire year.

Although Washington owes a lot to President Andrzej Duda and PiS for these purchases, they still desire a more loyal ally. Ambassador Brzezinski’s close friendship with Rafal Trzaskowski, who si the leader of main rival party to the PiS, which even Brzezinski does not hide, is basically a proof to this.

Trzaskowski, who has been mayor of Warsaw since 2018, was the Civic Platform’s (PO) presidential candidate in the 2020 elections, which Duda defeated with a very narrow win.

The processes in Slovenia and Bulgaria and the defeat of the right-wing parties that have been a loyal pawn for NATO in these countries, gave a lesson to Warsaw and the PiS. Clearly, Washington is looking for more loyal and colorful allies at all aspects, and also looking for allies who do not undermine NATO, which has now re-consolidated with the Ukrainian crisis, and not going at odds with Brussels.

Europe

EIB to unveil 15 billion euro tech initiative to scale European startups

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The European Investment Bank (EIB) will announce a €15 billion initiative today, in collaboration with EU capitals and private investors, aimed at supporting the growth of European technology companies.

For decades, startups on the continent have struggled to raise the large-scale funding rounds necessary to scale on this side of the Atlantic, frequently turning to US investors or relocating abroad as they expand.

“We are catching up. Now we need to accelerate,” EIB President Nadia Calviño said.

Under the existing European Tech Champions Initiative, the EIB had already pooled resources with six EU governments to establish funds that invest in high-growth companies across the EU.

Calviño described the initiative as “very successful,” noting that it has supported 12 European “unicorn” companies valued at over $1 billion, including the German artificial intelligence translation firm DeepL.

The bank is now expanding the program with a new phase nearly four times the size of the original.

Twenty-five EU governments, alongside private investors such as Santander and Danske Bank, are expected to participate in the program.

This initial €15 billion aims to mobilize up to €80 billion in total investment. Calviño stated that this estimate is based on the multiplier effects achieved under previous programs.

As part of these efforts, the EIB also aims to attract European pension funds, which manage immense pools of capital but have historically allocated fewer resources to technology investments compared to their US counterparts.

In addition to the new funding, Calviño noted that the EIB will create a platform providing a single point of access for existing European scale-up initiatives, including the European Commission’s Scaleup Europe Fund, France’s Tibi initiative, and Germany’s Win initiative.

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Germany to purchase US Tomahawk missiles to build own long-range strike capability

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Germany will purchase Tomahawk cruise missiles from the United States and deploy them on German territory, Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced on Thursday.

The move marks a shift away from planned US deployments and toward Germany establishing its own long-range strike capability.

Merz told lawmakers that he finalized the agreement with the US government during the NATO summit in Ankara, adding that the talks held on Tuesday and Wednesday had exceeded his expectations.

“While we close a critical strategic gap in our defense, we are also working to develop our own European systems and deploy them in Europe,” the Chancellor said.

According to German government sources, Washington committed in a letter of intent signed on Tuesday to approve Germany’s acquisition of Tomahawk missiles and their land-based Typhon launchers in August.

The number of missiles and launchers Germany plans to purchase was not disclosed because the information is classified.

The planned acquisition appears aligned with US President Donald Trump’s pressure on European allies to cover their own security costs, such as by purchasing US weapons.

The fate of the Tomahawk procurement had become uncertain after Trump announced in May that he would reduce the US military presence in Germany.

That development was seen as a cancellation of a plan made under the previous administration to deploy a US battalion equipped with long-range Tomahawk missiles to Germany.

That original plan was designed as a temporary solution to serve as a strong deterrent against Russia while Europeans developed their own versions of such weapons.

Germany produces its own cruise missile, the Taurus, but its range of approximately 311 miles is three to five times shorter than that of the Tomahawk missiles.

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Apple loses EU court appeal over Digital Markets Act gatekeeper designation

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The General Court of the European Union has rejected Apple’s challenges against its “gatekeeper” status designated under the Digital Markets Act (DMA).

With this ruling, the company’s designated status for the App Store and iOS remains valid, while its applications regarding iMessage were also rejected.

Apple had argued that the five separate App Stores it operates for the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Mac, and Apple TV should be evaluated as distinct, individual services.

The court rejected this argument, ruling that these stores serve a common purpose of connecting developers and users, regardless of the specific device.

The court also dismissed Apple’s defense that the DMA’s interoperability obligations violate its fundamental rights.

However, it did not conduct a substantive assessment on the legality of this obligation, stating that a direct legal link could not be established between the regulation in question and the determination of “gatekeeper” status.

Following the ruling, Apple argued that the obligations under the DMA “exceed the boundaries of legality and proportionality.” The company asserted that the new rules jeopardize the work it has carried out for years to ensure user privacy and security.

Apple retains the right to appeal the decision, though a company spokesperson did not comment on whether there are plans to do so.

Apple previously declared that DMA rules prevented the launch of the updated version of Siri in Europe, resulting in European users being unable to benefit from the service.

In force in the European Union since 2024, the DMA covers a total of 22 services and products belonging to Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, ByteDance, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft.

The regulation obliges these companies to share certain data with competitors, provide access to user-generated data, and offer verification tools to advertising partners.

Additionally, it prohibits platforms from engaging in anti-competitive practices that favor their own products. Companies failing to comply with the rules face fines of up to 10% of their global turnover, which can rise to 20% in cases of repeated violations.

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