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European leaders form “coalition of the willing” to support Ukraine without US

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s fiasco-ending US visit prompted European countries to gather in London to continue support for Kyiv.

The summit, hosted by UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, focused on forming a “coalition of the willing” without US involvement. EU’s chief diplomat Kaja Kallas stated that “the free world needs a new leader” and Europeans must take up this challenge.

Sunday’s London summit, bringing together leaders from 18 countries including France, Germany, Denmark, Italy, Canada, and Turkey, appears to have made progress for the first time in weeks.

Starmer announced that several countries expressed willingness to join a “coalition of the willing” to provide security guarantees to Ukraine in the event of a ceasefire.

Britain and France will lead efforts with Ukraine to prepare a peace plan to present to US President Donald Trump.

Britain willing to deploy troops; Meloni wants to bridge US-Europe divide

In his post-talks statement to journalists, Starmer signaled potential troop deployment to Ukraine, saying, “The United Kingdom is ready to support this with others on land with boots and in the air with planes.”

Following the summit, Starmer announced that Europe would step in as a “mediator” for Volodymyr Zelenskyy after his argument with US President Donald Trump in the Oval Office, and would “try to stop the conflicts.”

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni also expressed readiness to use her good relationship with Trump as a “bridge builder.”

In her statement, Meloni called for an urgent meeting “to speak frankly about how we will tackle today’s great challenges, starting with Ukraine, which we have defended together in recent years.”

Germany, Spain and Poland hesitant about sending troops

Although Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk was among the first to support Zelenskyy, Warsaw has yet to signal any significant initiative regarding Ukraine.

Germany, Spain, and Poland are among European countries showing hesitation about sending peacekeepers to Ukraine.

European Council President António Costa described Sunday’s consultations as “useful and important” ahead of the March 6 EU summit, where he said leaders must be “ready to make decisions.”

It remains debatable whether all 27 EU member states can bridge potential internal divisions with Hungary and Slovakia.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced Sunday that she would present a “comprehensive plan” on defense at the March 6 summit, though criticism has mounted over why preparation has taken so long, especially given the urgency.

Starmer and Rutte asked Zelenskyy to repair relations with Trump

Despite promises of support for Ukraine, some European leaders signaled to Kyiv that they would prefer to see relationships with Washington repaired rather than proceeding entirely without the US.

An EU official stated after the talks, “There was broad consensus on the importance of continuing to work closely with the US in the NATO context and strong agreement that future European contributions toward additional security guarantees should be developed hand in hand with the US.”

Indeed, both Starmer and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte had previously tried to convince Zelenskyy to find a way to repair relations with the US administration, despite Trump clearly stating he didn’t want Kyiv to continue fighting.

However, repairing ties between Trump and Zelenskyy won’t be easy. While European allies lined up to express support for the leader of the war-damaged country, the US clearly stated it wants a public apology.

Trump’s Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard told Fox News, “For President Trump to be willing to re-engage on this issue, there will need to be a rebuilding of interest in good faith negotiations.”

Starmer told journalists he had spoken with Trump before the London summit to coordinate proposals. Starmer also hasn’t abandoned plans to convince Washington to support European troops deploying to secure a ceasefire.

Starmer said Europe needs to “lift the heavy burden” but “this effort needs to have strong US support.”

Details of the British-French plan

New details of the European peace plan emerged after French President Emmanuel Macron told Le Figaro that he and Starmer were proposing a month-long ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine “in the air, at sea, and on energy infrastructure.”

Macron added that this approach would have the advantage of verifying Russia’s intentions and would be easier than monitoring a ceasefire across the entire front line, saying, “In a ceasefire situation, it will be very difficult to verify compliance at the front.”

The British prime minister’s office declined to comment, but Starmer said Britain could deploy troops if a ceasefire were accepted. A month-long ceasefire covering air, sea, and infrastructure areas is suggested to “help build trust on both sides.”

The second key piece of the European plan involves Zelenskyy giving Washington an economic stake in the peace agreement by signing a deal that would give the US a share of revenue from some of Ukraine’s mineral reserves.

Trump wanted Zelenskyy to sign this agreement during his visit to Washington last Friday.

The UK’s Ambassador to Washington, Lord Peter Mandelson, called on Zelenskyy to sign the agreement and urged Ukraine and all European leaders to give “unequivocal support to President Trump’s initiative” to mediate peace.

In his statement to ABC, Mandelson gave another indication of British thinking, saying, “Ukraine should be the first country to commit to a ceasefire and challenge the Russians to follow suit.”

Starmer said, “I feel very strongly that unless progress is made, we will remain in the position we are in. This is not the time for more talk. It’s time to act, take steps, and lead.”

Desperate calls for US “firepower”

Starmer and the British still believe that US military power is essential for a “ceasefire” in Ukraine, despite everything.

The British leader said UK and US teams had discussed how Trump could help secure any peace agreement, but the President had always made it clear that he saw this as a responsibility for European countries.

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, leaving the summit, said the discussion was “ongoing” about whether the US would contribute to security guarantees.

France may act as nuclear umbrella

After Trump cut military support to Ukraine, discussions about increasing Europe’s defense capacity intensified.

In his interview with Le Figaro after the meeting, Macron said the EU should provide €200 billion to increase its defense capacity.

Macron also said they should set a target equivalent to 3% to 3.5% of economic output for expenditures.

Macron said, “We will give a mandate to the European Commission to determine our capacity needs for common defense. This major financing will likely reach hundreds of billions of euros.”

The French President also stated he wanted to begin discussions about sharing France’s nuclear umbrella with European neighbors. Macron added, “We have a shield but they don’t. And they can no longer rely on America’s nuclear deterrence. We need a strategic discussion with those who don’t have it; and this will make France stronger.”

In the interview, Macron said truly strengthening European defense “will take five years, ten years” and added, “But that doesn’t matter, because I believe today is a moment of strategic awakening.”

Cotton hands in pockets for Europe’s defense

The broader European Council will meet Thursday to discuss a €20 billion military package for Ukraine and steps to increase defense spending, including relaxing financial rules.

Starmer, Macron, and Meloni all clearly expressed that Europe needs to do more to defend itself, but the path to peace in Ukraine must go through the White House.

In this context, Starmer announced a £1.6 billion British export guarantee for the supply of more than 5,000 air defense missiles to Ukraine, to be produced in Belfast.

According to Bloomberg, the refocus on Europe’s defense strengthened regional currencies against the dollar, along with investors’ expectations that higher spending would boost growth.

The euro rose 0.4% against the dollar, outperforming most major peers, while the Polish zloty, Romanian leu, and Scandinavian currencies also gained.

European defense stocks showed increases in early trading on Tradegate Monday compared to Friday’s main stock exchange closings: BAE Systems up 23%, Rheinmetall 19%, Thales 17%, Saab 17%, Dassault Aviation 16%, Rolls-Royce 13%, and Leonardo 12%.

Europe

Morawiecki launches Rozwój Plus movement following high-profile split from Poland’s PiS

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The first major event organized by the political circle of Mateusz Morawiecki, following his split from Law and Justice (PiS), is set to take place in Warsaw’s Praga district.

The gathering comes just days after the former prime minister and dozens of his allies severed ties with the national-conservative PiS.

The move also led to Morawiecki’s resignation from the presidency of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) group in the European Parliament.

Organized by his Rozwój Plus (Development Plus) movement, the conference—dubbed “Morawiecki’s barbecue” due to the prominent inclusion of charcoal-grilled kiełbasa sausages—will mark a significant moment in Polish conservative politics.

The event will bring together key figures from the emerging movement alongside featured guests, including former world chess champion Garry Kasparov and General Rajmund Andrzejczak, the former chief of the General Staff of the Polish Armed Forces.

The gathering will offer Morawiecki’s camp an opportunity to present a political vision distinct from that of the current PiS leadership.

“Poles care about the fight for a strong Poland, their wallets, their jobs, housing, development, identity, culture, the Christian faith, and the defense of the cross hanging in the Sejm,” Morawiecki said this week. “These are our principles; this is our faith.”

Discussions will focus on demographics, security, and the politics of memory—topics that have grown increasingly sensitive amid recent tensions in Polish-Ukrainian relations.

While Morawiecki describes Rozwój Plus as an “expert group and think tank,” its political ambitions are becoming increasingly clear.

A new parliamentary group established on Wednesday brings together 40 deputies and one senator, providing his allies with an official platform in parliament and a base from which to challenge PiS.

“This is a threat to us,” Mateusz Kurzejewski, a PiS politician and spokesperson for Przemysław Czarnek’s prime ministerial campaign, told Euractiv. “After all, this is an initiative that reduces our chances of victory, though it does not eliminate them entirely. Therefore, we will continue to work hard.”

However, whether Morawiecki can successfully reshape the Polish right remains uncertain.

An SW Research poll commissioned by Onet revealed that 32.9% of respondents would consider voting for a party led by the former prime minister.

The strongest potential support comes from voters who already align with the right. Among respondents currently close to PiS, 14% said they would consider supporting Morawiecki, while 7.1% of those aligned with the further-right Confederation held the same view.

The initiative could also draw limited support from the ruling camp. Approximately 7.4% of voters currently supporting Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU Civic Coalition, The Left, Poland 2050, or the Polish People’s Party indicated they would not rule out voting for a party led by Morawiecki.

Sources within Tusk’s government believe the split in PiS could benefit the ruling coalition in the short term.

“Particularly because this situation helps soften the impact of the hospital scandal,” one source told Euractiv. “Today, no one is talking about it anymore, and fortunately, no new statements have been made.”

The controversy revolves around allegations that a Warsaw hospital operated a preferential admission system for politicians belonging to the governing Civic Coalition, allowing them to enter a VIP lounge and receive medical treatment ahead of other patients.

Questions have also been raised regarding the salary of the doctor heading the hospital’s emergency department, who is reportedly linked to Tusk’s party.

Yet the same source warned that Morawiecki’s departure may have little long-term impact on the Civic Coalition.

They argued that PiS possesses a fiercely loyal electorate, whereas enthusiasm for Rozwój Plus could prove temporary.

“Look at the IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita,” another source said. “70% of PiS voters say they are voting for their ideal party. This core electorate accounts for about 70% of PiS’s current voters.”

A similar perspective prevails within PiS, where politicians contend that Morawiecki is chasing a voter base that may be too small to sustain a new party.

Speaking to Euractiv, Kurzejewski said:

“People do not want to vote for politicians who have been excluded from PiS. As for Law and Justice voters, they do not want to vote for those who betrayed them. That is why this project means Rozwój Plus will fail to clear the electoral threshold.”

Today’s event will therefore serve as an early test of whether Morawiecki can translate curiosity and institutional support into lasting political clout—or whether his departure will become merely another short-lived fracture on Poland’s crowded right wing.

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Ceuta migration crisis sparks diplomatic row as Italy demands Spain’s suspension from Schengen

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An influx of thousands of migrants entering Spain from neighboring Morocco has plunged the autonomous enclave of Ceuta into chaos since Wednesday, prompting fresh backlash against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s immigration policies.

Local authorities warned on Wednesday that an increasing number of migrants were reaching Ceuta by sea.

Juan Jesús Vivas, the president of Ceuta, told reporters that the situation constituted “an absolute humanitarian and social emergency” and demanded that the central government take action.

The situation escalated further on Thursday as thousands of people entered Ceuta by land and sea, overwhelming reception centers.

Videos shared online showed individuals using wetsuits and life jackets to swim to shore.

In a statement posted Thursday on X, Sánchez announced that he was working with Moroccan authorities to restore order as quickly as possible and promised an immediate response.

The border chaos erupted just weeks after the Spanish Supreme Court issued a ruling preventing the direct deportation of migrants arriving by sea.

Sánchez’s political rivals laid the blame for the crisis directly on the prime minister. Santiago Abascal, leader of the right-wing Vox party, characterized the events as an “invasion,” while Alberto Núñez Feijóo, leader of the center-right People’s Party (PP), was also among those condemning the prime minister.

The developments drew additional criticism from anti-immigration figures across Europe, including Alice Weidel, co-leader of Alternative for Germany (AfD), and Manfred Weber, chairman of the European People’s Party (EPP), the largest group in the European Parliament.

“This proves one thing: the Migration Pact and return regulations must be put into force today, not tomorrow. Furthermore, Frontex must be strengthened,” Weber wrote.

Tensions have remained high in Spain since the Sánchez administration launched a program enabling undocumented migrants to apply for legal status and remain in the country. More than one million people have applied under the scheme.

This represents the most severe border crisis to hit Ceuta since 2021, when at least 8,000 people entered the territory from Morocco.

The autonomous Spanish cities of Ceuta and Melilla are the only EU territories sharing a land border with Africa.

Italian leaders demand Spain’s expulsion from Schengen

Meanwhile, the fiercest reaction to the migration crisis in Spain emerged from Italy. Top Italian politicians demanded that Spain be expelled from the Schengen Area as tensions continued to escalate.

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said in a statement on X: “The images coming from Ceuta are shocking and demonstrate once again that uncontrolled illegal migration poses a real threat to the security of Europe’s borders.”

Meloni added that Italy was prepared to act, “including through extraordinary measures,” to protect its borders and guarantee the safety of its citizens.

Together with Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini and Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani—the most senior ministers representing parties in the Italian right-wing coalition—Meloni demanded the suspension of the Schengen Agreement or the exclusion of Spain from the border-free zone.

Under the accord, individuals can travel freely between 29 signatory European countries.

However, several member states have reinstated checks at certain borders, as permitted under the agreement, citing migration risks.

Italy had previously temporarily reintroduced controls on its border with Slovenia to prevent smuggling and terrorism.

Tajani went beyond calling for Spain’s exclusion from Schengen, attributing responsibility for the events in Ceuta to the immigration policies of Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, who had promised to legalize hundreds of thousands of undocumented migrants.

The minister characterized the policy as “profoundly wrong” and claimed it provided “an incentive for human trafficking.”

The remarks provoked a sharp reaction from Spanish Foreign Minister José Manuel Albares, who summoned the Italian ambassador to account for Tajani’s statements.

Replying to Tajani on X, the Spanish minister wrote: “This message is unbefitting the foreign minister of a partner and friendly country from whom we expect European solidarity, not partisan demagogy.”

Separately, European Commissioner for Migration Magnus Brunner, who is also an EPP member, stated that the European Commission supports Spain in protecting the integrity of its borders, including Ceuta, and is in contact with Spanish Interior Minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska regarding the matter.

A spokesperson stated that the Commission welcomed “the close cooperation established between Morocco and Spain to combat these migratory flows and to ensure the swift return of individuals who entered Ceuta illegally, in accordance with applicable rules.”

“When it comes to our cooperation with partner countries, Morocco is a key and reliable partner for the EU. In recent years, we have intensified our cooperation in the areas of migration and border management, as well as the fight against smuggling. We are currently working to turn our relations into a comprehensive and strategic partnership,” the spokesperson added.

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Rome’s hesitation over SAFE defense allocation draws frustration across EU

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Italy is delaying the execution of a €14.9 billion loan agreement under the European Union’s SAFE defense program, a hesitation that is preventing other member states from accessing unallocated funds.

The Italian government has failed to finalize the exact amount it intends to borrow due to an ongoing energy crisis and internal political debate, effectively holding other European nations “hostage” ahead of a year-end deadline for fund redistribution, according to a report by Euronews.

Rome had previously requested €14.9 billion in loans—an application that was swiftly approved by both the European Commission and the Council of the European Union. However, the administration has yet to issue a final decision regarding the exact amount it will draw down.

Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani stated this week that his country has “reserved” the full €14.9 billion as a maximum threshold.

Tajani noted that the government will only determine the final loan volume toward the end of the year, adding that he expects the eventual figure to range between €6 billion and €9 billion.

Eastern bloc frustrates over indecision

Rome’s reluctance is causing growing irritation across Europe, Euronews reported. While 17 EU member states have completed their formal agreements with the European Commission, they remain unable to access unclaimed funds because of Italy’s position.

Eastern flank countries, including Poland and Lithuania, are facing particular constraints as they seek additional resources beyond their initial allocations.

Under SAFE framework regulations, all unspent resources must be redistributed by the end of the year. Euronews reported that if Italy continues to delay, the European Commission could formally restrict Rome’s application in September, opening the remaining pool of approximately €10 billion to applications from other member states.

The Security Action for Europe (SAFE) operates as an EU financing mechanism designed to provide low-interest loans to help member state governments bridge gaps in their military capabilities and maintain continued support for Ukraine.

Approved by EU ambassadors in May last year to support the bloc’s rearmament, the SAFE loan facility has a total capacity of €150 billion.

The program forms part of the broader €800 billion “ReArm Europe” initiative announced by the European Commission in March.

Energy crisis and domestic politics stall progress

Italy’s cautious approach stems from a combination of domestic political pressures and economic factors. The country is contending with the impact of rising energy costs linked to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, leading the Italian government to request fiscal flexibility from the EU to handle energy expenditures.

Concurrently, Italy’s ruling coalition—comprising Fratelli d’Italia (Brothers of Italy), Lega (League), and Forza Italia—faces intensifying pressure from its far-right wing, which has criticized increased defense spending ahead of upcoming elections. Italy must hold its next parliamentary elections no later than Dec. 22, 2027.

Euronews previously reported in May that despite reserving €14.9 billion under the SAFE program, Rome subsequently decided to request only €4 billion to €5 billion to cover existing signed contracts.

Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Foreign Minister Tajani justified the move by emphasizing the need to prioritize the energy crisis. Rome missed the deadline to submit its SAFE projects after requesting budget flexibility from Brussels for energy spending.

“We cannot tell our citizens that there is only money for defense,” Meloni said regarding the situation.

Italian daily La Repubblica also reported persistent disagreements between Meloni and other EU leaders concerning Ukraine. At the end of June, Germany’s Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) reported that a draft text intended for consensus at the NATO Summit in Ankara envisioned maintaining annual support for Kyiv at €70 billion through 2027, matching the 2026 commitment level.

However, Italy withheld its approval for the draft, objecting to long-term financial commitments of that scale for Kyiv.

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