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Water conflict between Afghanistan and Iran

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After the Taliban announced that the work of “Pashdan Dam” in Herat has been completed up to 80 percent and will soon be put into operation, it faced a wave of criticism in the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Eisa Bozorgzadeh, the spokesperson of Iran’s water industry, said that the construction of this dam will severely affect the drinking water of several million Iranians living in the city of Mashhad and called for an adjustment in the Taliban’s decision. Meanwhile, Ismail Baqaei, the spokesman of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, has requested the cooperation of the Taliban government to remove the obstacles to the entry of water from Afghanistan to Iran. He reminded that Iran’s rights and bilateral treaties between the two countries should be considered in the exploitation of water resources.

The Taliban recently completed the construction of the “Pashdan Dam” in Herat, and earlier, Zabihullah Mujahid, the spokesperson of the Taliban government, published a video of the gathering of citizens around this dam on his account in the X. The spokesperson of Iran’s Foreign Ministry has protested the withdrawal of water from Herat’s “Pashdan Dam” and said “exploitation of water resources and water basins cannot be done without respecting Iran’s rights in accordance with bilateral treaties or customary principles and rules, as well as the important principle of good neighborliness as well as environmental considerations.”

Esmail Baqaei said that Iran’s Foreign Ministry, in contact with the ruling authorities in Afghanistan, expressed its “strong objection and concern to the disproportionate limitation of water entering Iran or diverting the natural course of rivers”.

The authorities of the Taliban government have not reacted on the water issue so far.

Earlier, Bozorgzadeh also called the water withdrawal from Herat’s Pashdan Dam “one-sided exploitation” of the Hariroud River, which, according to him, “caused a violation of customary rights.”

He added that “the effects of this unilateral action by the Afghan side will not only affect the supply of drinking water and health of several million people, but also lead to widespread damage to the downstream environment.”

Pashdan dam, which is located in Karkh district of Herat, is one of the main sources of irrigation for the green areas of Herat city and the green belt of this province, and its construction started in 2010.

It is said that Pashdan Dam has the capacity to irrigate about 18 thousand hectares of land and produce two megawatts of electricity.

In the past, Iran has expressed concern about the number of dams and efforts to build more dams in Afghanistan.

Hirmand River is a potential point of conflict between Iran and Afghanistan  

The Hirmand River on the border of Iran and Afghanistan is a potential point of conflict over scarce water resources in the region between these two countries.

Iran and Afghanistan have signed a treaty for the use of Hirmand water in 1972, based on which the annual amount of water that enters Iran from the Hirmand River is determined, but Iran is not aware of the amount of water that enters Iran and this country is not satisfied with the flow of the water.

The water treaty between Afghanistan and Iran was signed between Musa Shafiq and Amir Abbas Hoyda, the then prime ministers of the two countries.

The officials of the Taliban government have cited the lack of rainfall and the lack of a device to measure the amount of water entering Iran as the main reasons for not reaching the amount of water that Iran has received, and they have claimed that in some years, Iran has received water more than the amount of water that is stipulated in the treaty between the two countries.

Asia

India, Pakistan military chiefs to discuss ceasefire next steps

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The military operations chiefs of India and Pakistan will meet today to discuss the next steps for the nuclear-armed neighboring countries, following a ceasefire along the border that has seen the most severe clashes in approximately 30 years.

No explosions or missile attacks were reported overnight following initial ceasefire violations. The Indian army announced that Sunday marked the first peaceful night on the border in recent days, despite some schools remaining closed.

The Saturday ceasefire in the Himalayan region, announced by US President Donald Trump, followed four days of intense clashes and diplomatic initiatives.

A senior Indian army official stated that the Indian army had sent a “hotline” message to Pakistan on Sunday regarding the previous day’s ceasefire violations, informing New Delhi of its intention to respond to such incidents.

A Pakistan army spokesperson, however, maintained there were no violations.

The Indian Ministry of External Affairs announced on Saturday that the Directors-General of Military Operations from both sides would meet on Monday at 12:00 PM (06:30 GMT).

Pakistan did not comment on the meeting plans.

After relations deteriorated when India blamed Pakistan for an attack that resulted in the deaths of 26 tourists, the two former rival countries targeted each other’s military facilities with missiles and drones, leading to the deaths of dozens of civilians.

Pakistan denies the accusations and calls for an impartial investigation.

India announced on Wednesday that it had attacked nine “terror infrastructure” targets in Pakistan and Pakistan-controlled Kashmir, though Islamabad stated these were civilian targets.

While Islamabad thanked Washington for its role in securing the ceasefire, it welcomed Trump’s offer to mediate the Kashmir dispute with India. However, New Delhi did not comment on US involvement in the ceasefire or talks to be held in a neutral location.

India, maintaining that disputes with Pakistan should be resolved directly between the neighboring countries, rejected any third-party intervention.

Hindu-majority India and Muslim Pakistan govern parts of Kashmir in the Himalayan region but claim sovereignty over the entire territory.

India accuses Pakistan of being responsible for the insurgency that began in its part of Kashmir in 1989, but Pakistan maintains it only provides moral, political, and diplomatic support to Kashmiri separatists.

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China’s April exports defy tariff expectations with 8% rise

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China’s export growth showed resilience in April, defying expectations that the effects of the trade war with the US would begin to be felt. According to statistics released by China’s customs administration on Friday, exports increased by 8.1% year-on-year in dollar terms.

This increase was below the 12.4% growth recorded in March. However, according to data released by the customs administration on Friday, this increase was well above the 1.9% growth forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.

Imports, meanwhile, fell for the third consecutive month, contracting by 0.2% last month.

Exports to the US fell by 21% last month, while imports from the US decreased by 13.8%.

Exports to China’s largest trading partners, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and the European Union, increased by 20.8% and 8.3% respectively.

The figures were released after Washington and Beijing entered a trade war.

US President Donald Trump last month implemented tariff increases of up to 145% on most products imported from China and said he would impose new tariffs even on low-value packages from the country. Beijing responded with a 125% tariff.

The two countries will begin trade talks in Geneva on Saturday. The US will be represented by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, while China’s delegation will be led by Vice Premier He Lifeng, the country’s top economic official.

This will be the first high-level meeting between the two sides since January, when Chinese Vice President Han Zheng attended Trump’s inauguration ceremony. Bessent said the trade war was “unsustainable.”

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Chinese consumer spending rebounds during May Day break

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During the five-day May Day holiday, Chinese spending increased by 8% year-on-year, reaching 180.27 billion yuan (approximately $25 billion), indicating that consumer activity remains vibrant.

An estimated 314 million domestic trips were made, marking a 6.4% increase compared to the previous year.

The May Day holiday, one of the country’s longest breaks, is closely watched as a barometer of Chinese consumer confidence.

China’s Ministry of Culture and Tourism recorded 314 million domestic trips during the holiday, a 6.5% increase, while the number of transactions using Weixin Pay, a popular payment app, rose by more than 10% year-on-year, with a notable surge in restaurant spending.

According to Reuters’ calculations based on official data, total spending per person during the five-day May holiday period, typically a busy time for family travel, increased by 1.5% to 574.1 yuan.

This figure remained below pre-pandemic levels, when spending per person was 603.4 yuan.

Consumption in the world’s second-largest economy has been hurt by a post-pandemic slowdown and a prolonged property crisis, with the effects of the US-China trade war expected to deepen these challenges.

Meanwhile, China’s services sector saw a slowdown in new order growth compared to March, according to a private sector survey released on Tuesday, due to uncertainty caused by US tariffs.

Despite stronger-than-expected economic growth in the first quarter, supported by government stimulus, the Chinese economy continues to face persistent deflationary risks.

The Caixin/S&P Global services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 50.7 from 51.9 in March, marking its lowest reading since September.

This aligns largely with the official survey, which showed services activity in China easing to 50.1 from 50.3 the previous month.

The Caixin services survey indicated that new business growth slowed to its weakest level since December 2022, although export orders saw some increase, partly linked to the recovery in tourism.

Zichun Huang, China economist at Capital Economics, said the drop in the Caixin PMI “provides further evidence that the trade war is weighing on economic activity in China, even beyond the manufacturing sector.”

Huang added, “While some caution is clearly warranted, we suspect firms are overstating how much damage US tariffs will do.”

Around 48% of China’s workforce was employed in the services sector in 2023, and the sector contributed 56.7% to total GDP last year. However, US President Donald Trump’s trade actions could hit the manufacturing sector and damage businesses’ hiring plans and consumer confidence.

Business sentiment in the services sector grew at its slowest pace since February 2020, with companies citing US tariffs as a major concern.

Service providers cut jobs for a second consecutive month to reduce costs, leading to an increase in backlogs of work and pushing the relevant indicator into expansionary territory for the first time this year.

Firms also lowered prices to attract customers despite high input costs.

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