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Islamabad requests Taliban to clamp down on TTP

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Pakistan is pushing to secure “fresh commitment” from the Afghan Taliban to shift their strategic calculus on support to the Pakistani Taliban or Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) after a high-level and powerful delegation visited Kabul just days ago.

The surprise visit, which included ISI chief, led by Pakistan’s Defense Minister Khawaja Asif was aimed to encourage and convince the Taliban to help Islamabad fight the TTP, a group that has intensified attacks in Pakistan in the past two years.

Though the office of Mullah Baradar, deputy economic chief minister of the Taliban in a statement said that the two sides discussed economic cooperation, regional relations, and trade, however, several sources said that TTP and border issues were the main agenda of the meeting.

TTP is a hot issue as it ramped up their attacks, seemingly embolden by the return of Taliban to power in August 2021. According to a UN report, TTP are regrouping and reorganizing with their leadership headquartered in Afghanistan. The outlawed faction was also able to fundraise through extortion inside Pakistan as well as in Afghanistan.

Afghanistan has been in war in the past 40 years where multiple militant groups found safe havens there, but the Taliban said they have full control on every province and will not let anyone use the Afghan soil against other countries.

Islamabad has evidence of TTP hideouts in Afghanistan

Pakistan has presented “irrefutable evidence” to the Afghan Taliban about the presence of (TTP) hideouts and precise location of its leadership in Afghanistan, The Express Tribune reported.

The evidence was shared during the visit of Pakistani delegation led by Asif to Kabul and the only one point agenda was focusing on counter terrorism and presence of the TTP sanctuaries on the Afghan soil.

Indeed, it is the first high-level delegation seeking Taliban support against TTP as a clear shift in Pakistan’s stance on the group after the recent spike in terrorist attacks.

The visit also conveyed a message that Pakistan’s civil and military leadership no longer seek talks with the TTP and in the meantime are trying to engage in talks with Taliban not to support them.

It was the first time that Pakistan top security officials visited the Taliban for help, while the Taliban in contrary to the Pakistani media reports, said that they discussed mutual cooperation in areas of trade and border issues.

TTP is internal issue of Pakistan

It is very clear that TTP is based in Pakistan and they are Pakistani Taliban, two officials within the Taliban told Harici on Saturday.

They said that TTP is not a “foreign group” and the Pakistani authorities are well aware of the fact that TTP has deep roots in Pakistani society and they are stationed there. “We strongly reject the claim that TTP leadership are based in Afghanistan, but we have evidence to prove that TTP leaders are in Pakistan,” he said.

During the meeting, Pakistani side came up with some proposal to resolve TTP issue, but the Taliban rejected the presentation and said they are much aware of the situation and don’t need their proposal.

The Pakistani side tried to explain further, but the Taliban did not satisfy and instead that TTP is an internal issue of Pakistan, but assured to stand ready to help and work for regional peace and security.

Taliban, TTP and Pakistan

Pakistan is not happy with the support the Afghan Taliban is providing to TTP. This goes in direct contrast with Pakistan’s expectation that Taliban will pay attention to them carefully and will abide and do what Islamabad will say.

“The Afghans are known for their hospitality. We are more than happy to receive guests, especially from our neighboring countries, but that doesn’t mean we accept any order or command,” a Taliban official said.

Speaking to Harici in condition of anonymity, he said that the Pakistani delegation held talks with Taliban leadership and they agreed to work on a mechanism to enable both the countries to jointly fight the menace of terrorism.

“The meetings were held in a cordial atmosphere, and both sides agreed on several fronts.”

Pakistan needs Afghanistan’s support against TTP

The visit of Pakistan’s delegation came amid increasing anger in Pakistan as TTP and Islamabad failed to keep a long-months ceasefire that came to an end in late November.

The Afghan Taliban played a huge role in reaching a ceasefire between them, and they also hosted several rounds of talks between TTP members and Pakistani officials in Kabul but all of them ended with no results.

Since the end of the ceasefire, Pakistani officials said that TTP is enjoying full support from the Afghan Taliban and they carried several attacks against its security forces from Afghanistan.

“Terrorist groups impose a threat to the region and the world from inside Afghanistan, Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Bilawal Bhutto said on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference 2023 last week.

Political exports believe that Pakistan has lost control of the Afghan Taliban who once they supported against the previous government and foreign troops and also not capable of handling TTP by itself.

Pakistan is suffering from a poor political and security situation and its army is not capable of maintaining security or dealing with any sort of terroristic activities.

Asia

India, Pakistan military chiefs to discuss ceasefire next steps

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The military operations chiefs of India and Pakistan will meet today to discuss the next steps for the nuclear-armed neighboring countries, following a ceasefire along the border that has seen the most severe clashes in approximately 30 years.

No explosions or missile attacks were reported overnight following initial ceasefire violations. The Indian army announced that Sunday marked the first peaceful night on the border in recent days, despite some schools remaining closed.

The Saturday ceasefire in the Himalayan region, announced by US President Donald Trump, followed four days of intense clashes and diplomatic initiatives.

A senior Indian army official stated that the Indian army had sent a “hotline” message to Pakistan on Sunday regarding the previous day’s ceasefire violations, informing New Delhi of its intention to respond to such incidents.

A Pakistan army spokesperson, however, maintained there were no violations.

The Indian Ministry of External Affairs announced on Saturday that the Directors-General of Military Operations from both sides would meet on Monday at 12:00 PM (06:30 GMT).

Pakistan did not comment on the meeting plans.

After relations deteriorated when India blamed Pakistan for an attack that resulted in the deaths of 26 tourists, the two former rival countries targeted each other’s military facilities with missiles and drones, leading to the deaths of dozens of civilians.

Pakistan denies the accusations and calls for an impartial investigation.

India announced on Wednesday that it had attacked nine “terror infrastructure” targets in Pakistan and Pakistan-controlled Kashmir, though Islamabad stated these were civilian targets.

While Islamabad thanked Washington for its role in securing the ceasefire, it welcomed Trump’s offer to mediate the Kashmir dispute with India. However, New Delhi did not comment on US involvement in the ceasefire or talks to be held in a neutral location.

India, maintaining that disputes with Pakistan should be resolved directly between the neighboring countries, rejected any third-party intervention.

Hindu-majority India and Muslim Pakistan govern parts of Kashmir in the Himalayan region but claim sovereignty over the entire territory.

India accuses Pakistan of being responsible for the insurgency that began in its part of Kashmir in 1989, but Pakistan maintains it only provides moral, political, and diplomatic support to Kashmiri separatists.

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China’s April exports defy tariff expectations with 8% rise

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China’s export growth showed resilience in April, defying expectations that the effects of the trade war with the US would begin to be felt. According to statistics released by China’s customs administration on Friday, exports increased by 8.1% year-on-year in dollar terms.

This increase was below the 12.4% growth recorded in March. However, according to data released by the customs administration on Friday, this increase was well above the 1.9% growth forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.

Imports, meanwhile, fell for the third consecutive month, contracting by 0.2% last month.

Exports to the US fell by 21% last month, while imports from the US decreased by 13.8%.

Exports to China’s largest trading partners, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and the European Union, increased by 20.8% and 8.3% respectively.

The figures were released after Washington and Beijing entered a trade war.

US President Donald Trump last month implemented tariff increases of up to 145% on most products imported from China and said he would impose new tariffs even on low-value packages from the country. Beijing responded with a 125% tariff.

The two countries will begin trade talks in Geneva on Saturday. The US will be represented by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, while China’s delegation will be led by Vice Premier He Lifeng, the country’s top economic official.

This will be the first high-level meeting between the two sides since January, when Chinese Vice President Han Zheng attended Trump’s inauguration ceremony. Bessent said the trade war was “unsustainable.”

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Chinese consumer spending rebounds during May Day break

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During the five-day May Day holiday, Chinese spending increased by 8% year-on-year, reaching 180.27 billion yuan (approximately $25 billion), indicating that consumer activity remains vibrant.

An estimated 314 million domestic trips were made, marking a 6.4% increase compared to the previous year.

The May Day holiday, one of the country’s longest breaks, is closely watched as a barometer of Chinese consumer confidence.

China’s Ministry of Culture and Tourism recorded 314 million domestic trips during the holiday, a 6.5% increase, while the number of transactions using Weixin Pay, a popular payment app, rose by more than 10% year-on-year, with a notable surge in restaurant spending.

According to Reuters’ calculations based on official data, total spending per person during the five-day May holiday period, typically a busy time for family travel, increased by 1.5% to 574.1 yuan.

This figure remained below pre-pandemic levels, when spending per person was 603.4 yuan.

Consumption in the world’s second-largest economy has been hurt by a post-pandemic slowdown and a prolonged property crisis, with the effects of the US-China trade war expected to deepen these challenges.

Meanwhile, China’s services sector saw a slowdown in new order growth compared to March, according to a private sector survey released on Tuesday, due to uncertainty caused by US tariffs.

Despite stronger-than-expected economic growth in the first quarter, supported by government stimulus, the Chinese economy continues to face persistent deflationary risks.

The Caixin/S&P Global services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 50.7 from 51.9 in March, marking its lowest reading since September.

This aligns largely with the official survey, which showed services activity in China easing to 50.1 from 50.3 the previous month.

The Caixin services survey indicated that new business growth slowed to its weakest level since December 2022, although export orders saw some increase, partly linked to the recovery in tourism.

Zichun Huang, China economist at Capital Economics, said the drop in the Caixin PMI “provides further evidence that the trade war is weighing on economic activity in China, even beyond the manufacturing sector.”

Huang added, “While some caution is clearly warranted, we suspect firms are overstating how much damage US tariffs will do.”

Around 48% of China’s workforce was employed in the services sector in 2023, and the sector contributed 56.7% to total GDP last year. However, US President Donald Trump’s trade actions could hit the manufacturing sector and damage businesses’ hiring plans and consumer confidence.

Business sentiment in the services sector grew at its slowest pace since February 2020, with companies citing US tariffs as a major concern.

Service providers cut jobs for a second consecutive month to reduce costs, leading to an increase in backlogs of work and pushing the relevant indicator into expansionary territory for the first time this year.

Firms also lowered prices to attract customers despite high input costs.

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