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Will the Taliban hand over the Wakhan Corridor to Pakistan?

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The Wakhan Corridor is a mountainous region in the northeast of Afghanistan that plays an important role in the geostrategy of the region. Wakhan is important for China, Pakistan and Afghanistan for various reasons, including its unique location and natural features.

The importance of Wakhan for Afghanistan

The Wakhan Corridor is a strategic area that plays an important role in controlling military and trade routes. Access to the corridor helps the military power and trade system. Afghanistan is connected to China only through the Wakhan route. China is currently one of the world’s great powers in the economic sector. Afghanistan’s neighborhood with that country is influential in the development of Afghanistan’s trade and economy.

The establishment of communication and commercial infrastructure in this region will help in the economic development of Afghanistan, especially in the northeastern regions. In the past, the Silk Road was also connected to China through the Wakhan Corridor.

Due to its location on the border of China and Pakistan, this corridor can be a safe route for extremist groups, rebels and smugglers. Access to Wakhan is a must for Afghanistan in order to prevent the presence of these groups and their activities.

The importance of Wakhan for China

The Wakhan Corridor provides the basis for China’s access to Central Asian countries. China is an export country and needs the market of Central Asian countries for its commercial goods.

In addition, Wakhan is located in the neighborhood of China’s “Xinjiang” province in terms of geographical location. The presence of extremist groups in this region is unacceptable for Beijing. China does not lose control of this region by using its penetration tools.

On the other hand, China seeks to expand the “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI), which the Wakhan Corridor provides the basis for this initiative. The Wakhan Corridor is a good area for China to expand its economic partnership with neighboring countries in this region.

The importance of Wakhan for Pakistan

Pakistan’s rivalry with India has forced Pakistan to increase its influence on Afghanistan and Central Asian countries. Due to the sensitive geography of Wakhan, this region provides a favorable environment for Pakistan to reach the trade markets of Central Asian countries.

Pakistan is also trying to strengthen its relationship with China through joint economic and trade projects. Therefore, any kind of access of Pakistan to this region will affect the economic development of this country.

Due to its rivalry with India, Pakistan is worried about the presence of insurgent groups from Afghanistan, especially in the Wakhan region.

Besides this, the Wakhan Corridor reduces the distance between Pakistan and Central Asian countries to 13km and is one of the important transit passages for Pakistan.

Central Asian republics with oil and gas resources have attracted Pakistan’s attention. On the other hand, Pakistani officials also believe that the Wakhan Corridor, along with access to the resources of Central Asian countries, provides work for thousands of citizens of that country.

Pakistani officials also believe that the increase in trade through the Wakhan Corridor to Gwadar port will increase the relations between Pakistan, China and especially the countries of Central Asia.

Considering the importance of the Wakhan Corridor for Pakistan, will the Taliban trade this area with Pakistan?

Pakistan has been eyeing the Wakhan region for a long time. Pakistan’s plans against Afghanistan have been hostile and focused on that country’s interests. Therefore, it has always supported rebel and extremist groups to secure its interests.

Pakistan, which cooperated with the US in overthrowing the Taliban regime, behind the scenes provided a safe haven to the Taliban leaders so that it could use them at the right time.

After many years of presence in Afghanistan, the US had finally decided to withdraw its soldiers from Afghanistan. This American decision was a green light for Pakistan to expand its support to the Taliban in order to provide the ground for direct negotiations between the Taliban and the United States.

On the back of all this support, Pakistan also achieved its goals in addition to being paid by America. One of Pakistan’s goals is instability in Afghanistan and the establishment of a system aligned with the interests of that country. The Taliban, who owe Pakistan’s support, have been ready for any kind of access by this country to Afghanistan, except for some of their figures.

Although reliable sources are not available in this case, it is widely believed that the Taliban have promised to provide the Wakhan Corridor to Pakistan. Although after the Taliban came to power, Pakistan has started building military bases on the Wakhan route, but due to several reasons, this will be done gradually.

Here are some points

First

Differences between the members of the Taliban leadership (Kabul and Kandahar): Those Taliban leaders who are present in Kabul played a key role in the negotiations with the US and have also made promises to the parties involved.

Undoubtedly, these promises were made with lasting consultations of Pakistan. It is possible that Pakistan took the Wakhan Corridor from the Taliban in return for those promises. But it is the leader of the Taliban and a group of traditional Taliban from Kandahar who make the main decisions within the Taliban, not those who played a role in the negotiations with America.

The Kandahar group turned its back on all the things that the Taliban members had promised during the negotiations with the Americans and insisted on implementing the predetermined policy. This may be one of the reasons why Pakistan does not have full access to the Wakhan Corridor.

Second

Being judged: During the war with America, the Taliban have motivated their forces to liberate the country from occupation. Therefore, if the Taliban officially and continuously hand over the Wakhan Corridor, they may face opposition from their own people. Therefore, the Taliban use caution in this regard.

Third

Guarantee for survival in power: The Taliban want the survival of their regime from Pakistan in exchange for handing over the Wakhan Corridor. According to the experience of 2001, the Taliban know that if they give in to Pakistan’s demand without guarantees, Pakistan may cooperate in dismantling their regime.

Fourth

The judgment of history: It is too late and the Taliban have been judged by history. There are narrations that Pakistan asked the Taliban in the previous round to recognize the Durand Line as an official border, but Mullah Mohammad Omar, the leader of the Taliban at that time, had rejected this request of Pakistan. This is another challenge that has prevented the Taliban from taking action.

On the other hand, forced deportation of immigrants, carrying out military attacks on the border points of Afghanistan, spreading differences between the leadership members of this group and inciting them against each other, hosting Taliban opponents and expressing various opinions and holding regional conferences such as the meeting of Islamic countries in Pakistan can be considered as levers of pressure on some Taliban leaders who are not aligned with the interests of Pakistan.

But sometimes these positions of Pakistan are to change the public opinion so that it can cover the progress of that country in the Wakhan region and put the Taliban in opposition to that country. As John Achakzai, the former Minister of Information of Balochistan province of Pakistan, warned Afghanistan on March 20 on his X page: “If the attacks against Pakistani troops from Afghanistan continue, Pakistan will immediately attack Afghanistan and seize the Wakhan Corridor.” His statements indicate that Pakistani soldiers are present in some areas of Wakhan.

Finally, the Wakhan Corridor is a strategic area that connects several countries. This corridor is actually a part of the geography of Afghanistan, but it is also very important for Pakistan and China.

Pakistan has tried hard to access the corridor and has achieved some success – but officially, no document, at least so far, has been published in the media to confirm the transfer of that region to Pakistan.

But Pakistani forces are building military bases. Of course, Pakistan, China and Central Asian countries are aligned and agree with this goal. Sooner or later, the Taliban will give in to Pakistan’s demand. For the Taliban, handing over and keeping Wakhan will be a choice between survival and the overthrow of this group.

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Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says

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The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.

According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.

The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.

The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.

The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.

The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.

According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.

Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House

The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.

In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.

In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.

According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.

Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.

Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.

Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.

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Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices

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Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.

Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.

The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”

Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).

Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.

During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.

Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.

Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.

The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.

“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.

Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.

Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers

Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.

In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.

Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.

The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.

Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.

Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks

Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.

A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”

The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.

At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.

According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.

Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.

A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.

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South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants

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South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.

The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.

Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.

Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”

“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.

Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.

The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.

Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.

Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.

According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.

South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.

South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.

The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.

Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.

After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.

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