According to a draft “White Paper” on defense obtained by POLITICO, the EU aims to launch a significant project to bolster its defense industry. This initiative is intended to “deter Russia” and “support Ukraine” as the US reduces its presence on the continent.
“The reconstruction of European defense requires a major investment over a long period,” the draft states.
The document, prepared by EU Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius and EU Chief Diplomat Kaja Kallas, is expected to be presented to EU leaders next week. It remains subject to change before publication.
Key elements of the new EU policy include supporting arms production within the bloc and in “like-minded third-country companies,” promoting joint arms purchases, facilitating the financing of defense projects, and focusing on critical areas where the bloc has capacity gaps—such as air defense and military mobility. Additionally, it aims to reduce bureaucracy related to defense investments.
Russia’s actions are cited as the driving force behind this new policy. The draft states, “Russia is an existential threat to the Union. Given its track record of invading its neighbors and its current expansionist policies, the need to deter Russian armed aggression will continue even after a just and lasting peace agreement with Ukraine.”
Therefore, the immediate priority is “ensuring that Ukraine can continue to fend off Russian attacks.”
“Especially now that the US is suspending its support, without a significant amount of additional military resources, it will not be possible for Ukraine to negotiate a just and lasting peace in a strong position,” the draft says.
The shift in US policy towards Ukraine, Europe, and NATO is evident throughout the 20-page document. “Europe cannot rely on the US security guarantee and must significantly increase its contribution to protect NATO,” it asserts.
However, it emphasizes that “NATO remains the cornerstone of collective defense in Europe.”
The document notes Europe’s dependence on American military capabilities, creating a risk that the US “may reconsider its approach and decide to restrict or even stop the use of these supports.”
Rebuilding the EU’s military-industrial complex means the bloc “should consider introducing a European preference for public procurement for strategic defense-related sectors and technologies.”
It also highlights the need for “cooperative procurement” to address the bloc’s fragmented defense market and provide countries with the financial means to secure advantageous deals. The European Commission could act as a central purchasing body for member states.
Seven key areas for priority investments are identified: air and missile defense; artillery systems; ammunition and missiles; drones and anti-drone systems; military mobility; artificial intelligence, quantum, cyber, and electronic warfare; and strategic enablers, combat capabilities, and critical infrastructure protection.
The document assures that member states will remain “in the driver’s seat”—a sensitive point for capitals concerned about Brussels interfering with national sovereignty.
“Member States are responsible for their own armed forces, from doctrine development to deployment. The radically changing strategic context, coupled with acute capability deficiencies of the Member States, requires much greater cooperation among Member States to rebuild their defenses,” it states.
Initial steps include member states approving the proposed relaxation of the bloc’s fiscal rules to facilitate increased defense spending, agreeing to cooperate on 35% of defense spending, approving the €1.5 billion European Defence Industry Programme, and agreeing on critical capability areas with NATO.
The document also outlines key measures such as providing 1.5 million artillery shells and air defense systems to aid Ukraine, continuing to train Ukrainian troops, placing orders with the Ukrainian defense industry, linking Ukraine more closely to EU military financing plans, and extending the bloc’s military mobility corridors to include Ukraine.