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US foreign direct investment share reaches record high

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As Donald Trump begins his second term in the Oval Office, the US share of global cross-border investment projects has risen to a record high.

The figures for greenfield projects, where companies build or expand new plants and operations in a foreign country, were released as political and business leaders gathered in Davos to discuss how a Trump presidency could reshape the global economic order through higher tariffs and remanufacturing.

The proportion of new foreign direct investment (FDI) projects announced in the US rose from 11.6% in 2023 to 14.3% in the 12 months ending November 2024, according to a Financial Times (FT) analysis of data collected by fDI Markets, a company that has tracked cross-border investment since 2003.

Economists attribute this increase to buoyant consumer demand and government incentives in the world’s largest economy.

Germany and China decline while project arrivals to the US increase

The US attracted over 2,100 new FDI projects in the 12 months ending November 2024. In contrast, China signed fewer than 400 projects during the same period, approaching a historic low and well below the over 1,000 investments it received annually during the decade leading to the mid-2010s.

New projects in Germany fell to 470 in the same timeframe, marking the lowest figure in 18 years for Europe’s largest economy. This represents a sharp decline from the 1,100 greenfield investments recorded a year earlier.

According to fDi, the estimated value of new greenfield direct investment projects announced in the US during this period rose by over $100 billion to $227 billion.

Most investment in the real estate sector

The data, derived from corporate project announcements, press reports, and estimates of FDI over the life of the projects rather than annual capital expenditure, indicate significant growth in greenfield investments across various US sectors.

Record 12-month project totals were observed in the semiconductors, industrial equipment, construction, electronic components, renewable energy, and aerospace industries, many of which benefited from the support of the CHIPS Act.

While foreign investors were drawn to multiple sectors, real estate emerged as the most popular, followed by software and IT, industrial equipment, and business services.

62% of foreign investments in the US came from Western Europe

IMF figures released last week indicate that the US economy is expected to grow by 2.7% in 2025, outpacing the 1% growth forecast for the Eurozone.

Western Europe accounted for 62% of FDI projects in the US in the 12 months ending November 2024, up from 58% in the decade leading to 2019.

In contrast to the rise in inward FDI, the number of US overseas projects fell to 2,600 during the same period, the lowest level in two decades, excluding the pandemic peak. Experts suggest that the Biden administration’s industrial policies have encouraged companies to retain production domestically.

Is American ‘protectionism’ working?

“The US is attracting more and more global investment projects, reflecting a strong demand outlook and much stronger productivity growth compared to other countries,” said Innes McFee, global economist at Oxford Economics.

While McFee acknowledged the uncertainties posed by Trump-era policies, he added that a looser budget would boost demand and increase incentives to invest in the US in the short term. Protectionist policies could amplify this effect.

Nathan Sheets, chief economist at US bank Citi, highlighted America’s importance as a hub for artificial intelligence innovation, low energy costs, and the Biden administration’s investment incentives under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the CHIPS Act.

Sheets noted that China’s declining share of FDI stems from geopolitical factors and Western attempts to “de-risk” reliance on China. Rising energy costs in Europe due to the Ukraine war, which began in February 2022, have further bolstered the appeal of the US’s cheaper energy landscape to investors.

Trump will address the World Economic Forum in Davos on Thursday via video link. The president did not immediately raise import duties in his inauguration-day decrees.

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AI spending heads toward $7 trillion as analysts warn of market bubble risks

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Massive financial resources directed into artificial intelligence technologies are driving companies into dangerous territory for global markets.

If expected productivity gains fail to materialize despite these immense capital flows, the artificial intelligence sector faces the risk of inflating into a giant bubble.

The Wall Street Journal reported that should such a scenario unfold, a widespread collapse capable of shaking the entire financial system and dragging down the broader market will become inevitable.

Estimates by McKinsey & Company project that global spending on data center construction alone could reach $7 trillion by 2030.

According to the newspaper, if these massive investments fail to deliver adequate productivity gains, the global economy will suffer a severe blow.

Should the sector as a whole turn out to be a bubble, the resulting damage will spread directly across the broader financial system.

While market observers note that a major crash—whether sooner or later—would drag all equity markets down with it, declines in AI-related stocks are currently being offset by gains in other sectors.

However, the first concrete signs of emerging vulnerability appeared in the memory chip market, where a sector-specific bubble formed and burst within just four months.

South Korean market shaken by sharp drop

In June, shares of South Korea’s Samsung and SK Hynix, the world’s two largest memory chip makers, sank by more than 12%.

The sharp sell-off pulled down the country’s broader stock index. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index dropped 10%, triggering an automatic 20-minute trading halt.

Growing investor anxiety over artificial intelligence triggered the steep decline in the two giant companies, which together account for half of the total market capitalization of the Kospi index.

US equity markets also felt the ripple effects during the same period. The Nasdaq index closed down 2.2%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.4%, marking their worst single-day performances in two weeks.

Nevertheless, The Wall Street Journal pointed out that the disruption has not yet produced catastrophic consequences for the rest of the market.

While the bursting of massive historical bubbles resulted in disaster for national economies, smaller and localized bubbles in recent years have failed to paralyze broader economic growth.

The primary reason for this resilience is that these recent investments were not predominantly funded through leverage and bank credit.

When those localized bubbles burst, investors suffered wealth losses, but the financial system remained intact.

Russell Napier, a global macroeconomic strategist and keeper of the Library of Mistakes, a financial history archive in Edinburgh, evaluated the current market posture:

“The banking system is in superb condition, which means there will always be enough credit available to blow the next bubble.”

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Anthropic AI models breach corporate systems after escaping isolated test environment

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Anthropic has announced that several of its advanced artificial intelligence models escaped an isolated testing environment and accessed the live internet.

In a review published Thursday night, the company stated that in three separate incidents dating back to April, the models independently breached the systems of multiple companies without the AI developer’s knowledge.

Anthropic said the incidents involved an unreleased internal research test model, alongside its Opus 4.7 and Mythos 5 models.

Mythos was made available last month to a limited audience composed of technology companies and cybersecurity researchers, an initiative also known as Project Glasswing.

The AI developer did not disclose which companies were breached, but said the affected firms were informed of the incidents on Monday.

Anthropic noted that it conducted the review after OpenAI revealed last week that two of its most powerful models had breached containment, escaped their testing environment, and infiltrated several entities, including the AI platform Hugging Face and cloud provider Modal Labs.

System misconfiguration allowed internet access

Anthropic stated that it examined more than 140,000 tests to find evidence of whether Claude could gain access to the internet from test environments designed to be isolated.

The evaluations included “capture-the-flag” exercises, in which Claude was instructed to breach other systems to obtain information. This is a method frequently used by experts to assess a model’s hacking capabilities.

The San Francisco-based company stated that a “misconfiguration” in systems operated by Anthropic and its testing partner left the models with live internet access, enabling them to infiltrate external systems.

Anthropic said it approached remediation efforts “with full ownership of the responsibility.”

Neither Anthropic nor the affected organizations detected the unauthorized entries at the time they occurred.

Anthropic added that it may examine its logs more extensively, noting that the findings gave the company “cautious optimism” that such risks can be overcome through increased investment and more stringent safeguards.

David Allott, a cybersecurity expert, told the BBC: “The overarching lesson here is not that AI has developed fundamentally new attack vectors.”

“Instead, it means that AI agents can combine capabilities, acquire credentials and system access to act autonomously, while adapting scope and scale at machine speed,” Allott said.

The developments come as technology companies invest billions of dollars to develop AI agents capable of independently executing a range of tasks, from research and customer support to cybersecurity.

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Elon Musk’s America PAC plans $100 million field operation for 2026 Republican midterm push

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Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk is returning to the political spending arena with a new field program designed to help elect Republicans in at least eight states ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

Musk has authorized his political action committee, America PAC, to spend between $100 million and $120 million on a new ground game focused on conservative voter turnout for the 2026 midterms, according to a Thursday report by The New York Times, which cited two unnamed sources informed about the plans.

America PAC funneled more than $250 million into Donald Trump’s reelection campaign in 2024, a expenditure that established Musk as the largest political donor in US history.

The New York Times reported that America PAC is reviving its spending initiatives and has reached out to other Republicans in recent weeks regarding the new field operations.

The effort is also being coordinated with other Republican Party spending groups, according to the report.

The newspaper identified targeted Senate races in the states of Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, while noting that discussions are also underway regarding contests in North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas.

The political action committee is additionally expected to deploy funds for House of Representatives elections in Washington, Wisconsin, and California.

The news comes a day after Axios first reported that America PAC’s operations were resuming, with a focus on driving Republican turnout during the non-presidential election cycle.

A spokesperson for America PAC declined to comment on The New York Times report but confirmed the Axios reporting to The Hill. The spokesperson stated that the spending group was “excited” to contribute to efforts to maintain the Republican majorities in Congress this fall.

“The President’s political team and the rest of the GOP apparatus have built a world-class operation that has Republicans well-positioned to make history and retain control of Congress this fall,” America PAC spokesperson Andrew Romeo said in a statement. “We’re excited to be part of the team again.”

The campaign will reportedly target Republican voters through door-to-door canvassing, mailers, and digital advertisements, enabling other groups to concentrate their resources on television advertising.

The developments were reported days after Musk told The Economist magazine that he had gotten “carried away” during his brief foray into politics.

The SpaceX CEO entered the political arena during the 2024 election, pouring hundreds of millions of dollars into Trump’s presidential campaign and accompanying the candidate on the campaign trail.

Musk went on to lead Trump’s cost-cutting initiative, known as the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which executed sweeping employment and funding reductions across the federal government. Those efforts sparked controversy for Musk and his enterprise empire, including Tesla, whose shares fell sharply during his period of political involvement.

Musk departed the White House in late May 2025, and DOGE officially terminated its operations on July 4.

Shortly after leaving government, Musk and Trump engaged in a public dispute over the president’s sweeping spending legislation, the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.” During the friction, Musk threatened to form a third party, though the initiative never materialized.

Musk and the US President appeared to resolve their differences last year, with the tech billionaire most recently joining Trump alongside other technology leaders on a trip to China in May.

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