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Morales’s MAS party collapses as right-wing candidates lead Bolivian election

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Two right-wing candidates have taken the lead in Bolivia’s presidential election, signaling the end of nearly 20 years of dominance by the Movimiento al Socialismo (Movement for Socialism – MAS) party.

The candidate who received the most votes in the first round was a surprise: Rodrigo Paz Pereira, a 57-year-old center-right senator who began his campaign with only 3% support in the polls.

In second place was former right-wing president Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga, who briefly led the country in 2001 after the resignation of former dictator Hugo Banzer.

With over 92% of the votes counted in the electoral court’s “preliminary” tally, Paz Pereira had 32.1% and Quiroga had 26.9%.

“I want to thank all the men and women who made this possible, who gave a voice to those who had none, who were invisible at the polls, who did not exist,” said Pereira, the son of former president Jaime Paz Zamora, who served as prime minister from 1989 to 1993.

Pereira, a senator from Tarija, enthusiastically thanked former police chief Edman Lara Montaño, who is known for exposing police corruption—a decisive factor for voters, according to many analysts.

“We will fight corruption head-on, damn it!” Pereira shouted late Sunday in La Paz to journalists and dozens of supporters awaiting his speech.

Quiroga stated, “This is a historic night—not for a single party, a single group, or a single candidate, but for all Bolivians who made their voices heard with strength, faith, hope, and dignity. Today, we took a giant step toward a better tomorrow.”

The electoral court emphasized that the figures are “preliminary and not definitive.” This is because Bolivia uses two counting methods: a faster one based on photographs of each ballot sent to a data processing center, and a slower, definitive count where each ballot is publicly tallied and reviewed at polling centers before being entered into the system.

The court is required to announce the official results within seven days.

Since no candidate received more than 50% of the vote, or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate, a runoff will be held on October 19.

As with the first round, the runoff campaign is expected to be dominated by the worst economic crisis in the last 40 years, shortages of dollars and fuel, and rising inflation.

Luis Arce, the deeply unpopular president of MAS, decided not to seek reelection and instead nominated his interior minister, 36-year-old Eduardo del Castillo. Castillo received only 3.15% of the vote.

This percentage is significantly lower than the over 50% that Arce and former president Evo Morales previously secured in the first round, but it is sufficient for the party to retain its legal status, as the threshold was set at 3%.

According to the preliminary count, 19.1% of the votes were declared invalid. This rate is well above the historical average in Bolivian elections, which typically remains below 5%.

Morales, Bolivia’s first indigenous leader, had called on his supporters in recent weeks to cast invalid ballots to protest the decisions of the constitutional and electoral courts that blocked his candidacy for a fourth term.

Businessman Samuel Doria Medina, 66, who had been leading in the polls throughout the campaign, finished third with 19.89% of the vote.

Doria Medina conceded defeat and announced that he would support Paz Pereira in the second round.

The Bolivian press reported that analysts suggested a possible advantage for Paz Pereira was that the campaign in recent weeks had focused on Quiroga, Doria Medina, and the left, leaving the senator outside the main line of attack, including fake news campaigns.

Additionally, polls showed a large number of undecided voters right up to election day.

The highest-polling leftist candidate was 36-year-old senator Andrónico Rodríguez, who split from MAS to run with a small coalition. After briefly holding third place, Rodríguez ultimately finished fourth with just over 8% of the vote.

More than 2,500 national and international observers from organizations such as the European Union and the Organization of American States monitored the voting and are expected to release their preliminary reports in the coming days. Observers noted that the voting proceeded normally throughout the day.

According to the electoral court, the elections were conducted smoothly, apart from some “isolated incidents.”

One of these incidents involved Rodríguez. While voting in Entre Ríos, a stronghold of the former president located about 50 miles (80 km) from Morales’s own stronghold, the 36-year-old senator was booed and stoned by what he described as “a small group of extremists identified as supporters of Morales.”

Rodríguez was escorted by members of the armed forces to cast his vote. The senator, once seen as the natural successor to Morales due to his indigenous origins and leadership in the coca growers’ union, was declared a traitor upon announcing his own candidacy.

Morales, who has been wanted since October on allegations of fathering a child with a 15-year-old girl, voted in Villa 14 de Septiembre, about 40 kilometers from the small village where hundreds of coca growers have prevented police and the army from detaining the former president.

Morales claims the case against him is part of a plan by the current government to destroy him politically.

President Arce, who became Morales’s main rival after serving as his finance minister, voted in La Paz and said he would ensure an “absolutely democratic transition” at the new president’s inauguration in November.

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US Senate panel seeks records in Trump-linked crypto investigation

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Richard Blumenthal, the ranking Democrat on the US Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations (PSI), has requested documents from cryptocurrency exchange Binance, Tether, and crypto projects linked to President Donald Trump as part of inquiries into potential financial irregularities and conflicts of interest.

The documents were requested to be submitted by 4 January 2027.

Senators warned that they would resort to compulsory measures if the request was refused.

Entities sent document requests include World Liberty Financial and Fight Fight Fight LLC, both linked to President Trump’s family.

Blumenthal began examining the activities of these entities in May 2025 following reports that they may have engaged in transactions with foreigners under federal criminal investigation, attracted investments from foreign governments, and violated public ethics rules.

Notably, in 2026, it emerged that individuals close to the Abu Dhabi royal family had signed an agreement with the Trump family to purchase 49% of the shares in World Liberty Financial for $500 million.

The company, founded in September 2024 by the US President and his sons, launched a token called WLFI.

According to official disclosures, Trump made $800 million from this token alone.

Conversely, crypto analytics firm Nansen calculated, by tracking 1.48 million crypto wallets, that approximately two-thirds of those who invested in the token after its launch in January 2025 incurred losses.

While many retail investors spent several thousand dollars on purchases, the largest investors poured in millions of dollars.

Trump also launched his own memecoin, TRUMP, on 17 January 2025, prior to his inauguration.

Rising 10.6-fold in value within three days, the cryptocurrency’s market capitalisation reached $15 billion at its peak.

However, after those three days, the price entered a downturn, plunging by 97%.

Trump reported in his financial disclosure that he earned $635 million in income from sales of these memecoins.

In July 2026, Blumenthal held public hearings on the family crypto projects from which the President made $1.4 billion.

The losses suffered by TRUMP memecoin investors were also addressed during these hearings.

Cryptocurrency exchange Binance and Tether, which issues the largest stablecoin, USDT, are under scrutiny over their dealings with the Trump administration.

Lawmakers suspected conflicts of interest stemming from the exchange’s collaboration with World Liberty Financial.

Previously, a group of senators had demanded an inquiry into the terms of the presidential pardon granted to Binance founder Changpeng Zhao.

Separately, The New York Times reported that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) gaining access to American artificial intelligence chips coincided with a $2 billion investment by a UAE entity into Binance using USD1, a stablecoin issued by World Liberty Financial.

While this deal rapidly expanded the volume of tokens in circulation, it enabled Trump’s company to generate revenue from interest on government bonds where USD1 reserves were held.

Trump, for his part, described the report as slander.

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US credit card debt hits record $1.29 trillion, New York Fed reports

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Americans’ credit card debt reached a record $1.29 trillion in the third quarter, according to a new report published by the New York Fed.

Falling behind on credit card payments can trap struggling households in a cycle of fees, credit score downgrades, and increasingly expensive borrowing.

Although delinquency rates across the country have shown improvement, the latest figures indicate that financial distress is concentrated in lower-income communities.

Consumer credit card balances rose by $22 billion in the third quarter, representing an increase of 1.7%. This figure is $52 billion higher than it was a year earlier.

The figures are not adjusted for inflation, which may mean that part of the increase reflects rising prices rather than more borrowing in real terms.

Total household debt, which includes mortgages, student loans, and auto loans, rose by $334 billion in the third quarter to reach a record $19.1 trillion.

This total represents an increase of $5 trillion compared to 2019, just before the pandemic.

The volume of credit card balances falling into serious delinquency is declining, indicating some improvement in Americans’ ability to make their payments on time.

The rate of credit card debt transitioning into serious delinquency fell to 6.9% in the third quarter. However, this rate remains distinctly higher than the 5.2% recorded prior to the pandemic.

Americans living in lower-income neighbourhoods are facing greater difficulty in keeping up with their credit card payments compared to more affluent groups, according to a separate report published by the New York Fed on Tuesday.

Delinquency rates across all neighbourhood income tiers remain above pre-pandemic levels, while the gap between the wealthiest and poorest areas has widened since 2022.

In the lowest-income neighbourhoods, 10.3% of credit card balances transitioned into serious delinquency over the past year.

This is more than double the 4.4% rate observed in the wealthiest neighbourhoods.

The average credit card balance per borrower now stands at $6,678, according to TransUnion’s third-quarter analysis report.

Among borrowers under the age of 30, the rate of credit card debt falling at least 90 days delinquent reached the highest level, according to the Fed’s report.

Democrats won the midterm elections promising to bring down prices, but delivering relief that voters can genuinely feel in their household budgets will be a difficult target to achieve.

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Mamdani quietly asks Trump to release detained immigrants

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New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is using his rapport with US President Donald Trump to secure the release of selected detained immigrants.

According to reporting by Politico, Mamdani persuaded Trump during their second White House meeting in February to free a university student who had been detained that day by ICE.

The outcome served as validation for Mamdani, who pointed to the release of the Columbia University senior as proof that his surprisingly cordial relationship with Trump could produce tangible results for New Yorkers.

Mamdani subsequently continued to seek similar immigration-related interventions from the Republican president.

Since that February meeting, Mamdani and his aides have quietly forwarded the names of approximately two dozen immigrant New Yorkers held in ICE custody to Trump’s team, asking the president to order their release.

Two sources familiar with the matter said Mamdani most recently shared names of detained immigrants during a September meeting with Trump at Gracie Mansion.

The sources said the individuals in question had no serious criminal records, though they declined to disclose their identities, citing safety concerns.

According to Politico, these ongoing efforts regarding detained immigrants indicate Mamdani’s belief that he can leverage his rapport with Trump to advance causes the mercurial president might not ordinarily support.

Mamdani’s decision not to disclose these continued appeals publicly suggests an inclination to keep his interventions private to improve their chances of success.

Yet it remains unclear whether any immigrant besides Columbia University student Elmina Aghayeva has actually been released as a result of these efforts, and concern is mounting within City Hall that the window for securing such releases may be closing.

Mamdani’s aides working on the releases, including his Chief of Staff Elle Bisgaard-Church, communicated primarily with Trump’s White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, according to people familiar with the matter.

Last week, Trump replaced Wiles with Stephen Miller, the architect of the administration’s most hardline immigration proposals and one of the loudest internal voices urging the president to pursue a mass deportation agenda in his second term.

A person familiar with the Mamdani administration’s thinking said the mayor’s team views it as unlikely that Miller will continue cooperating in the manner Wiles did, given his stance on immigration.

Mamdani spokesperson Dora Pekec declined to comment on internal concerns regarding Miller and did not provide details about the immigrants whose release the mayor had requested.

Pekec noted, however, that Mamdani has “consistently advocated directly on behalf of New Yorkers in his calls and meetings with the president.”

Murad Awawdeh, a close Mamdani ally and president and CEO of the New York Immigration Coalition, said the mayor’s team should not halt engagement with the Trump administration on immigration matters because of Miller’s promotion:

“Stephen Miller is a cruel individual who has spent his career attacking immigrants, but he is not the president; Donald Trump is, and this is his deportation agenda. New York expects the president to work with the mayor to serve this city and end the terror in our communities. Miller’s promotion changes none of that.”

Mamdani’s warm dynamic with Trump has confounded both allies and critics.

During last year’s New York mayoral election, Trump referred to Mamdani as a “communist lunatic” and threatened to have him arrested.

In turn, the 35-year-old democratic socialist branded the president a “fascist” and pledged to fight him relentlessly if elected mayor.

Yet that animosity fell away late last year during their first White House meeting, where an amicable tone prevailed.

The thaw culminated in September at Gracie Mansion, where Trump said Mamdani had “great potential” to be a “terrific mayor.”

Mamdani returned the compliment by noting that the president had “built quite a bit of housing in our city.”

Despite the polite exchange, questions remain over how much substantive progress Mamdani can genuinely secure through Trump, including on immigration.

To date, Aghayeva’s release stands as one of the few concrete concessions Mamdani has obtained from Trump.

Aides on both sides are also discussing a multi-billion-dollar federally backed housing initiative in Queens, and last month Mamdani used his channel to Trump to help secure a temporary visa for a Ghanaian woman whose son was shot and killed in the Bronx.

Beyond those instances, few tangible results have emerged, though Trump’s decision not to enact punitive measures against New York is viewed by Mamdani’s allies as a win for the city.

Trump’s political standing is widely seen as weakened following the Republican Party’s loss of both houses of Congress in elections last Tuesday.

How this political shift will affect Trump’s willingness to engage with ideological adversaries such as Mamdani remains uncertain.

Miller’s appointment as chief of staff appears to signal little presidential interest in moderation, particularly on immigration policy.

Even so, the mayor said last week that he does not intend to stop seeking Trump’s assistance, despite “fierce” policy disagreements.

“We have found an area of common interest in the well-being of New York City, and as long as that can deliver for our city, I’m going to keep that door open,” Mamdani told Politico on Friday in Puerto Rico.

Mamdani and other elected officials from New York had gathered in Puerto Rico for the annual Somos political conference.

Two days later, in an interview on Fox News, a network Trump is known to watch regularly, Mamdani described a “productive relationship” with the president, saying the two text and speak by phone frequently:

“Through those conversations, we were able to get a New Yorker out of ICE detention. We were able to secure a visa for a grieving mother who would have otherwise had to watch her son’s funeral from thousands of miles away. What that tells me is: My job is to deliver for New Yorkers, and I have to work with whoever has the power to do that, wherever they may be.”

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