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‘Unprofitable’ nickel and the colonial legacy in New Caledonia

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Violent protests in Nouméa, the capital of the French overseas territory of New Caledonia in the South Pacific, which have left five people dead, have alarmed the French government.

While Paris declared a state of emergency in the region, blaming “external forces” for the unrest, the island’s indigenous population argues that the new law in the French National Assembly will reduce indigenous representation.

“The proposal to reopen the electoral institution is nothing more than a return to the settler-colonial strategy,” New Caledonian Kanak Senator Robert Xowie, a member of the French Senate, told Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin in March.

A brief history of colonialism

When New Caledonia was recognised as part of the Second Empire in 1853, European settlers flocked to claim indigenous land and set up independent cattle farms.

This low-tech agricultural economy was eventually fuelled by colonial ambitions to turn New Caledonia into a sugar island, similar to the plantations of the Caribbean and Mauritius.

Wealthy planters from Réunion, another French overseas territory in the Indian Ocean, moved in due to crop shortages and invested heavily in sugar cane plantations south of New Caledonia’s capital, Noumea.

These landowners brought with them thousands of ‘indentured labourers’ of Indian, Vietnamese and Chinese origin. Together with the indigenous Pacific Islanders, the Kanaks, these immigrants formed the underclass of New Caledonian colonial society. As landowners and bureaucrats working in France, they would work to enrich wealthy French landowners who were not part of the archipelago society.

The aim of the French white settler landowners was to send their profits to the settler colony in Australia in the hope of ‘economic mobility’ in Europe. New Caledonia as a colony therefore only functioned for the white settlers in the exploitation of natural resources.

How did the self-determination process work?

In the 1980s, when New Caledonia was rocked by violence, including assassinations and kidnappings that left dozens dead, tripartite agreements were finally reached between independence supporters, French supporters and the French government, recognising the Kanaks as the indigenous population of New Caledonia and launching a process of self-determination.

The Nouméa Agreement of 1998 promised that the French Republic would devolve more political power to New Caledonia and its original inhabitants, the Kanaks, over a twenty-year transition period and provided for independence referendums.

The referendums were held in 2018, 2020 and 2021. Although these votes were in favour of ‘staying with France’, the Kanak Socialist National Liberation Front (FLNKS), a coalition of pro-independence parties, had called for the vote to be postponed and for the Kanaks not to participate, arguing that ‘lockdown’ measures and traditional mourning ceremonies during the pandemic had prevented a proper campaign. In 2021, turnout in the referendum was 43.8 per cent.

Protests against the proposed reform of the region’s electoral body, which independents say will weaken the representation of the indigenous Kanak population, are fuelled by deep economic turmoil in the region.

New Caledonia’s wealth is largely derived from its struggling mining sector. With almost 30 per cent of the world’s reserves of nickel, an important material for making stainless steel and batteries for electric vehicles, New Caledonia was expected to play a major role in Europe’s race to catch up with China for critical raw materials.

However, nickel production in the region has fallen sharply and foreign investors have begun to leave the archipelago. The industry suffers from export restrictions imposed by the New Caledonian authorities and high energy costs, making nickel production much more expensive and less profitable than in Indonesia and other Asian competitors.

Huge gap between Kanaks and Europeans

According to the 2019 census, 41.2 per cent of New Caledonia’s population identifies as Kanak and 24.1 per cent as European, with the former group facing significant socio-economic challenges, including lower wages and higher poverty rates.

For example, according to a 2014 study, in 2009 a young non-Kanak was seven times more likely to have a tertiary education than a young Kanak.

A 2012 statistic showed that only 3 per cent of Kanaks had completed tertiary education, compared to 23 per cent of the rest of the population, while the unemployment rate among young native Kanaks was 38 per cent, four times higher than the rest of the population.

In 2010, one in five jobs paid less than two-thirds of the minimum wage in mainland France, and the proportion was much higher in agriculture, domestic work and hotels and restaurants, where part-time work is common.

These low wages must be seen in the context of the very high prices in New Caledonia. With a minimum wage of 78.5 per cent of the French level and prices 34 per cent higher, the purchasing power of minimum wage earners was 59 per cent of the metropolitan level, and even 50 per cent for agricultural workers.

More strikingly, among the regions that make up New Caledonia, the poverty rate reached 52 per cent in the Loyauté Islands, compared to 9 per cent in the Southern Province. In 2014, the employment rate was 65 per cent in the Southern Province, 52 per cent in the Northern Province and 40 per cent in the Loyauté Islands. It should also be noted that the Kanak population in Loyauté is 94.6 per cent.

The collapse of nickel

Despite hundreds of millions of euros in French subsidies, the nickel industry continues to collapse, with production in the first quarter down 32% on the same period last year.

French officials warned in 2023 that New Caledonia’s three main nickel processing plants could soon close, increasing unemployment on the island by 50%.

As protests grow, major investors such as Switzerland’s Glencore and France’s Euramet are either pulling out or refusing to invest further.

Last year, the government came up with a new plan to bail out the industry with subsidies of up to 200 million euros to lower energy prices. But instead of easing tensions, the new ‘Nickel Pact’ was criticised by the New Caledonian independence movement as a ‘colonial pact’ that would give too much power to local authorities.

After months of negotiations, New Caledonia’s representatives blocked ratification of the pact, which is still on ice.

The pact was an attempt by French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire (who visited New Caledonia on a fact-finding mission in November 2023) to provide around 200 million euros in emergency aid, on condition that New Caledonia’s nickel industry commits to deep reforms to reduce production costs and possibly find new markets in Europe.

The Kanaks argue that the pact in its current form does not ask for enough commitment from the nickel industry companies and also requires New Caledonia to find more than $65 million to finance a cost-cutting electricity scheme, which would require the introduction of new taxes and thus increase the burden on the local population.

No more colonial mining

The mining sector in New Caledonia still bears the mark of colonialism. Considered the cheapest and most aggressive method of extraction, “open-cast” mining was favoured by mining companies for its simplicity, and its immediate environmental damage was ignored. So much so that 330 mines were opened over a period of time on an island 30 times smaller than France, where only 256 mines were open at the height of the coal mining boom.

In the 1930s, the indigenous Kanaks were moved to reservations covering only 10 per cent of their ancestral land in an attempt to increase the availability of mineral rights without harming the cattle industry.

Currently, the mining industry on the island is controlled by three major companies. The largest is SLN, a subsidiary of the French metallurgical company Eramet. The Koniambo nickel plant is operated by Glencore, which is majority-owned (51%) by the Northern Province, where the plant is located. The Brazilian mining consortium Vale operates a large hydrometallurgical plant in the Southern Province.

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US withdraws military personnel from Poland’s Ukraine aid hub

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The US Army has announced the withdrawal of American personnel and military equipment from the Jasionka base near Rzeszów, a key logistics hub for distributing military support to Ukraine.

Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated, “The Americans informed us in advance and assured us that the troops withdrawn from the Rzeszów area will continue to be stationed in Poland. This does not mean a reduction of US forces in Poland or in Europe.”

A statement from the command indicated that the troops would be moved to other locations in the country as part of “a broader strategy to optimize US military operations, increasing the level of support provided to Allies and partners while also increasing efficiency.”

The statement noted that the decision to reposition the troops and equipment “reflects months of assessment and planning, closely coordinated with Polish hosts and NATO allies,” adding that facilitating military aid to Ukraine via Jasionka will now continue under Polish and NATO leadership.

US forces had established a temporary presence in Jasionka in 2022 following the start of the war in Ukraine. Although not a permanent US military base in Poland, the area has been used by US, NATO, and partner forces for the past three years.

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Germany suspends UNHCR refugee admissions amid policy shift

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Germany has frozen the admission of individuals in need of special protection under the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) program.

According to a report in the Handelsblatt daily, citing the German Interior Ministry, the decision is related to government formation efforts.

The decision is reportedly linked to ongoing coalition government negotiations between the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) parties and the Social Democratic Party (SPD), where the tightening of immigration policy is being discussed.

It was stated that the parties agreed to terminate existing voluntary refugee admission programs as soon as possible and not to participate in new ones.

Exceptions will only be made for those whose procedures are in the final stages of completion.

The UNHCR program allows refugees who have already been granted asylum to resettle in a third country.

The receiving state has the right to independently determine the number of people it will accept and from which countries these people will come.

Germany had pledged to accept 13,100 refugees for 2024 and 2025.

It was stated that 5,061 people have entered the country so far under this quota. It was reported that these individuals include Ukrainians and Syrian citizens who fled the war with Russia.

The European Union (EU) and Turkey reached an agreement in 2016 on the resettlement of Syrians.

Earlier, it was revealed that Germany had fallen to third place in the EU in terms of the number of asylum applications, losing its lead for the first time in many years.

According to a report in the Welt, based on a confidential European Commission report, the number of applications made in the first quarter of this year was 37,787.

This figure represents a 41% decrease compared to the same period in 2024. France was reported to be the most attractive country for asylum seekers, with 40,871 applications. Spain ranked second with 39,318 applications.

It was noted that the citizens who applied for asylum in Germany the most were from Syria (24%), Afghanistan (16%), and Turkey (11%), respectively.

In general, it was stated that the most requests for refugee status in the EU came from Venezuelan citizens, with 25,375 people.

The number of applications from Venezuelans reportedly increased by 44% in one year.

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German economy faces threat from US tariffs, says Merz

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Friedrich Merz, the leader of the CDU and prospective chancellor of Germany, stated that Donald Trump’s tariffs and their detrimental impact on the German stock market underscore the necessity for tax cuts and deregulation.

On Monday, Germany’s primary stock index was among the worst-performing in Europe, plummeting by 10% before partially recovering as investors reacted to Trump’s announcement of sweeping import tariffs that appear poised to reshape the global economy.

Merz commented on Monday, “The situation in international stock and bond markets is dramatic and threatens to worsen. It is more critical than ever that Germany regain its competitiveness. This must be central to the coalition negotiations.”

The strength of the German economy lies in its exports of goods such as machinery, chemicals, and vehicles, with the US being a key market. Approximately one in ten German exports are destined for the US.

German exports had already become less competitive in recent years due to rising energy prices and other factors. The imposition of a 20% tariff by the Trump administration is unwelcome news for the industry.

The market shock appears to have injected a new sense of urgency into coalition talks between Merz’s Christian Democrats (CDU) and the Social Democrats (SPD) following the federal elections on February 23.

According to German media reports, coalition discussions were briefly paused on Monday as Merz, outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz, and SPD leaders consulted on how to respond to the US measures.

An estimate by the Cologne Institute for Economic Research suggests that the total economic damage to the German economy during Trump’s four-year term could reach up to €200 billion, potentially leading to a 1.5% reduction in GDP levels by 2028.

Deutsche Bank economists noted in a report on Monday, “In the short term, the new government will struggle to cushion the immediate trade shock,” adding that Germany could face a third year of GDP decline in 2025.

Merz, long known as a “fiscal hawk,” had already faced criticism within his party and domestically after approving a constitutional amendment allowing up to €1 trillion in new borrowing, a key demand of the SPD and Greens.

His comments on Monday aimed to reaffirm the CDU’s traditional focus on fiscal and economic discipline in the face of a changing global landscape.

Since the elections, Merz has seen his party’s approval ratings decline as conservative voters increasingly doubt his ability to deliver pro-business reforms and tax cuts. Polls also indicate rising support for the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD), which emerged as the second-largest force in parliament in the February vote and now appears to be catching up with the CDU for the first time.

Critics within the party say Merz has failed to deliver on his pre-election promise to “sharply shift the CDU to the right” on key policy areas.

Divisions within the party have become increasingly apparent in recent days after members of the conservative bloc’s youth organization in Cologne wrote a letter to Merz expressing their unease.

The letter stated, “Mr. Merz, we believed in your political leadership. We trusted you and fought for you. But now we ask the question: For what? For a CDU that bows to the left-wing mainstream?”

Much of the criticism against Merz comes from the Young Union (Junge Union), the youth organization of the conservative bloc.

Johannes Winkel, the head of the organization who also sits on the CDU’s executive board, threatened to vote against a coalition agreement with the SPD that does not include “fundamental conservative policies.”

Winkel demanded that immigration be curbed and that economic competitiveness be restored by reducing regulation and bureaucracy.

In an interview with the Süddeutsche Zeitung, the youth organization leader said, “If we enter the coalition without a delayed and promised change of policy, the country will suffer great damage.”

The youth organization in Cologne demanded that Merz fulfill his pre-election promises to reject asylum seekers at the border, reject tax increases, and ensure a “major reduction” in bureaucracy, all of which the SPD has resisted to varying degrees.

The conservative youth organization wrote, “If this course is not corrected immediately, you will not only endanger the CDU’s profile but also destroy the public’s trust and the commitment of its members.”

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