Opinion
What to do for the TRNC to be recognized?
President Erdoğan’s visit to the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), the messages he conveyed there for the recognition of the TRNC and his announcement that he would be back on the island on the anniversary of the Happy Peace Operation (July 20, 1974) are important in many ways. First of all, it is completely correct and accurate in terms of continuing the tradition that every prime minister/president who takes office makes his first foreign trip to the TRNC (the second one being Azerbaijan). In addition, having been adopted since the election of Ersin Tatar as the TRNC President in late 2020 and materialized by Türkiye especially with Erdoğan’s statements, the reiteration of the two-state solution has also revealed what kind of policy will be followed on Cyprus after the elections. Erdoğan’s speeches delivered in Cyprus on July 20, 2021 and at the UN General Assembly the following year (September 20, 2022), in which he called on all countries of the world to recognize the TRNC and ensured that the TRNC was admitted as an observer member to the Organization of Turkic States (Hungary has the same status in the OTS), constituted the main axis of the Cyprus policy. Although during the election campaign, the opposition’s foreign policy spokespersons gave the impression that they would revise this policy, these possibilities seem to have completely disappeared since they lost the elections. Erdoğan’s recent statements have only reinforced this policy.
While two-state solutions are generally accepted in the aftermath of decolonization when one of the nations living in a country/region does not recognize the sovereignty of the other or when there are different sovereignty claims over a piece of land, as in the case of Israel-Palestine, the Western world has been making extraordinary efforts for decades to prevent such a solution in Cyprus. The essence of the Cyprus issue, spearheaded by the US and the UK, and with the involvement of the European Union due to Türkiye’s mistakes, is the effort to remove Türkiye from the island, and it is the Collective West that has been trying to accomplish that through many ways and means to this day. However, while the rapidly emerging multipolarity is leading to a gradual/relative decline in the power of the Western world, it is exponentially increasing the importance of a medium-sized country like Türkiye, and thus seems to allow Ankara’s policies to achieve results in many issues, especially in the Cyprus issue.
RUSSIAN INITIATIVE FOR RECOGNITION OF CYPRUS
It is futile to expect the Collective West to be sympathetic to the solution of the Cyprus issue. The Western world only accepts new situations and developments or adapts itself to the new situation when a situation arises that it cannot influence. Therefore, the fact that Türkiye and/or the TRNC authorities have made statements about a ‘two-state solution on the basis of sovereign equality’ will not persuade Western states; it will only force them to face new realities.
It is impossible to solve the Cyprus question with Western formulations, since it is the Collective West that has complicated the issue in the first place. The fact that the Greek Cypriot side has been admitted to the EU under the name of the Republic of Cyprus, representing the whole island, has completely eliminated the possibility of solving the problem in line with the sovereign will of Türkiye and the Turkish Cypriots, since for the US and the EU, and for Greece and the Greek Cypriots acting with their support, any solution means the effective establishment of the sovereignty of the Greek Cypriot state over the whole island, which the Greeks consider to belong to them, including the territory of the TRNC. Thus, the entire island of Cyprus will become an EU territory and the opportunity to become a NATO member will be sought. On the other hand, since Türkiye and the TRNC insist on the ‘two sovereign states’ thesis, it does not seem possible to solve the problem at the negotiation table. Since there will be no war unless circumstances dictate, there is no doubt that the struggle of the parties to insist on their current positions and to impose their own conditions on the other side will continue in a world that is evolving towards multipolarity.
In a multipolar world, the Collective West is diplomatically opposed to Türkiye and the TRNC’s ‘solution on the basis of two independent sovereign states’ thesis, but is also aware that their ability to exert pressure on Ankara is considerably diminished. It is not only impossible for the Collective West to put pressure on Türkiye, one of the medium-sized states that play an important role in shifting or even contributing to changing the balances alongside the superpowers that have decisive power and capabilities in a multipolar world, but it is also clear that there will be a significant increase in the number of states that will not yield to the pressure of Western states that have been keeping a tight grip on all states for decades, for example, in preventing the recognition of the TRNC, and we have already started to see examples of this on many occasions. The complete collapse of the assumptions of the Western propaganda machine from the early days of the Ukraine war that Russia would soon be brought to its knees by sanctions and arms aid to Ukraine, and that China would be brought into line, has brought many states in every continent of the world to the point of being bolder against the Collective West. But all this does not automatically lead to the recognition of the TRNC. In this multipolar world, where many developments that would have been unimaginable during the Cold War and in a unipolar world order are possible, it is necessary to develop official, semi-official and unofficial policies for the promotion of the TRNC in each state individually and to keep them constantly updated.
Russia is one of the states where intensive efforts should be made to promote the TRNC, since Moscow’s old arguments for a one-state solution in Cyprus no longer have anything in its favor. For example, a solution to the Cyprus problem under a single state, under the Annan Plan or any other model, would automatically make the island an EU territory. Since such a solution can only be achieved through/as a result of Türkiye’s handshake with the US, the UK and the EU, a solution to the Cyprus problem would not only be contrary to Moscow’s national interests, but would also harm Russia’s overall strategic posture, as it would result in Türkiye’s further alignment with the Collective West. In the case of Cyprus, while Russia is engaged in a war in the former Eastern Europe and now in Ukraine and Georgia, taking the risk of using nuclear weapons to prevent NATO’s expansion, it would be condoning and even supporting the EU and NATO to turn a very important island with the capacity to control a very important region of the world such as the Eastern Mediterranean into EU and NATO territory. On the other hand, while during the Cold War the Soviet Union and later the Russian Federation wanted the Turkish-Greek rift within NATO to continue to deepen, a Russia that now supports a one-state solution in Cyprus would be harming its own strategic interests, as such a policy and the outcome would directly and significantly contribute to solidarity within NATO. In short, the one-state solution model does not serve any of Moscow’s interests.
On the contrary, a two-state solution would put an end to the possibility of the entire island becoming EU and NATO territory and would serve Moscow’s strategic interests by deepening the Türkiye-Greece rift within NATO. Moreover, such a solution would prevent Türkiye from becoming an outpost of the Collective West against Russia, and Türkiye, remaining in NATO, would continue to criticize the West’s anti-Russian policies and maintain its economic, commercial, political and even military relations with Moscow. The fact that Greece and Greek Cypriots have acted as the spearhead of the Collective West against Russia since the Ukraine war has also facilitated this process.
So how can this outcome be achieved? Ankara’s declaration of a two-state solution in Cyprus alone may not be enough to achieve this outcome. While we expect that Azerbaijan will recognize the TRNC after the peace treaty with Armenia (it could be before), this issue will also need to be discussed with Russia at the highest levels. For example, the fact that the Syrian issue, one of the most troublesome problems between Russia and Türkiye, has entered the stage of being resolved largely through Moscow’s mediation may facilitate the discussion of this issue between Ankara and Moscow. In any case, as part of a compromise with Syria, Syria should be asked to recognize the TRNC while Türkiye transfers the territories under its control to the sovereignty of the Damascus administration and a full compromise is reached on other issues.
If Ankara reaches a peace and compromise in Syria in return for a TRNC agreement/reconciliation with Moscow, which is also in its own interest, it will result in Russia crowning its military successes with a diplomatic victory, which will give momentum to Ankara-Moscow relations and greatly break the will of Greece and the Greeks to fight. The Western world will not be able to do more than a few ‘we do not accept’ statements and Türkiye will force Greece and the Greeks to face the realities of multipolarity by getting Azerbaijan, the Turkic World states (except Uzbekistan at first), Pakistan, most of the Arab World countries with which we have normalized our relations, and many other states with which we provide humanitarian aid and have good relations to recognize the TRNC. Let us not forget that the fault lines of multipolarity pass through this geography. If we make the building strong, that is, if we set up the game in accordance with the spirit of multipolarity, we will get results and the ghost buildings built by the Greece-Greek Cypriot side on the power of others will collapse. Why not?
Opinion
India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships
Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.
India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.
Today, India’s achievements extend beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.
India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.
India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.
The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.
Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.
India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.
These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.
To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.
India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.
The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.
In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.
Opinion
Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa
In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.
History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.
Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.
Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.
AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS
Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.
Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.
In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”
China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.
THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY
It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.
The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.
The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.
Opinion
The women who refuse to be erased: On Japan’s surrender anniversary, the fight over wartime sexual slavery continues
BUSAN, South Korea — On the day Japan marks the 81st anniversary of its surrender in World War Two, a conference room in Busan’s city council building has become the latest front in a battle over memory.
Allan Wilson, Journalist
Last month, on 23 July, academics, activists and lawmakers gathered here for a symposium on one of the war’s most painful legacies: the estimated tens of thousands of women — euphemistically labelled “comfort women” — forced into sexual slavery by the Imperial Japanese Army. The event was co-hosted by the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia division and the Korean Women’s Forum.
“The records of the Japanese military’s comfort women are historical assets that the international community must preserve together,” Nam Myung-sook, the Busan city councillor who co-organised the symposium, told the gathering. “Social consensus must be broadened.”
Her words were aimed at more than the audience in the room.
For three decades, survivors and their advocates have pressed Japan for a full and unequivocal accounting. They have met a familiar pattern: moments of apparent progress — the 1993 Kono statement acknowledging military involvement, the 2015 bilateral agreement with South Korea — followed by retreat. Japanese officials continue to dispute the term “sexual slavery.” Textbooks soften the language. Senior politicians visit Yasukuni Shrine, where convicted war criminals are honoured alongside the dead.
The symposium came as UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee convened in Busan, and the timing was deliberate. One of the gathering’s stated goals was to revive the push to have comfort women records inscribed on UNESCO’s Memory of the World register — an effort Japan has repeatedly blocked.
“Our aim is to reaffirm the historical facts of comfort women (受害) to the international community and explore directions that contribute to peace and human rights,” said Yu Ying-mo, senior adviser to the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia region, in remarks prepared for the event.
A statue, a warning
The symposium also addressed an incident that has become a diplomatic flashpoint: the recent removal of a comfort women memorial statue in Taiwan.
The statue, one of dozens erected across East Asia and beyond, was taken down in recent months. Organisers in Busan described the removal as “an erroneous approach that erases historical wounds and weakens collective memory,” according to the symposium’s programme.
For advocates, the Taiwan case illustrates what happens when political pressure is allowed to dictate historical memory. “Statues, memorial halls, and archives related to comfort women are important spaces of memory that testify to the victims’ suffering and history,” the Carter Human Rights Center said in its written address. “They must be respected.”
Dozens of comfort women memorials now stand in cities from Seoul to San Francisco to Berlin. Each has become a site of diplomatic friction: Japan’s government has consistently objected to them, arguing they perpetuate what it calls an inaccurate narrative.
The shrinking window
Time is running out. Of the few hundred women who came forward in the 1990s, the number of surviving registered victims in South Korea has dwindled to single digits.
This demographic reality has injected new urgency into the preservation effort. Shim Ok-ju, a research professor at George Mason University Korea, told the symposium that the focus must now shift from oral testimony — soon to be lost — to documentation and education.
Seo Kyung-soon, a professor at Pukyong National University, presented findings from the so-called “Gwanbu Trial” records — a series of postwar legal proceedings in which comfort women sought compensation through Japanese courts. The documents, she argued, contain incontrovertible evidence of state orchestration.
A designated discussant panel followed, bringing together Kim Tae-wan, a political science professor at Dong-eui University; Kim Kyung-hee, an independent researcher; and Ahn Jun-young, a journalist from the Busan Ilbo newspaper. The format was designed to bridge academia and public consciousness — to test whether scholarly findings could survive the scrutiny of working journalists and political scientists.
The international dimension
The comfort women issue has never been purely bilateral. In 1996, the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women concluded that the system constituted “military sexual slavery.” In 2022, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women urged Japan to “ensure that the issue is accurately reflected in school curricula.”
Yet the gap between international consensus and Japanese government policy remains wide. Prime ministerial statements offer “apologies and remorse” but stop short of accepting legal responsibility. Reparations have come from private funds, not the state.
For organisers of the Busan symposium, the path forward runs through multilateral institutions. UNESCO recognition, they argue, would make historical revisionism harder to sustain. But Japan has made clear it will oppose any such move, as it did when Chinese documents related to the 1937 Nanjing Massacre were inscribed in 2015.
“Facing history squarely and respecting it is a fundamental value that the international community should share,” the symposium’s organisers concluded.
This 15 August, as Japan observes its National Memorial Service for the War Dead, the women who survived — and those who did not — will be remembered in rooms like the one in Busan. Their numbers are dwindling. The question is whether their story will outlast them.
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