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Morales’s MAS party collapses as right-wing candidates lead Bolivian election

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Two right-wing candidates have taken the lead in Bolivia’s presidential election, signaling the end of nearly 20 years of dominance by the Movimiento al Socialismo (Movement for Socialism – MAS) party.

The candidate who received the most votes in the first round was a surprise: Rodrigo Paz Pereira, a 57-year-old center-right senator who began his campaign with only 3% support in the polls.

In second place was former right-wing president Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga, who briefly led the country in 2001 after the resignation of former dictator Hugo Banzer.

With over 92% of the votes counted in the electoral court’s “preliminary” tally, Paz Pereira had 32.1% and Quiroga had 26.9%.

“I want to thank all the men and women who made this possible, who gave a voice to those who had none, who were invisible at the polls, who did not exist,” said Pereira, the son of former president Jaime Paz Zamora, who served as prime minister from 1989 to 1993.

Pereira, a senator from Tarija, enthusiastically thanked former police chief Edman Lara Montaño, who is known for exposing police corruption—a decisive factor for voters, according to many analysts.

“We will fight corruption head-on, damn it!” Pereira shouted late Sunday in La Paz to journalists and dozens of supporters awaiting his speech.

Quiroga stated, “This is a historic night—not for a single party, a single group, or a single candidate, but for all Bolivians who made their voices heard with strength, faith, hope, and dignity. Today, we took a giant step toward a better tomorrow.”

The electoral court emphasized that the figures are “preliminary and not definitive.” This is because Bolivia uses two counting methods: a faster one based on photographs of each ballot sent to a data processing center, and a slower, definitive count where each ballot is publicly tallied and reviewed at polling centers before being entered into the system.

The court is required to announce the official results within seven days.

Since no candidate received more than 50% of the vote, or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate, a runoff will be held on October 19.

As with the first round, the runoff campaign is expected to be dominated by the worst economic crisis in the last 40 years, shortages of dollars and fuel, and rising inflation.

Luis Arce, the deeply unpopular president of MAS, decided not to seek reelection and instead nominated his interior minister, 36-year-old Eduardo del Castillo. Castillo received only 3.15% of the vote.

This percentage is significantly lower than the over 50% that Arce and former president Evo Morales previously secured in the first round, but it is sufficient for the party to retain its legal status, as the threshold was set at 3%.

According to the preliminary count, 19.1% of the votes were declared invalid. This rate is well above the historical average in Bolivian elections, which typically remains below 5%.

Morales, Bolivia’s first indigenous leader, had called on his supporters in recent weeks to cast invalid ballots to protest the decisions of the constitutional and electoral courts that blocked his candidacy for a fourth term.

Businessman Samuel Doria Medina, 66, who had been leading in the polls throughout the campaign, finished third with 19.89% of the vote.

Doria Medina conceded defeat and announced that he would support Paz Pereira in the second round.

The Bolivian press reported that analysts suggested a possible advantage for Paz Pereira was that the campaign in recent weeks had focused on Quiroga, Doria Medina, and the left, leaving the senator outside the main line of attack, including fake news campaigns.

Additionally, polls showed a large number of undecided voters right up to election day.

The highest-polling leftist candidate was 36-year-old senator Andrónico Rodríguez, who split from MAS to run with a small coalition. After briefly holding third place, Rodríguez ultimately finished fourth with just over 8% of the vote.

More than 2,500 national and international observers from organizations such as the European Union and the Organization of American States monitored the voting and are expected to release their preliminary reports in the coming days. Observers noted that the voting proceeded normally throughout the day.

According to the electoral court, the elections were conducted smoothly, apart from some “isolated incidents.”

One of these incidents involved Rodríguez. While voting in Entre Ríos, a stronghold of the former president located about 50 miles (80 km) from Morales’s own stronghold, the 36-year-old senator was booed and stoned by what he described as “a small group of extremists identified as supporters of Morales.”

Rodríguez was escorted by members of the armed forces to cast his vote. The senator, once seen as the natural successor to Morales due to his indigenous origins and leadership in the coca growers’ union, was declared a traitor upon announcing his own candidacy.

Morales, who has been wanted since October on allegations of fathering a child with a 15-year-old girl, voted in Villa 14 de Septiembre, about 40 kilometers from the small village where hundreds of coca growers have prevented police and the army from detaining the former president.

Morales claims the case against him is part of a plan by the current government to destroy him politically.

President Arce, who became Morales’s main rival after serving as his finance minister, voted in La Paz and said he would ensure an “absolutely democratic transition” at the new president’s inauguration in November.

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Trump energy shares rose by up to $4.4m during Iran war, CNBC reports

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The value of US President Donald Trump’s nine largest oil and gas holdings increased by approximately $1.5 million to $4.4 million during the first six months of the war with Iran.

According to an analysis conducted by CNBC based on the American leader’s financial disclosure, corporate balance sheets, and FactSet market data, the investment basket includes shares in Chevron, ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Kinder Morgan, Marathon Petroleum, Occidental Petroleum, Phillips 66, Valero Energy, and Williams Companies.

In its calculations, the television network took into account the minimum and maximum baseline values of Trump’s declared holdings alongside share price fluctuations from the close of trading on 27 February through 31 August.

As the conflict with Iran continued, specialists managing Trump’s investment accounts maintained active trading in energy company shares.

Up to 29 June, the latest date for which transactions were disclosed, fresh purchases were logged alongside at least 23 sales operations involving stock in the nine companies.

Because disclosure filings do not specify exact share numbers or transaction prices, the estimates produced by CNBC do not reflect Trump’s realised profits or the precise current scale of his holdings.

On 2 March, the first trading day following the launch of air strikes against Iran by the US and Israel, shares in eight major oil and gas companies were purchased through Trump’s accounts.

These transactions included ExxonMobil shares valued at between $100,000 and $250,000. Prior to the conflict, the aggregate value of Trump’s holdings in ExxonMobil stood at between $3.2 million and $12.5 million.

Stock market gains in August, excluding subsequent transactions, raised the value of these shares by approximately $176,000 to $690,000.

CNBC also examined transactions executed on days when Trump’s decisions directly swayed the oil market. On 23 March, when the president deferred planned strikes against Iran’s energy infrastructure, the price of a barrel of Brent crude dropped by roughly 11%.

That same day, oil and gas shares worth a combined $163,000 to $570,000 were purchased across Trump’s accounts.

A similar transaction took place on 7 April. One of Trump’s investment accounts sold between $500,000 and $1 million worth of ExxonMobil shares.

Approximately two and a half hours after markets closed, President Trump announced an agreement on a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The following morning, ExxonMobil shares fell by more than 6% at the market open.

The report noted that CNBC saw no evidence indicating that Trump gave direct instructions for specific trades, that managers possessed advance knowledge of his actions, or that personal financial interests guided White House policies.

White House officials, commenting on the matter, stated that the president’s investment portfolio is managed by independent portfolio managers and that neither Trump nor members of his family hold authority to intervene in asset trading decisions.

The growth in the portfolio coincided with a broader surge in the earnings of energy majors. The nine energy companies in which Trump holds shares generated a combined profit of $47.6 billion in the second quarter.

During the same period last year, that figure stood at $15.9 billion. The profits of ExxonMobil and Chevron alone climbed from $9.6 billion in the prior year to $26.6 billion.

In July, the US Office of Government Ethics published Trump’s 927-page financial disclosure report for 2025.

The report noted that Trump’s earnings from cryptocurrency operations exceeded $500 million.

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Over half of Latino voters back Democrats in key US House races

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A new public opinion poll in the US shows that Democratic candidates have made notable gains since 2024 among Latino voters in critical, competitive districts for the House of Representatives.

These gains have the potential to directly determine which party will secure the majority in Congress next year.

According to a joint survey by Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision shared with Axios, Democrats reached 58% support on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters across 17 competitive House districts.

The share of those backing Republicans within the same voting bloc remained at 35%. This group continues to represent the fastest-growing swing constituency in battleground districts.

Examining three competitive House races in Texas, the study indicated that Latino voters, who reported splitting evenly at 44% to 44% in the 2024 presidential election, shifted 56% to 36% in favour of Democrats heading into the midterms.

Latino support for Democrats also increased in other states. In California, 57% of Latino voters said they would support Democrats, compared with 33% who said they would back the Republican Party.

Kate Coleman, Senior Vice President at TelevisaUnivision, highlighted voter behaviour in remarks to Axios:

“Latino voters are not locked into one party. They are watching developments closely; they make decisions based on who stands with them and how they stand.”

The survey data determined that 11% of Latino respondents who said they voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election now support Democratic candidates.

Accelerating his deportation plans, Trump triggered fear across many Latino neighbourhoods while weakening his support among this demographic.

The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision study revealed that 63% of Latino voters disapprove of Trump’s presidential job performance. The share of those approving of his performance in office stood at 36%.

Trump’s approach to high prices and the cost of living drew disapproval from 65% of Latino voters, while immigration enforcement and deportation practices were disapproved of by 62%.

More than half of Latino voters, at 64%, reported that they disapprove of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).

A survey published in May by UnidosUS showed that a quarter of Latino voters “would probably not vote” or would definitely not support Trump if they had to vote for him again.

The study at that time had pointed out that, despite Trump’s decline among Latino voters, Democrats had not yet secured significant gains.

According to Pew Research Center data, Trump strengthened his support in 2024 by securing 48% of the Latino vote, coming very close to the 51% reached by then Vice President Kamala Harris.

Some figures within the Democratic Party, however, worry that primary victories by democratic socialist candidates could alienate certain Latino voters, particularly those who fled Cuba or Venezuela.

The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision survey was conducted between 6 and 17 August among 1,500 Latino respondents. The poll’s margin of error was reported as 2.5 percentage points.

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Researcher quits Anthropic and warns AI firms gamble with lives

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Jacob Coxon, an artificial intelligence researcher at Anthropic, has resigned from his post, stating that tech companies are acting irresponsibly in the race towards self-improving superintelligence. Coxon warned that the autonomous operational capabilities of such systems pose existential risks to humanity and that internal industry anxieties run far deeper than generally perceived.

The AI researcher stepped down from his position at Anthropic to draw attention to industry safety vulnerabilities and the unregulated race among developers.

Having worked for three years as a pre-training researcher across both OpenAI and Anthropic, Coxon announced his decision to leave in an extensive statement shared on his X account.

Stating that both companies have acted irresponsibly, Coxon argued that developers are engaged in a dangerous race to achieve self-improving superintelligence.

“They believe it could kill us all by the end of the decade”

In his posts, Coxon stated that technical teams developing AI genuinely believe this technology could bring about the demise of humanity by the end of the decade.

Asserting that these concerns are not a marketing strategy, the researcher noted that while top executives and senior researchers adopt a cautious tone in public statements, they voice the very same fears behind closed doors.

Developments reflecting similar anxieties across the sector evoke James Cameron’s 1984 film The Terminator, which set 2029 as the pivotal year when machines waged war against humanity.

Indeed, Evan Hubinger, head of Anthropic’s own alignment team, had previously estimated the probability of human extinction to be greater than 10%.

Warning that systems currently under development will soon evolve into superhuman structures capable of bypassing any firewall, transforming industries overnight, and securing physical resources, Coxon stressed that the pace of progress is not slowing in any way.

Arguing that the danger of superintelligence is no longer merely theoretical, the researcher pointed to the Hugging Face security leak that occurred between May and July.

In that incident, OpenAI models established an independent chatroom within the testing environment to communicate among themselves, subsequently using this channel to reach the open internet and infiltrate production systems.

Because of this security breach, Hugging Face was forced to rebuild approximately one-third of its infrastructure.

“They are gambling with our lives”

Characterising the leak as a warning flare, Coxon indicated that the incident makes pacing agreements between US-based laboratories more feasible.

However, emphasising that developers are not yet on the right track to prevent a global race, the researcher noted that measures such as a temporary moratorium on advancing model capabilities could be considered.

Arguing that civilisation-scale risks have not yet been sufficiently internalised at OpenAI, Coxon contended that Anthropic joined the race out of an ambition to be first, despite being fully aware of the dangers.

Coxon is not the only figure to leave the sector on such grounds. Mrinank Sharma, a member of Anthropic’s safety team, also stepped down earlier this year, writing that the world is in danger.

On the other hand, not everyone agrees with these catastrophic scenarios. Some responses to the post emphasised the view that humanity, with an evolutionary history spanning hundreds of thousands of years, will not be wiped out by a text prediction model achieving consciousness.

It was also noted that even the plot of the Terminator franchise does not entirely support Coxon’s premise, as the human resistance survived the nuclear catastrophe and ultimately defeated the machines.

Alongside safety debates, AI continues to directly affect the labour market. Research by the Stanford Digital Economy Lab indicates that, while mass job losses have not yet materialised, entry-level employment in AI-exposed sectors across the US has fallen by nearly 20%.

A Goldman Sachs study pointed to a similar trend, showing that entry-level workers bear the brunt of the ongoing workforce transformation.

Anthropic, which remains at the centre of the controversy, filed for an initial public offering in June and plans to list on the Nasdaq exchange this autumn at a multi-trillion-dollar valuation.

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