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External forces and Pakistan’s fate

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No one could deny involvement of external forces in internal politico- economic affairs of Pakistan in the wake of global players interests in the region and beyond. Pakistan since its inception is considered part of US lead allies. On one hand, the Pakistan civil military which always dominates power making institutions is under influence of Great Britain whereas the religious minded circles are helpless before Saudi Arabia. Though common men including religious clergy always hold the US lead allies responsible for hardships and other issues, the ground reality is different whereas Pakistan always backs, supports and works for the implementation of US lead allies policies and decisions in the region.

Even during the so-called Cold War, Pakistan had also backed and supported the US lead allies against the USSR. On such grounds, Pakistan also holds a major share in generation and promotion of religious extremism. No doubt to mention that this religious extremism is always proving beneficial to US lead allies, but many countries around like China, Iran, Russia and others are exercising extreme caution and see these extremist groups as dangerous for the safety and economic prosperity of the region.

US, Pakistan and regional conflicts

The US through Pakistan help, was able to get rid of its staunch rival USSR through so called Jehadi on the soil of Afghanistan, got occupation of Middle East countries like Iraq, Egypt, and Libya from Afghanistan after 9/11 and even built up further pressure against some of CAR countries also. However, the US despite Saudi Arab support had failed to topple Bashar al-Asad in Syria and scramble now in Yemen after years of carelessness to the miseries of innocent Yemenis. Time will prove what Washington tries to seek in Yemen peace efforts.

Now, the US is apparently trying to create chaos in the hard-time friend Pakistan by playing political cards to divide the nation. Political tension stemming from former Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan accusations that US had conspired toppling his government can serve as an example and the first step by US to destabilize the already economically-fragile Pakistan. Khan said the US is angry at him because he was pursuing an independent foreign policy for Pakistan, and his visit to Russia and meeting President Vladimir Putin one day invaded Ukraine.

US angry on Pakistan

US allegedly handed a memo to Islamabad’s outgoing ambassador to Washington on March 7, a day before the opposition moved the no-trust vote in parliament. “We are angry with Pakistan. We can forgive Pakistan if Imran Khan loses a no-trust motion. But if the vote fails, Pakistan will have to face serious consequences,” Khan said, citing the text of the memo. In a brief, Pakistan is under pressure from the US, and its military establishment which always says “yes” to US demands.

But through one or the other, Pakistan political leadership has always preferred cordial and friendly relations with China. Though some circles throughout the world are considering China as a major hurdle or rival before the US, but, China is in fact a trader or investor. China always avoids confrontation and prefers cordial friendly relations and trading based strategies throughout the world. On the issue of Afghanistan and Ukraine, China has made attempts to oppose the US but it never made attempts to resist.

China annoyed by terrorist activities

China started to worry after the situation in Afghanistan and Pakistan got worse mainly because of US influence and anti-China policies. The Chinese concerns further intensified when its engineers were abducted in Waziristan and Swat of Pakistan. Situation got worse when Chinese Uyghurs were also dispatched to China for carrying out terroristic activities. China called for international supports in the fight against terrorism after 29 people were knifed to death in 2014 in the city of Kunming western region of Xinjing, home to the Muslim Uighur people. Abdullah Mansour, leader of the rebel Turkestan Islamic Party praised the attack at that time. In 2015, another 18 people were died when ethnic Uighurs attacked police with knives and bombs at a traffic checkpoint in the old Silk Road city of Kashgar. The Chinese officials never confirmed the incidents, but there are several reports on this.

It is rational to say that the Turkestan Islamic Party is getting support from anti-Chinese countries, but most of them find ground for its support and the best place is Pakistan since it has land borders with China. US reactions to Khan’s independent foreign policy are one the reasons as it stands in contrast with US policies toward China and Russia, besides economic projects that Beijing-Islamabad jointly developing.

China-Pakistan-Economic-Corridor on the horizon

Being fully aware of the influence of the US, China continued efforts to start work on the longstanding China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The Chinese materialized its dreams when signed a MoU with former Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari on 2010 and started work on it when Nawaz Sharif won 2013 general polls. But the US lobby continued its efforts against CPEC by provoking Imran Khan for months long sit in protest from August till December in 2014. However CPEC construction continued but went on halt when Imran Khan took office as Prime Minister in August 2018. During this period a number of violent and terror attacks occurred against Chinese Engineers in Kohistan, Gilgit Baltistan and Shangla districts. Chinese remained very careful in reaction and they didn’t blame anyone in this respect.

There are also reports regarding understanding between the US and UAE in resistance against China working on Gawadar Port. Now the Gawadar and CPEC are partially made operative but the Chinese are very careful. Almost all politicians and analysts are of the common opinion that the US along with its allies like Great Britain and Saudi Arabia are behind the agitation based political resistance of Imran Khan against the current government under Shahbaz Sharif.

A shocking fact is that since independence in 1947, no Pakistani prime minister has completed a five-year term in office in the country.

ASIA

Syria will not follow Afghanistan’s Taliban model of governance

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In an astonishing statement, Ahmed Shará, also known as Abu Mohamad Jolani, the leader of the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) said that he will allow the girls to go to schools and will not turn Syria like Afghanistan under the rule of the Taliban.

Jolani, the de facto ruler of Syria, said that he will distance himself from the Taliban’s strict policies on women’s rights, and said that Syria will not follow the Taliban’s mode of governance.  

Jolani, who brought down the government of Bashar al-Assad and also widely welcomed by the Taliban, said that he believes in the education of women and girls and will not make Syria like Afghanistan.

“Syria is a diverse society with various ideas, unlike Afghanistan, which is more tribal. The Afghan model cannot be applied here,” Jolani told a BBC reporter.

Jolani says that Syria is a diverse society with various ideas, unlike Afghanistan, which is more tribal.

Jolani’s comment came when the Taliban congratulated the HTS-led victory by Jolani over Assad’s regime after years of fighting. The Afghan Foreign Ministry celebrated Jolani’s victory through a statement and hoped Jolani can bring peace and stability in the country.

“It is hoped that the power transition process is advanced in a manner that lays the foundation of a sovereign and serve-oriented Islamic government in the line with the aspiration of the Syrian people; that unifies the entire population without discrimination and retribution through adoption of a general assembly; and a positive foreign policy with world countries the safeguard Syria from a threat of negative rivalries of foreign actors and creates conditions for the return of millions of refugees,” the statement by Taliban Foreign Ministry.

However, Jolan’s position on the rights of women and girls is in great contrast with the current view of the Taliban leadership. Women and girls have been banned from education and work since the return of the Taliban in August 2021, following the collapse of the Republic System and withdrawal of the US troops from Afghanistan. Girls and women are even banned from medical institutions and visiting public spaces.

Jolani says he has a plan to create a government based institution and a council chosen by the people. 

The situation got worse when the Taliban’s Ministry for the Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice called women’s voices “immodest” compounding their exclusion from public life. This year, it has been marked as three years since girls were banned from pursuing education over sixth grade. Besides that, on December 20, 2022, the Taliban’s Ministry of Higher Education announced that women would be barred from attending public and private universities.    

In an interview with CNN, Jolani said that he has a plan to create a government based on institutions and a “council chosen by the people.”

“When we talk about objectives, the goal of the revolution remains the overthrow of this regime. It is our right to use all available means to achieve that goal,” said Jolani.

“The seeds of the regime’s defeat have always been within it… the Iranians attempted to revive the regime, buying it time, and later the Russians also tried to prop it up. But the truth remains: this regime is dead.”

Moreover, he also said the Syrian people are the “rightful owners” of the country after the ouster of Assad, and declared a “new history” has been written for the entire Middle East.

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Yoon summoned again for questioning on treason charges

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A joint law enforcement team investigating South Korea’s martial law case announced on Friday that it has issued a second summons to ousted President Yoon Suk Yeol, requesting his presence for questioning next week. The inquiry concerns his alleged involvement in the failed implementation of martial law.

The team has scheduled the questioning for 10:00 a.m. next Wednesday at the Corruption Investigation Office for Senior Officials (CIO) headquarters in Gwacheon, located just south of Seoul. This marks the second summons after Yoon refused to cooperate with the initial notice earlier this week.

The decision to hold the questioning on a public holiday appears to be a strategic move by the CIO, likely aimed at addressing security concerns. The office confirmed that the summonses were delivered via express mail and electronically to both Yoon’s residence and the presidential office in Yongsan. Notably, after Yoon’s team refused to accept the first subpoena, the CIO opted against delivering the documents in person for this round.

The investigation focuses on Yoon’s role in the December 3 martial law declaration, which he revoked following a vote in the National Assembly. If Yoon continues to disregard the summons without valid justification, the CIO may seek a court order to detain him for up to 48 hours.

Yoon faces allegations of sedition and abuse of office, charges that have gained traction since his dismissal by parliament last Saturday. His suspension from office remains in effect pending a decision by the Constitutional Court, which will determine whether he is permanently removed or reinstated.

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Xi Jinping champions economic diversification during Macau visit

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During a three-day visit to Macau commemorating the 25th anniversary of its return to Chinese sovereignty from Portugal, President Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of economic diversification and maintaining the “one country, two systems” framework.

Speaking at the swearing-in ceremony for Macau’s new Chief Executive Officer, Sam Hou-fai, Xi urged the administration to make economic diversification the city’s primary focus. Sam, the fourth leader since the 1999 handover and the first mainland-born Chinese official to hold the position, is expected to align closely with Beijing’s objectives to reduce Macau’s reliance on gambling. The gambling industry, which accounts for approximately 80% of Macau’s tax revenue, has been the cornerstone of its rapid economic growth in recent years.

“Macau should prioritize proper economic diversification,” Xi stated, calling for enhanced policy support and investment in emerging sectors. He also reiterated the significance of the “one country, two systems” principle, stressing its role in ensuring the city’s “prosperity and stability” for the long term.

Xi’s visit included stops at the Macau University of Science and Technology, where he explored laboratories focusing on traditional Chinese medicine and planetary science. He also attended a cultural performance at the Macau Dome and met with local stakeholders, according to Chinese state media. His trip marked a shift in tone, with Anthony Lawrence, founder of Intelligence Macau, noting that it was the first time Xi publicly praised Macau for its progress rather than delivering critiques or instructions.

Since the liberalization of Macau’s gaming monopoly in 2002, the city has attracted significant foreign investment, including from prominent US casino operators such as Las Vegas Sands, MGM, and Wynn Resorts. However, the economy struggled during the COVID-19 pandemic due to travel restrictions, and recovery has only recently begun.

On Friday, Macau’s casinos were bustling with visitors, while non-gaming initiatives like a stamp exhibition co-organized by MGM China and Beijing’s Palace Museum showcased the city’s efforts to diversify its offerings.

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