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Tajikistan worries what comes next in Afghanistan

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Tajikistan and Afghanistan are separated by just a few yards of water, the narrow Panj River, and the two neighbors are very close to each other. Interestingly, there are no walls or fences along the borders between the northern sides.

The Taliban are not taking control of the border, where Tajikistan sees it as a threat. Taliban came to power in August 2021, and since then Tajikistan did not recognize it and instead expressed concerns about rising insurgency in Afghanistan.

But still the Taliban are seen in bordering areas near to Tajikistan and their white flags can be seen flying in the village along the river.

The border, which runs through the Pamir Mountains, is now considered as a security alert for the Tajikistan side and reportedly stationed more troops there to safeguard the border.

Tajikistan fears that instability could spread from Afghanistan to Tajikistan, and terrorist groups like Islamic State (IS) and al-Qaeda are finding footholds in northern Afghanistan which is a direct threat to Tajikistan’s peace and stability.

Tajikistan President Emomali Rahmon, said that they have encountered several attempts in recent years where the terrorist groups wanted to breach the border. Addressing the fifth Central Asian Summit in Dushanbe, Rahmon said that not long ago, Tajikistan had thwarted two such attempts, aimed at carrying out terrorist attacks in Dushanbe, the capital city and other regions.

Tajikistan supports peace and stability in the region

However, he also spoke about the region’s commitment to peace and sustainable development, and emphasized the importance of expanding trade, fostering economic relations with the neighbors and the region. He also stressed the significance of cultural and humanitarian cooperation, and the creation of a Central Asian Midia Association in order to address security challenges in the Central Asian states.

The river border – Tajikistan to the left, Afghanistan to the right

Specifically, regarding Afghanistan, Rahmon said that Tajikistan is committed to providing favorable socio-economic conditions and facilitating humanitarian aid delivery to stabilize the situation in the country.

But he reiterated his country’s concern over the increase in terrorist groups activities within Afghanistan’s borders. He also spoke about a surge in drug smuggling along the border with Afghanistan. “In 2022, we will have confiscated approximately five tons of narcotics along the Afghan border, which saw an increase of 22 percent from 2021,” the president added.

Tajikistan calls for regional unity to deal with security challenges  

Focusing on these challenges, Rahmon emphasized a need for regional cooperation and unity to meet the security challenges. This comes while a militant from Jamaat Ansarullah (Tajikistani Taliban) made an appearance in a 13:31 minute video. He appeared with an American rifle on his side, calling on his countrymen to take up arms and not be afraid of accusations such as terrorism.

In the video, he mentioned Afghanistan as a country where the Mujahideen are now governing, and also referred to the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) that is also close to seizing power in Pakistan. He also spoke about the success of Jaish al Adl in Iran.

This comes as Tajikistan special forces have recently killed three members of the Jamaat Ansarullah, after they reportedly entered into Tajikistan illegally from Afghanistan. Tajikistan forces also said they seized a large cache of weapons and ammunition.

Terrorists illegally crossed into Tajikistan

The terrorists illegally crossed the Afghanistan-Tajikistan border on the night of August 30, quoting Tajikistan’s State Security Council, local news outlets reported, adding that they entered the country through the Kevron district of Darvaz region, in the Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous Region of Tajikistan.

AKIPress reported that Tajikistan’s counter-terrorism unit established a cordon around the location where the group was hiding and called on them to surrender.

“The terrorists did not obey the orders of the security forces and opened fire. As a result of the shootout, three members of the armed terrorist group were neutralized,” AKIPress cited a statement from the State Security Committee.

The committee said they seized five Kalashnikov assault rifles, two M-16 sniper rifles, an M-4 carbine, four pistols, 13 hand grenades, magazines for weapons and cartridges, various devices, including night vision binoculars, 30 packs of explosives, 162 detonator capsules, remote controls for explosives, $10,000 in cash, medical supplies, and body armor.

Moreover, on April 26 of this year, two members of the organization also illegally crossed the state border of Tajikistan and Afghanistan in the Dashti Yazgulyam section of Vanj district in order to commit a terrorist act. As a result of the anti-terrorist operation, the terrorists were neutralized.”

Tajikistan has tightened security in border with Afghanistan

Meanwhile, the government of Tajikistan already tightened security in its nearly 850-mile-long border with Afghanistan, and it has been closed since 2022. To maintain security, Tajikistan located 20,000 troops to the area bordering Afghanistan, this also resulted in the cut off the flow of refugees from Afghanistan. At the same time, the Taliban also stops Afghans who want to cross the border.

This comes as last month, the Taliban rejected a UN Security Council report, claiming that several terrorist groups, including IS, are present in Afghanistan and have access to weapons left by US-led foreign forces.

Neighboring Pakistan also accused Kabul for doing little to control TTP militants who have unleashed a spate of terrorist attacks in Pakistan.

Two days ago, Pakistan’s caretaker prime minister Anwaar-ul-Haq Kakar claimed that US military equipment left behind during the American withdrawal from Afghanistan had fallen into militant hands and ultimately made its way to the TTP.

However, Tajikistan is the only neighbor that has openly adopted a hostile attitude toward the Taliban since their takeover. Meanwhile, Tajikistan has been the main supporter of the anti-Taliban resistance since the 1990s. It is widely believed that Tajikistan again becomes a sanctuary for resistance leaders.

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China launches patrols east of Taiwan after Japan and Philippines open maritime boundary talks

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Beijing said it had conducted law enforcement patrols in waters east of Taiwan in response to a decision by Japan and the Philippines to launch talks on maritime boundary delimitation.

According to a statement from the China Coast Guard, a flotilla led by the vessel Daishan carried out law enforcement patrols “in accordance with the law” on Monday.

China Coast Guard spokesperson Jiang Lue said the operation was “a necessary action” in response to Japan and the Philippines “unilaterally announcing the start of negotiations on maritime delimitation in waters east of China’s Taiwan Island.”

“Such an announcement seriously infringes upon China’s territorial sovereignty and its maritime rights and interests,” Jiang said.

“We urge Japan and the Philippines to immediately cease all illegal actions that violate China’s sovereignty and rights,” he added.

Jiang also said the coast guard would continue strengthening its control and management of the relevant waters and that China would take concrete measures to “resolutely safeguard territorial sovereignty and maritime rights and interests.”

The United States and most of its allies, including Japan and the Philippines, do not recognize Taiwan as an independent state and acknowledge it as part of China. The United Nations has also adopted resolutions reflecting this position. However, Washington continues to provide arms to Taiwan as part of its broader efforts to counter China and encourages its allies to do the same.

Following a summit in Tokyo between Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., the two countries said in a joint statement issued on Thursday that they had agreed to begin “formal negotiations” to delimit their exclusive economic zones (EEZs) and continental shelves.

Beijing condemned the planned talks as “completely illegal and invalid” and swiftly lodged formal diplomatic protests with both Tokyo and Manila.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said on Friday: “The so-called delimitation negotiations are entirely illegal, invalid and void. They will have no impact whatsoever on China’s claims or on China’s exercise of its legitimate rights in the area east of Taiwan Island.”

The latest escalation comes at a time when relations between Beijing and both Tokyo and Manila are already strained. Japan and the Philippines are treaty allies of the United States, while China remains engaged in separate territorial disputes with Japan in the East China Sea and with the Philippines in the South China Sea.

As US attention and resources have increasingly shifted toward the war involving Iran, and as the White House has made the Western Hemisphere a strategic priority, Japan and the Philippines have stepped up diplomatic engagement in the region commonly referred to as the Indo-Pacific.

That effort has included building closer security and defence ties with other countries, prompting Beijing to accuse them of encouraging bloc confrontation in the region.

Japan and the Philippines do not share a maritime boundary. However, their seabed claims could overlap because both countries seek to extend their legal continental shelves beyond 200 nautical miles, equivalent to 370 kilometres or 230 miles.

The overlapping area lies east of Taiwan, southwest of Japan’s Ryukyu Islands and north of the Philippines’ Batanes Islands.

Yang Xiao, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China’s highest-ranking state-affiliated think tank, said Taiwan’s EEZ and continental shelf are part of the area under discussion.

“These are China’s rights and are not something that the two sides can negotiate among themselves,” Yang said.

In an interview published on Sunday by Yuyuan Tantian, a social media account affiliated with state broadcaster CCTV, before the China Coast Guard announced the patrols, Yang said Beijing would take “historic and unprecedented” countermeasures against Tokyo and Manila.

“Since they are negotiating in a three-party overlapping zone, we can also take further steps to advance our jurisdiction in the waters east of Taiwan,” Yang said.

“If the other side insists on reckless and destructive actions, we will inevitably introduce new countermeasures.”

Yang described the waters east of Taiwan as a vital maritime area for the island’s economic activities.

“If these waters are divided between Japan and the Philippines, that would clearly harm the interests of the people living on Taiwan Island,” he added.

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SoftBank overtakes Toyota to become Japan’s most valuable company

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As artificial intelligence reshapes industrial structures in Japan and South Korea, stock market rankings are being redrawn. SoftBank Group has overtaken Toyota Motor to become Japan’s most valuable listed company.

SoftBank shares have surged as the global artificial intelligence rally gathers momentum, lifting the technology conglomerate’s market capitalisation above that of Toyota for the first time in more than two decades.

The shift reflects a broader reordering of Japan’s equity market. Automakers, alongside banks, steelmakers, energy companies and other traditional heavy industries, are losing ground to chipmakers and companies linked to artificial intelligence.

SoftBank shares jumped 14% on Monday, reaching a new record high. The company’s market value climbed to 48 trillion yen, or $301 billion, making it the most valuable company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

Toyota had long held the top position, with a market capitalisation of approximately 45 trillion yen. The last time SoftBank surpassed Toyota was in March 2000, at the peak of the dot-com bubble.

SoftBank’s rapid rise has been driven by strong earnings performance and its substantial investment in ChatGPT developer OpenAI.

The Japanese company reported net profit of 1.82 trillion yen, or $11.4 billion, for the first three months of 2026, 3.5 times higher than in the same period a year earlier. The group is also increasing its investment in OpenAI, completing a $10 billion investment in April and committing to invest an additional $20 billion later this year. Total investment is expected to reach roughly $65 billion.

According to The Wall Street Journal, OpenAI plans to file for an initial public offering and aims to list in the United States as early as September. Some media reports suggest the company could seek to raise $60 billion through the offering, potentially valuing it at more than $1 trillion. Such a transaction could become the largest initial public offering in history.

Investors expect the IPO to significantly boost SoftBank’s investment gains. Those expectations have helped drive the technology group’s share price higher. SoftBank shares have risen about 127% since early April.

The company is also planning to invest up to 14 trillion yen in the construction of data centres in France.

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China and Serbia agree to expand cooperation in emerging sectors

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Chinese President Xi Jinping met Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic in Beijing, where the two leaders discussed bilateral ties and oversaw the signing of multiple cooperation agreements. Xi also awarded Vucic the Friendship Medal of the People’s Republic of China.

The meeting between Xi Jinping and Aleksandar Vucic began with an official welcoming ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.

The two leaders then proceeded to formal talks. Xi said China and Serbia had achieved “positive results” since jointly launching the construction of a “China-Serbia community with a shared future in the new era” in 2024.

Xi said the partnership had not only benefited the two peoples but had also set an example for international relations.

The Chinese president described relations between China and Serbia as an “iron friendship” based on deep historical ties and mutual trust.

Calling on both sides to strengthen exchanges, deepen practical cooperation and continue supporting each other on issues concerning their core interests, Xi also said the two countries should align their development strategies and advance cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative. In this context, he pointed to transport, energy and infrastructure projects.

Xi also called for expanding cooperation in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence, the digital economy, green energy and advanced manufacturing.

Aleksandar Vucic congratulated China on the start of implementation of its 15th Five-Year Plan. Vucic also expressed confidence in China’s future development under Xi Jinping’s leadership.

The Serbian president said Belgrade attached great importance to relations with China and firmly supported Beijing on issues concerning China’s core interests.

Vucic thanked Chinese companies for their contributions to Serbia’s economic development and infrastructure construction.

Saying the two countries had made notable progress since establishing their comprehensive strategic partnership, Vucic added that cooperation had expanded across numerous sectors.

The Serbian president also praised China’s role in international affairs, saying Beijing approached smaller countries on the basis of equality and respect and defended international law.

Following the talks, the two leaders witnessed the signing of more than 20 cooperation agreements covering politics, trade, science and technology, education, legal affairs and culture.

The two sides also issued joint statements on steadily advancing the construction of a China-Serbia community with a shared future in the new era and jointly supporting the implementation of four global initiatives.

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