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Iran: Left hand continues to embrace the Arabs, right hand clashes with Israel

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On the morning of 26 October, Israel launched a major three-stage attack against Iran, codenamed ‘Day of Repentance’, in retaliation for the second rocket attack on 1 October. Israel’s Jerusalem Post reported that the Israeli air force used hundreds of stealth fighter jets to ‘accurately’ hit Iranian military targets. According to the information gathered, Israeli warplanes targeted Iranian military bases related to air defense, missiles and drones in Tehran, Khuzestan, and Ilam provinces.

Israel later announced the end of the counter-offensive against Iran. The Times of Israel reported that the Israeli government, through a third party, had informed Iran in advance of the targets of the attack and warned it not to respond. This is the first time Israel has carried out an air strike against Iran since its independence, and the fact that it easily defeated Iran’s air defense system shows that Israel has absolute air dominance over Iran, long-range precision strike and large-scale bombing capability. The F-35 stealth fighter is said to have a range of up to 3,500 kilometers at maximum payload.

Iranian official sources said the vast majority of the attacks had been thwarted, causing limited damage, and killing two soldiers. Iran’s First Vice President Ali Reza posted a message on social media saying, ‘Iran’s power has shamed the enemy’. Iranian airspace was immediately opened and civil aviation returned to normal. However, the Iranian Foreign Ministry said it reserved the right to retaliate against the attacks.

Pakistan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Oman, Qatar, and Iraq immediately condemned Israel. Jordan also denied allegations that Israeli warplanes had been allowed to fly over it. The United States said it supported Israel’s right to ‘self-defense’ and warned Iran not to retaliate.

In full view of the world, the ‘second stage’ of Israel’s retaliation finally took place, and the severity and scope of the attack was as expected. Iran’s nuclear and oil facilities were not targeted and there were no serious casualties. Almost all Arab countries with diplomatic relations with Israel condemned the attack. Therefore, symbolic reprisals between Iran and Israel are expected to end in the short term.

While the possibility that Israeli stealth warplanes flew through Jordanian and Saudi airspace to carry out the attack cannot be completely ruled out, there is no evidence that the Arab neighbors are aiding Israel in violation of their recent pledges, nor is there evidence that US warplanes in these countries were involved in the attacks.

More importantly, Iran has entered a period of rapprochement with its Arab neighbors, indicating that it wants to avoid further escalation. On the other hand, Iran is leading a united front of Shiite colors, the ‘Axis of Resistance’, continuing its past proxy and shadow wars with Israel. Thus, while the left hand embraces the Arabs, the right hand can create a new normalization process in the conflict with Israel and exhaust Israel with a long-term low-intensity warfare method. Iran, which finds its new and solid relationship with Saudi Arabia particularly valuable, is trying to win back the Arab countries that once distanced themselves from it.

On the 23rd, Turki al-Maliki, spokesman for the Saudi Arabian Ministry of Defence, announced that Saudi Arabia had recently conducted joint naval military exercises with Iran and other states in the Gulf of Oman. On the 19th, Iranian media reported that Iran, Oman, and Russia had launched a joint naval exercise in the Indian Ocean to which observers from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Thailand had been invited. In addition, the Iranian Student News Agency quoted Iranian Navy Commander Shahram Irani on 21 October as saying: ‘Saudi Arabia has asked to hold joint exercises in the Red Sea’.

The sudden increase in military interaction between Iran and Saudi Arabia, Oman and other Arab neighbours shows that the major powers in the Persian Gulf region are actively seeking cooperation and trying to take control of the situation in an environment where the Palestinian-Israeli conflict continues and there is no hope of a quick resolution. The fact that Iran and Saudi Arabia held joint military exercises for the first time demonstrates the strengthening of strategic trust and interaction following the historic reconciliation brokered by Beijing in March last year. It also underscores the Middle Eastern countries’ quest for independent leadership in regional affairs and their determination to rebuild their geopolitical relationships and security structures. It also increases the likelihood that US efforts to create a ‘Middle Eastern version of NATO’ with Israel and the Gulf Arab states will fail.

Therefore, despite Israel’s large-scale bombing of Iran, Iran is still in an advantageous position and the influence of the superpowers in the region has been revealed. The fact that the two military exercises took place back-to-back and covered a large area of the Persian Gulf and Red Sea, as well as the lack of open support for Israel’s air strikes by neighboring countries, indicates that Iran has activated the situation.

Moreover, Saudi Arabia’s covert efforts to persuade Israel, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi’s ‘peace efforts’ and ‘diplomatic shuttle’ with Egypt and the Gulf Arab states, appear to have forced Israel to limit its attack targets to Iran’s military installations and to ignore its nuclear and oil facilities. This is fully in line with the expectations of all parties. It should also be noted that this is a period when the interests of the US and Israel are not fully aligned.

The current situation in Iran has improved significantly. In April this year, Iran carried out its first major air strike against Israel, and traditional allies such as the United States and Britain intercepted Iranian missiles and drones with naval and air power. The Arab neighbors between Iran and Israel explicitly or implicitly supported Israel: Jordan was directly involved, deploying its air defense forces and opening its airspace to Israeli warplanes. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates reportedly provided intelligence support to Iran’s rivals.

The military impact of Iran’s initial retaliation against Israel was almost nil. This was due to the fact that Israel was fully prepared, having been warned in advance of the targets to be attacked, and that it chose weak precision-strike weapons systems with long flight times, but it was also clear that American naval and air bases in Arab countries played an important role in the intervention.

By carrying out the first air strike, Iran earned the title of ‘brave’ for a proportionate retaliation in accordance with international law and enhanced the credibility of the ‘axis of resistance’, which included parties such as Syria, the Islamic Resistance Movement in Palestine (Hamas), Lebanese Hezbollah, the Houthi militias in Yemen and the ‘Popular Mobilisation Force’ in Iraq. Iran thus consolidated its leading position vis-à-vis Israel but lost the diplomatic battle and found itself at odds with its neighbors. This time, however, Iran has escaped the isolation and distress of the struggle with Israel and has won the sympathy of its Arab neighbors.

The rapprochement between Iran and its Arab neighbors could reduce the shadow cast by Israel’s air strikes. In a recent joint naval exercise, Iran cooperated not only with its traditional post-Cold War ally Russia, but also with Oman, where the US and Britain have military bases, and notably invited its old rival Saudi Arabia as an observer. Most pleasing to Iran was Saudi Arabia’s rapprochement and cooperation, which marked a significant shift. Saudi Arabia announced that it would be a participant in the joint exercise, not an observer, which undoubtedly strengthened Iran’s position and reinforced the two countries’ efforts to implement the ‘Beijing Declaration’ and increase strategic trust and cooperation.

Saudi Arabia has also contributed to the reshaping of the regional security architecture by calling for joint exercises with Iran in the Red Sea, its traditional sphere of influence. This could be a sign of Saudi goodwill towards the pro-Tehran Houthi militias, as well as an opportunity for Tehran to wait for the Houthis to resume ceasefire negotiations that have been stalled for years. If the war in Yemen ends with the withdrawal of coalition forces, it would be a complete victory for the Houthi militias and Iran would emerge as the big winner in the long-running conflict in Yemen and the Red Sea.

In June this year, Iran proposed the establishment of a maritime security cooperation mechanism with Saudi Arabia and other regional countries, with the aim of increasing the security defense independence of countries in the region. The consolidation and expansion of the reconciliation process with Saudi Arabia, followed by joint military exercises with Oman and Saudi Arabia, have taken Iran’s idea of regional maritime collective security a step further and partially expanded the diplomatic initiative.

Iran’s diplomacy has taken a new direction and is linked to Saudi Arabia’s recent rapid diplomatic shift. Israel’s aggressive policy, its refusal to recognize the ceasefire in Gaza and the deep suffering of the Palestinian and Lebanese peoples have put enormous internal and external pressure on Saudi Arabia, which sees itself as the Arab leader. This is why Saudi Arabia has not only postponed indefinitely negotiations on a military alliance with the United States but has also suspended the normalization of relations with Israel. At the same time, it returned to the principle of ‘peace in exchange for land’ that it had been advocating since 1982 and maintaining for almost half a century, stressing the need to implement the two-state solution and ensure Palestinian independence, and declaring that only in this way would normalization of Saudi-Israeli relations be possible.

In this way, Saudi Arabia is expressing its dissatisfaction with the unilateral US support for Israel and its anger at the ‘Israel kills and the US holds the knife’ model. At the same time, it is trying to show the Palestinians, the Lebanese, and the entire Arab and Islamic world its responsibilities and obligations as a great power. In this respect, Saudi Arabia and Iran are engaged in a new competition for power peacefully.

Iran, as a non-Arab country of Persian nationality and Shia faith, has raised the banner of Palestinian liberation, leading many non-nation actors to play a new leading role in the Middle East conflicts. This role reversal places Arab countries seeking reconciliation with Israel in a dilemma of “big interests, small morals”, which deeply upsets the political balance of power in the Arab world. This, in turn, has negative consequences for the overall stability and political tradition of the Arab world and has the potential to ultimately undermine the core interests of US allies such as Saudi Arabia.

There are structural conflicts between Iran and Saudi Arabia, including sectarian, ethnic, political system, national strategy, and foreign policy differences, as well as competition for regional status and Islamic discourse. This has led to strained relations, frequent clashes, and even multiple breaks over the past 40 years. The roots of these conflicts lie not only in internal differences on both sides, but also in the rivalry of external powers during and after the Cold War. More than a decade of violent conflicts, from the ‘Arab Spring’ to the ‘Arab Winter’, further deepened the Iranian-Saudi conflict and brought it to a peak; eventually, both sides, overstretched with their limited forces, sought compromise and peace.

The declining influence of the traditional great powers has made Middle Eastern countries more aware of their own independence and empowerment, enabling Iran and Saudi Arabia to take stock of the situation, completely put aside past hostilities and actively reach out to each other. China’s mediation played an important role in this reconciliation.

By mobilizing the ‘Axis of Resistance’, Iran is launching a ‘sixth Middle East war’, unlike the five previous Middle East wars, confronting Israel on seven fronts. This has significantly shifted Israel’s key rivals, decision-making centers and ‘storm center’ from Cairo and Damascus to Tehran. Strategically, it has elevated Iran’s superpower status in the region and strengthened its geographical influence from the Caspian Sea to the Red Sea. This massive change and transformation have led Saudi Arabia to choose to actively participate in and shape Iran’s reshaping of the geopolitical map rather than passively accept it; in other words, it has decided to sit at the table rather than be the dish on the menu.

In this new Middle East war, which stretches from the eastern Mediterranean to the Persian Gulf, although the quite different and even contradictory positions and secret games between Iran and Saudi Arabia on resolving the Palestinian-Israeli conflict continue, the two countries have passed the tough tests and wisely managed to avoid confrontation. This has not only preserved reconciliation, cooperation, and stability, but also contributed to deepening strategic trust and increasing positive interaction. This is certainly a welcome sign of optimism for the turbulent Middle East and worthy of support.

However, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is the direct cause of Israel’s ‘war on seven fronts’ today. The key to an immediate ceasefire in the ‘sixth Middle East war’, involving large and multinational civil society actors, is to extinguish the flames of conflict in Gaza. Lasting peace and security in the Middle East depend on a fundamental settlement of the territorial disputes between Israel and Palestine, Lebanon, and Syria. This requires getting rid of the deep-rooted dreams of a ‘Greater Israel’, the law of the jungle mentality and the belief in the use of force.

Similarly, Iran, a perennial flashpoint, must realize that geopolitics cannot be a source of livelihood, even if decades of complex relations reflect ‘Persian acumen’. Persian acumen’ should seek a win-win situation based on peace that benefits others as well as itself. The pursuit of national interests and the attainment of great power status must be in line with the trend towards peace, development, and prosperity, especially for one’s own people.

Today, while there is a growing tendency among Arab and Islamic countries in the Middle East to live in peace with Israel, Iran clings to the past and refuses to recognize Israel’s existence as a sovereign state, placing it in a tense standoff with the United States and the Western world. This leads to the suffering of its own people due to the prolonged blockade and sanctions, while at the same time increasing the tension of the Middle East conflicts, the fragility of geopolitical relations and the fragmentation of regional governance. As a result, this paves the way for far-right forces in Israel to gain strength and solid popular support. As a result, proposals for ‘peace for land’ and a ‘two-state solution’ have failed to materialize.

Prof. Ma is Dean of the Institute of Mediterranean Studies (ISMR) at Zhejiang International Studies University (Hangzhou). He specializes in international politics, especially Islam and Middle East politics. He worked for many years as a senior Xinhua correspondent in Kuwait, Palestine, and Iraq.

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A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order

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The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.

The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”

One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.

The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.

Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.

Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.

On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.

Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.

When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.

The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.

The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.

The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.

Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).

X: @umur_tugay

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NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism

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Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.

As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.

In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.

Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.

Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion

NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.

And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.

The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.

The collapse of the Atlantic system

Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.

In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.

Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.

For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.

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Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing

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Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.

For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.

Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.

It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.

The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.

Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.

This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.

For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.

China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.

All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.

The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.

Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.

Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.

Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).

X: @umur_tugay

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