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Rheinmetall opens Germany’s largest ammunition factory amid rearmament push

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German arms giant Rheinmetall is opening the country’s largest ammunition factory, which will also rank as the second-largest in Europe.

Rheinmetall has emerged as the biggest winner of the massive rearmament program launched by the federal government in 2022 and now being intensified on an unprecedented scale.

The company’s revenue rose from €6.4 billion in 2022 to €9.8 billion in 2024, according to CEO Armin Papperger, and could reach €40–50 billion by 2030. This trajectory would place Rheinmetall in the top tier of global defense manufacturers. By comparison, the world’s two largest defense companies, Lockheed Martin and RTX, generated defense revenues of about $61 billion and $41 billion respectively in 2023.

Earlier this month, Papperger declared that “Rheinmetall is on its way to becoming a global defense champion.” Under his leadership, the Düsseldorf-based arms manufacturer has seen a steady increase in order volume, which now stands at a record €63 billion.

The company’s civilian business, however, is struggling. Rheinmetall once maintained an automotive supply division to balance fluctuations in its defense operations. Some facilities previously used for civilian purposes have now been converted to military production, while non-military plants unsuitable for arms manufacturing are being considered for sale.

New plant to produce components for Leopard 2

The new facility in Unterlüß, Lower Saxony, officially opening on August 27, will be Rheinmetall’s largest site, employing around 3,200 people.

The group currently operates 174 plants in more than 30 countries with about 40,000 employees, a figure expected to rise to roughly 70,000 within the next two to three years.

At Unterlüß, Rheinmetall produces a wide range of munitions as well as key components for the Leopard 2 main battle tank, the Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled howitzer, and the Puma infantry fighting vehicle. The site is also involved in developing the new Panther KF51 main battle tank, seen as the potential successor to the Leopard 2.

By the end of this year, the new factory is expected to produce tens of thousands of NATO-standard 155mm artillery shells. By 2027, annual output will reach about 350,000 shells—five times Rheinmetall’s total production in 2022, which stood at 70,000.

Unterlüß will be Rheinmetall’s second-largest ammunition plant. The largest, Rheinmetall Expal Munitions in Spain, can produce up to 450,000 shells annually. Supported by additional plants in Italy, South Africa, and the United States, the company aims to manufacture 1.5 million 155mm shells per year by 2027.

Expanding across Europe

To meet this goal, Rheinmetall is building new factories not only in Germany but also in other European countries.

Facilities in Hungary and Lithuania are scheduled to begin production in 2026. In addition, the company has announced over €1 billion in investments for new plants in Ukraine and Bulgaria, including Europe’s largest gunpowder factory.

Commenting on the scale of the munitions business, Papperger pointed out that NATO members are required to maintain a 30-day wartime ammunition reserve: “For just 30 days, we need about 300 rounds per weapon per day. With 5,000 weapons, that amounts to 45 million artillery shells.”

Beyond ammunition, Rheinmetall and the entire defense sector expect a significant rise in demand across European NATO countries following the alliance’s decision to dedicate 5% of output to defense. The steepest increase is anticipated in Germany, where large-scale rearmament is being financed by new debt. Papperger foresees an order potential of up to €300 billion by 2030.

Massive Bundeswehr budget whets industry appetite

The German government’s plans to substantially increase the military budget are already well known.

The Bundeswehr’s budget for this year has risen by about 20% to €62.4 billion, with an additional €24 billion from a special investment fund.

Plans for 2026 envisage €82.7 billion in spending, plus €25.5 billion from the “special fund.” In 2027, the last year in which the fund can be used, the budget is projected at €93.4 billion, rising to about €136.5 billion in 2028 and €152.8 billion in 2029. These figures exclude military infrastructure expenditures, expected to reach around €70 billion by 2029.

According to the current federal financial plan, total government spending will exceed €572 billion by 2029, with defense accounting for 26.7%. To finance this, net borrowing is expected to climb to €126.9 billion in 2029—more than 50% higher than in 2025.

Nevertheless, Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil has acknowledged major funding gaps: €34 billion in 2027, €64 billion in 2028, and €74 billion in 2029.

CDU-SPD push welfare cuts to fund militarization

In Berlin, debates are intensifying over dramatic social spending cuts needed to fund unprecedented rearmament.

Last weekend, Chancellor Friedrich Merz argued that “the welfare state as we know it today is no longer financially sustainable” and that sharp cuts—framed as “reforms”—are unavoidable. He added: “Talk of social cuts and sharp reductions does not bother me.”

CDU General Secretary Carsten Linnemann also called for a “paradigm shift,” claiming the welfare state had become unaffordable.

Within the governing coalition, there is widespread discussion of a coming “reform autumn.” SPD federal chairman and Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil has not fundamentally challenged the premise, insisting instead that the government must “address social security systems.” He stressed, however, that savings should not come only from welfare spending, calling for higher contributions from the wealthiest individuals.

State pressure grows against anti-war movements

While preparing “social cuts,” the federal government is also tightening pressure on those opposing billions in rearmament.

In Cologne, activists running an anti-war campaign under the slogan “Disarm Rheinmetall; against arms exports, militarization, and war” were forced to defend their right to assembly and protest after authorities sought to ban their camp.

Officials argued that the activists’ slogan “War against war” implied “combating militarization with militant methods.” The ban was eventually overturned by the Higher Administrative Court of North Rhine-Westphalia in Münster.

“War against War” is the title of a 1919 poem by writer and anti-war activist Kurt Tucholsky, who described the horrors of trench warfare (“blood, crushed bones, and filth”) and lamented the absence of resistance (“no one dares to rebel”). He concluded with a warning: “This cannot go on, and it must not go on. We have all seen where such madness leads.”

Europe

China’s critical mineral restrictions challenge EU defence expansion plans

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The European Union’s plans to expand its defence capabilities are being hindered by China’s export controls and sales restrictions on critical raw materials.

In response, EU leaders are urging member states to accelerate efforts to diversify supply chains.

According to Nikkei Asia, the European Commission announced last week that it would propose new legislation requiring companies across the bloc to broaden their supplier base in an effort to address economic imbalances, although it did not explicitly name China.

The war in Ukraine and growing uncertainty over Washington’s security guarantees have pushed European governments to increase military spending and defence production.

At the same time, according to a report published in May by Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), China accounts for at least 70% of global mining or refining activity in 17 of the 34 materials classified as critical by the EU. Eight of those 34 materials are currently subject to Chinese export controls.

“China is undermining Europe’s rearmament efforts,” Teer wrote. “Simply by activating this tool, China has already increased its leverage and demonstrated both the capability and willingness to restrict supply whenever it chooses.”

The Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe also warned that geopolitical developments and intensifying global competition for critical raw materials are further underscoring the need to strengthen European supply chains.

The organisation represents more than 4,000 companies, including Britain’s BAE Systems, France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall.

European defence manufacturers are pursuing a range of strategies, including vertical integration, recycling, diversification and stockpiling.

Rheinmetall told Nikkei Asia that it has “no dependencies” and is “well prepared” regarding critical minerals.

A company spokesperson said: “Rheinmetall has stockpiled key raw materials sufficient for several years. We have also implemented IT systems that allow us to centrally monitor and precisely manage raw material consumption across the entire group.”

Analysts, however, caution that stockpiling alone will not be sufficient. Maria Shagina, a researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said: “Stockpiling serves as an important buffer against sudden disruptions, but on its own it is unlikely to mitigate structural damage over the long term.”

Shagina added that replacing the volume and diversity of critical minerals controlled by Beijing with alternative sources would take years.

In 2024, the EU enacted the European Critical Raw Materials Act, aimed at rebuilding domestic supply chains for such minerals.

The legislation sets 2030 targets for domestic extraction, processing and recycling while limiting dependence on any single third-country supplier to 65%.

A €3 billion ($3.5 billion) fund was established last year to accelerate strategic projects.

Nevertheless, the European Court of Auditors has noted that the 2030 targets are not legally binding and that the EU remains far from achieving them.

Industry groups argue that policy inconsistencies could further slow progress.

The Cobalt Institute, which represents a sector vital to jet engines, advanced batteries and defence alloys, warned that proposed EU chemicals regulations risk undermining the industry.

“Europe has one foot in and one foot out,” said Michael Blakeney, head of government and public affairs at the London-based institute. “It says the right things, but its actions are inconsistent.”

Europe’s efforts are unfolding alongside a more aggressive US strategy to secure critical mineral supply chains.

Shagina said:

“The US is investing more capital to secure and expand capacity, taking greater financial risks and, in some cases, acquiring equity stakes. Europe, by contrast, is generally more cautious, which places it at a relative disadvantage in the competition for critical minerals.”

In April, the EU signed an agreement with the United States to coordinate supplies of critical minerals. Although some member states initially resisted over concerns that the deal could weaken the bloc’s strategic autonomy, they authorised the Commission in early June to join the US-led “Pax Silica” initiative, which coordinates investment and export-control policies.

Teer urged Europe to use ongoing US-EU-Japan negotiations as the nucleus of a broader coalition aimed at making critical mineral production outside China financially viable through state support, minimum-price mechanisms and supply rules.

“Particularly important are countries that either produce raw materials or possess significant mineral deposits, such as Malaysia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Brazil and Indonesia, as well as countries like India with large pools of skilled labour,” he said.

Teer also argued that the EU should activate its Anti-Coercion Instrument, which allows the bloc to impose tariffs and restrictions in response to economic pressure on countries outside the union, in order to deter China from introducing further restrictions.

A European Commission spokesperson said the bloc had “long been aware of the risks associated with the EU’s dependence on critical raw materials.”

“The objective is clear: to anticipate disruptions early and reduce the EU’s vulnerabilities while strengthening our industrial and defence capacities,” the spokesperson said.

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Four European countries move to make citizenship harder to obtain

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European countries are increasingly tightening their citizenship rules. Most recently, the Norwegian government has drafted legislation that would raise the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from three years to seven.

The proposed amendments to the citizenship law were presented by the Ministry of Labour and Social Inclusion.

Under the draft legislation, stateless individuals born in Norway, as well as those who arrived in the country as children, would be required to reside in Norway for at least five years before becoming eligible for citizenship.

The government also plans to increase residency requirements for foreign nationals who are married to or cohabiting with Norwegian citizens.

Language requirements are set to become more demanding as well. The proposal would raise the required level of spoken Norwegian proficiency from A2 to B1. The new rules would apply to applicants aged between 18 and 67.

Commenting on the changes, Minister of Labour and Social Inclusion Kjersti Stenseng said: “Obtaining and holding Norwegian citizenship should be a privilege.”

The government argues that simplifying administrative procedures while simultaneously tightening eligibility criteria will help reduce the country’s large backlog of pending applications and shorten processing times.

Norway is the latest European country to announce revisions to its citizenship rules.

In Finland, the minimum residency requirement for citizenship was increased from five years to eight years on October 1, 2024.

The country also plans to introduce a mandatory citizenship test for applicants aged between 18 and 64 from the beginning of 2027.

Finnish Interior Minister Mari Rantanen said: “The introduction of a citizenship test is the final component of a comprehensive reform aimed at making citizenship requirements more stringent.”

Sweden has also approved a similar reform. Beginning in June 2026, the standard residency requirement for citizenship will increase from five years to eight years. Authorities are also introducing a financial self-sufficiency requirement for applicants and expanding the scope of security screenings.

Explaining the rationale behind the changes, Migration Minister Johan Forssell said: “It was possible to become a citizen after living in the country for five years without knowing a single word of Swedish, learning anything about Swedish society, or even having one’s own source of income.”

The most far-reaching changes have been implemented in Portugal. Portuguese President Antonio Jose Seguro has signed legislation raising the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from five years to 10 years.

For citizens of the European Union and the Community of Portuguese Language Countries, the requirement has been set at seven years.

The residency period will now be calculated from the date a residence permit is granted rather than from the date a citizenship application is submitted. The new rules will also affect the children of immigrants.

Previously, children could obtain citizenship one year after birth if their parents held residence permits. Under the new rules, at least one parent must have legally resided in the country for a minimum of five years.

The law also introduces a mandatory examination covering Portuguese history, culture, values and social structures.

Migration policies are tightening across the European Union as well. On June 17, the European Parliament approved legislation allowing irregular migrants whose asylum applications have been rejected but who cannot be returned to their countries of origin to be deported to third countries.

The new EU rules permit the establishment of migrant detention centres outside the bloc’s borders. African countries are reportedly among the options being discussed for such facilities.

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SpaceX warns EU satellite spectrum plan could disrupt connectivity in Ukraine

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SpaceX has sharply criticised a European Union plan to restrict access to satellite spectrum, arguing that the proposal risks degrading connectivity in Ukraine and disrupting emergency communications services.

In a document shared with European officials and reviewed by the Financial Times, SpaceX warned:

“This proposal significantly increases the likelihood that Europeans will be deprived of direct-to-device satellite services, or that new European operations will create global interference issues, including for emergency services such as those operating in Ukraine.”

In a proposal unveiled in May, the EU recommended reserving part of the spectrum band used for direct satellite-to-smartphone connectivity for European operators, thereby limiting the frequencies available to US and Chinese providers.

The 2 GHz frequency band in question is currently used by two US companies, Viasat and EchoStar.

SpaceX argued that the EU plan prioritises “an operator’s country of establishment over economic, technical and regulatory realities.”

When the proposal was announced, EU technology chief Henna Virkkunen defended the move, saying the bloc wanted to “increase European capacity in this sector.” She added that other parts of the frequency band would remain open to international operators, arguing that prioritising European providers was justified.

Other participants involved in discussions over the proposal said some EU officials were specifically seeking to limit Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.

Europe’s initiative follows a warning from Washington. In March, the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) cautioned that it could take retaliatory measures if the EU chose to favour European satellite operators over alternatives such as Starlink.

At the time, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr told the Financial Times: “Some of the discussions in Europe regarding satellite sovereignty concern us. If Europe decides to move down that path, then, as you know, we will have to consider reciprocal measures.”

The European Commission’s proposal has not yet entered formal negotiations with EU member states or the European Parliament.

A source close to SpaceX said the company remained hopeful of influencing the outcome of the process, given concerns raised by both businesses and several European governments.

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