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2025 will be a year of hard choices for Iran

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What we have seen in Iran in the past year is more than a European will see in his whole life. I read this sentence on an Iranian’s X (formerly Twitter) page a few months ago. Interestingly, on my last trip to Iran, a taxi driver said exactly the same thing and mentioned that he was tired of reading the news.

Indeed, Iran has experienced such extraordinary times in the past year that this year can be described as the longest for the country in several decades. Any one of the events Iranians experienced in 2024 would have been a historic milestone for any country. But in 2024, Iran experienced all these events together.

Perhaps the most important feature of 2024 is that the problems experienced will be carried over to 2025 without the slightest solution. This makes it uncertain whether Iranians will have a calmer year next year than they did in 2024.

So, what were the most important events in Iran last year?

Domestic politics:

Parliamentary elections:

The 12th Majlis elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran were held on 1 March 2024 and as expected, the conservatives managed to gain a majority in the Majlis. Only 40 per cent of eligible voters turned out for the election, the lowest turnout in the political history of the Islamic Republic. This was a major turning point in the political history of post-revolutionary Iran. Opponents saw it as a symbol of popular disenchantment with Iran’s current political system, while the pro-government camp interpreted it as a message of protest from the Iranian people to the government.

The disqualification of many reformists, and even critical conservative parliamentary candidates by the Council for the Protection of the Constitution, preventing them from taking part in the elections, was seen as the main reason for these political reactions. The poor economic situation was also seen as another reason.

Many believed that the 12th Parliament was designed to be the most harmonious and cooperative with the government of then President Ibrahim Raisi. The extremely low voter turnout in large cities and the higher turnout in smaller cities was interpreted as an indication of changes in the political sociology of Iranian society.

Election of the Assembly of Experts:

Simultaneously with the parliamentary elections, the Iranian people elected 88 mujtahids, whose nominations had been approved by the Council for the Protection of the Constitution, to the sixth term of the Assembly of Experts (Majlis-e Khobregan).

According to Article 107 of the Constitution of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Assembly of Experts is made up of ‘qualified’ faqihs who are responsible for electing and dismissing the Leader and monitoring his conduct. Each term of this Assembly lasts 8 years and is of particular importance as it is responsible for overseeing the behavior of the Leader and, in the event of the death of the current Leader, selecting the next Leader.

Many believe that given the age of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the next leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran is likely to be elected by the members of the Assembly of Experts in its sixth term. Therefore, the Assembly of Experts elections in this term are more important than in previous terms.

Perhaps because of this importance, the Council for the Protection of the Constitution, which is tasked with approving the nominations of representatives to the Assembly of Experts, has conducted a very strict vetting process this term, rejecting the nominations of those who have previously served multiple terms in the Assembly of Experts, such as former Iranian President Hassan Rouhani.

It is believed that this strict vetting process was carried out in order to create a more unified structure in the Assembly of Experts and to minimize controversy and disagreement in the selection of the next Leader.

Death of the President

On 19 May, when all the news agencies were analysing the end of the political stalemate between the two neighbouring countries following the inauguration of the joint Kizil Kalesi border dam in the presence of the Iranian and Azerbaijani presidents, the news suddenly broke of the ’emergency landing of the presidential helicopter’.

An hour later, it was discovered that the communication line of Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi and the accompanying delegation had been cut. Also, on board the helicopter was Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdullahiyan, Governor of East Azerbaijan Malik Rahmati, Governor-Faqih Representative of East Azerbaijan Province Seyyed Mohammad Ali Al-Hashim, Commander of the Presidential Protection Unit and three pilots.

The rescue operation was hampered by the dense forest and poor weather conditions (rain and dense fog). Various drones, search and rescue teams and trained search dogs were used, and it took 15 hours to obtain definitive information on the condition of the President and his entourage. The news of the President’s death was finally confirmed the following morning.

The president’s death came at a time when he was seen as one of the contenders for the future leadership of Iran, and many believed that the new Majlis would give full support to his government.

On the one hand, the death has led to foreign policy uncertainties at a time of escalating tensions between Iran and Israel over events in Gaza, and on the other it has raised the possibility of an assassination attempt on the president. Although the official state reports have explained that the main cause of the helicopter crash was dense fog and bad weather conditions, the public is not convinced by the following questions Why did only the helicopter carrying the President and the Foreign Minister crash, and why was the helicopter not located for 15 hours?

Early presidential elections:

Following the death of Ebrahim Raisi, presidential elections were held with 6 candidates, based on Article 131 of the Iranian Constitution, which stipulates that “in cases such as the death, resignation, illness or dismissal of the President of the Republic, the interim Presidential Council is obliged to ensure the election of a new President within fifty days at the latest, and during this period it assumes the presidential powers except for the referendum”.

This election was also overshadowed by the process of eliminating candidates by the Council for the Protection of the Constitution. One reformist candidate stood against 5 conservative candidates. Many prominent figures from the reformist or moderate conservative wing were disqualified and could not take part in the elections. From the reformist wing, only Masoud Pezeshkian, former Minister of Health and a member of the cabinet of Mohammad Khatami, the leading figure of the reformist movement, managed to participate in the elections.

Pezeshkian won 53.6% of the vote, defeating his ultra-conservative rival Said Jalili, and was elected president. He campaigned on promises to abolish the morality police, economic reforms and a diplomatic opening.

The reformist movement continues to support Pezeshkian’s presidency, viewing the conservative representatives in parliament as a minority elected with little public participation. However, according to the election results, Pezeshkian received the direct support of only 25% of the population. The success or failure of the Pezeshkian government will be discussed in another article.

Ongoing economic crisis:

In 2024, as in previous years, Iran continued to struggle with the economic crisis. The value of the national currency fell by 100% in one year, and the inflation rate continued to hover around 40%, according to the Central Bank. This situation has become a chronic disease of the Iranian economy. From 2020 to the end of 2024, the value of the Iranian national currency fell from 13,000 to 89,000 divisions to $1. In other words, Iranians have seen their currency depreciate by more than 600 per cent in the last five years, with a significant portion of this loss occurring in the last year. Most worryingly, there is no hope that this situation will improve.

The devaluation of the national currency and the resulting inflation and uncontrolled price increases have fueled public discontent, which has only deepened over time.

Energy crisis:

Another issue that has emerged as a major concern in Iran since the summer of this year and has been at the top of the agenda in recent weeks is the energy shortage and the inability of the country’s electricity and gas infrastructure to meet demand. Iran faced frequent electricity and water shortages this summer and repeated power cuts in the winter. The energy crisis has also resulted in air pollution due to the irregular operation of power plants, which has caused and continues to cause environmental crises.

Experts believe that the lack of infrastructure investment in the country’s energy sector, especially the heavy sanctions and mismanagement by government officials in recent years, are the main reasons for this situation. This problem is likely to become more complex in the coming year, with significant social and political consequences.

Improvement in civil liberties:

With a reformist president in power and given the significant protests in Iran last year over the headscarf issue, state repression of women’s dress appears to have decreased significantly in 2024. In recent weeks, some popular messaging apps that were blocked last year have been made available, signaling an improvement in civil liberties.

Foreign policy:

Throughout 2024, Iran’s foreign policy was heavily influenced by the Gaza war. The escalation of Israel’s military operations in Gaza in the early months of the year, and their escalation into an unprecedented genocide, showed that the conflict would be protracted and would have consequences for Iran.

As the war dragged on, analyses in Iran fell into two main groups: The first group argued that Iran should not fall into Israel’s war trap. According to this group, by provoking Iran, Israel was trying to turn the war in Gaza from a confrontation with the defenseless people of Gaza into a confrontation with Iran. In this way, Israel would be able to ignore its genocidal crimes in Gaza and win the support of an international coalition from the United States and Europe by portraying itself as the victim. This group argued that Iran should engage in a minimal conflict with Israel and that Israel should not be allowed to draw Iran into a wider war. They saw Iran’s current economic difficulties, popular dissatisfaction with the government, the death of the president and internal political changes, possible attacks on Iran’s oil infrastructure and the cutting off of Iran’s main sources of income as the main reasons for avoiding war.

The second group argued that Israel had decided to destroy Iran’s influence in the Middle East and that Iran should inflict heavy blows on Israel. According to them, if Iran did not react seriously against Israel, it would pay a much higher price for this war in the future. This group believed that by inflicting heavy blows on Israel, Iran would be making a strategic choice between life and death, but that avoiding conflict with Israel would lead to an inevitable collapse in the future. This group argued that Iran was capable of striking hard blows against Israel, that Iran had demonstrated its technological capability in ballistic missile attacks, and that it could provide an important deterrent against Israel by shifting its nuclear strategy towards the production and testing of atomic bombs.

The events of the past year show that Iran has favored the view of the first group but has not refrained from some attacks against Israel.

The main developments in Iran’s foreign policy over the past year can be summarized as follows:

First military operation against Israel: The conflict between Iran and Israel has been going on at the security level or through proxy groups for the past few decades. However, on 14 April 2024, Iran finally carried out a direct missile operation in response to the Israeli attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus. This operation was dubbed “Operation True Promise-1”. The operation has been described as the first direct confrontation between Iran and Israel, the world’s largest drone strike, and the largest missile strike in Iran’s history.

In Operation True Promise, Iran launched more than 300 drones and missiles into the Israeli-occupied Palestinian territories. Some of these missiles are said to have penetrated Israel’s defense systems and hit important military targets such as the Nevatim airbase.

The operation was carried out in response to the Israeli attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus on 1 April. The Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces made it clear that the reason for this operation was that Israel had crossed Iran’s red lines and attacked the Iranian consulate in Damascus. Seven people were killed in this Israeli attack, including Mohammad Reza Zahidi, a senior commander of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards.

Iran’s mission to the UN stated that this military operation was carried out under the right of self-defense in accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter.

Many experts have said that this operation was not intended to harm Israel, but rather to demonstrate Iran’s ability to overcome Israel’s missile defense systems and its ability to deliver a direct blow to Israel.

Assassination of Haniyeh in Tehran:

Ismail Haniyeh, head of the political bureau of Hamas and one of its leaders, was assassinated by Israel on 31 July 2024 at 01:37 in Tehran, accompanied by his bodyguard. Haniyeh was assassinated as he was returning to an accommodation centre of the Quds Force of the Revolutionary Guards after attending the swearing-in ceremony of Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian.

As well as being a major security disaster for the Iranian security services, it meant that Israel had crossed every possible red line. The assassination was seen as a serious loss of face for Iran.

Operation True Promise:

On 1 October 2024, Iran carried out a second missile attack against Israel, Operation True Promise-2. This attack came two months after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and in the wake of increased Israeli attacks on Hezbollah’s command center. In particular, it was carried out four days after an airstrike that killed Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah Southern Front Commander Ali Kirki and Deputy Operations Chief of the Revolutionary Guards Abbas Nilforshan.

The operation involved the launch of 200 ballistic missiles, hypersonic Fateh and Khybershiken missiles from areas around Tehran, Kashan, Tabriz, Shiraz, and Kermanshah.

This operation was seen as a real show of Iranian strength against Israel and created an important national unity in Iranian society. Iranians, regardless of their political and ideological affiliations, saw this operation as an act of defending their national honor.

Israel’s attack on Iran:

On 26 October 2024, Israel launched three waves of air strikes on Iran under the name of “Operation Days of Penance”. These strikes continued throughout the night and into the morning in several Iranian provinces, causing limited damage according to Iranian officials. Israel said the strikes were in response to ‘months of continuous attacks’ by Iran and its proxies, as well as Iran’s rocket attack on Israel in October 2024. In this operation, 4 members of the Iranian air defense forces were killed.

Although this attack caused no visible destruction in Iran, it was seen as a new page in the history of the Iran-Israel conflict, as it was the first time that Israel had launched a direct military attack on Iranian territory.

The nuclear impasse continues:

Although the confrontation between Iran and Israel has overshadowed attention to the Iranian nuclear issue, Iran faces a dangerous reality: According to the 10-year agreement adopted by UN Security Council Resolution 2231 in 2015, if Iran is found to be in violation of the nuclear deal, previous UN sanctions can be automatically reimposed within 60 days at the request of any permanent member if the 5+1 Commission notifies the UN Security Council.

As the 10-year term of the nuclear deal nears its end, European countries and the United States are seeking to accuse Iran of violating its nuclear commitments, thereby portraying Iran as a threat to global security and seeking to reinstate UN sanctions. A few weeks ago, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi described this situation as a potential crisis for Iran and warned that it could have serious consequences for Iran. (It is not a far-fetched prediction that we will hear much more in the coming months about the automatic sanctions mechanism known as the ‘trigger mechanism’ or ‘snapback’).

This situation will be further complicated by the re-election of Donald Trump as US President.

Weakening regional position:

Although Israel failed to make noteworthy progress on the ground in Lebanon and was forced to retreat, it managed to deal a major strategic blow to the Lebanese resistance and thus to Iran by assassinating the Hezbollah leadership. The subsequent departure of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad from the political scene and the rise to power of anti-Iranian groups in Syria meant that Iran severed its land link with Hezbollah and weakened its logistical support line to Hamas, Islamic Jihad and other resistance groups. These developments weaken Iran’s regional position and power and will continue to force Iran to seriously reconsider its regional policies.

Throughout 2024, Iran managed to end the year without a major crisis, although it had an eventful year in domestic politics. However, Iran faced serious crises in its foreign policy, which will lead to a future change in Iran’s regional and international policies. This political change will also mean a change in the actions of some groups associated with Iran, leading to new developments in regional dynamics.

2025 will undoubtedly be a challenging and volatile year for Iran and a year of difficult choices.

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India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships

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Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.

India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.

Today, India’s achievements extend  beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.

India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.

India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.

The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.

Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.

India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with  NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.

These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.

To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.

India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.

The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.

In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.

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Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa

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In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.

History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.

Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.

Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.

AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS

Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.

Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.

In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”

China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.

THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY

It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.

The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.

The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.

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The women who refuse to be erased: On Japan’s surrender anniversary, the fight over wartime sexual slavery continues

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BUSAN, South Korea — On the day Japan marks the 81st anniversary of its surrender in World War Two, a conference room in Busan’s city council building has become the latest front in a battle over memory.

Allan Wilson, Journalist

Last month, on 23 July, academics, activists and lawmakers gathered here for a symposium on one of the war’s most painful legacies: the estimated tens of thousands of women — euphemistically labelled “comfort women” — forced into sexual slavery by the Imperial Japanese Army. The event was co-hosted by the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia division and the Korean Women’s Forum.

“The records of the Japanese military’s comfort women are historical assets that the international community must preserve together,” Nam Myung-sook, the Busan city councillor who co-organised the symposium, told the gathering. “Social consensus must be broadened.”

Her words were aimed at more than the audience in the room.

For three decades, survivors and their advocates have pressed Japan for a full and unequivocal accounting. They have met a familiar pattern: moments of apparent progress — the 1993 Kono statement acknowledging military involvement, the 2015 bilateral agreement with South Korea — followed by retreat. Japanese officials continue to dispute the term “sexual slavery.” Textbooks soften the language. Senior politicians visit Yasukuni Shrine, where convicted war criminals are honoured alongside the dead.

The symposium came as UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee convened in Busan, and the timing was deliberate. One of the gathering’s stated goals was to revive the push to have comfort women records inscribed on UNESCO’s Memory of the World register — an effort Japan has repeatedly blocked.

“Our aim is to reaffirm the historical facts of comfort women (受害) to the international community and explore directions that contribute to peace and human rights,” said Yu Ying-mo, senior adviser to the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia region, in remarks prepared for the event.

A statue, a warning

The symposium also addressed an incident that has become a diplomatic flashpoint: the recent removal of a comfort women memorial statue in Taiwan.

The statue, one of dozens erected across East Asia and beyond, was taken down in recent months. Organisers in Busan described the removal as “an erroneous approach that erases historical wounds and weakens collective memory,” according to the symposium’s programme.

For advocates, the Taiwan case illustrates what happens when political pressure is allowed to dictate historical memory. “Statues, memorial halls, and archives related to comfort women are important spaces of memory that testify to the victims’ suffering and history,” the Carter Human Rights Center said in its written address. “They must be respected.”

Dozens of comfort women memorials now stand in cities from Seoul to San Francisco to Berlin. Each has become a site of diplomatic friction: Japan’s government has consistently objected to them, arguing they perpetuate what it calls an inaccurate narrative.

The shrinking window

Time is running out. Of the few hundred women who came forward in the 1990s, the number of surviving registered victims in South Korea has dwindled to single digits.

This demographic reality has injected new urgency into the preservation effort. Shim Ok-ju, a research professor at George Mason University Korea, told the symposium that the focus must now shift from oral testimony — soon to be lost — to documentation and education.

Seo Kyung-soon, a professor at Pukyong National University, presented findings from the so-called “Gwanbu Trial” records — a series of postwar legal proceedings in which comfort women sought compensation through Japanese courts. The documents, she argued, contain incontrovertible evidence of state orchestration.

A designated discussant panel followed, bringing together Kim Tae-wan, a political science professor at Dong-eui University; Kim Kyung-hee, an independent researcher; and Ahn Jun-young, a journalist from the Busan Ilbo newspaper. The format was designed to bridge academia and public consciousness — to test whether scholarly findings could survive the scrutiny of working journalists and political scientists.

The international dimension

The comfort women issue has never been purely bilateral. In 1996, the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women concluded that the system constituted “military sexual slavery.” In 2022, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women urged Japan to “ensure that the issue is accurately reflected in school curricula.”

Yet the gap between international consensus and Japanese government policy remains wide. Prime ministerial statements offer “apologies and remorse” but stop short of accepting legal responsibility. Reparations have come from private funds, not the state.

For organisers of the Busan symposium, the path forward runs through multilateral institutions. UNESCO recognition, they argue, would make historical revisionism harder to sustain. But Japan has made clear it will oppose any such move, as it did when Chinese documents related to the 1937 Nanjing Massacre were inscribed in 2015.

“Facing history squarely and respecting it is a fundamental value that the international community should share,” the symposium’s organisers concluded.

This 15 August, as Japan observes its National Memorial Service for the War Dead, the women who survived — and those who did not — will be remembered in rooms like the one in Busan. Their numbers are dwindling. The question is whether their story will outlast them.

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